Ulsan Hyundai FC 0-0 FC Anyang – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model rates Ulsan Hyundai FC at 42%, yet in-form FC Anyang provide a compelling counter-argument — this Ulsan Hyundai FC vs FC Anyang fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Fixture Analysis
It is a K League 1 clash, Regular Season - 30 as Ulsan Hyundai FC welcome FC Anyang to Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium. Kick-off is set for Sunday 21 September 2025 at 08:30 UTC.
Recent Form
Across all K League 1 games this season, Ulsan Hyundai FC have gone 1W 3D 6L from 10 outings — a 0.60 PPG return. Last five: W L L L D. They are averaging 1.30 goals per game and conceding 2.00 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. However, 2.00 goals conceded per game is a concern — opposing attacks have exploited them regularly. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets.
Ulsan Hyundai FC's home record at Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium: 3W 3D 4L from 10 K League 1 appearances (1.20 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their home matches — a rate that supports the Yes angle in this fixture. Their home PPG of 1.20 is noticeably stronger than their overall 0.60 — Ulsan Hyundai FC are significantly better at Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium than their overall form suggests.
Looking at all fixtures this season, FC Anyang stand at 4W 0D 6L from 10 K League 1 matches — 1.20 PPG. Last five: L L W W W. Their scoring rate of 1.40 per game is modest, conceding 1.40 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market.
On the road, FC Anyang have gone 3W 0D 7L from 10 away fixtures this term (0.90 PPG). Away from home they average 1.10 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 70% of their away matches — a high BTTS rate on the road that directly informs this fixture.
The form data does not support a straightforward home bias here. FC Anyang are 0.60 PPG ahead (1.20 vs 0.60), making them the form-guided selection despite the trip.
The BTTS market is worth targeting here. Ulsan Hyundai FC register both teams scoring in 60% of relevant matches, FC Anyang in 70% (using home/away splits) — both sides above the 60% threshold gives BTTS Yes firm statistical grounding.
Head to Head
The rivalry is an even one: 1 wins apiece for Ulsan Hyundai FC, 1 for FC Anyang and 0 shared spoils from 2 past contests. Neither side holds a meaningful historical edge.
The last 2 meetings have been tight affairs, averaging just 1.0 goals per game. That low-scoring pattern is a meaningful historical input for the Under 2.5 market. The most recent clash, on 23 Apr 2025, ended 1–0 with Ulsan Hyundai FC winning.
With a balanced win record and just 1.0 goals per game historically, the H2H points toward a tight, low-scoring contest. Under 2.5 goals has the strongest statistical grounding from the fixture history regardless of which side wins.
In-Play Data
Ulsan Hyundai FC trading profile (29 games, 14 at home): they score before half-time in 57% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 90% of the time; BTTS occurs in 50% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 50% of games (home games).
FC Anyang trading profile (29 games, 14 at away): they score before half-time in 71% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 100% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 56% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 64% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 64% of games (away games).
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Ulsan Hyundai FC 55% versus FC Anyang 62%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Ulsan Hyundai FC 41% | FC Anyang 59%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Ulsan Hyundai FC 1.41 xG and FC Anyang 1.19 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Ulsan Hyundai FC attack 0.924 / defence 1.071 | FC Anyang attack 0.843 / defence 1.045. League average goals — home 1.462 / away 1.313. Data: 62 Ulsan Hyundai FC games / 29 FC Anyang games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Ulsan Hyundai FC 42% | Draw 26% | FC Anyang 32%. Fair-value odds: Ulsan Hyundai FC 2.38 | Draw 3.85 | FC Anyang 3.12. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 26% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 48% | BTTS probability 52% | Total xG 2.60. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 48%/52% — the total xG of 2.60 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 52% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Summary & Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is Ulsan Hyundai FC at 42% — marginal model lean. Note a divergence: in-form FC Anyang (1.20 PPG) cuts against the Poisson lean — consider the strength-adjusted model over surface-level form results. With a 26% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Ulsan Hyundai FC offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 32% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.60 combined xG gives a 48% probability to Under 2.5 — Poisson-only — limited corroboration.
Poisson assigns a 52% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate: Ulsan Hyundai FC 60% | FC Anyang 70% BTTS from recent games.
