Rapid Vienna 1-0 SCR Altach – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Rapid Vienna at 47% — the H2H record provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A Bundesliga encounter, Regular Season - 1 sees SCR Altach travel to Allianz Stadion to take on Rapid Vienna. The game is scheduled for Sunday 2 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Form Analysis
Looking at all fixtures this season, Rapid Vienna stand at 2W 2D 6L from 10 Bundesliga matches — 0.80 PPG. Last five: L L L L W. They are averaging 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.60 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Rapid Vienna haven't played a Bundesliga game yet this season, so this record is entirely from last season.
At home at Allianz Stadion, Rapid Vienna have gone 5W 1D 4L this season (10 games, 1.60 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 4 home clean sheets from 10 games (40%) — a solid defensive base on their own ground. At home, both teams have scored in only 30% of games — reinforcing BTTS No as the home-venue-backed angle. Their home PPG of 1.60 is noticeably stronger than their overall 0.80 — Rapid Vienna are significantly better at Allianz Stadion than their overall form suggests.
SCR Altach — All Games: 3W 4D 3L from 10 Bundesliga fixtures this season — 1.30 PPG. Last five: D L L D W. Their scoring rate of 1.40 per game is modest, conceding 1.60 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. SCR Altach haven't played a Bundesliga game yet this season, so this record is entirely from last season.
SCR Altach's away record: 1W 4D 5L from 10 road trips in Bundesliga this season (0.70 PPG). Away from home they average 1.00 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. Their away PPG of 0.70 is notably below their overall 1.30 — form away from home has been a clear weakness this season.
The form data does not support a straightforward home bias here. SCR Altach are 0.50 PPG ahead (1.30 vs 0.80), making them the form-guided selection despite the trip.
H2H Record
The fixture history tells a clear story: Rapid Vienna have dominated this rivalry, winning 7 of 9 past contests while SCR Altach have managed just 0 wins.
The 9 previous meetings have averaged 2.1 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 1 Mar 2026, ended 1–1 with a draw.
The historical record gives Rapid Vienna a meaningful edge here — 7 wins from 9 meetings is the kind of ledger that should not be discounted when the form picture is inconclusive. Even away from home, the visitors have struggled to impose themselves in this fixture.
In-Play Profile
Rapid Vienna in-play tendencies (32 games, 16 at home): they score before half-time in 75% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 88% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 50% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 44% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 44% of games (home games).
SCR Altach in-play tendencies (32 games, 16 at away): they score before half-time in 62% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 75% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 50% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 38% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 50% of games (away games); they fail to score in 31% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Rapid Vienna 53% versus SCR Altach 47%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Rapid Vienna 41% | SCR Altach 41%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Rapid Vienna 1.40 xG and SCR Altach 0.89 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Rapid Vienna attack 0.986 / defence 0.991 | SCR Altach attack 0.964 / defence 0.989. League average goals — home 1.435 / away 0.927. Data: 22 Rapid Vienna games / 22 SCR Altach games used (PrevSeason). Note: current-season sample is too small — prior-season data is carrying the calculation. Model confidence is reduced; treat probabilities as directional rather than precise.
Result probabilities: Rapid Vienna 47% | Draw 30% | SCR Altach 22%. Fair-value odds: Rapid Vienna 2.13 | Draw 3.33 | SCR Altach 4.55. Rapid Vienna hold a narrow Poisson edge at 47% — the draw (30%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 40% | BTTS probability 46% | Total xG 2.28. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 60% — total xG of 2.28 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 46% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Our Verdict
Rapid Vienna dominate the H2H record, yet SCR Altach are the in-form side right now — historical edge versus current momentum creates a genuine dilemma.
Poisson rates Rapid Vienna as the most likely outcome at 47% — moderate model lean. Note a divergence: in-form SCR Altach (1.30 PPG) cuts against the Poisson lean — consider the strength-adjusted model over surface-level form results. With a 30% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Rapid Vienna offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.28 combined xG gives a 40% probability to Under 2.5 — Poisson-only — limited corroboration.
Poisson assigns a 46% probability to BTTS No based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate: Rapid Vienna 30% | SCR Altach 40% BTTS from recent games.
