SCR Altach 0-0 WSG Wattens – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model rates SCR Altach at 43%, yet other data sources diverge — this SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Pre-Match Analysis
SCR Altach and WSG Wattens meet at Cashpoint-Arena in Bundesliga, Relegation Group - 28. This fixture gets under way on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 17:30 UTC.
Form & Momentum
SCR Altach have collected 1.60 PPG across 10 Bundesliga outings this season: 4W 4D 2L. Last five: W D L W D. They are averaging 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.10 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. This season is still relatively young for SCR Altach, so this record blends games from this season and last.
At home at Cashpoint-Arena, SCR Altach have gone 5W 4D 1L this season (10 games, 1.90 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 70% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture.
WSG Wattens (all games): 4W 2D 4L across 10 Bundesliga outings this term — 1.40 points per game. Last five: L L W L D. Their scoring rate of 1.40 per game is modest, conceding 1.90 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. This season is still relatively young for WSG Wattens, so this record blends games from this season and last.
When travelling in Bundesliga this season, WSG Wattens have posted 3W 2D 5L from 10 away outings — 1.10 PPG. Away from home they average 1.10 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game.
Neither side holds a meaningful form edge. The 1.60 vs 1.40 PPG split is negligible — model and market signals should carry more analytical weight for this one.
H2H Analysis
The head-to-head record is closely matched — SCR Altach lead 3W to 3W over the last 8 encounters, with 2 draws, though neither side has established a commanding advantage.
The 8 previous meetings have averaged 2.2 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 18 Apr 2026, ended 2–2 with a draw.
The head-to-head offers no strong directional steer in either the result or goals markets. Form, the predictive model and current market pricing should carry more weight than the historical record for this fixture.
Trading Data
SCR Altach goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (59 games, 29 at home): they score before half-time in 62% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 78% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 61% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 59% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 34% of games (home games); they fail to score in 37% of games.
WSG Wattens goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (59 games, 29 at away): they score before half-time in 72% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 56% of the time; BTTS occurs in 59% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 62% of games (away games); they fail to score in 32% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — SCR Altach 49% versus WSG Wattens 58%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (SCR Altach 41% | WSG Wattens 54%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects SCR Altach 1.38 xG and WSG Wattens 1.10 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: SCR Altach attack 1.009 / defence 0.904 | WSG Wattens attack 1.062 / defence 1.018. League average goals — home 1.346 / away 1.147. Data: 44 SCR Altach games / 44 WSG Wattens games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: SCR Altach 43% | Draw 28% | WSG Wattens 29%. Fair-value odds: SCR Altach 2.33 | Draw 3.57 | WSG Wattens 3.45. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 28% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 45% | BTTS probability 51% | Total xG 2.49. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 55% — total xG of 2.49 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 51% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is SCR Altach at 43% — marginal model lean. Draw probability of 28% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on SCR Altach if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 29% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.49 combined xG gives a 45% probability to Under 2.5 — Poisson-only — limited corroboration.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is Yes at 51%. Form rates corroborate: SCR Altach 70% | WSG Wattens 50% BTTS from recent games.
🔮 Your Prediction
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens | Competition: Bundesliga, Relegation Group - 28 | Venue: Cashpoint-Arena • Kick-off: Tuesday 21 Apr 2026, 17:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: SCR Altach 43% | Draw 28% | WSG Wattens 29% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 45% | BTTS 51% | xG SCR Altach 1.38 / WSG Wattens 1.10 • Poisson strength factors: SCR Altach attack 1.009 / def 0.904 | WSG Wattens attack 1.062 / def 1.018 | league avg home 1.346 / away 1.147 • Poisson stance: SCR Altach (43%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.38
SCR Altach xG
Expected Goals
1.10
WSG Wattens xG
51%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
24%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens kick off?
SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens kicked off at 17:30 on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at Cashpoint-Arena.
What was the final score in SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens?
SCR Altach 0 - 0 WSG Wattens.
Where is SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens being played?
The match is being played at Cashpoint-Arena.
What competition is SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens part of?
SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens is a Relegation Group - 28 fixture in the Bundesliga (Austria).
Who is favourite to win SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens?
Our statistical model gives SCR Altach a 43% chance of winning, WSG Wattens a 29% chance, and a 28% chance of a draw — making SCR Altach the favourite.
Will both teams score in SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens?
Our model estimates a 51% probability that both SCR Altach and WSG Wattens will score (BTTS).
Will SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 45%.
What is the head-to-head record between SCR Altach and WSG Wattens?
Record (8 meetings): SCR Altach 3W | Draws 2 | WSG Wattens 3W.
What form are SCR Altach and WSG Wattens in?
SCR Altach (all comps): 4W-4D-2L in 10 | 1.60 PPG | GF 1.30 / GA 1.10 | L5 W-D-L-W-D. WSG Wattens (all comps): 4W-2D-4L in 10 | 1.40 PPG | GF 1.40 / GA 1.90 | L5 L-L-W-L-D.
🧮 Model Insight
Where the Numbers Come From
SCR Altach's attacking strength (1.01x league average) is weighed against WSG Wattens's defensive record (1.02x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.38. Flip it around — WSG Wattens's attack (1.06x) against SCR Altach's defence (0.90x) — and the away total comes out at 1.10.
