Eintracht Braunschweig 2-1 Karlsruher SC – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates Karlsruher SC at 43%, yet other data sources diverge — this Eintracht Braunschweig vs Karlsruher SC fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A 2. Bundesliga encounter, Regular Season - 9 sees Karlsruher SC travel to Eintracht-Stadion to take on Eintracht Braunschweig. The game is scheduled for Friday 16 September 2022, 17:30 UTC.
Form Guide
Eintracht Braunschweig — All Games: 1W 2D 5L from 8 2. Bundesliga outings this season, averaging 0.62 points per game. Last five: L D L W D. They are averaging 1.00 goals per game and conceding 2.25 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. However, 2.25 goals conceded per game is a concern — opposing attacks have exploited them regularly. This season is still relatively young for Eintracht Braunschweig, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Eintracht Braunschweig at Eintracht-Stadion this season: 1W 1D 2L from 4 home games — 1.00 PPG on home soil. At home they are averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game.
Across all 2. Bundesliga games this season, Karlsruher SC have recorded 3W 3D 4L from 10 outings — 1.20 PPG. Last five: W W W L D. They are scoring at 1.60 per game and conceding 1.60. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. This season is still relatively young for Karlsruher SC, so this record blends games from this season and last.
On the road, Karlsruher SC have gone 2W 2D 6L from 10 away fixtures this term (0.80 PPG). Away from home they average 1.30 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. Away from home, both teams have scored in only 30% of games — a low rate that backs BTTS No when they travel.
Despite the home advantage, the form figures favour Karlsruher SC — 0.58 PPG ahead of the hosts (1.20 vs 0.62). That gap is large enough to take seriously. Draw No Bet on the visitors neutralises home-ground risk while maintaining the form-backed selection.
In-Play Profile
Eintracht Braunschweig in-play tendencies (8 games, 4 at home): they score before half-time in 25% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 100% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 75% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 50% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 50% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 38%; they fail to score in 50% of games.
Karlsruher SC in-play tendencies (8 games, 4 at away): they score before half-time in 50% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 67% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 67% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 25% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 50% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 50%; they fail to score in 38% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Eintracht Braunschweig 50% versus Karlsruher SC 38%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Eintracht Braunschweig 62% | Karlsruher SC 50%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Eintracht Braunschweig 1.56 xG and Karlsruher SC 1.79 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.990 / defence 1.185 | Karlsruher SC attack 1.119 / defence 1.028. League average goals — home 1.534 / away 1.350. Data: 8 Eintracht Braunschweig games / 42 Karlsruher SC games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Eintracht Braunschweig 34% | Draw 23% | Karlsruher SC 43%. Fair-value odds: Eintracht Braunschweig 2.94 | Draw 4.35 | Karlsruher SC 2.33. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 23% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 65% | BTTS probability 66% | Total xG 3.35. Over 2.5 is the model's clear signal at 65% — a total xG of 3.35 means the expected score alone exceeds the 2.5 threshold, making the Over not just likely but structurally supported by both sides' attack/defence profiles. BTTS Yes at 66% reflects that both xG figures (1.56 / 1.79) are above the threshold where scoring blanks become the primary outcome — both sides are projected to find the net.
Analysis Verdict
On the Poisson output, Karlsruher SC are the pick at 43% — marginal model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 23% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Karlsruher SC offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 34% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
Poisson projects 3.35 total expected goals, pointing to Over 2.5 at 65% probability — reasonable conviction, supported by form averaging 3.2 goals per game.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is Yes at 66%. This conflicts with form data: Eintracht Braunschweig 50% | Karlsruher SC 30% from recent games — a notable divergence.
The outsider holds a 34% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Eintracht Braunschweig vs Karlsruher SC | Competition: 2. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 9 | Venue: Eintracht-Stadion • Kick-off: Friday 16 Sep 2022, 17:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Eintracht Braunschweig 34% | Draw 23% | Karlsruher SC 43% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 65% | BTTS 66% | xG Eintracht Braunschweig 1.56 / Karlsruher SC 1.79 • Poisson strength factors: Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.990 / def 1.185 | Karlsruher SC attack 1.119 / def 1.028 | league avg home 1.534 / away 1.350 • Poisson stance: Karlsruher SC (43%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.56
Eintracht Braunschweig xG
Expected Goals
1.79
Karlsruher SC xG
66%
BTTS
85%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
43%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Eintracht Braunschweig vs Karlsruher SC kick off?
