Helsingborg 0-0 Landskrona BoIS – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model rates Helsingborg at 42%, yet other data sources diverge — this Helsingborg vs Landskrona BoIS fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A Superettan encounter, Regular Season - 22 sees Landskrona BoIS travel to Olympia to take on Helsingborg. The game is scheduled for Tuesday 16 September 2025, 18:00 UTC.
Recent Form
Across all Superettan games this season, Helsingborg have gone 4W 3D 3L from 10 outings — a 1.50 PPG return. Last five: D W D L L. Offensively they are averaging 1.70 goals per game, with 1.40 conceded. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. This season is still relatively young for Helsingborg, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Helsingborg's form when playing at home: 4W 2D 4L across 10 games at Olympia this term (1.40 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 5 clean sheets from 10 home games (50%) — they are an exceptionally hard side to score against at Olympia.
Looking at all fixtures this season, Landskrona BoIS stand at 4W 1D 5L from 10 Superettan matches — 1.30 PPG. Last five: L W W L W. Their scoring rate of 1.10 per game is modest, conceding 1.10 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. This season is still relatively young for Landskrona BoIS, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Landskrona BoIS's form when playing away from home: 4W 2D 4L across 10 road games this term (1.40 PPG). Away from home they average 1.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context.
The form comparison is too close to call — 1.50 PPG (Helsingborg) versus 1.30 (Landskrona BoIS). When the figures are this level, no pick can be reliably derived from recent results alone.
Head to Head
The rivalry is an even one: 3 wins apiece for Helsingborg, 3 for Landskrona BoIS and 1 shared spoils from 7 past contests. Neither side holds a meaningful historical edge.
The 7 previous meetings have averaged 2.6 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 19 May 2025, ended 3–3 with a draw.
The head-to-head offers no strong directional steer in either the result or goals markets. Form, the predictive model and current market pricing should carry more weight than the historical record for this fixture.
In-Play Profile
Helsingborg in-play tendencies (51 games, 25 at home): they score before half-time in 68% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 60% of the time; BTTS occurs in 44% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 44% of games (home games); they fail to score in 33% of games.
Landskrona BoIS in-play tendencies (51 games, 25 at away): they score before half-time in 68% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 79% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 50% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 60% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 56% of games (away games).
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Helsingborg 41% versus Landskrona BoIS 57%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Helsingborg 53% | Landskrona BoIS 55%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Helsingborg 1.34 xG and Landskrona BoIS 1.08 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Helsingborg attack 0.961 / defence 0.918 | Landskrona BoIS attack 0.963 / defence 0.947. League average goals — home 1.468 / away 1.220. Data: 51 Helsingborg games / 51 Landskrona BoIS games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Helsingborg 42% | Draw 29% | Landskrona BoIS 29%. Fair-value odds: Helsingborg 2.38 | Draw 3.45 | Landskrona BoIS 3.45. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 29% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 43% | BTTS probability 49% | Total xG 2.41. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 57% — total xG of 2.41 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 49% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Our Verdict
Poisson rates Helsingborg as the most likely outcome at 42% — marginal model lean. With a 29% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Helsingborg offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 29% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.41 combined xG gives a 43% probability to Under 2.5 — Poisson-only — limited corroboration.
Poisson assigns a 49% probability to BTTS No based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates are neutral: Helsingborg 40% | Landskrona BoIS 60%.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Helsingborg vs Landskrona BoIS | Competition: Superettan, Regular Season - 22 | Venue: Olympia • Kick-off: Tuesday 16 Sep 2025, 18:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Helsingborg 42% | Draw 29% | Landskrona BoIS 29% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 43% | BTTS 49% | xG Helsingborg 1.34 / Landskrona BoIS 1.08 • Poisson strength factors: Helsingborg attack 0.961 / def 0.918 | Landskrona BoIS attack 0.963 / def 0.947 | league avg home 1.468 / away 1.220 • Poisson stance: Helsingborg (42%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.34
Helsingborg xG
Expected Goals
1.08
Landskrona BoIS xG
49%
BTTS
70%
Over 1.5
43%
Over 2.5
22%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Helsingborg vs Landskrona BoIS kick off?
Helsingborg vs Landskrona BoIS kicked off at 18:00 on Tuesday 16 September 2025 at Olympia.
What was the final score in Helsingborg vs Landskrona BoIS?
Helsingborg 0 - 0 Landskrona BoIS.
Where is Helsingborg vs Landskrona BoIS being played?
The match is being played at Olympia.
What competition is Helsingborg vs Landskrona BoIS part of?
Helsingborg vs Landskrona BoIS is a Regular Season - 22 fixture in the Superettan (Sweden).
Who is favourite to win Helsingborg vs Landskrona BoIS?
Our statistical model gives Helsingborg a 42% chance of winning, Landskrona BoIS a 29% chance, and a 29% chance of a draw — making Helsingborg the favourite.
Will both teams score in Helsingborg vs Landskrona BoIS?
Our model estimates a 49% probability that both Helsingborg and Landskrona BoIS will score (BTTS).
Will Helsingborg vs Landskrona BoIS have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 43%.
What is the head-to-head record between Helsingborg and Landskrona BoIS?
Record (7 meetings): Helsingborg 3W | Draws 1 | Landskrona BoIS 3W.
What form are Helsingborg and Landskrona BoIS in?
