Austria Klagenfurt 0-3 WSG Wattens – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson rates Austria Klagenfurt at 51% — the H2H record provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Austria Klagenfurt vs WSG Wattens encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A Bundesliga encounter, Regular Season - 15 sees WSG Wattens travel to 28 Black Arena to take on Austria Klagenfurt. The game is scheduled for Sunday 1 December 2024, 13:30 UTC.
Recent Form
Across all Bundesliga games this season, Austria Klagenfurt have gone 4W 2D 4L from 10 outings — a 1.40 PPG return. Last five: L D W L L. They are averaging 1.10 goals per game and conceding 2.00 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. However, 2.00 goals conceded per game is a concern — opposing attacks have exploited them regularly. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. This season is still relatively young for Austria Klagenfurt, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Austria Klagenfurt's home record at 28 Black Arena: 3W 3D 4L from 10 Bundesliga appearances (1.20 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their home matches — a rate that supports the Yes angle in this fixture.
Looking at all fixtures this season, WSG Wattens stand at 2W 3D 5L from 10 Bundesliga matches — 0.90 PPG. Last five: L L W L D. Their scoring rate of 0.90 per game is modest, conceding 1.40 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. This season is still relatively young for WSG Wattens, so this record blends games from this season and last.
WSG Wattens's away record: 2W 0D 8L from 10 road trips in Bundesliga this season (0.60 PPG). Away from home they average 1.10 goals scored and 2.30 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context.
The form comparison is too close to call — 1.40 PPG (Austria Klagenfurt) versus 0.90 (WSG Wattens). When the figures are this level, no pick can be reliably derived from recent results alone.
The BTTS market is worth targeting here. Austria Klagenfurt register both teams scoring in 60% of relevant matches, WSG Wattens in 60% (using home/away splits) — both sides above the 60% threshold gives BTTS Yes firm statistical grounding.
Head to Head
The historical ledger comes down firmly in favour of Austria Klagenfurt: 5 wins from 7 previous clashes against 1 for WSG Wattens, with 1 draws across those contests.
The 7 previous meetings have averaged 2.7 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 24 Aug 2024, ended 1–0 with Austria Klagenfurt winning.
From a betting standpoint, the H2H backs both Austria Klagenfurt and goals. The home side's 5 wins from 7 meetings, combined with an average of 2.7 goals per game, gives the home win and Over 2.5 combination a historically grounded case.
Trading Patterns
Austria Klagenfurt in-play and half-time data (45 games, 22 at home): they score before half-time in 73% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 83% of the time; BTTS occurs in 59% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 50% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 44%; they fail to score in 33% of games.
WSG Wattens in-play and half-time data (45 games, 22 at away): they score before half-time in 73% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 69% of the time; BTTS occurs in 50% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 59% of games (away games); they fail to score in 49% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Austria Klagenfurt 49% versus WSG Wattens 44%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Austria Klagenfurt 51% | WSG Wattens 44%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Austria Klagenfurt 1.71 xG and WSG Wattens 1.07 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Austria Klagenfurt attack 0.972 / defence 1.029 | WSG Wattens attack 0.945 / defence 1.131. League average goals — home 1.558 / away 1.105. Data: 35 Austria Klagenfurt games / 36 WSG Wattens games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Austria Klagenfurt 51% | Draw 26% | WSG Wattens 23%. Fair-value odds: Austria Klagenfurt 1.96 | Draw 3.85 | WSG Wattens 4.35. Austria Klagenfurt hold a narrow Poisson edge at 51% — the draw (26%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 53% | BTTS probability 55% | Total xG 2.79. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 53%/47% — the total xG of 2.79 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 55% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Summary & Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is Austria Klagenfurt at 51% — moderate model lean. With a 26% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Austria Klagenfurt offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
The Poisson model projects 2.79 xG in total — Over 2.5 at 53% — strong confidence, supported by form averaging 3.2 goals per game and H2H averaging 2.7 goals per meeting.
