WSG Wattens 0-5 Rapid Vienna – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model rates Rapid Vienna at 42%, yet other data sources diverge — this WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Match Analysis
WSG Wattens host Rapid Vienna at Tivoli Stadion Tirol in Bundesliga, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is scheduled for Saturday 1 October 2022 at 16:00 UTC.
Form Guide
WSG Wattens — All Games: 3W 2D 5L from 10 Bundesliga outings this season, averaging 1.10 points per game. Last five: W L L D W. They are averaging 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.60 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. This season is still relatively young for WSG Wattens, so this record blends games from this season and last.
At home at Tivoli Stadion Tirol, WSG Wattens have gone 5W 2D 3L this season (10 games, 1.70 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their home matches — a rate that supports the Yes angle in this fixture. Their home PPG of 1.70 is noticeably stronger than their overall 1.10 — WSG Wattens are significantly better at Tivoli Stadion Tirol than their overall form suggests.
Looking at all fixtures this season, Rapid Vienna stand at 5W 2D 3L from 10 Bundesliga matches — 1.70 PPG. Last five: L L W L D. Their scoring rate of 1.20 per game is modest, conceding 1.00 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 4 clean sheets in 10 outings (40%) underlines their defensive solidity. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. This season is still relatively young for Rapid Vienna, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Rapid Vienna away from home this season: 4W 2D 4L from 10 away games — 1.40 PPG on the road. Away from home they average 1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 80% of their away matches — a high BTTS rate on the road that directly informs this fixture.
Despite the home advantage, the form figures favour Rapid Vienna — 0.60 PPG ahead of the hosts (1.70 vs 1.10). That gap is large enough to take seriously. Draw No Bet on the visitors neutralises home-ground risk while maintaining the form-backed selection.
The BTTS market is worth targeting here. WSG Wattens register both teams scoring in 60% of relevant matches, Rapid Vienna in 80% (using home/away splits) — both sides above the 60% threshold gives BTTS Yes firm statistical grounding.
H2H Record
There is little to separate the sides historically. From 2 previous meetings, WSG Wattens have won 0, Rapid Vienna 2, with 0 draws — a balanced ledger that offers no obvious directional steer on its own.
The 2 previous meetings have averaged 2.5 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 29 May 2022, ended 0–2 with Rapid Vienna winning.
The head-to-head offers no strong directional steer in either the result or goals markets. Form, the predictive model and current market pricing should carry more weight than the historical record for this fixture.
In-Play Data
WSG Wattens trading profile (42 games, 21 at home): they score before half-time in 71% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 62% of the time; BTTS occurs in 62% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 62% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 40%.
Rapid Vienna trading profile (42 games, 21 at away): they score before half-time in 86% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 100% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 57% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 81% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 52% of games (away games).
From a combined perspective, both sides have high BTTS rates — WSG Wattens 57% and Rapid Vienna 69% — which reinforces the BTTS Yes angle from in-play data. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (WSG Wattens 67% | Rapid Vienna 55%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects WSG Wattens 0.94 xG and Rapid Vienna 1.32 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: WSG Wattens attack 0.849 / defence 0.997 | Rapid Vienna attack 0.863 / defence 0.786. League average goals — home 1.414 / away 1.529. Rapid Vienna's defence strength of 0.786 is below average — they are conceding at a rate that inflates the home xG figure. Data: 31 WSG Wattens games / 30 Rapid Vienna games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: WSG Wattens 24% | Draw 34% | Rapid Vienna 42%. Fair-value odds: WSG Wattens 4.17 | Draw 2.94 | Rapid Vienna 2.38. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 34% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 39% | BTTS probability 48% | Total xG 2.26. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 61% — total xG of 2.26 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 48% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Analysis Verdict
On the Poisson output, Rapid Vienna are the pick at 42% — marginal model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 34% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Rapid Vienna offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
Poisson projects 2.26 total expected goals, pointing to Under 2.5 at 39% probability — Poisson-only — limited corroboration conviction.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is No at 48%. This conflicts with form data: WSG Wattens 60% | Rapid Vienna 80% from recent games — a notable divergence.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna | Competition: Bundesliga, Regular Season - 10 | Venue: Tivoli Stadion Tirol • Kick-off: Saturday 1 Oct 2022, 16:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: WSG Wattens 24% | Draw 34% | Rapid Vienna 42% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 39% | BTTS 48% | xG WSG Wattens 0.94 / Rapid Vienna 1.32 • Poisson strength factors: WSG Wattens attack 0.849 / def 0.997 | Rapid Vienna attack 0.863 / def 0.786 | league avg home 1.414 / away 1.529 • Poisson stance: Rapid Vienna (42%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
0.94
WSG Wattens xG
Expected Goals
1.32
Rapid Vienna xG
48%
BTTS
69%
Over 1.5
39%
Over 2.5
19%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna kick off?
WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna kicked off at 16:00 on Saturday 1 October 2022 at Tivoli Stadion Tirol.
What was the final score in WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna?
WSG Wattens 0 - 5 Rapid Vienna.
Where is WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna being played?
The match is being played at Tivoli Stadion Tirol.
What competition is WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna part of?
WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna is a Regular Season - 10 fixture in the Bundesliga (Austria).
Who is favourite to win WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna?
Our statistical model gives WSG Wattens a 24% chance of winning, Rapid Vienna a 42% chance, and a 34% chance of a draw — making Rapid Vienna the favourite.
Will both teams score in WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna?
Our model estimates a 48% probability that both WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna will score (BTTS).
Will WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 39%.
What is the head-to-head record between WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna?
Record (2 meetings): WSG Wattens 0W | Draws 0 | Rapid Vienna 2W.
What form are WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna in?
WSG Wattens (all comps): 3W-2D-5L in 10 | 1.10 PPG | GF 1.30 / GA 1.60 | L5 W-L-L-D-W. Rapid Vienna (all comps): 5W-2D-3L in 10 | 1.70 PPG | GF 1.20 / GA 1.00 | L5 L-L-W-L-D.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
Working from WSG Wattens's attack rating (0.85) and Rapid Vienna's defence rating (0.79), the model arrives at 0.94 expected goals for the home side. The same calculation in reverse, Rapid Vienna's attack versus WSG Wattens's defence, projects 1.32 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 31/30 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 14.6%. Close behind: 0-0 (12.1%), 0-1 (12.1%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 39% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Rapid Vienna Win
24%
4.21
34%
2.94
42%
2.37
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
13.7%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
13.0%
Draw
0 – 0
10.4%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.94
WSG Wattens xG
Total xG
2.26
1.32
Rapid Vienna xG
4.21
24%
Home win
2.94
34%
Draw
2.37
42%
Away win
Goals Markets
66%
Over 1.5
1.52
34%
Under 1.5
2.94
39%
Over 2.5
2.56
61%
Under 2.5
1.64
19%
Over 3.5
5.26
81%
Under 3.5
1.23
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
48%
BTTS Yes
2.10
52%
BTTS No
1.91
Clean Sheet
27%
3.73
39%
2.57
Win to Nil
6%
15.69
16%
6.08
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.4 | 13.7 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 9.9 | 13.0 | 8.5 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 4.6 | 6.1 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.6%.
How many goals are WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna expected to score?
The model projects 0.94 expected goals for WSG Wattens and 1.32 for Rapid Vienna, a combined total of 2.26.
How confident is the prediction model for WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 42%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
Across their last 42 outings, WSG Wattens have picked up 1.24 PPG on a 14W 10D 18L record — W-L-L-D-W across the most recent five. The sample for WSG Wattens is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Rapid Vienna's form line: 15W 13D 14L from 42 games, 1.38 PPG, last five L-L-W-L-D. The sample for Rapid Vienna is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Form-wise this is close to level: WSG Wattens on 1.24 PPG, Rapid Vienna on 1.38. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Venue Form
On home soil, WSG Wattens have posted 1.38 PPG from 21 outings (7W 8D 6L).