These ratings are built from 44/44 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 14.4%. Close behind: 0-0 (10.0%), 1-0 (9.9%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 34% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
SCR Altach Win
43%
2.35
28%
3.53
29%
3.43
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.7%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
11.5%
Home win
0 – 1
9.2%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.38
SCR Altach xG
Total xG
2.49
1.10
WSG Wattens xG
2.35
43%
Home win
3.53
28%
Draw
3.43
29%
Away win
Goals Markets
71%
Over 1.5
1.41
29%
Under 1.5
3.45
45%
Over 2.5
2.22
55%
Under 2.5
1.82
24%
Over 3.5
4.17
76%
Under 3.5
1.32
11%
Over 4.5
9.09
89%
Under 4.5
1.12
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
51%
BTTS Yes
1.97
49%
BTTS No
2.03
Clean Sheet
33%
3.01
25%
3.99
Win to Nil
14%
7.08
7%
13.67
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.3 | 9.2 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 11.5 | 12.7 | 7.0 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.0 | 8.8 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.7 | 4.0 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.4%.
How many goals are SCR Altach and WSG Wattens expected to score?
The model projects 1.38 expected goals for SCR Altach and 1.10 for WSG Wattens, a combined total of 2.49.
How confident is the prediction model for SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 43%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Recent Form Overview
SCR Altach's recent record stands at 14W 21D 24L from 59 games, a 1.07 PPG return, with W-D-L-W-D in the last five. The sample for SCR Altach is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
WSG Wattens, meanwhile, have gone 16W 17D 26L across 59 games — 1.10 PPG, with L-L-W-L-D in their last five. The sample for WSG Wattens is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 1.07 PPG for SCR Altach against 1.10 for WSG Wattens. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
How They Fare by Venue
At home specifically, SCR Altach have managed 9W 13D 7L from 29 games — 1.38 PPG in front of their own supporters.
WSG Wattens's away record stands at 7W 6D 16L across 29 trips, a 0.93 PPG haul.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, SCR Altach come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Attack vs Defence
SCR Altach are averaging 1.02 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game recently; WSG Wattens are on 1.24 scored and 1.61 conceded.
Last 59 Results — Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
SCR Altach
Blended
WSG Wattens
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are SCR Altach and WSG Wattens in coming into this match?
SCR Altach have gone 14W 21D 24L in their last 59 games (1.07 PPG), while WSG Wattens have gone 16W 17D 26L in their last 59 (1.10 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — SCR Altach at home or WSG Wattens away?
SCR Altach's home record (1.38 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — SCR Altach at home: 1.38 PPG; WSG Wattens away: 0.93 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
The Rivalry So Far
These sides have met 10 times that we have on record, stretching back to May 2024 — a rivalry that has played out across roughly 2 years. Every recorded meeting has come in Bundesliga. The two were last together as recently as 7 August 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Notable Numbers
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: SCR Altach won 3-0 on 26 Apr 2025, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, SCR Altach have gone 2W 2D 1L from 5 meetings on their own ground against WSG Wattens — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 10 Meetings
4
SCR Altach
3
Draws
3
WSG Wattens
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between SCR Altach and WSG Wattens?
From 10 meetings on record, SCR Altach have won 4, WSG Wattens have won 3, and 3 have been drawn.
When did SCR Altach and WSG Wattens last play each other?
They last met on 7 August 2026, when SCR Altach 3-1 WSG Wattens.
Who has won more matches between SCR Altach and WSG Wattens?
SCR Altach have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Early Goal Trends
SCR Altach are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 62% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 10% of those situations.
WSG Wattens are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 72% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 28% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 17% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one.
Full-Time Markets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — SCR Altach 59%, WSG Wattens 59% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 34% (SCR Altach) and 62% (WSG Wattens).
On the defensive side: WSG Wattens in 38%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = SCR Altach home games / WSG Wattens away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when SCR Altach play WSG Wattens?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 59% of SCR Altach's games and 59% of WSG Wattens's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 34% of SCR Altach's recent games and 62% of WSG Wattens's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do SCR Altach and WSG Wattens tend to score early?
SCR Altach have had a goal before half-time in 62% of their recent matches, WSG Wattens in 72% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at SCR Altach's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Cashpoint-Arena, Relegation Group - 28, as SCR Altach and WSG Wattens drew 0-0 in the Bundesliga. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting SCR Altach 1.38 xG and WSG Wattens 1.10 xG, a combined 2.49. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. SCR Altach fell 1.4 short of their projected output. WSG Wattens landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of SCR Altach attack 1.01 / defence 0.90 against WSG Wattens attack 1.06 / defence 1.02, drawn from 44/44 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it SCR Altach 43% | Draw 28% | WSG Wattens 29%, with SCR Altach to win its most likely call at 43%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 28%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 45%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 72% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 51% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 47% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (SCR Altach 41%, WSG Wattens 54%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 53%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
SCR Altach's trading profile (59 games, 29 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 49% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 37% of games, a blank that repeated today.
WSG Wattens's trading profile (59 games, 29 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 32% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — SCR Altach 1.07 PPG, WSG Wattens 1.10 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. SCR Altach (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.17 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.00 average — tighter than their form line. WSG Wattens (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.17 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.76 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.