On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 55% on Yes. Form rates corroborate: Austria Klagenfurt 60% | WSG Wattens 60% BTTS from recent games.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Austria Klagenfurt vs WSG Wattens | Competition: Bundesliga, Regular Season - 15 | Venue: 28 Black Arena • Kick-off: Sunday 1 Dec 2024, 13:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Austria Klagenfurt 51% | Draw 26% | WSG Wattens 23% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 53% | BTTS 55% | xG Austria Klagenfurt 1.71 / WSG Wattens 1.07 • Poisson strength factors: Austria Klagenfurt attack 0.972 / def 1.029 | WSG Wattens attack 0.945 / def 1.131 | league avg home 1.558 / away 1.105 • Poisson stance: Austria Klagenfurt (51%) — moderate lean
🎲 Betting Market Intelligence
• Odds data is not currently available for this fixture
🧮 Prediction Model
1.71
Austria Klagenfurt xG
Expected Goals
1.07
WSG Wattens xG
55%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
53%
Over 2.5
31%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Austria Klagenfurt vs WSG Wattens kick off?
Austria Klagenfurt vs WSG Wattens kicked off at 13:30 on Sunday 1 December 2024 at 28 Black Arena.
What was the final score in Austria Klagenfurt vs WSG Wattens?
Austria Klagenfurt 0 - 3 WSG Wattens.
Where is Austria Klagenfurt vs WSG Wattens being played?
The match is being played at 28 Black Arena.
What competition is Austria Klagenfurt vs WSG Wattens part of?
Austria Klagenfurt vs WSG Wattens is a Regular Season - 15 fixture in the Bundesliga (Austria).
Who is favourite to win Austria Klagenfurt vs WSG Wattens?
Our statistical model gives Austria Klagenfurt a 51% chance of winning, WSG Wattens a 23% chance, and a 26% chance of a draw — making Austria Klagenfurt the favourite.
Will both teams score in Austria Klagenfurt vs WSG Wattens?
Our model estimates a 55% probability that both Austria Klagenfurt and WSG Wattens will score (BTTS).
Will Austria Klagenfurt vs WSG Wattens have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 53%.
What is the head-to-head record between Austria Klagenfurt and WSG Wattens?
Record (7 meetings): Austria Klagenfurt 5W | Draws 1 | WSG Wattens 1W.
What form are Austria Klagenfurt and WSG Wattens in?
Austria Klagenfurt (all comps): 4W-2D-4L in 10 | 1.40 PPG | GF 1.10 / GA 2.00 | L5 L-D-W-L-L. WSG Wattens (all comps): 2W-3D-5L in 10 | 0.90 PPG | GF 0.90 / GA 1.40 | L5 L-L-W-L-D.
What do the betting odds say about Austria Klagenfurt vs WSG Wattens?
Odds data is not currently available for this fixture.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
Working from Austria Klagenfurt's attack rating (0.97) and WSG Wattens's defence rating (1.13), the model arrives at 1.71 expected goals for the home side. The same calculation in reverse, WSG Wattens's attack versus Austria Klagenfurt's defence, projects 1.07 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 35/36 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 12.8%. Close behind: 2-1 (9.7%), 1-0 (9.1%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 32% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Austria Klagenfurt Win
51%
1.95
26%
3.87
23%
4.38
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.3%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
10.6%
Home win
2 – 1
9.7%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.71
Austria Klagenfurt xG
Total xG
2.79
1.07
WSG Wattens xG
1.95
51%
Home win
3.87
26%
Draw
4.38
23%
Away win
Goals Markets
77%
Over 1.5
1.30
23%
Under 1.5
4.35
53%
Over 2.5
1.89
47%
Under 2.5
2.13
31%
Over 3.5
3.23
69%
Under 3.5
1.45
15%
Over 4.5
6.67
85%
Under 4.5
1.18
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
55%
BTTS Yes
1.82
45%
BTTS No
2.22
Clean Sheet
34%
2.93
18%
5.55
Win to Nil
18%
5.70
4%
24.31
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.2 | 6.6 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 10.6 | 11.3 | 6.1 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.0 | 9.7 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.2 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Austria Klagenfurt vs WSG Wattens?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 12.8%.
How many goals are Austria Klagenfurt and WSG Wattens expected to score?
The model projects 1.71 expected goals for Austria Klagenfurt and 1.07 for WSG Wattens, a combined total of 2.79.
How confident is the prediction model for Austria Klagenfurt vs WSG Wattens?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 51%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
Austria Klagenfurt's recent record stands at 13W 15D 17L from 45 games, a 1.20 PPG return, with L-D-W-L-L in the last five. The sample for Austria Klagenfurt is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
WSG Wattens, meanwhile, have gone 10W 9D 26L across 45 games — 0.87 PPG, with L-L-W-L-D in their last five. The sample for WSG Wattens is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Form-wise this is close to level: Austria Klagenfurt on 1.20 PPG, WSG Wattens on 0.87. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Home Ground vs the Road
At home specifically, Austria Klagenfurt have managed 6W 9D 7L from 22 games — 1.23 PPG in front of their own supporters.
