Sheffield Utd 0-0 Hull City – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Sheffield Utd at 51% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Sheffield Utd vs Hull City encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis
Hull City make the trip to Bramall Lane to face Sheffield Utd in Championship, Regular Season - 25. The match kicks off on Tuesday 15 February 2022 at 19:45 UTC.
Current Form
Sheffield Utd's overall Championship record this term: 7W 2D 1L from 10 games (2.30 PPG). Last five: W W W W D. Offensively they are averaging 1.60 goals per game, with 0.70 conceded. Defensively, conceding just 0.70 per game is an exceptional defensive record — one of the tightest in the division. 6 clean sheets from 10 games (60%) is a standout defensive return — they are keeping their net clean in more than half their matches. Both teams have scored in just 30% of their matches, indicating a tendency toward clean sheets or low-scoring outcomes.
Sheffield Utd's form when playing at home: 6W 2D 2L across 10 games at Bramall Lane this term (2.00 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.80 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 5 clean sheets from 10 home games (50%) — they are an exceptionally hard side to score against at Bramall Lane.
Hull City (all games): 3W 1D 6L across 10 Championship outings this term — 1.00 points per game. Last five: W W L L L. Their scoring rate of 0.90 per game is modest, conceding 1.20 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in just 30% of their games, reflecting a regular tendency to keep or record clean sheets.
Hull City away from home this season: 3W 1D 6L from 10 away games — 1.00 PPG on the road. Away from home they average 0.70 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. Away from home, both teams have scored in only 30% of games — a low rate that backs BTTS No when they travel.
The form ledger tips toward Sheffield Utd. A 1.30 PPG lead over Hull City (2.30 vs 1.00) is a consistent enough margin to carry weight. If the win odds appear compressed, Draw No Bet offers draw insurance at a lower cost than a full switch to Double Chance.
H2H Analysis
The head-to-head record is closely matched — Sheffield Utd lead 1W to 0W over the last 1 encounters, with 0 draws, though neither side has established a commanding advantage.
Attacking output has been a hallmark of this fixture. At 4.0 goals per game across 1 meetings, the Over 2.5 has a statistically grounded case from the head-to-head record alone. The most recent clash, on 18 Sep 2021, ended 3–1 with Sheffield Utd winning.
With the win record balanced, the strongest H2H-derived signal is in the goals market. At 4.0 goals per game historically, Over 2.5 is the cleaner angle to extract from the head-to-head data.
Trading Data
Sheffield Utd goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (29 games, 12 at home): they score before half-time in 50% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 75% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 56% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 42% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 42% of games (home games); they fail to score in 31% of games.
Hull City goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (29 games, 12 at away): they score before half-time in 75% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 78% of the time; BTTS occurs in 25% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 17% of games (away games); they fail to score in 48% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Sheffield Utd 45% versus Hull City 28%; no strong lean in either direction. Under 2.5 goals has backing from the in-play data — both teams register low Over 2.5 rates (Sheffield Utd 45% | Hull City 21%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Sheffield Utd 1.28 xG and Hull City 0.69 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Sheffield Utd attack 1.046 / defence 0.939 | Hull City attack 0.674 / defence 1.130. League average goals — home 1.087 / away 1.088. Data: 29 Sheffield Utd games / 31 Hull City games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Sheffield Utd 51% | Draw 29% | Hull City 20%. Fair-value odds: Sheffield Utd 1.96 | Draw 3.45 | Hull City 5.00. Sheffield Utd hold a narrow Poisson edge at 51% — the draw (29%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 32% | BTTS probability 36% | Total xG 1.97. Under 2.5 is the strongly backed market at 68% probability — total xG of 1.97 sits well below the 2.5 threshold. The model is projecting a tight, low-scoring match based on both sides' defensive quality. BTTS probability of 36% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Picks & Verdict
On the Poisson output, Sheffield Utd are the pick at 51% — moderate model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw probability of 29% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Sheffield Utd if the outright odds are short.
The Poisson model projects 1.97 xG in total — Under 2.5 at 32% — reasonable confidence, supported by form averaging 2.2 goals per game.