The Poisson model is drawing on PrevSeason data (22 games minimum) — early-season projections carry additional uncertainty. Weight the live form and odds signals accordingly.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach | Competition: Bundesliga, Regular Season - 1 | Venue: Allianz Stadion • Kick-off: Sunday 2 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Rapid Vienna 47% | Draw 30% | SCR Altach 22% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 40% | BTTS 46% | xG Rapid Vienna 1.40 / SCR Altach 0.89 • Poisson strength factors: Rapid Vienna attack 0.986 / def 0.991 | SCR Altach attack 0.964 / def 0.989 | league avg home 1.435 / away 0.927 • Poisson stance: Rapid Vienna (47%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.40
Rapid Vienna xG
Expected Goals
0.89
SCR Altach xG
46%
BTTS
68%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
20%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach kick off?
Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach kicked off at 17:00 on Sunday 2 August 2026 at Allianz Stadion.
What was the final score in Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach?
Rapid Vienna 1 - 0 SCR Altach.
Where is Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach being played?
The match is being played at Allianz Stadion.
What competition is Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach part of?
Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach is a Regular Season - 1 fixture in the Bundesliga (Austria).
Who is favourite to win Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach?
Our statistical model gives Rapid Vienna a 47% chance of winning, SCR Altach a 22% chance, and a 30% chance of a draw — making Rapid Vienna the favourite.
Will both teams score in Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach?
Our model estimates a 46% probability that both Rapid Vienna and SCR Altach will score (BTTS).
Will Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 40%.
What is the head-to-head record between Rapid Vienna and SCR Altach?
Record (9 meetings): Rapid Vienna 7W | Draws 2 | SCR Altach 0W.
What form are Rapid Vienna and SCR Altach in?
No current-season fixtures available — form shown from previous season data. Rapid Vienna (all comps): 2W-2D-6L in 10 | 0.80 PPG | GF 0.90 / GA 1.60 | L5 L-L-L-L-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
Rapid Vienna's attacking strength (0.99x league average) is weighed against SCR Altach's defensive record (0.99x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.40. The same calculation in reverse, SCR Altach's attack versus Rapid Vienna's defence, projects 0.89 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 22/22 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 14.3%. Close behind: 1-0 (12.6%), 0-0 (11.8%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 39% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Rapid Vienna Win
47%
2.11
30%
3.29
22%
4.50
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
14.3%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.6%
Draw
0 – 0
10.2%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.40
Rapid Vienna xG
Total xG
2.28
0.89
SCR Altach xG
2.11
47%
Home win
3.29
30%
Draw
4.50
22%
Away win
Goals Markets
67%
Over 1.5
1.49
33%
Under 1.5
3.03
40%
Over 2.5
2.50
60%
Under 2.5
1.67
20%
Over 3.5
5.00
80%
Under 3.5
1.25
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
46%
BTTS Yes
2.18
54%
BTTS No
1.85
Clean Sheet
41%
2.42
25%
4.05
Win to Nil
20%
5.12
5%
18.24
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.2 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 0.3 | – |
| 1 | 14.3 | 12.6 | 5.6 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.0 | 8.8 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 0.3 | – |
| 3 | 4.6 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.3%.
How many goals are Rapid Vienna and SCR Altach expected to score?
The model projects 1.40 expected goals for Rapid Vienna and 0.89 for SCR Altach, a combined total of 2.28.
How confident is the prediction model for Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 47%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
Rapid Vienna come into this having played 32 games, going 11W 8D 13L for 1.28 points per game. Their last five reads L-L-L-L-W. Rapid Vienna haven't played enough this season for a current-season-only sample, so this includes results carried over from last season.
On the other side, SCR Altach sit at 1.31 PPG from 32 outings (10W 12D 10L), a run that reads D-L-L-D-W across their last five. SCR Altach haven't played enough this season for a current-season-only sample, so this includes results carried over from last season.
Form-wise this is close to level: Rapid Vienna on 1.28 PPG, SCR Altach on 1.31. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Home Ground vs the Road
Rapid Vienna's home form reads 7W 2D 7L across 16 games on their own ground, a 1.44 PPG return.
