Hatta SC 0-0 Al Bataeh – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Al Bataeh at 67% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Hatta SC vs Al Bataeh encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Match Analysis
Hatta SC host Al Bataeh at Hamdan Bin Rashid Stadium in Pro League, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is scheduled for Friday 15 December 2023 at 12:45 UTC.
Form Guide
Hatta SC — All Games: 1W 1D 8L from 10 Pro League outings this season, averaging 0.40 points per game. Last five: L W L D L. They are averaging 0.80 goals per game and conceding 2.30 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. However, 2.30 goals conceded per game is a concern — opposing attacks have exploited them regularly. This season is still relatively young for Hatta SC, so this record blends games from this season and last.
At home at Hamdan Bin Rashid Stadium, Hatta SC have gone 0W 0D 5L this season (5 games, 0.00 PPG). At home they are averaging 0.20 goals scored and 3.00 conceded per game. At home, both teams have scored in only 20% of games — reinforcing BTTS No as the home-venue-backed angle.
Looking at all fixtures this season, Al Bataeh stand at 4W 3D 3L from 10 Pro League matches — 1.50 PPG. Last five: D W D L W. They are scoring at 1.50 per game and conceding 1.60. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. This season is still relatively young for Al Bataeh, so this record blends games from this season and last.
On the road, Al Bataeh have gone 2W 0D 8L from 10 away fixtures this term (0.60 PPG). Away from home they average 1.10 goals scored and 2.70 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 70% of their away matches — a high BTTS rate on the road that directly informs this fixture. Their away PPG of 0.60 is notably below their overall 1.50 — form away from home has been a clear weakness this season.
Despite the home advantage, the form figures favour Al Bataeh — 1.10 PPG ahead of the hosts (1.50 vs 0.40). That gap is large enough to take seriously. Draw No Bet on the visitors neutralises home-ground risk while maintaining the form-backed selection.
In-Play Profile
Hatta SC in-play tendencies (10 games, 4 at home): they score before half-time in 75% of fixtures in home games; BTTS occurs in 25% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 75% of games (home games); they fail to score in 50% of games.
Al Bataeh in-play tendencies (10 games, 4 at away): they score before half-time in 100% of fixtures in away games; BTTS occurs in 75% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 75% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 40%.
From a combined perspective, both sides have high BTTS rates — Hatta SC 50% and Al Bataeh 70% — which reinforces the BTTS Yes angle from in-play data. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Hatta SC 60% | Al Bataeh 60%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Hatta SC 0.98 xG and Al Bataeh 2.36 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Hatta SC attack 0.485 / defence 1.393 | Al Bataeh attack 0.922 / defence 1.159. League average goals — home 1.736 / away 1.841. Hatta SC's attack strength of 0.485 is below the league average — the 0.98 xG projection reflects a team that scores at a discount to the division norm. Data: 10 Hatta SC games / 36 Al Bataeh games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Hatta SC 13% | Draw 20% | Al Bataeh 67%. Fair-value odds: Hatta SC 7.69 | Draw 5.00 | Al Bataeh 1.49. The model has a clear lean to Al Bataeh (67%) — a 54pp gap over the next-most-likely outcome reflects a meaningful statistical advantage.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 65% | BTTS probability 58% | Total xG 3.34. Over 2.5 is the model's clear signal at 65% — a total xG of 3.34 means the expected score alone exceeds the 2.5 threshold, making the Over not just likely but structurally supported by both sides' attack/defence profiles. BTTS probability of 58% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Summary & Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is Al Bataeh at 67% — clear model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw No Bet is worth pricing alongside the outright: 20% draw probability makes the stalemate a live outcome even at this conviction level.
The Poisson model projects 3.34 xG in total — Over 2.5 at 65% — reasonable confidence, supported by form averaging 3.5 goals per game.
