Hannover 96 1-1 Eintracht Braunschweig – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Hannover 96 at 72% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Hannover 96 vs Eintracht Braunschweig encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis
Eintracht Braunschweig make the trip to Heinz von Heiden-Arena to face Hannover 96 in 2. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 8. The match kicks off on Saturday 10 September 2022 at 12:00 UTC.
Form
Hannover 96 (all games): 6W 1D 3L across 10 2. Bundesliga fixtures this term — 1.90 PPG. Last five: L W W W W. Offensively they are averaging 1.90 goals per game, with 1.30 conceded. 4 clean sheets in 10 games (40%) reflects a solid defensive base. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. Hannover 96 have played only a handful of 2. Bundesliga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
Hannover 96 at Heinz von Heiden-Arena this season: 5W 4D 1L from 10 home games — 1.90 PPG on home soil. At home they are averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 4 home clean sheets from 10 games (40%) — a solid defensive base on their own ground.
Eintracht Braunschweig have collected 0.57 PPG across 7 2. Bundesliga outings this season: 1W 1D 5L. Last five: L L D L W. Their scoring rate of 1.00 per game is modest, conceding 2.43 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. Conceding 2.43 per game is a high rate — their defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed regularly this season. Eintracht Braunschweig have played only a handful of 2. Bundesliga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
On the road, Eintracht Braunschweig have gone 0W 0D 3L from 3 away fixtures this term (0.00 PPG). Away from home they average 0.33 goals scored and 3.33 conceded per game. Their away PPG of 0.00 is notably below their overall 0.57 — form away from home has been a clear weakness this season.
The points-per-game gap of 1.33 in Hannover 96's favour (1.90 vs 0.57) is a statistically meaningful difference. The hosts are the form pick here, with draw protection the sensible hedge given the away side's competitiveness.
Trading & In-Play
Hannover 96 — key trading statistics (7 games, 3 at home): they score before half-time in 71% of fixtures; BTTS occurs in 57% of their matches; Over 2.5 goals lands in 71% of games; Over 3.5 in 43%; they keep a clean sheet 43% of the time.
Eintracht Braunschweig — key trading statistics (7 games, 3 at away): they score before half-time in 57% of fixtures; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 100% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 67% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 43% of their matches; Over 2.5 goals lands in 71% of games; Over 3.5 in 43%; they fail to score in 57% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Hannover 96 57% versus Eintracht Braunschweig 43%; no strong lean in either direction. Over 2.5 goals is well-supported by both sides' in-play profiles (Hannover 96 71% | Eintracht Braunschweig 71%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Hannover 96 2.32 xG and Eintracht Braunschweig 0.77 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Hannover 96 attack 0.957 / defence 0.906 | Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.619 / defence 1.580. League average goals — home 1.533 / away 1.372. Eintracht Braunschweig bring a strong defensive rating of 1.580 — this is suppressing Hannover 96's projected output below what their attack strength alone would suggest. Data: 41 Hannover 96 games / 7 Eintracht Braunschweig games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Hannover 96 72% | Draw 17% | Eintracht Braunschweig 11%. Fair-value odds: Hannover 96 1.39 | Draw 5.88 | Eintracht Braunschweig 9.09. The model has a clear lean to Hannover 96 (72%) — a 61pp gap over the next-most-likely outcome reflects a meaningful statistical advantage.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 60% | BTTS probability 48% | Total xG 3.09. Over 2.5 holds a meaningful probability edge at 60% — the 3.09 total xG provides moderate support, though the model is not projecting a high-scoring game. BTTS probability of 48% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Picks & Verdict
On the Poisson output, Hannover 96 are the pick at 72% — clear model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support.
The Poisson model projects 3.09 xG in total — Over 2.5 at 60% — reasonable confidence, supported by form averaging 3.1 goals per game.
Poisson assigns a 48% probability to BTTS No based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate: Hannover 96 50% | Eintracht Braunschweig 33% BTTS from recent games.
🔮 Your Prediction
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Hannover 96 vs Eintracht Braunschweig | Competition: 2. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 8 | Venue: Heinz von Heiden-Arena • Kick-off: Saturday 10 Sep 2022, 12:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Hannover 96 72% | Draw 17% | Eintracht Braunschweig 11% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 60% | BTTS 48% | xG Hannover 96 2.32 / Eintracht Braunschweig 0.77 • Poisson strength factors: Hannover 96 attack 0.957 / def 0.906 | Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.619 / def 1.580 | league avg home 1.533 / away 1.372 • Poisson stance: Hannover 96 (72%) — strong lean
🧮 Prediction Model
2.32
Hannover 96 xG
Expected Goals
0.77
Eintracht Braunschweig xG
48%
BTTS
81%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
37%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Hannover 96 vs Eintracht Braunschweig kick off?