Poisson assigns a 36% probability to BTTS No based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate: Sheffield Utd 40% | Hull City 30% BTTS from recent games.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Sheffield Utd vs Hull City | Competition: Championship, Regular Season - 25 | Venue: Bramall Lane • Kick-off: Tuesday 15 Feb 2022, 19:45 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Sheffield Utd 51% | Draw 29% | Hull City 20% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 32% | BTTS 36% | xG Sheffield Utd 1.28 / Hull City 0.69 • Poisson strength factors: Sheffield Utd attack 1.046 / def 0.939 | Hull City attack 0.674 / def 1.130 | league avg home 1.087 / away 1.088 • Poisson stance: Sheffield Utd (51%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.28
Sheffield Utd xG
Expected Goals
0.69
Hull City xG
36%
BTTS
59%
Over 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
14%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Sheffield Utd vs Hull City kick off?
Sheffield Utd vs Hull City kicked off at 19:45 on Tuesday 15 February 2022 at Bramall Lane.
What was the final score in Sheffield Utd vs Hull City?
Sheffield Utd 0 - 0 Hull City.
Where is Sheffield Utd vs Hull City being played?
The match is being played at Bramall Lane.
What competition is Sheffield Utd vs Hull City part of?
Sheffield Utd vs Hull City is a Regular Season - 25 fixture in the Championship (England).
Who is favourite to win Sheffield Utd vs Hull City?
Our statistical model gives Sheffield Utd a 51% chance of winning, Hull City a 20% chance, and a 29% chance of a draw — making Sheffield Utd the favourite.
Will both teams score in Sheffield Utd vs Hull City?
Our model estimates a 36% probability that both Sheffield Utd and Hull City will score (BTTS).
Will Sheffield Utd vs Hull City have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 32%.
What is the head-to-head record between Sheffield Utd and Hull City?
Record (1 meetings): Sheffield Utd 1W | Draws 0 | Hull City 0W.
What form are Sheffield Utd and Hull City in?
Sheffield Utd (all comps): 7W-2D-1L in 10 | 2.30 PPG | GF 1.60 / GA 0.70 | L5 W-W-W-W-D. Hull City (all comps): 3W-1D-6L in 10 | 1.00 PPG | GF 0.90 / GA 1.20 | L5 W-W-L-L-L.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
The model rates Sheffield Utd's attack at 1.05x the league average against Hull City's defence at 1.13x — combine the two and it projects 1.28 expected goals for the hosts. Flip it around — Hull City's attack (0.67x) against Sheffield Utd's defence (0.94x) — and the away total comes out at 0.69.
These ratings are built from 29/31 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-0 carries the highest individual probability at 16.2% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 0-0 (15.5%), 1-1 (13.9%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 46% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Sheffield Utd Win
51%
1.97
29%
3.43
20%
5.01
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
17.8%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
13.9%
Draw
1 – 1
12.3%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.28
Sheffield Utd xG
Total xG
1.97
0.69
Hull City xG
1.97
51%
Home win
3.43
29%
Draw
5.01
20%
Away win
Goals Markets
59%
Over 1.5
1.69
41%
Under 1.5
2.44
32%
Over 2.5
3.12
68%
Under 2.5
1.47
14%
Over 3.5
7.14
86%
Under 3.5
1.16
5%
Over 4.5
20.00
95%
Under 4.5
1.05
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
36%
BTTS Yes
2.78
64%
BTTS No
1.56
Clean Sheet
50%
1.99
28%
3.61
Win to Nil
26%
3.92
6%
18.09
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.9 | 9.6 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 17.8 | 12.3 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 11.5 | 7.9 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 4.9 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | – | – |
| 4 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Sheffield Utd vs Hull City?
Our Poisson model rates 1-0 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 16.2%.
How many goals are Sheffield Utd and Hull City expected to score?
The model projects 1.28 expected goals for Sheffield Utd and 0.69 for Hull City, a combined total of 1.97.
How confident is the prediction model for Sheffield Utd vs Hull City?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 51%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
Sheffield Utd come into this having played 29 games, going 13W 7D 9L for 1.59 points per game. Their last five reads W-W-W-W-D.
On the other side, Hull City sit at 1.00 PPG from 29 outings (8W 5D 16L), a run that reads W-W-L-L-L across their last five.