On the road, Rapid Vienna have gone 6W 8D 7L from 21 away games — 1.24 PPG when travelling.
Goals in Recent Form
WSG Wattens are averaging 1.43 goals scored and 1.79 conceded per game recently; Rapid Vienna are on 1.43 scored and 1.31 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Rapid Vienna in 69%.
Last 42 Results — Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
WSG Wattens
Blended
Rapid Vienna
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna in coming into this match?
WSG Wattens have gone 14W 10D 18L in their last 42 games (1.24 PPG), while Rapid Vienna have gone 15W 13D 14L in their last 42 (1.38 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — WSG Wattens at home or Rapid Vienna away?
WSG Wattens's home record (1.38 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — WSG Wattens at home: 1.38 PPG; Rapid Vienna away: 1.24 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
10 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to May 2022. Every recorded meeting has come in Bundesliga. They last met on 9 November 2025, roughly 9 months ago.
Streaks & Records
The biggest gap between the sides came on 1 Oct 2022, when Rapid Vienna won 0-5 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
WSG Wattens's record when hosting Rapid Vienna specifically: 0W 2D 3L from 5 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
0
WSG Wattens
3
Draws
7
Rapid Vienna
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna?
From 10 meetings on record, WSG Wattens have won 0, Rapid Vienna have won 7, and 3 have been drawn.
When did WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna last play each other?
They last met on 9 November 2025, when WSG Wattens 1-1 Rapid Vienna.
Who has won more matches between WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna?
Rapid Vienna have the better head-to-head record, with 7 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
WSG Wattens are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 71% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 33% of the time.
Rapid Vienna are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 86% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 43% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 24% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one.
Full-Time Trends
Both teams scoring has been the norm for this pairing lately — WSG Wattens at 62%, Rapid Vienna at 81%. That combined rate makes BTTS Yes a well-supported trading angle.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 62% (WSG Wattens) and 52% (Rapid Vienna). Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 43% and 19% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: WSG Wattens have failed to score in 29% of games.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = WSG Wattens home games / Rapid Vienna away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when WSG Wattens play Rapid Vienna?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 62% of WSG Wattens's games and 81% of Rapid Vienna's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 62% of WSG Wattens's matches and 52% of Rapid Vienna's.
Do WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna tend to score early?
WSG Wattens have had a goal before half-time in 71% of their recent matches, Rapid Vienna in 86% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Dominant Rapid Vienna run riot with a 0-5 hammering of WSG Wattens.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Rapid Vienna beat WSG Wattens 0-5 at Tivoli Stadion Tirol, Regular Season - 10, in the Bundesliga. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting WSG Wattens 0.94 xG and Rapid Vienna 1.32 xG, a combined 2.26. The scoreboard read 0-5 for 5 actual goals. WSG Wattens fell 0.9 short of their projected output. Rapid Vienna outscored their 1.32 projection by 3.7. Those figures were built on strength ratings of WSG Wattens attack 0.85 / defence 1.00 against Rapid Vienna attack 0.86 / defence 0.79, drawn from 31/30 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it WSG Wattens 24% | Draw 34% | Rapid Vienna 42%, with Rapid Vienna to win its most likely call at 42%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 39%. The game delivered 5, so it went over — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 69% and landed. Over 3.5 was 19% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 48% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 61% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (WSG Wattens 67%, Rapid Vienna 55%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 63%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
WSG Wattens's trading profile (42 games, 21 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 57% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 29% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Rapid Vienna's trading profile (42 games, 21 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 69% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — WSG Wattens 1.24 PPG, Rapid Vienna 1.38 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Rapid Vienna win broke the near-deadlock. WSG Wattens (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.62 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 5 against a 1.38 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Rapid Vienna (home/away splits) scored 5 against a 1.29 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.38 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.