České Budějovice 0-0 Bohemians 1905 – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson rates Bohemians 1905 at 46% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this České Budějovice vs Bohemians 1905 encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Pre-Match Analysis
České Budějovice and Bohemians 1905 meet at Fotbalový stadion Střelecký ostrov in Czech Liga, Regular Season - 7. This fixture gets under way on Saturday 31 August 2024 at 13:30 UTC.
Form & Momentum
České Budějovice have collected 0.50 PPG across 10 Czech Liga outings this season: 1W 2D 7L. Last five: L L L L L. They are averaging 0.60 goals per game and conceding 2.40 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. However, 2.40 goals conceded per game is a concern — opposing attacks have exploited them regularly. České Budějovice have played only a handful of Czech Liga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
České Budějovice at Fotbalový stadion Střelecký ostrov this season: 3W 3D 4L from 10 home games — 1.20 PPG on home soil. At home they are averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 70% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture. Their home PPG of 1.20 is noticeably stronger than their overall 0.50 — České Budějovice are significantly better at Fotbalový stadion Střelecký ostrov than their overall form suggests.
Bohemians 1905's overall Czech Liga record this term: 3W 2D 5L from 10 games (1.10 PPG). Last five: L D L W L. Their scoring rate of 1.00 per game is modest, conceding 1.30 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. Bohemians 1905 have played only a handful of Czech Liga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
Bohemians 1905 away from home this season: 2W 5D 3L from 10 away games — 1.10 PPG on the road. Away from home they average 1.20 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 80% of their away matches — a high BTTS rate on the road that directly informs this fixture.
On a straight form reading, Bohemians 1905 are the stronger side — 0.60 PPG clear of the hosts (1.10 vs 0.50). Backing them with draw insurance is the conservative play if the outright away price appears short.
The BTTS picture is exceptionally clear (using home/away splits) — České Budějovice register both teams scoring in 70% of relevant games, Bohemians 1905 in 80%. Both sides above 70% makes BTTS Yes one of the strongest standalone angles in this fixture.
H2H History
Across 7 previous meetings, České Budějovice are the stronger side on paper — 5 victories to 1, with 1 draws in between.
The 7 previous meetings have averaged 2.4 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 4 May 2024, ended 2–1 with České Budějovice winning.
The historical record gives České Budějovice a meaningful edge here — 5 wins from 7 meetings is the kind of ledger that should not be discounted when the form picture is inconclusive. Even away from home, the visitors have struggled to impose themselves in this fixture.
Trading
České Budějovice half-time and goal-timing data (41 games, 20 at home): they score before half-time in 80% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 89% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 67% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 55% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 70% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 37%; they fail to score in 37% of games.
Bohemians 1905 half-time and goal-timing data (41 games, 20 at away): they score before half-time in 70% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 64% of the time; BTTS occurs in 60% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 50% of games (away games); they fail to score in 32% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — České Budějovice 56% versus Bohemians 1905 56%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (České Budějovice 66% | Bohemians 1905 46%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects České Budějovice 1.02 xG and Bohemians 1905 1.42 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: České Budějovice attack 0.777 / defence 1.444 | Bohemians 1905 attack 0.924 / defence 0.901. League average goals — home 1.456 / away 1.060. České Budějovice's attack strength of 0.777 is below the league average — the 1.02 xG projection reflects a team that scores at a discount to the division norm. Data: 36 České Budějovice games / 36 Bohemians 1905 games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: České Budějovice 27% | Draw 27% | Bohemians 1905 46%. Fair-value odds: České Budějovice 3.70 | Draw 3.70 | Bohemians 1905 2.17. Bohemians 1905 hold a narrow Poisson edge at 46% — the draw (27%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 44% | BTTS probability 48% | Total xG 2.43. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 56% — total xG of 2.43 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 48% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Verdict
České Budějovice dominate the H2H record, yet Bohemians 1905 are the in-form side right now — historical edge versus current momentum creates a genuine dilemma.
The Poisson model's primary lean is Bohemians 1905 at 46% — moderate model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw probability of 27% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Bohemians 1905 if the outright odds are short.
Poisson projects 2.43 total expected goals, pointing to Under 2.5 at 44% probability — Poisson-only — limited corroboration conviction — though form averaging only 2.9 goals per game points in the other direction.