On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 58% on Yes. Form rates are neutral: Hatta SC 20% | Al Bataeh 70%.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Hatta SC vs Al Bataeh | Competition: Pro League, Regular Season - 11 | Venue: Hamdan Bin Rashid Stadium • Kick-off: Friday 15 Dec 2023, 12:45 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Hatta SC 13% | Draw 20% | Al Bataeh 67% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 65% | BTTS 58% | xG Hatta SC 0.98 / Al Bataeh 2.36 • Poisson strength factors: Hatta SC attack 0.485 / def 1.393 | Al Bataeh attack 0.922 / def 1.159 | league avg home 1.736 / away 1.841 • Poisson stance: Al Bataeh (67%) — strong lean
🧮 Prediction Model
0.98
Hatta SC xG
Expected Goals
2.36
Al Bataeh xG
58%
BTTS
86%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
43%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Hatta SC vs Al Bataeh kick off?
Hatta SC vs Al Bataeh kicked off at 12:45 on Friday 15 December 2023 at Hamdan Bin Rashid Stadium.
What was the final score in Hatta SC vs Al Bataeh?
Hatta SC 0 - 0 Al Bataeh.
Where is Hatta SC vs Al Bataeh being played?
The match is being played at Hamdan Bin Rashid Stadium.
What competition is Hatta SC vs Al Bataeh part of?
Hatta SC vs Al Bataeh is a Regular Season - 11 fixture in the Pro League (United-Arab-Emirates).
Who is favourite to win Hatta SC vs Al Bataeh?
Our statistical model gives Hatta SC a 13% chance of winning, Al Bataeh a 67% chance, and a 20% chance of a draw — making Al Bataeh the favourite.
Will both teams score in Hatta SC vs Al Bataeh?
Our model estimates a 58% probability that both Hatta SC and Al Bataeh will score (BTTS).
Will Hatta SC vs Al Bataeh have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 65%.
What is the head-to-head record between Hatta SC and Al Bataeh?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Hatta SC and Al Bataeh in?
Hatta SC (all comps): 1W-1D-8L in 10 | 0.40 PPG | GF 0.80 / GA 2.30 | L5 L-W-L-D-L. Al Bataeh (all comps): 4W-3D-3L in 10 | 1.50 PPG | GF 1.50 / GA 1.60 | L5 D-W-D-L-W.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
Hatta SC's attacking strength (0.48x league average) is weighed against Al Bataeh's defensive record (1.16x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 0.98. The same calculation in reverse, Al Bataeh's attack versus Hatta SC's defence, projects 2.36 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 10/36 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 0-2, at 9.9%. Close behind: 1-2 (9.7%), 1-1 (9.2%). Together the top three scorelines make up 29% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Al Bataeh Win
13%
7.83
20%
4.95
67%
1.49
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 2
9.9%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 2
9.7%
Away win
0 – 1
8.4%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.98
Hatta SC xG
Total xG
3.34
2.36
Al Bataeh xG
7.83
13%
Home win
4.95
20%
Draw
1.49
67%
Away win
Goals Markets
85%
Over 1.5
1.18
15%
Under 1.5
6.67
65%
Over 2.5
1.54
35%
Under 2.5
2.86
43%
Over 3.5
2.33
57%
Under 3.5
1.75
24%
Over 4.5
4.17
76%
Under 4.5
1.32
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
58%
BTTS Yes
1.73
42%
BTTS No
2.36
Clean Sheet
9%
10.62
38%
2.65
Win to Nil
1%
83.19
25%
3.96
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.5 | 8.4 | 9.9 | 7.8 | 4.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 | 3.5 | 8.2 | 9.7 | 7.6 | 4.5 | 2.1 |
| 2 | 1.7 | 4.0 | 4.7 | 3.7 | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 3 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | – | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Hatta SC vs Al Bataeh?
Our Poisson model rates 0-2 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 9.9%.
How many goals are Hatta SC and Al Bataeh expected to score?
The model projects 0.98 expected goals for Hatta SC and 2.36 for Al Bataeh, a combined total of 3.34.
How confident is the prediction model for Hatta SC vs Al Bataeh?
