České Budějovice 0-4 Slavia Praha – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model favours Slavia Praha (66%) — form and H2H data both point in the same direction as České Budějovice face Slavia Praha.
✍️ Match Preview
Pre-Match Analysis
České Budějovice and Slavia Praha meet at Fotbalový stadion Střelecký ostrov in Czech Liga, Regular Season - 16. This fixture gets under way on Sunday 24 November 2024 at 14:30 UTC.
Current Form
České Budějovice's overall Czech Liga record this term: 0W 2D 8L from 10 games (0.20 PPG). Last five: L L L D L. They are averaging 0.40 goals per game and conceding 2.30 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. However, 2.30 goals conceded per game is a concern — opposing attacks have exploited them regularly. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in just 30% of their matches, indicating a tendency toward clean sheets or low-scoring outcomes. This season is still relatively young for České Budějovice, so this record blends games from this season and last.
České Budějovice's home record at Fotbalový stadion Střelecký ostrov: 1W 3D 6L from 10 Czech Liga appearances (0.60 PPG). At home they are averaging 0.50 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. At home, both teams have scored in only 30% of games — reinforcing BTTS No as the home-venue-backed angle.
Slavia Praha have collected 2.80 PPG across 10 Czech Liga outings this season: 9W 1D 0L. Last five: W W W D W. Their attacking form is sharp — 2.60 goals per game is a high-output rate that commands respect in the goals markets. Defensively, 0.50 goals conceded per game is elite-level — a side this difficult to score against is a real threat to Over 2.5 and BTTS Yes. 5 clean sheets from 10 games (50%) is an exceptional defensive record — they are keeping clean sheets more often than not. This season is still relatively young for Slavia Praha, so this record blends games from this season and last.
When travelling in Czech Liga this season, Slavia Praha have posted 6W 3D 1L from 10 away outings — 2.10 PPG. Away from home they average 1.40 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 5 away clean sheets from 10 games (50%) — they are as difficult to score against on the road as they are at home. Their away PPG of 2.10 is notably below their overall 2.80 — form away from home has been a clear weakness this season.
Slavia Praha arrive in superior form — a 2.60 PPG advantage (2.80 vs 0.20) that offsets much of the home-ground benefit. The away side are the form pick, with draw protection the sensible way to manage the home-field uncertainty.
Head-to-Head
The head-to-head ledger leans to Slavia Praha, who have claimed 5 wins from 7 meetings compared to 1 for the hosts, with 1 draws.
These two sides have produced goals at a consistent rate historically, averaging 3.4 per game across 7 meetings. That scoring profile provides genuine support for the Over 2.5 angle. The most recent clash, on 27 Jul 2024, ended 0–4 with Slavia Praha winning.
The H2H provides genuine backing for the away side. Slavia Praha have won 5 of 7 previous encounters, and at 3.4 goals per game, the goals market also points upward. The away win and Over 2.5 combination has a historical case worth noting.
Trading & In-Play
České Budějovice — key trading statistics (49 games, 23 at home): they score before half-time in 74% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 73% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 54% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 44% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 52% of games (home games); they fail to score in 41% of games.
Slavia Praha — key trading statistics (49 games, 23 at away): they score before half-time in 65% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 76% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 59% of those occasions; they lead at the break 57% of the time; BTTS occurs in 48% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 44% of games (away games); they keep a clean sheet 53% of the time.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — České Budějovice 53% versus Slavia Praha 45%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (České Budějovice 61% | Slavia Praha 59%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects České Budějovice 0.52 xG and Slavia Praha 1.78 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: České Budějovice attack 0.526 / defence 1.195 | Slavia Praha attack 1.296 / defence 0.661. League average goals — home 1.498 / away 1.151. České Budějovice's attack strength of 0.526 is below the league average — the 0.52 xG projection reflects a team that scores at a discount to the division norm. Slavia Praha's defence strength of 0.661 is below average — they are conceding at a rate that inflates the home xG figure. Slavia Praha have an above-average attack strength of 1.296 — the away xG of 1.78 is driven by genuine attacking quality on the road. Data: 44 České Budějovice games / 44 Slavia Praha games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: České Budějovice 8% | Draw 26% | Slavia Praha 66%. Fair-value odds: České Budějovice 12.50 | Draw 3.85 | Slavia Praha 1.52. The model has a clear lean to Slavia Praha (66%) — a 58pp gap over the next-most-likely outcome reflects a meaningful statistical advantage.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 40% | BTTS probability 36% | Total xG 2.30. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 60% — total xG of 2.30 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 36% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Picks & Verdict
On the Poisson output, Slavia Praha are the pick at 66% — clear model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw No Bet is worth pricing alongside the outright: 26% draw probability makes the stalemate a live outcome even at this conviction level.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.30 combined xG gives a 40% probability to Under 2.5 — marginal — conflicting signals, supported by form averaging 2.0 goals per game — though H2H averaging only 3.4 goals per meeting points in the other direction.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is No at 36%. Form rates corroborate: České Budějovice 30% | Slavia Praha 40% BTTS from recent games.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: České Budějovice vs Slavia Praha | Competition: Czech Liga, Regular Season - 16 | Venue: Fotbalový stadion Střelecký ostrov • Kick-off: Sunday 24 Nov 2024, 14:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: České Budějovice 8% | Draw 26% | Slavia Praha 66% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 40% | BTTS 36% | xG České Budějovice 0.52 / Slavia Praha 1.78 • Poisson strength factors: České Budějovice attack 0.526 / def 1.195 | Slavia Praha attack 1.296 / def 0.661 | league avg home 1.498 / away 1.151 • Poisson stance: Slavia Praha (66%) — strong lean
🎲 Betting Market Intelligence
• Odds data is not currently available for this fixture
🧮 Prediction Model
0.52
České Budějovice xG
Expected Goals
1.78
Slavia Praha xG
36%
BTTS
69%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
20%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does České Budějovice vs Slavia Praha kick off?