On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 48% on No. This conflicts with form data: České Budějovice 70% | Bohemians 1905 80% from recent games — a notable divergence.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: České Budějovice vs Bohemians 1905 | Competition: Czech Liga, Regular Season - 7 | Venue: Fotbalový stadion Střelecký ostrov • Kick-off: Saturday 31 Aug 2024, 13:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: České Budějovice 27% | Draw 27% | Bohemians 1905 46% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 44% | BTTS 48% | xG České Budějovice 1.02 / Bohemians 1905 1.42 • Poisson strength factors: České Budějovice attack 0.777 / def 1.444 | Bohemians 1905 attack 0.924 / def 0.901 | league avg home 1.456 / away 1.060 • Poisson stance: Bohemians 1905 (46%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.02
České Budějovice xG
Expected Goals
1.42
Bohemians 1905 xG
48%
BTTS
70%
Over 1.5
44%
Over 2.5
23%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does České Budějovice vs Bohemians 1905 kick off?
České Budějovice vs Bohemians 1905 kicked off at 13:30 on Saturday 31 August 2024 at Fotbalový stadion Střelecký ostrov.
What was the final score in České Budějovice vs Bohemians 1905?
České Budějovice 0 - 0 Bohemians 1905.
Where is České Budějovice vs Bohemians 1905 being played?
The match is being played at Fotbalový stadion Střelecký ostrov.
What competition is České Budějovice vs Bohemians 1905 part of?
České Budějovice vs Bohemians 1905 is a Regular Season - 7 fixture in the Czech Liga (Czech-Republic).
Who is favourite to win České Budějovice vs Bohemians 1905?
Our statistical model gives České Budějovice a 27% chance of winning, Bohemians 1905 a 46% chance, and a 27% chance of a draw — making Bohemians 1905 the favourite.
Will both teams score in České Budějovice vs Bohemians 1905?
Our model estimates a 48% probability that both České Budějovice and Bohemians 1905 will score (BTTS).
Will České Budějovice vs Bohemians 1905 have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 44%.
What is the head-to-head record between České Budějovice and Bohemians 1905?
Record (7 meetings): České Budějovice 5W | Draws 1 | Bohemians 1905 1W.
What form are České Budějovice and Bohemians 1905 in?
České Budějovice (all comps): 1W-2D-7L in 10 | 0.50 PPG | GF 0.60 / GA 2.40 | L5 L-L-L-L-L. Bohemians 1905 (all comps): 3W-2D-5L in 10 | 1.10 PPG | GF 1.00 / GA 1.30 | L5 L-D-L-W-L.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
The model rates České Budějovice's attack at 0.78x the league average against Bohemians 1905's defence at 0.90x — combine the two and it projects 1.02 expected goals for the hosts. Flip it around — Bohemians 1905's attack (0.92x) against České Budějovice's defence (1.44x) — and the away total comes out at 1.42.
These ratings are built from 36/36 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 14.3% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 0-1 (10.8%), 0-0 (10.4%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 35% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Bohemians 1905 Win
27%
3.69
27%
3.74
46%
2.17
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.6%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
12.4%
Away win
1 – 0
8.9%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.02
České Budějovice xG
Total xG
2.43
1.42
Bohemians 1905 xG
3.69
27%
Home win
3.74
27%
Draw
2.17
46%
Away win
Goals Markets
70%
Over 1.5
1.43
30%
Under 1.5
3.33
44%
Over 2.5
2.27
56%
Under 2.5
1.79
23%
Over 3.5
4.35
77%
Under 3.5
1.30
10%
Over 4.5
10.00
90%
Under 4.5
1.11
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
48%
BTTS Yes
2.07
52%
BTTS No
1.94
Clean Sheet
24%
4.12
36%
2.77
Win to Nil
7%
15.17
17%
6.01
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.8 | 12.4 | 8.8 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 8.9 | 12.6 | 8.9 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 4.6 | 6.4 | 4.6 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for České Budějovice vs Bohemians 1905?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.3%.
How many goals are České Budějovice and Bohemians 1905 expected to score?
The model projects 1.02 expected goals for České Budějovice and 1.42 for Bohemians 1905, a combined total of 2.43.