Eintracht Braunschweig vs Karlsruher SC kicked off at 17:30 on Friday 16 September 2022 at Eintracht-Stadion.
What was the final score in Eintracht Braunschweig vs Karlsruher SC?
Eintracht Braunschweig 2 - 1 Karlsruher SC.
Where is Eintracht Braunschweig vs Karlsruher SC being played?
The match is being played at Eintracht-Stadion.
What competition is Eintracht Braunschweig vs Karlsruher SC part of?
Eintracht Braunschweig vs Karlsruher SC is a Regular Season - 9 fixture in the 2. Bundesliga (Germany).
Who is favourite to win Eintracht Braunschweig vs Karlsruher SC?
Our statistical model gives Eintracht Braunschweig a 34% chance of winning, Karlsruher SC a 43% chance, and a 23% chance of a draw — making Karlsruher SC the favourite.
Will both teams score in Eintracht Braunschweig vs Karlsruher SC?
Our model estimates a 66% probability that both Eintracht Braunschweig and Karlsruher SC will score (BTTS).
Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs Karlsruher SC have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 65%.
What is the head-to-head record between Eintracht Braunschweig and Karlsruher SC?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Eintracht Braunschweig and Karlsruher SC in?
Eintracht Braunschweig (all comps): 1W-2D-5L in 8 | 0.62 PPG | GF 1.00 / GA 2.25 | L5 L-D-L-W-D. Karlsruher SC (all comps): 3W-3D-4L in 10 | 1.20 PPG | GF 1.60 / GA 1.60 | L5 W-W-W-L-D.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
Working from Eintracht Braunschweig's attack rating (0.99) and Karlsruher SC's defence rating (1.03), the model arrives at 1.56 expected goals for the home side. The same calculation in reverse, Karlsruher SC's attack versus Eintracht Braunschweig's defence, projects 1.79 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 8/42 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 11.1%. Close behind: 1-2 (8.8%), 2-1 (7.6%). Together the top three scorelines make up 27% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Karlsruher SC Win
34%
2.98
23%
4.30
43%
2.32
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
9.8%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
8.8%
Away win
2 – 1
7.6%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.56
Eintracht Braunschweig xG
Total xG
3.35
1.79
Karlsruher SC xG
2.98
34%
Home win
4.30
23%
Draw
2.32
43%
Away win
Goals Markets
85%
Over 1.5
1.18
15%
Under 1.5
6.67
65%
Over 2.5
1.54
35%
Under 2.5
2.86
43%
Over 3.5
2.33
57%
Under 3.5
1.75
25%
Over 4.5
4.00
75%
Under 4.5
1.33
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
66%
BTTS Yes
1.51
34%
BTTS No
2.95
Clean Sheet
17%
5.98
21%
4.76
Win to Nil
6%
17.81
9%
11.04
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.5 | 6.3 | 5.6 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 1 | 5.5 | 9.8 | 8.8 | 5.2 | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| 2 | 4.3 | 7.6 | 6.8 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| 3 | 2.2 | 4.0 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Eintracht Braunschweig vs Karlsruher SC?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 11.1%.
How many goals are Eintracht Braunschweig and Karlsruher SC expected to score?
The model projects 1.56 expected goals for Eintracht Braunschweig and 1.79 for Karlsruher SC, a combined total of 3.35.
How confident is the prediction model for Eintracht Braunschweig vs Karlsruher SC?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 43%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
Eintracht Braunschweig's recent record stands at 1W 2D 5L from 8 games, a 0.62 PPG return, with L-D-L-W-D in the last five. The sample for Eintracht Braunschweig is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Karlsruher SC, meanwhile, have gone 3W 2D 3L across 8 games — 1.38 PPG, with W-W-W-L-D in their last five. The sample for Karlsruher SC is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
The points-per-game comparison favours Karlsruher SC by 0.76 — a real, if not enormous, edge over Eintracht Braunschweig heading into this one.
Home Ground vs the Road
At home specifically, Eintracht Braunschweig have managed 1W 1D 2L from 4 games — 1.00 PPG in front of their own supporters.