České Budějovice vs Slavia Praha kicked off at 14:30 on Sunday 24 November 2024 at Fotbalový stadion Střelecký ostrov.
What was the final score in České Budějovice vs Slavia Praha?
České Budějovice 0 - 4 Slavia Praha.
Where is České Budějovice vs Slavia Praha being played?
The match is being played at Fotbalový stadion Střelecký ostrov.
What competition is České Budějovice vs Slavia Praha part of?
České Budějovice vs Slavia Praha is a Regular Season - 16 fixture in the Czech Liga (Czech-Republic).
Who is favourite to win České Budějovice vs Slavia Praha?
Our statistical model gives České Budějovice a 8% chance of winning, Slavia Praha a 66% chance, and a 26% chance of a draw — making Slavia Praha the favourite.
Will both teams score in České Budějovice vs Slavia Praha?
Our model estimates a 36% probability that both České Budějovice and Slavia Praha will score (BTTS).
Will České Budějovice vs Slavia Praha have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 40%.
What is the head-to-head record between České Budějovice and Slavia Praha?
Record (7 meetings): České Budějovice 1W | Draws 1 | Slavia Praha 5W.
What form are České Budějovice and Slavia Praha in?
České Budějovice (all comps): 0W-2D-8L in 10 | 0.20 PPG | GF 0.40 / GA 2.30 | L5 L-L-L-D-L. Slavia Praha (all comps): 9W-1D-0L in 10 | 2.80 PPG | GF 2.60 / GA 0.50 | L5 W-W-W-D-W.
What do the betting odds say about České Budějovice vs Slavia Praha?
Odds data is not currently available for this fixture.
🧮 Model Insight
Where the Numbers Come From
The model rates České Budějovice's attack at 0.53x the league average against Slavia Praha's defence at 0.66x — combine the two and it projects 0.52 expected goals for the hosts. Flip it around — Slavia Praha's attack (1.30x) against České Budějovice's defence (1.20x) — and the away total comes out at 1.78.
These ratings are built from 44/44 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 0-1 carries the highest individual probability at 16.6% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 0-2 (15.9%), 0-0 (11.2%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 44% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Slavia Praha Win
8%
12.50
26%
3.84
66%
1.52
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
17.8%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 2
15.9%
Away win
0 – 0
10.0%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.52
České Budějovice xG
Total xG
2.30
1.78
Slavia Praha xG
12.50
8%
Home win
3.84
26%
Draw
1.52
66%
Away win
Goals Markets
67%
Over 1.5
1.49
33%
Under 1.5
3.03
40%
Over 2.5
2.50
60%
Under 2.5
1.67
20%
Over 3.5
5.00
80%
Under 3.5
1.25
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
36%
BTTS Yes
2.78
64%
BTTS No
1.56
Clean Sheet
17%
5.95
59%
1.68
Win to Nil
1%
74.35
39%
2.55
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.0 | 17.8 | 15.9 | 9.4 | 4.2 | 1.5 |
| 1 | 5.2 | 9.3 | 8.3 | 4.9 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 2 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | – | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for České Budějovice vs Slavia Praha?
Our Poisson model rates 0-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 16.6%.
How many goals are České Budějovice and Slavia Praha expected to score?
The model projects 0.52 expected goals for České Budějovice and 1.78 for Slavia Praha, a combined total of 2.30.
How confident is the prediction model for České Budějovice vs Slavia Praha?
Reasonably confident — the model's leading outcome is rated at 66%, a clear lean rather than a toss-up.
