Eintracht Braunschweig 0-1 SV Darmstadt 98 – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates SV Darmstadt 98 at 43% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Eintracht Braunschweig vs SV Darmstadt 98 encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A 2. Bundesliga encounter, Regular Season - 3 sees SV Darmstadt 98 travel to Eintracht-Stadion to take on Eintracht Braunschweig. The game is scheduled for Sunday 7 August 2022, 12:30 UTC.
Form Analysis
Looking at all fixtures this season, Eintracht Braunschweig stand at 0W 0D 2L from 2 2. Bundesliga matches — 0.00 PPG. Last five: L L. They are averaging 0.00 goals per game and conceding 2.50 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. However, 2.50 goals conceded per game is a concern — opposing attacks have exploited them regularly. Eintracht Braunschweig have played only a handful of 2. Bundesliga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
SV Darmstadt 98 — All Games: 5W 0D 5L from 10 2. Bundesliga fixtures this season — 1.50 PPG. Last five: W L W L W. Their attacking form is sharp — 2.00 goals per game is a high-output rate that commands respect in the goals markets. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. SV Darmstadt 98 have played only a handful of 2. Bundesliga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
On the road, SV Darmstadt 98 have gone 5W 1D 4L from 10 away fixtures this term (1.60 PPG). Away from home they average 1.20 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 4 clean sheets from 10 away games (40%) shows they are capable of shutting up shop on the road.
Despite the home advantage, the form figures favour SV Darmstadt 98 — 1.50 PPG ahead of the hosts (1.50 vs 0.00). That gap is large enough to take seriously. Draw No Bet on the visitors neutralises home-ground risk while maintaining the form-backed selection.
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Eintracht Braunschweig 1.11 xG and SV Darmstadt 98 1.41 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.719 / defence 1.168 | SV Darmstadt 98 attack 0.906 / defence 1.034. League average goals — home 1.495 / away 1.330. Eintracht Braunschweig's attack strength of 0.719 is below the league average — the 1.11 xG projection reflects a team that scores at a discount to the division norm. Data: 2 Eintracht Braunschweig games / 36 SV Darmstadt 98 games used (Blended). A blend of current and prior-season data is applied to stabilise estimates early in the campaign.
Result probabilities: Eintracht Braunschweig 29% | Draw 29% | SV Darmstadt 98 43%. Fair-value odds: Eintracht Braunschweig 3.45 | Draw 3.45 | SV Darmstadt 98 2.33. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 29% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 46% | BTTS probability 52% | Total xG 2.52. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 46%/54% — the total xG of 2.52 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 52% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Our Verdict
Poisson rates SV Darmstadt 98 as the most likely outcome at 43% — marginal model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 29% draw probability, Draw No Bet on SV Darmstadt 98 offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 29% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
Poisson projects 2.52 total expected goals, pointing to Under 2.5 at 46% probability — Poisson-only — limited corroboration conviction.
The Poisson model is drawing on Blended data (2 games minimum) — early-season projections carry additional uncertainty. Weight the live form and odds signals accordingly.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Eintracht Braunschweig vs SV Darmstadt 98 | Competition: 2. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 3 | Venue: Eintracht-Stadion • Kick-off: Sunday 7 Aug 2022, 12:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Eintracht Braunschweig 29% | Draw 29% | SV Darmstadt 98 43% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 46% | BTTS 52% | xG Eintracht Braunschweig 1.11 / SV Darmstadt 98 1.41 • Poisson strength factors: Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.719 / def 1.168 | SV Darmstadt 98 attack 0.906 / def 1.034 | league avg home 1.495 / away 1.330 • Poisson stance: SV Darmstadt 98 (43%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.11
Eintracht Braunschweig xG
Expected Goals
1.41
SV Darmstadt 98 xG
52%
BTTS
73%
Over 1.5
46%
Over 2.5
25%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Eintracht Braunschweig vs SV Darmstadt 98 kick off?
Eintracht Braunschweig vs SV Darmstadt 98 kicked off at 12:30 on Sunday 7 August 2022 at Eintracht-Stadion.
What was the final score in Eintracht Braunschweig vs SV Darmstadt 98?
Eintracht Braunschweig 0 - 1 SV Darmstadt 98.
Where is Eintracht Braunschweig vs SV Darmstadt 98 being played?
The match is being played at Eintracht-Stadion.
What competition is Eintracht Braunschweig vs SV Darmstadt 98 part of?
Eintracht Braunschweig vs SV Darmstadt 98 is a Regular Season - 3 fixture in the 2. Bundesliga (Germany).
Who is favourite to win Eintracht Braunschweig vs SV Darmstadt 98?
Our statistical model gives Eintracht Braunschweig a 29% chance of winning, SV Darmstadt 98 a 43% chance, and a 29% chance of a draw — making SV Darmstadt 98 the favourite.
Will both teams score in Eintracht Braunschweig vs SV Darmstadt 98?
Our model estimates a 52% probability that both Eintracht Braunschweig and SV Darmstadt 98 will score (BTTS).
Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs SV Darmstadt 98 have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 46%.
What is the head-to-head record between Eintracht Braunschweig and SV Darmstadt 98?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Eintracht Braunschweig and SV Darmstadt 98 in?
Eintracht Braunschweig (all comps): 0W-0D-2L in 2 | 0.00 PPG | GF 0.00 / GA 2.50 | L5 L-L. SV Darmstadt 98 (all comps): 5W-0D-5L in 10 | 1.50 PPG | GF 2.00 / GA 1.60 | L5 W-L-W-L-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
Eintracht Braunschweig's attacking strength (0.72x league average) is weighed against SV Darmstadt 98's defensive record (1.03x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.11. The same calculation in reverse, SV Darmstadt 98's attack versus Eintracht Braunschweig's defence, projects 1.41 expected goals for the visitors.