Karlsruher SC's away record stands at 1W 1D 2L across 4 trips, a 1.00 PPG haul.
The Goals Picture
Eintracht Braunschweig are averaging 1.00 goals scored and 2.25 conceded per game recently; Karlsruher SC are on 1.75 scored and 1.50 conceded.
Defensively: Karlsruher SC in 38% — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 8 Results — 2. Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Eintracht Braunschweig
Blended
Karlsruher SC
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Eintracht Braunschweig and Karlsruher SC in coming into this match?
Eintracht Braunschweig have gone 1W 2D 5L in their last 8 games (0.62 PPG), while Karlsruher SC have gone 3W 2D 3L in their last 8 (1.38 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Eintracht Braunschweig at home or Karlsruher SC away?
Eintracht Braunschweig's home record (1.00 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Eintracht Braunschweig at home: 1.00 PPG; Karlsruher SC away: 1.00 PPG.
Have Eintracht Braunschweig or Karlsruher SC been keeping clean sheets recently?
Eintracht Braunschweig have kept a clean sheet in 0% of their recent games, Karlsruher SC in 38%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between Eintracht Braunschweig and Karlsruher SC runs to 8 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to September 2022. Every recorded meeting has come in 2. Bundesliga. They last met on 31 January 2026, roughly 6 months ago.
Digging Into the Numbers
Eintracht Braunschweig's record when hosting Karlsruher SC specifically: 3W 0D 1L from 4 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 8 Meetings
4
Eintracht Braunschweig
1
Draws
3
Karlsruher SC
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Eintracht Braunschweig and Karlsruher SC?
From 8 meetings on record, Eintracht Braunschweig have won 4, Karlsruher SC have won 3, and 1 have been drawn.
When did Eintracht Braunschweig and Karlsruher SC last play each other?
They last met on 31 January 2026, when Eintracht Braunschweig 1-0 Karlsruher SC.
Who has won more matches between Eintracht Braunschweig and Karlsruher SC?
Eintracht Braunschweig have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from 8 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
Eintracht Braunschweig tend to start slowly — only 25% of their games have a goal by half-time.
Karlsruher SC see a goal before the break in 50% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 25% of the time.
The Numbers That Matter
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Eintracht Braunschweig 50%, Karlsruher SC 25% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 50% (Eintracht Braunschweig) and 50% (Karlsruher SC).
On the defensive side: Eintracht Braunschweig have failed to score in 50% of games; Karlsruher SC in 50%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Eintracht Braunschweig home games / Karlsruher SC away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Eintracht Braunschweig play Karlsruher SC?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 50% of Eintracht Braunschweig's recent matches and 25% of Karlsruher SC's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Eintracht Braunschweig vs Karlsruher SC usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 50% of Eintracht Braunschweig's recent games and 50% of Karlsruher SC's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Eintracht Braunschweig and Karlsruher SC tend to score early?
Eintracht Braunschweig have had a goal before half-time in 25% of their recent matches, Karlsruher SC in 50% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Shock result as Eintracht Braunschweig defy the odds to beat Karlsruher SC 2-1.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Eintracht Braunschweig beat Karlsruher SC 2-1 at Eintracht-Stadion, Regular Season - 9, in the 2. Bundesliga. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Eintracht Braunschweig 1.56 xG and Karlsruher SC 1.79 xG, a combined 3.35. The scoreboard read 2-1 for 3 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.99 / defence 1.19 against Karlsruher SC attack 1.12 / defence 1.03, drawn from 8/42 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Eintracht Braunschweig 34% | Draw 23% | Karlsruher SC 43%, with Karlsruher SC to win its most likely call at 43%. The actual Eintracht Braunschweig win had been the model's second-ranked read at 34%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 65%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 85% and landed. Over 3.5 was 43% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 66% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 56% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Eintracht Braunschweig 62%, Karlsruher SC 50%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 44%, which did not match the both-scored outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Eintracht Braunschweig's trading profile (8 games, 4 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 50% of their matches — today it did.
Karlsruher SC's trading profile (8 games, 4 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 38% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 38% of the time, and conceded here.
Form vs Result
On form, Karlsruher SC arrived the stronger side — 1.38 PPG against 0.62. Form was overturned, with Eintracht Braunschweig winning despite arriving in poorer recent shape.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (miss). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.