The outsider holds a 32% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Ulsan Hyundai FC vs FC Anyang | Competition: K League 1, Regular Season - 30 | Venue: Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium • Kick-off: Sunday 21 Sep 2025, 08:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Ulsan Hyundai FC 42% | Draw 26% | FC Anyang 32% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 48% | BTTS 52% | xG Ulsan Hyundai FC 1.41 / FC Anyang 1.19 • Poisson strength factors: Ulsan Hyundai FC attack 0.924 / def 1.071 | FC Anyang attack 0.843 / def 1.045 | league avg home 1.462 / away 1.313 • Poisson stance: Ulsan Hyundai FC (42%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.41
Ulsan Hyundai FC xG
Expected Goals
1.19
FC Anyang xG
52%
BTTS
73%
Over 1.5
48%
Over 2.5
26%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Ulsan Hyundai FC vs FC Anyang kick off?
Ulsan Hyundai FC vs FC Anyang kicked off at 08:30 on Sunday 21 September 2025 at Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium.
What was the final score in Ulsan Hyundai FC vs FC Anyang?
Ulsan Hyundai FC 0 - 0 FC Anyang.
Where is Ulsan Hyundai FC vs FC Anyang being played?
The match is being played at Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium.
What competition is Ulsan Hyundai FC vs FC Anyang part of?
Ulsan Hyundai FC vs FC Anyang is a Regular Season - 30 fixture in the K League 1 (South-Korea).
Who is favourite to win Ulsan Hyundai FC vs FC Anyang?
Our statistical model gives Ulsan Hyundai FC a 42% chance of winning, FC Anyang a 32% chance, and a 26% chance of a draw — making Ulsan Hyundai FC the favourite.
Will both teams score in Ulsan Hyundai FC vs FC Anyang?
Our model estimates a 52% probability that both Ulsan Hyundai FC and FC Anyang will score (BTTS).
Will Ulsan Hyundai FC vs FC Anyang have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 48%.
What is the head-to-head record between Ulsan Hyundai FC and FC Anyang?
Record (2 meetings): Ulsan Hyundai FC 1W | Draws 0 | FC Anyang 1W.
What form are Ulsan Hyundai FC and FC Anyang in?
Ulsan Hyundai FC (all comps): 1W-3D-6L in 10 | 0.60 PPG | GF 1.30 / GA 2.00 | L5 W-L-L-L-D. FC Anyang (all comps): 4W-0D-6L in 10 | 1.20 PPG | GF 1.40 / GA 1.40 | L5 L-L-W-W-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
Working from Ulsan Hyundai FC's attack rating (0.92) and FC Anyang's defence rating (1.04), the model arrives at 1.41 expected goals for the home side. The same calculation in reverse, FC Anyang's attack versus Ulsan Hyundai FC's defence, projects 1.19 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 62/29 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 14.1%. Close behind: 0-0 (9.1%), 1-0 (8.9%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 32% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Ulsan Hyundai FC Win
42%
2.37
26%
3.82
32%
3.17
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.5%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
10.5%
Home win
0 – 1
8.8%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.41
Ulsan Hyundai FC xG
Total xG
2.60
1.19
FC Anyang xG
2.37
42%
Home win
3.82
26%
Draw
3.17
32%
Away win
Goals Markets
73%
Over 1.5
1.37
27%
Under 1.5
3.70
48%
Over 2.5
2.08
52%
Under 2.5
1.92
26%
Over 3.5
3.85
74%
Under 3.5
1.35
12%
Over 4.5
8.33
88%
Under 4.5
1.14
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
52%
BTTS Yes
1.90
48%
BTTS No
2.11
Clean Sheet
31%
3.27
24%
4.10
Win to Nil
13%
7.75
8%
12.99
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.4 | 8.8 | 5.2 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 10.5 | 12.5 | 7.4 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.4 | 8.8 | 5.2 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.5 | 4.1 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Ulsan Hyundai FC vs FC Anyang?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.1%.
How many goals are Ulsan Hyundai FC and FC Anyang expected to score?
The model projects 1.41 expected goals for Ulsan Hyundai FC and 1.19 for FC Anyang, a combined total of 2.60.