The sample (2/36 games) mixes this season and last, since the current campaign is still relatively young.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 14.2%. Close behind: 0-1 (9.7%), 0-0 (9.7%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 34% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
SV Darmstadt 98 Win
29%
3.49
29%
3.49
43%
2.34
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.6%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
11.3%
Away win
1 – 0
9.0%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.11
Eintracht Braunschweig xG
Total xG
2.52
1.41
SV Darmstadt 98 xG
3.49
29%
Home win
3.49
29%
Draw
2.34
43%
Away win
Goals Markets
72%
Over 1.5
1.39
28%
Under 1.5
3.57
46%
Over 2.5
2.17
54%
Under 2.5
1.85
25%
Over 3.5
4.00
75%
Under 3.5
1.33
11%
Over 4.5
9.09
89%
Under 4.5
1.12
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
52%
BTTS Yes
1.93
48%
BTTS No
2.07
Clean Sheet
24%
4.08
33%
3.04
Win to Nil
7%
14.25
14%
7.12
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.1 | 11.3 | 8.0 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 9.0 | 12.6 | 8.9 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 4.9 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Eintracht Braunschweig vs SV Darmstadt 98?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.2%.
How many goals are Eintracht Braunschweig and SV Darmstadt 98 expected to score?
The model projects 1.11 expected goals for Eintracht Braunschweig and 1.41 for SV Darmstadt 98, a combined total of 2.52.
How confident is the prediction model for Eintracht Braunschweig vs SV Darmstadt 98?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 43%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
Across their last 2 outings, Eintracht Braunschweig have picked up 0.00 PPG on a 0W 0D 2L record — L-L across the most recent five. It's still early in the season for Eintracht Braunschweig, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
SV Darmstadt 98's form line: 1W 0D 1L from 2 games, 1.50 PPG, last five L-W. It's still early in the season for SV Darmstadt 98, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Put side by side, SV Darmstadt 98 are the form team by 1.50 points per game — a gap wide enough to matter, though form alone rarely tells the whole story against Eintracht Braunschweig.
The Goals Picture
Eintracht Braunschweig are averaging 0.00 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per game recently; SV Darmstadt 98 are on 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Eintracht Braunschweig have seen both teams score in 0% of their recent games.
Last 2 Results — 2. Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Eintracht Braunschweig
Early Season
SV Darmstadt 98
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Eintracht Braunschweig and SV Darmstadt 98 in coming into this match?
Eintracht Braunschweig have gone 0W 0D 2L in their last 2 games (0.00 PPG), while SV Darmstadt 98 have gone 1W 0D 1L in their last 2 (1.50 PPG).
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between Eintracht Braunschweig and SV Darmstadt 98 runs to 6 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to August 2022. Every recorded meeting has come in 2. Bundesliga. They last met on 14 February 2026, roughly 6 months ago.
Digging Into the Numbers
Eintracht Braunschweig's record when hosting SV Darmstadt 98 specifically: 1W 1D 1L from 3 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 6 Meetings
1
Eintracht Braunschweig
2
Draws
3
SV Darmstadt 98
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Eintracht Braunschweig and SV Darmstadt 98?
From 6 meetings on record, Eintracht Braunschweig have won 1, SV Darmstadt 98 have won 3, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Eintracht Braunschweig and SV Darmstadt 98 last play each other?
They last met on 14 February 2026, when Eintracht Braunschweig 2-2 SV Darmstadt 98.
Who has won more matches between Eintracht Braunschweig and SV Darmstadt 98?
SV Darmstadt 98 have the better head-to-head record, with 3 wins from 6 meetings.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Eintracht Braunschweig home games / SV Darmstadt 98 away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Eintracht Braunschweig play SV Darmstadt 98?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 0% of Eintracht Braunschweig's recent matches and 50% of SV Darmstadt 98's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Eintracht Braunschweig vs SV Darmstadt 98 usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 50% of Eintracht Braunschweig's recent games and 50% of SV Darmstadt 98's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Eintracht Braunschweig and SV Darmstadt 98 tend to score early?
Eintracht Braunschweig have had a goal before half-time in 50% of their recent matches, SV Darmstadt 98 in 100% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Prediction vindicated as SV Darmstadt 98 edge out Eintracht Braunschweig 0-1.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
SV Darmstadt 98 beat Eintracht Braunschweig 0-1 at Eintracht-Stadion, Regular Season - 3, in the 2. Bundesliga. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Eintracht Braunschweig 1.11 xG and SV Darmstadt 98 1.41 xG, a combined 2.52. The scoreboard read 0-1 for 1 actual goal. Eintracht Braunschweig fell 1.1 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.72 / defence 1.17 against SV Darmstadt 98 attack 0.91 / defence 1.03, drawn from 2/36 games (Blended).
On the result, the model split it Eintracht Braunschweig 29% | Draw 29% | SV Darmstadt 98 43%, with SV Darmstadt 98 to win its most likely call at 43%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 46%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 73% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 52% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 50% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Eintracht Braunschweig 50%, SV Darmstadt 98 50%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 25%, which matched the one-sided outcome.
Form vs Result
On form, SV Darmstadt 98 arrived the stronger side — 1.50 PPG against 0.00. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Eintracht Braunschweig conceded 1 against a 2.50 average — tighter than their form line. SV Darmstadt 98 conceded 0 against a 1.50 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.