Hannover 96 vs Eintracht Braunschweig kicked off at 12:00 on Saturday 10 September 2022 at Heinz von Heiden-Arena.
What was the final score in Hannover 96 vs Eintracht Braunschweig?
Hannover 96 1 - 1 Eintracht Braunschweig.
Where is Hannover 96 vs Eintracht Braunschweig being played?
The match is being played at Heinz von Heiden-Arena.
What competition is Hannover 96 vs Eintracht Braunschweig part of?
Hannover 96 vs Eintracht Braunschweig is a Regular Season - 8 fixture in the 2. Bundesliga (Germany).
Who is favourite to win Hannover 96 vs Eintracht Braunschweig?
Our statistical model gives Hannover 96 a 72% chance of winning, Eintracht Braunschweig a 11% chance, and a 17% chance of a draw — making Hannover 96 the favourite.
Will both teams score in Hannover 96 vs Eintracht Braunschweig?
Our model estimates a 48% probability that both Hannover 96 and Eintracht Braunschweig will score (BTTS).
Will Hannover 96 vs Eintracht Braunschweig have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 60%.
What is the head-to-head record between Hannover 96 and Eintracht Braunschweig?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Hannover 96 and Eintracht Braunschweig in?
Hannover 96 (all comps): 6W-1D-3L in 10 | 1.90 PPG | GF 1.90 / GA 1.30 | L5 L-W-W-W-W. Eintracht Braunschweig (all comps): 1W-1D-5L in 7 | 0.57 PPG | GF 1.00 / GA 2.43 | L5 L-L-D-L-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
Hannover 96's attacking strength (0.96x league average) is weighed against Eintracht Braunschweig's defensive record (1.58x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 2.32. Flip it around — Eintracht Braunschweig's attack (0.62x) against Hannover 96's defence (0.91x) — and the away total comes out at 0.77.
These ratings are built from 41/7 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 2-0, at 12.2%. Close behind: 1-0 (9.5%), 3-0 (9.5%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 31% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Hannover 96 Win
72%
1.39
17%
5.84
11%
9.33
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
12.2%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 0
10.6%
Home win
3 – 0
9.5%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.32
Hannover 96 xG
Total xG
3.09
0.77
Eintracht Braunschweig xG
1.39
72%
Home win
5.84
17%
Draw
9.33
11%
Away win
Goals Markets
81%
Over 1.5
1.23
19%
Under 1.5
5.26
60%
Over 2.5
1.67
40%
Under 2.5
2.50
37%
Over 3.5
2.70
63%
Under 3.5
1.59
20%
Over 4.5
5.00
80%
Under 4.5
1.25
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
48%
BTTS Yes
2.07
52%
BTTS No
1.94
Clean Sheet
46%
2.16
10%
10.16
Win to Nil
33%
2.99
1%
94.73
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.6 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 10.6 | 8.1 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 12.2 | 9.4 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 9.5 | 7.3 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 5.5 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Hannover 96 vs Eintracht Braunschweig?
Our Poisson model rates 2-0 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 12.2%.
How many goals are Hannover 96 and Eintracht Braunschweig expected to score?
The model projects 2.32 expected goals for Hannover 96 and 0.77 for Eintracht Braunschweig, a combined total of 3.09.
How confident is the prediction model for Hannover 96 vs Eintracht Braunschweig?
Reasonably confident — the model's leading outcome is rated at 72%, a clear lean rather than a toss-up.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
Across their last 7 outings, Hannover 96 have picked up 1.86 PPG on a 4W 1D 2L record — L-W-W-W-W across the most recent five. It's still early in the season for Hannover 96, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Eintracht Braunschweig's form line: 1W 1D 5L from 7 games, 0.57 PPG, last five L-L-D-L-W. It's still early in the season for Eintracht Braunschweig, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Put side by side, Hannover 96 are the form team by 1.29 points per game — a gap wide enough to matter, though form alone rarely tells the whole story against Eintracht Braunschweig.
Home & Away Splits
On home soil, Hannover 96 have posted 2.33 PPG from 3 outings (2W 1D 0L). That's noticeably better than their 1.86 PPG overall — Hannover 96 are a different proposition at home than their general record suggests.