How confident is the prediction model for Ulsan Hyundai FC vs FC Anyang?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 42%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
Ulsan Hyundai FC come into this having played 29 games, going 9W 8D 12L for 1.21 points per game. Their last five reads W-L-L-L-D.
On the other side, FC Anyang sit at 1.24 PPG from 29 outings (11W 3D 15L), a run that reads L-L-W-W-W across their last five.
Form-wise this is close to level: Ulsan Hyundai FC on 1.21 PPG, FC Anyang on 1.24. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Home Ground vs the Road
Ulsan Hyundai FC's home form reads 5W 3D 6L across 14 games on their own ground, a 1.29 PPG return.
Away from home, FC Anyang have taken 1.07 points per game from 14 outings (5W 0D 9L).
The Goals Picture
Ulsan Hyundai FC are averaging 1.24 goals scored and 1.34 conceded per game recently; FC Anyang are on 1.28 scored and 1.34 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: FC Anyang in 62%.
Last 29 Results — K League 1
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Current Season
FC Anyang
Current Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Ulsan Hyundai FC and FC Anyang in coming into this match?
Ulsan Hyundai FC have gone 9W 8D 12L in their last 29 games (1.21 PPG), while FC Anyang have gone 11W 3D 15L in their last 29 (1.24 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Ulsan Hyundai FC at home or FC Anyang away?
Ulsan Hyundai FC's home record (1.29 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Ulsan Hyundai FC at home: 1.29 PPG; FC Anyang away: 1.07 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between Ulsan Hyundai FC and FC Anyang runs to 6 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to February 2025. Every recorded meeting has come in K League 1. The two were last together as recently as 2 August 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Digging Into the Numbers
Ulsan Hyundai FC's record when hosting FC Anyang specifically: 1W 1D 1L from 3 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 6 Meetings
2
Ulsan Hyundai FC
2
Draws
2
FC Anyang
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Ulsan Hyundai FC and FC Anyang?
From 6 meetings on record, Ulsan Hyundai FC have won 2, FC Anyang have won 2, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Ulsan Hyundai FC and FC Anyang last play each other?
They last met on 2 August 2026, when Ulsan Hyundai FC 3-1 FC Anyang.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
Ulsan Hyundai FC see a goal before the break in 57% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 14% of those situations.
FC Anyang are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 71% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 36% of the time.
The Numbers That Matter
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Ulsan Hyundai FC 50%, FC Anyang 64% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 50% (Ulsan Hyundai FC) and 64% (FC Anyang). Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 29% and 7% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: Ulsan Hyundai FC keep a clean sheet in 36% of their matches.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Ulsan Hyundai FC home games / FC Anyang away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Ulsan Hyundai FC play FC Anyang?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 50% of Ulsan Hyundai FC's games and 64% of FC Anyang's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Ulsan Hyundai FC vs FC Anyang usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 50% of Ulsan Hyundai FC's matches and 64% of FC Anyang's.
Do Ulsan Hyundai FC and FC Anyang tend to score early?
Ulsan Hyundai FC have had a goal before half-time in 57% of their recent matches, FC Anyang in 71% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Ulsan Hyundai FC's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium, Regular Season - 30, as Ulsan Hyundai FC and FC Anyang drew 0-0 in the K League 1. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Ulsan Hyundai FC 1.41 xG and FC Anyang 1.19 xG, a combined 2.60. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Ulsan Hyundai FC fell 1.4 short of their projected output. FC Anyang landed 1.2 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Ulsan Hyundai FC attack 0.92 / defence 1.07 against FC Anyang attack 0.84 / defence 1.04, drawn from 62/29 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Ulsan Hyundai FC 42% | Draw 26% | FC Anyang 32%, with Ulsan Hyundai FC to win its most likely call at 42%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 26%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 48%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 73% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 52% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 50% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Ulsan Hyundai FC 41%, FC Anyang 59%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 59%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Ulsan Hyundai FC's trading profile (29 games, 14 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 55% of their matches — today it did not.
FC Anyang's trading profile (29 games, 14 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 62% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Ulsan Hyundai FC 1.21 PPG, FC Anyang 1.24 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Ulsan Hyundai FC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.36 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.29 average — tighter than their form line. FC Anyang (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.07 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.43 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.