Reasonably confident — the model's leading outcome is rated at 67%, a clear lean rather than a toss-up.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
Hatta SC come into this having played 10 games, going 1W 1D 8L for 0.40 points per game. Their last five reads L-W-L-D-L. The sample for Hatta SC is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
On the other side, Al Bataeh sit at 1.50 PPG from 10 outings (4W 3D 3L), a run that reads D-W-D-L-W across their last five. The sample for Al Bataeh is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Al Bataeh carry the stronger recent form of the two, 1.10 PPG clear of Hatta SC — worth weighing alongside whatever the head-to-head and market data say.
Venue Form
Hatta SC's home form reads 0W 0D 4L across 4 games on their own ground, a 0.00 PPG return. That actually lags their 0.40 PPG overall record — home advantage hasn't been translating into results for them lately.
Away from home, Al Bataeh have taken 1.50 points per game from 4 outings (2W 0D 2L).
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Al Bataeh come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Goals in Recent Form
Hatta SC are averaging 0.80 goals scored and 2.30 conceded per game recently; Al Bataeh are on 1.50 scored and 1.60 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Al Bataeh in 70%.
Last 10 Results — Pro League
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Hatta SC
Blended
Al Bataeh
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Hatta SC and Al Bataeh in coming into this match?
Hatta SC have gone 1W 1D 8L in their last 10 games (0.40 PPG), while Al Bataeh have gone 4W 3D 3L in their last 10 (1.50 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Hatta SC at home or Al Bataeh away?
Al Bataeh's away record (1.50 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Hatta SC at home: 0.00 PPG; Al Bataeh away: 1.50 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
2 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to December 2023. Every recorded meeting has come in Pro League. It has been a while since the last meeting — 20 May 2024, some 1 year back — so squads and form on both sides may look very different now.
Last 2 Meetings
0
Hatta SC
2
Draws
0
Al Bataeh
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Hatta SC and Al Bataeh?
From 2 meetings on record, Hatta SC have won 0, Al Bataeh have won 0, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Hatta SC and Al Bataeh last play each other?
They last met on 20 May 2024, when Al Bataeh 1-1 Hatta SC.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
Hatta SC are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 75% of their matches.
Al Bataeh are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 100% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 25% of the time.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Hatta SC 25%, Al Bataeh 75% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 75% for Hatta SC and 75% for Al Bataeh. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 50% and 50% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: Hatta SC have failed to score in 75% of games.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Hatta SC home games / Al Bataeh away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Hatta SC play Al Bataeh?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 25% of Hatta SC's recent matches and 75% of Al Bataeh's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Hatta SC vs Al Bataeh usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 75% of Hatta SC's matches and 75% of Al Bataeh's.
Do Hatta SC and Al Bataeh tend to score early?
Hatta SC have had a goal before half-time in 75% of their recent matches, Al Bataeh in 100% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Hatta SC's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Hatta SC and Al Bataeh finished level at 0-0 at Hamdan Bin Rashid Stadium, Regular Season - 11, in the Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Hatta SC 0.98 xG and Al Bataeh 2.36 xG, a combined 3.34. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Hatta SC fell 1.0 short of their projected output. Al Bataeh landed 2.4 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Hatta SC attack 0.48 / defence 1.39 against Al Bataeh attack 0.92 / defence 1.16, drawn from 10/36 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Hatta SC 13% | Draw 20% | Al Bataeh 67%, with Al Bataeh to win its most likely call at 67%. Instead the game produced a draw, an outcome the model had rated at just 20% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 65%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 86% and missed. Over 3.5 was 43% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 58% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 60% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Hatta SC 60%, Al Bataeh 60%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 60%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Hatta SC's trading profile (10 games, 4 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 50% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 50% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Al Bataeh's trading profile (10 games, 4 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 70% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
On form, Al Bataeh arrived the stronger side — 1.50 PPG against 0.40. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Hatta SC (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 3.25 average — tighter than their form line. Al Bataeh (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.50 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 2.00 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.