WSG Wattens's away record stands at 5W 2D 15L across 22 trips, a 0.77 PPG haul.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Austria Klagenfurt come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
The Goals Picture
Austria Klagenfurt are averaging 1.18 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per game recently; WSG Wattens are on 0.87 scored and 1.56 conceded.
Last 45 Results — Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Austria Klagenfurt
Blended
WSG Wattens
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Austria Klagenfurt and WSG Wattens in coming into this match?
Austria Klagenfurt have gone 13W 15D 17L in their last 45 games (1.20 PPG), while WSG Wattens have gone 10W 9D 26L in their last 45 (0.87 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Austria Klagenfurt at home or WSG Wattens away?
Austria Klagenfurt's home record (1.23 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Austria Klagenfurt at home: 1.23 PPG; WSG Wattens away: 0.77 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between Austria Klagenfurt and WSG Wattens runs to 10 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to August 2021. Every recorded meeting has come in Bundesliga. It has been a while since the last meeting — 10 May 2025, some 3 years back — so squads and form on both sides may look very different now.
Digging Into the Numbers
WSG Wattens have won the last 3 meetings between these two, a run that gives them the psychological edge coming in.
The biggest gap between the sides came on 1 Dec 2024, when WSG Wattens won 0-3 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
Austria Klagenfurt's record when hosting WSG Wattens specifically: 2W 0D 3L from 5 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
5
Austria Klagenfurt
1
Draws
4
WSG Wattens
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Austria Klagenfurt and WSG Wattens?
From 10 meetings on record, Austria Klagenfurt have won 5, WSG Wattens have won 4, and 1 have been drawn.
When did Austria Klagenfurt and WSG Wattens last play each other?
They last met on 10 May 2025, when Austria Klagenfurt 1-4 WSG Wattens.
Who has won more matches between Austria Klagenfurt and WSG Wattens?
Austria Klagenfurt have the better head-to-head record, with 5 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
Austria Klagenfurt are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 73% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 23% of those situations.
WSG Wattens are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 73% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 27% of the time.
The Numbers That Matter
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Austria Klagenfurt 59%, WSG Wattens 50% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 50% (Austria Klagenfurt) and 59% (WSG Wattens).
On the defensive side: Austria Klagenfurt have failed to score in 27% of games; WSG Wattens in 50%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Austria Klagenfurt home games / WSG Wattens away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Austria Klagenfurt play WSG Wattens?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 59% of Austria Klagenfurt's recent matches and 50% of WSG Wattens's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Austria Klagenfurt vs WSG Wattens usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 50% of Austria Klagenfurt's recent games and 59% of WSG Wattens's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Austria Klagenfurt and WSG Wattens tend to score early?
Austria Klagenfurt have had a goal before half-time in 73% of their recent matches, WSG Wattens in 73% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Dominant WSG Wattens run riot with a 0-3 hammering of Austria Klagenfurt.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
WSG Wattens beat Austria Klagenfurt 0-3 at 28 Black Arena, Regular Season - 15, in the Bundesliga. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Austria Klagenfurt 1.71 xG and WSG Wattens 1.07 xG, a combined 2.79. The scoreboard read 0-3 for 3 actual goals. Austria Klagenfurt fell 1.7 short of their projected output. WSG Wattens outscored their 1.07 projection by 1.9. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Austria Klagenfurt attack 0.97 / defence 1.03 against WSG Wattens attack 0.94 / defence 1.13, drawn from 35/36 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Austria Klagenfurt 51% | Draw 26% | WSG Wattens 23%, with Austria Klagenfurt to win its most likely call at 51%. Instead the game produced a WSG Wattens win, an outcome the model had rated at just 23% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 53%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 78% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 55% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 48% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Austria Klagenfurt 51%, WSG Wattens 44%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 47%, which matched the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Austria Klagenfurt's trading profile (45 games, 22 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 49% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 33% of games, a blank that repeated today.
WSG Wattens's trading profile (45 games, 22 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 44% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Austria Klagenfurt 1.20 PPG, WSG Wattens 0.87 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the WSG Wattens win broke the near-deadlock. Austria Klagenfurt (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.27 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 3 against a 1.59 concession average — a leakier day than usual. WSG Wattens (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 0.91 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.86 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.