Away from home, SCR Altach have taken 0.75 points per game from 16 outings (2W 6D 8L). That's a step down from their 1.31 PPG overall record — away form has been the weaker part of SCR Altach's season.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Rapid Vienna come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
The Goals Picture
Rapid Vienna are averaging 1.16 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game recently; SCR Altach are on 1.12 scored and 1.22 conceded.
Last 32 Results — Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Rapid Vienna
Pre-Season
SCR Altach
Pre-Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Rapid Vienna and SCR Altach in coming into this match?
Rapid Vienna have gone 11W 8D 13L in their last 32 games (1.28 PPG), while SCR Altach have gone 10W 12D 10L in their last 32 (1.31 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Rapid Vienna at home or SCR Altach away?
Rapid Vienna's home record (1.44 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Rapid Vienna at home: 1.44 PPG; SCR Altach away: 0.75 PPG.
Have Rapid Vienna or SCR Altach been keeping clean sheets recently?
Rapid Vienna have kept a clean sheet in 25% of their recent games, SCR Altach in 31%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between Rapid Vienna and SCR Altach runs to 10 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to November 2021. Every recorded meeting has come in Bundesliga. The two were last together as recently as 2 August 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Digging Into the Numbers
The biggest gap between the sides came on 1 Mar 2025, when Rapid Vienna won 5-0 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
Rapid Vienna's record when hosting SCR Altach specifically: 5W 1D 0L from 6 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
8
Rapid Vienna
2
Draws
0
SCR Altach
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Rapid Vienna and SCR Altach?
From 10 meetings on record, Rapid Vienna have won 8, SCR Altach have won 0, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Rapid Vienna and SCR Altach last play each other?
They last met on 2 August 2026, when Rapid Vienna 1-0 SCR Altach.
Who has won more matches between Rapid Vienna and SCR Altach?
Rapid Vienna have the better head-to-head record, with 8 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
Rapid Vienna are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 75% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 25% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 12% of those situations.
SCR Altach are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 62% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 25% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 19% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one.
The Numbers That Matter
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Rapid Vienna 44%, SCR Altach 38% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 44% (Rapid Vienna) and 50% (SCR Altach).
On the defensive side: Rapid Vienna keep a clean sheet in 31% of their matches; Rapid Vienna have failed to score in 31% of games; SCR Altach in 50%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Rapid Vienna home games / SCR Altach away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Rapid Vienna play SCR Altach?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 44% of Rapid Vienna's recent matches and 38% of SCR Altach's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 44% of Rapid Vienna's recent games and 50% of SCR Altach's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Rapid Vienna and SCR Altach tend to score early?
Rapid Vienna have had a goal before half-time in 75% of their recent matches, SCR Altach in 62% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Prediction vindicated as Rapid Vienna edge out SCR Altach 1-0.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Rapid Vienna beat SCR Altach 1-0 at Allianz Stadion, Regular Season - 1, in the Bundesliga. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Rapid Vienna 1.40 xG and SCR Altach 0.89 xG, a combined 2.28. The scoreboard read 1-0 for 1 actual goal. SCR Altach landed 0.9 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Rapid Vienna attack 0.99 / defence 0.99 against SCR Altach attack 0.96 / defence 0.99, drawn from 22/22 games (PrevSeason).
On the result, the model split it Rapid Vienna 47% | Draw 30% | SCR Altach 22%, with Rapid Vienna to win its most likely call at 47%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 40%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 68% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 46% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 41% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Rapid Vienna 41%, SCR Altach 41%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 50%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Rapid Vienna's trading profile (32 games, 16 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 53% of their matches — today it did not.
SCR Altach's trading profile (32 games, 16 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 47% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 31% of the time, and conceded here; they fail to score in 31% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Rapid Vienna 1.28 PPG, SCR Altach 1.31 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Rapid Vienna win broke the near-deadlock. Rapid Vienna (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.25 average — tighter than their form line. SCR Altach (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.94 scoring average — below par going forward.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A strong night for the model: the result sat comfortably inside what the pre-match data projected.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.