How confident is the prediction model for České Budějovice vs Bohemians 1905?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 46%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
České Budějovice's recent record stands at 8W 9D 24L from 41 games, a 0.80 PPG return, with L-L-L-L-L in the last five. It's still early in the season for České Budějovice, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Bohemians 1905, meanwhile, have gone 11W 13D 17L across 41 games — 1.12 PPG, with L-D-L-W-L in their last five. It's still early in the season for Bohemians 1905, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 0.80 PPG for České Budějovice against 1.12 for Bohemians 1905. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
Home & Away Splits
At home specifically, České Budějovice have managed 8W 3D 9L from 20 games — 1.35 PPG in front of their own supporters. That's noticeably better than their 0.80 PPG overall — České Budějovice are a different proposition at home than their general record suggests.
Bohemians 1905's away record stands at 5W 7D 8L across 20 trips, a 1.10 PPG haul.
Scoring & Defensive Trends
České Budějovice are averaging 1.05 goals scored and 2.05 conceded per game recently; Bohemians 1905 are on 0.98 scored and 1.34 conceded.
Last 41 Results — Czech Liga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
České Budějovice
Early Season
Bohemians 1905
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are České Budějovice and Bohemians 1905 in coming into this match?
České Budějovice have gone 8W 9D 24L in their last 41 games (0.80 PPG), while Bohemians 1905 have gone 11W 13D 17L in their last 41 (1.12 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — České Budějovice at home or Bohemians 1905 away?
České Budějovice's home record (1.35 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — České Budějovice at home: 1.35 PPG; Bohemians 1905 away: 1.10 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
On record, these two have faced off 9 times since November 2021 — enough meetings to establish some real patterns. Every recorded meeting has come in Czech Liga. It has been a while since the last meeting — 9 February 2025, some 3 years back — so squads and form on both sides may look very different now.
Records & Recent Trends
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: České Budějovice won 3-0 on 20 Aug 2023, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, České Budějovice have gone 4W 1D 0L from 5 meetings on their own ground against Bohemians 1905 — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 9 Meetings
5
České Budějovice
2
Draws
2
Bohemians 1905
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between České Budějovice and Bohemians 1905?
From 9 meetings on record, České Budějovice have won 5, Bohemians 1905 have won 2, and 2 have been drawn.
When did České Budějovice and Bohemians 1905 last play each other?
They last met on 9 February 2025, when Bohemians 1905 1-0 České Budějovice.
Who has won more matches between České Budějovice and Bohemians 1905?
České Budějovice have the better head-to-head record, with 5 wins from 9 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
České Budějovice are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 80% of their matches.
Bohemians 1905 are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 70% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 15% of those situations.
Goals & Clean Sheets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — České Budějovice 55%, Bohemians 1905 60% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 70% for České Budějovice and 50% for Bohemians 1905. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 30% and 20% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: České Budějovice have failed to score in 30% of games.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = České Budějovice home games / Bohemians 1905 away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when České Budějovice play Bohemians 1905?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 55% of České Budějovice's games and 60% of Bohemians 1905's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is České Budějovice vs Bohemians 1905 usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 70% of České Budějovice's matches and 50% of Bohemians 1905's.
Do České Budějovice and Bohemians 1905 tend to score early?
České Budějovice have had a goal before half-time in 80% of their recent matches, Bohemians 1905 in 70% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at České Budějovice's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Fotbalový stadion Střelecký ostrov, Regular Season - 7, as České Budějovice and Bohemians 1905 drew 0-0 in the Czech Liga. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting České Budějovice 1.02 xG and Bohemians 1905 1.42 xG, a combined 2.43. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. České Budějovice fell 1.0 short of their projected output. Bohemians 1905 landed 1.4 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of České Budějovice attack 0.78 / defence 1.44 against Bohemians 1905 attack 0.92 / defence 0.90, drawn from 36/36 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it České Budějovice 27% | Draw 27% | Bohemians 1905 46%, with Bohemians 1905 to win its most likely call at 46%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 27%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 44%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 70% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 48% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 56% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (České Budějovice 66%, Bohemians 1905 46%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 56%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
České Budějovice's trading profile (41 games, 20 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 37% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Bohemians 1905's trading profile (41 games, 20 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 32% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — České Budějovice 0.80 PPG, Bohemians 1905 1.12 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. České Budějovice (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.40 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.60 average — tighter than their form line. Bohemians 1905 (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.05 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.50 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.