📈 Form Insight
Recent Form Overview
Across their last 49 outings, České Budějovice have picked up 0.71 PPG on a 8W 11D 30L record — L-L-L-D-L across the most recent five. The sample for České Budějovice is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Slavia Praha's form line: 38W 9D 2L from 49 games, 2.51 PPG, last five W-W-W-D-W. The sample for Slavia Praha is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Put side by side, Slavia Praha are the form team by 1.80 points per game — a gap wide enough to matter, though form alone rarely tells the whole story against České Budějovice.
How They Fare by Venue
On home soil, České Budějovice have posted 1.13 PPG from 23 outings (7W 5D 11L). That's noticeably better than their 0.71 PPG overall — České Budějovice are a different proposition at home than their general record suggests.
On the road, Slavia Praha have gone 15W 7D 1L from 23 away games — 2.26 PPG when travelling.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Slavia Praha come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Attack vs Defence
České Budějovice are averaging 0.96 goals scored and 2.06 conceded per game recently; Slavia Praha are on 2.22 scored and 0.59 conceded.
Defensively: Slavia Praha in 53% — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 49 Results — Czech Liga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
České Budějovice
Blended
Slavia Praha
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are České Budějovice and Slavia Praha in coming into this match?
České Budějovice have gone 8W 11D 30L in their last 49 games (0.71 PPG), while Slavia Praha have gone 38W 9D 2L in their last 49 (2.51 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — České Budějovice at home or Slavia Praha away?
Slavia Praha's away record (2.26 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — České Budějovice at home: 1.13 PPG; Slavia Praha away: 2.26 PPG.
Have České Budějovice or Slavia Praha been keeping clean sheets recently?
České Budějovice have kept a clean sheet in 12% of their recent games, Slavia Praha in 53%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
The Rivalry So Far
These sides have met 8 times that we have on record, stretching back to October 2021 — a rivalry that has played out across roughly 3 years. Every recorded meeting has come in Czech Liga. It has been a while since the last meeting — 24 November 2024, some 3 years back — so squads and form on both sides may look very different now.
Notable Numbers
Slavia Praha have won the last 4 meetings between these two, a run that gives them the psychological edge coming in.
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: Slavia Praha won 6-1 on 11 Sep 2022, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, České Budějovice have gone 1W 1D 2L from 4 meetings on their own ground against Slavia Praha — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 8 Meetings
1
České Budějovice
1
Draws
6
Slavia Praha
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between České Budějovice and Slavia Praha?
From 8 meetings on record, České Budějovice have won 1, Slavia Praha have won 6, and 1 have been drawn.
When did České Budějovice and Slavia Praha last play each other?
They last met on 24 November 2024, when České Budějovice 0-4 Slavia Praha.
Who has won more matches between České Budějovice and Slavia Praha?
Slavia Praha have the better head-to-head record, with 6 wins from 8 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Early Goal Trends
České Budějovice are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 74% of their matches.
Slavia Praha are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 65% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 52% of the time.
Full-Time Markets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — České Budějovice 44%, Slavia Praha 48% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 52% (České Budějovice) and 44% (Slavia Praha).
On the defensive side: Slavia Praha in 48%; České Budějovice have failed to score in 48% of games.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = České Budějovice home games / Slavia Praha away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when České Budějovice play Slavia Praha?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 44% of České Budějovice's recent matches and 48% of Slavia Praha's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is České Budějovice vs Slavia Praha usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 52% of České Budějovice's recent games and 44% of Slavia Praha's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do České Budějovice and Slavia Praha tend to score early?
České Budějovice have had a goal before half-time in 74% of their recent matches, Slavia Praha in 65% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Dominant Slavia Praha run riot with a 0-4 hammering of České Budějovice.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Slavia Praha beat České Budějovice 0-4 at Fotbalový stadion Střelecký ostrov, Regular Season - 16, in the Czech Liga. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting České Budějovice 0.52 xG and Slavia Praha 1.78 xG, a combined 2.30. The scoreboard read 0-4 for 4 actual goals. Slavia Praha outscored their 1.78 projection by 2.2. Those figures were built on strength ratings of České Budějovice attack 0.53 / defence 1.20 against Slavia Praha attack 1.30 / defence 0.66, drawn from 44/44 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it České Budějovice 8% | Draw 26% | Slavia Praha 66%, with Slavia Praha to win its most likely call at 66%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 40%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 69% and landed. Over 3.5 was 20% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 36% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 60% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (České Budějovice 61%, Slavia Praha 59%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 49%, which matched the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
České Budějovice's trading profile (49 games, 23 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 53% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 41% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Slavia Praha's trading profile (49 games, 23 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 45% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 53% of the time, and duly kept one.
Form vs Result
On form, Slavia Praha arrived the stronger side — 2.51 PPG against 0.71. Form held, and they took the win. České Budějovice (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.00 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 4 against a 1.43 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Slavia Praha (home/away splits) scored 4 against a 1.65 average — above their attacking norm.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit), form (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.