On the road, Eintracht Braunschweig have gone 0W 0D 3L from 3 away games — 0.00 PPG when travelling. That's a step down from their 0.57 PPG overall record — away form has been the weaker part of Eintracht Braunschweig's season.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Hannover 96 come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Scoring & Defensive Trends
Hannover 96 are averaging 1.86 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game recently; Eintracht Braunschweig are on 1.00 scored and 2.43 conceded.
Defensively: Hannover 96 have kept a clean sheet in 43% of their games — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 7 Results — 2. Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Hannover 96
Early Season
Eintracht Braunschweig
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Hannover 96 and Eintracht Braunschweig in coming into this match?
Hannover 96 have gone 4W 1D 2L in their last 7 games (1.86 PPG), while Eintracht Braunschweig have gone 1W 1D 5L in their last 7 (0.57 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Hannover 96 at home or Eintracht Braunschweig away?
Hannover 96's home record (2.33 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Hannover 96 at home: 2.33 PPG; Eintracht Braunschweig away: 0.00 PPG.
Have Hannover 96 or Eintracht Braunschweig been keeping clean sheets recently?
Hannover 96 have kept a clean sheet in 43% of their recent games, Eintracht Braunschweig in 0%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
On record, these two have faced off 8 times since September 2022 — enough meetings to establish some real patterns. Every recorded meeting has come in 2. Bundesliga. They last met on 20 March 2026, roughly 4 months ago.
Records & Recent Trends
There's a clear current trend here: Hannover 96 have taken the last 2 head-to-head results.
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: Hannover 96 won 0-3 on 26 Oct 2025, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Hannover 96 have gone 2W 2D 0L from 4 meetings on their own ground against Eintracht Braunschweig — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 8 Meetings
3
Hannover 96
3
Draws
2
Eintracht Braunschweig
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Hannover 96 and Eintracht Braunschweig?
From 8 meetings on record, Hannover 96 have won 3, Eintracht Braunschweig have won 2, and 3 have been drawn.
When did Hannover 96 and Eintracht Braunschweig last play each other?
They last met on 20 March 2026, when Hannover 96 1-0 Eintracht Braunschweig.
Who has won more matches between Hannover 96 and Eintracht Braunschweig?
Hannover 96 have the better head-to-head record, with 3 wins from 8 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
Hannover 96 see a goal before the break in 33% of their matches.
Eintracht Braunschweig are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 100% of their matches.
Goals & Clean Sheets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Hannover 96 67%, Eintracht Braunschweig 33% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 67% for Hannover 96 and 100% for Eintracht Braunschweig. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 33% and 33% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: Hannover 96 keep a clean sheet in 33% of their matches; Eintracht Braunschweig in 67%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Hannover 96 home games / Eintracht Braunschweig away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Hannover 96 play Eintracht Braunschweig?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 67% of Hannover 96's recent matches and 33% of Eintracht Braunschweig's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Hannover 96 vs Eintracht Braunschweig usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 67% of Hannover 96's matches and 100% of Eintracht Braunschweig's.
Do Hannover 96 and Eintracht Braunschweig tend to score early?
Hannover 96 have had a goal before half-time in 33% of their recent matches, Eintracht Braunschweig in 100% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Hannover 96 and Eintracht Braunschweig share the spoils in a 1-1 draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Heinz von Heiden-Arena, Regular Season - 8, as Hannover 96 and Eintracht Braunschweig drew 1-1 in the 2. Bundesliga. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Hannover 96 2.32 xG and Eintracht Braunschweig 0.77 xG, a combined 3.09. The scoreboard read 1-1 for 2 actual goals. Hannover 96 fell 1.3 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Hannover 96 attack 0.96 / defence 0.91 against Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.62 / defence 1.58, drawn from 41/7 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Hannover 96 72% | Draw 17% | Eintracht Braunschweig 11%, with Hannover 96 to win its most likely call at 72%. Instead the game produced a draw, an outcome the model had rated at just 17% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 60%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 81% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 48% and the match saw both sides score — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 71% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Hannover 96 71%, Eintracht Braunschweig 71%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 50%, which matched the both-scored outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Hannover 96's trading profile (7 games, 3 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 57% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 43% of the time, and conceded here.
Eintracht Braunschweig's trading profile (7 games, 3 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 43% of their matches — today it did.
Form vs Result
On form, Hannover 96 arrived the stronger side — 1.86 PPG against 0.57. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Eintracht Braunschweig (home/away splits) conceded 1 against a 3.33 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.