Helsingborg (all comps): 4W-3D-3L in 10 | 1.50 PPG | GF 1.70 / GA 1.40 | L5 D-W-D-L-L. Landskrona BoIS (all comps): 4W-1D-5L in 10 | 1.30 PPG | GF 1.10 / GA 1.10 | L5 L-W-W-L-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
Helsingborg's attacking strength (0.96x league average) is weighed against Landskrona BoIS's defensive record (0.95x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.34. The same calculation in reverse, Landskrona BoIS's attack versus Helsingborg's defence, projects 1.08 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 51/51 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 14.6%. Close behind: 0-0 (10.6%), 1-0 (10.3%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 35% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Helsingborg Win
42%
2.39
29%
3.47
29%
3.40
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.9%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
12.0%
Home win
0 – 1
9.6%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.34
Helsingborg xG
Total xG
2.41
1.08
Landskrona BoIS xG
2.39
42%
Home win
3.47
29%
Draw
3.40
29%
Away win
Goals Markets
69%
Over 1.5
1.45
31%
Under 1.5
3.23
43%
Over 2.5
2.33
57%
Under 2.5
1.75
22%
Over 3.5
4.55
78%
Under 3.5
1.28
10%
Over 4.5
10.00
90%
Under 4.5
1.11
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
49%
BTTS Yes
2.02
51%
BTTS No
1.98
Clean Sheet
34%
2.94
26%
3.80
Win to Nil
14%
7.03
8%
12.95
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.9 | 9.6 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 12.0 | 12.9 | 6.9 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.0 | 8.6 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.6 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Helsingborg vs Landskrona BoIS?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.6%.
How many goals are Helsingborg and Landskrona BoIS expected to score?
The model projects 1.34 expected goals for Helsingborg and 1.08 for Landskrona BoIS, a combined total of 2.41.
How confident is the prediction model for Helsingborg vs Landskrona BoIS?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 42%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
Across their last 51 outings, Helsingborg have picked up 1.45 PPG on a 20W 14D 17L record — D-W-D-L-L across the most recent five. The sample for Helsingborg is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Landskrona BoIS's form line: 22W 12D 17L from 51 games, 1.53 PPG, last five L-W-W-L-W. The sample for Landskrona BoIS is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Form-wise this is close to level: Helsingborg on 1.45 PPG, Landskrona BoIS on 1.53. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Home Ground vs the Road
On home soil, Helsingborg have posted 1.40 PPG from 25 outings (9W 8D 8L).
On the road, Landskrona BoIS have gone 10W 4D 11L from 25 away games — 1.36 PPG when travelling.
The Goals Picture
Helsingborg are averaging 1.33 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per game recently; Landskrona BoIS are on 1.47 scored and 1.31 conceded.
Defensively: Helsingborg have kept a clean sheet in 37% of their games — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 51 Results — Superettan
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Helsingborg
Blended
Landskrona BoIS
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Helsingborg and Landskrona BoIS in coming into this match?
Helsingborg have gone 20W 14D 17L in their last 51 games (1.45 PPG), while Landskrona BoIS have gone 22W 12D 17L in their last 51 (1.53 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Helsingborg at home or Landskrona BoIS away?
Helsingborg's home record (1.40 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Helsingborg at home: 1.40 PPG; Landskrona BoIS away: 1.36 PPG.
Have Helsingborg or Landskrona BoIS been keeping clean sheets recently?
Helsingborg have kept a clean sheet in 37% of their recent games, Landskrona BoIS in 25%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between Helsingborg and Landskrona BoIS runs to 10 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to August 2021. Every recorded meeting has come in Superettan. The two were last together as recently as 9 September 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Digging Into the Numbers
The biggest gap between the sides came on 11 Jun 2026, when Landskrona BoIS won 0-3 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
Helsingborg's record when hosting Landskrona BoIS specifically: 1W 1D 3L from 5 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
4
Helsingborg
2
Draws
4
Landskrona BoIS
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Helsingborg and Landskrona BoIS?
From 10 meetings on record, Helsingborg have won 4, Landskrona BoIS have won 4, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Helsingborg and Landskrona BoIS last play each other?
They last met on 9 September 2026, when Landskrona BoIS 1-2 Helsingborg.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
Helsingborg are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 68% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 40% of the time.
Landskrona BoIS are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 68% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 36% of the time.
The Numbers That Matter
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Helsingborg 44%, Landskrona BoIS 60% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 44% (Helsingborg) and 56% (Landskrona BoIS).
On the defensive side: Helsingborg keep a clean sheet in 40% of their matches; Helsingborg have failed to score in 32% of games.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Helsingborg home games / Landskrona BoIS away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Helsingborg play Landskrona BoIS?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 44% of Helsingborg's recent matches and 60% of Landskrona BoIS's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Helsingborg vs Landskrona BoIS usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 44% of Helsingborg's recent games and 56% of Landskrona BoIS's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Helsingborg and Landskrona BoIS tend to score early?
Helsingborg have had a goal before half-time in 68% of their recent matches, Landskrona BoIS in 68% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Helsingborg's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Helsingborg and Landskrona BoIS finished level at 0-0 at Olympia, Regular Season - 22, in the Superettan. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Helsingborg 1.34 xG and Landskrona BoIS 1.08 xG, a combined 2.41. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Helsingborg fell 1.3 short of their projected output. Landskrona BoIS landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Helsingborg attack 0.96 / defence 0.92 against Landskrona BoIS attack 0.96 / defence 0.95, drawn from 51/51 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Helsingborg 42% | Draw 29% | Landskrona BoIS 29%, with Helsingborg to win its most likely call at 42%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 29%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 43%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 70% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 49% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 54% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Helsingborg 53%, Landskrona BoIS 55%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 49%, which matched the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Helsingborg's trading profile (51 games, 25 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 41% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 37% of the time, and duly kept one; they fail to score in 33% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Landskrona BoIS's trading profile (51 games, 25 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 57% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Helsingborg 1.45 PPG, Landskrona BoIS 1.53 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Helsingborg (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.24 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.08 average — tighter than their form line. Landskrona BoIS (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.40 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.36 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.