Sheffield Utd carry the stronger recent form of the two, 0.59 PPG clear of Hull City — worth weighing alongside whatever the head-to-head and market data say.
Home & Away Splits
Sheffield Utd's home form reads 6W 2D 4L across 12 games on their own ground, a 1.67 PPG return.
Away from home, Hull City have taken 0.83 points per game from 12 outings (3W 1D 8L).
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Sheffield Utd come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Scoring & Defensive Trends
Sheffield Utd are averaging 1.34 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game recently; Hull City are on 0.76 scored and 1.10 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Hull City in 28%.
Defensively: Sheffield Utd have kept a clean sheet in 38% of their games — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 29 Results — Championship
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Sheffield Utd
Current Season
Hull City
Current Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Sheffield Utd and Hull City in coming into this match?
Sheffield Utd have gone 13W 7D 9L in their last 29 games (1.59 PPG), while Hull City have gone 8W 5D 16L in their last 29 (1.00 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Sheffield Utd at home or Hull City away?
Sheffield Utd's home record (1.67 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Sheffield Utd at home: 1.67 PPG; Hull City away: 0.83 PPG.
Have Sheffield Utd or Hull City been keeping clean sheets recently?
Sheffield Utd have kept a clean sheet in 38% of their recent games, Hull City in 31%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
On record, these two have faced off 8 times since September 2021 — enough meetings to establish some real patterns. Every recorded meeting has come in Championship. They last met on 11 April 2026, roughly 3 months ago.
Records & Recent Trends
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: Hull City won 0-3 on 24 Jan 2025, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Sheffield Utd have gone 2W 1D 1L from 4 meetings on their own ground against Hull City — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 8 Meetings
5
Sheffield Utd
1
Draws
2
Hull City
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Sheffield Utd and Hull City?
From 8 meetings on record, Sheffield Utd have won 5, Hull City have won 2, and 1 have been drawn.
When did Sheffield Utd and Hull City last play each other?
They last met on 11 April 2026, when Sheffield Utd 2-1 Hull City.
Who has won more matches between Sheffield Utd and Hull City?
Sheffield Utd have the better head-to-head record, with 5 wins from 8 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
Sheffield Utd see a goal before the break in 50% of their matches.
Hull City are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 75% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 25% of the time.
Goals & Clean Sheets
Neither side has been leaking BTTS chances often — 42% (Sheffield Utd) and 25% (Hull City) both sit on the low side, favouring BTTS No.
Low-scoring games have been more typical here — Over 2.5 sits at just 42% for Sheffield Utd and 17% for Hull City.
On the defensive side: Sheffield Utd keep a clean sheet in 42% of their matches; Hull City in 50%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Sheffield Utd home games / Hull City away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Sheffield Utd play Hull City?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 42% of Sheffield Utd's recent matches and 25% of Hull City's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Sheffield Utd vs Hull City usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 42% of Sheffield Utd's recent games and 17% of Hull City's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Sheffield Utd and Hull City tend to score early?
Sheffield Utd have had a goal before half-time in 50% of their recent matches, Hull City in 75% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Sheffield Utd's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Sheffield Utd and Hull City finished level at 0-0 at Bramall Lane, Regular Season - 25, in the Championship. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Sheffield Utd 1.28 xG and Hull City 0.69 xG, a combined 1.97. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Sheffield Utd fell 1.3 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Sheffield Utd attack 1.05 / defence 0.94 against Hull City attack 0.67 / defence 1.13, drawn from 29/31 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Sheffield Utd 51% | Draw 29% | Hull City 20%, with Sheffield Utd to win its most likely call at 51%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 29%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 32%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 59% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 36% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 33% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Sheffield Utd 45%, Hull City 21%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 36%, which matched the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Sheffield Utd's trading profile (29 games, 12 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 45% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 38% of the time, and duly kept one; they fail to score in 31% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Hull City's trading profile (29 games, 12 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 28% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 31% of the time, and duly kept one; they fail to score in 48% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
On form, Sheffield Utd arrived the stronger side — 1.59 PPG against 1.00. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Sheffield Utd (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.58 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 0.92 average — tighter than their form line. Hull City (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.25 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (miss). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.