Preußen Münster 0-0 Hannover 96 – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Hannover 96 at 43% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Preußen Münster vs Hannover 96 encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Match Analysis
Preußen Münster host Hannover 96 at Preußen-Stadion in 2. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 2. Kick-off is scheduled for Sunday 11 August 2024 at 12:30 UTC.
Form Guide
Preußen Münster — All Games: 0W 0D 1L from 1 2. Bundesliga outings this season, averaging 0.00 points per game. Last five: L. They are averaging 1.00 goals per game and conceding 3.00 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. However, 3.00 goals conceded per game is a concern — opposing attacks have exploited them regularly. Both teams have scored in 100% of their matches — an extremely high rate that makes BTTS Yes a well-supported standalone angle from their form alone. Preußen Münster have played only a handful of 2. Bundesliga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
Across all 2. Bundesliga games this season, Hannover 96 have recorded 4W 4D 2L from 10 outings — 1.60 PPG. Last five: D W W L W. They are scoring at 1.50 per game and conceding 1.00. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. Hannover 96 have played only a handful of 2. Bundesliga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
When travelling in 2. Bundesliga this season, Hannover 96 have posted 3W 4D 3L from 10 away outings — 1.30 PPG. Away from home they average 1.30 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game.
Despite the home advantage, the form figures favour Hannover 96 — 1.60 PPG ahead of the hosts (1.60 vs 0.00). That gap is large enough to take seriously. Draw No Bet on the visitors neutralises home-ground risk while maintaining the form-backed selection.
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Preußen Münster 1.19 xG and Hannover 96 1.52 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Preußen Münster attack 0.868 / defence 1.150 | Hannover 96 attack 1.016 / defence 0.905. League average goals — home 1.521 / away 1.299. Data: 1 Preußen Münster games / 35 Hannover 96 games used (Blended). A blend of current and prior-season data is applied to stabilise estimates early in the campaign.
Result probabilities: Preußen Münster 28% | Draw 29% | Hannover 96 43%. Fair-value odds: Preußen Münster 3.57 | Draw 3.45 | Hannover 96 2.33. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 29% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 51% | BTTS probability 56% | Total xG 2.71. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 51%/49% — the total xG of 2.71 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 56% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Analysis Verdict
On the Poisson output, Hannover 96 are the pick at 43% — marginal model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 29% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Hannover 96 offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 28% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
Poisson projects 2.71 total expected goals, pointing to Over 2.5 at 51% probability — reasonable conviction, supported by form averaging 3.3 goals per game.
The Poisson model is drawing on Blended data (1 games minimum) — early-season projections carry additional uncertainty. Weight the live form and odds signals accordingly.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Preußen Münster vs Hannover 96 | Competition: 2. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 2 | Venue: Preußen-Stadion • Kick-off: Sunday 11 Aug 2024, 12:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Preußen Münster 28% | Draw 29% | Hannover 96 43% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 51% | BTTS 56% | xG Preußen Münster 1.19 / Hannover 96 1.52 • Poisson strength factors: Preußen Münster attack 0.868 / def 1.150 | Hannover 96 attack 1.016 / def 0.905 | league avg home 1.521 / away 1.299 • Poisson stance: Hannover 96 (43%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.19
Preußen Münster xG
Expected Goals
1.52
Hannover 96 xG
56%
BTTS
77%
Over 1.5
51%
Over 2.5
29%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Preußen Münster vs Hannover 96 kick off?
Preußen Münster vs Hannover 96 kicked off at 12:30 on Sunday 11 August 2024 at Preußen-Stadion.
What was the final score in Preußen Münster vs Hannover 96?
Preußen Münster 0 - 0 Hannover 96.
Where is Preußen Münster vs Hannover 96 being played?
The match is being played at Preußen-Stadion.
What competition is Preußen Münster vs Hannover 96 part of?
Preußen Münster vs Hannover 96 is a Regular Season - 2 fixture in the 2. Bundesliga (Germany).
Who is favourite to win Preußen Münster vs Hannover 96?
Our statistical model gives Preußen Münster a 28% chance of winning, Hannover 96 a 43% chance, and a 29% chance of a draw — making Hannover 96 the favourite.
Will both teams score in Preußen Münster vs Hannover 96?
Our model estimates a 56% probability that both Preußen Münster and Hannover 96 will score (BTTS).
Will Preußen Münster vs Hannover 96 have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 51%.
What is the head-to-head record between Preußen Münster and Hannover 96?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Preußen Münster and Hannover 96 in?
Preußen Münster (all comps): 0W-0D-1L in 1 | 0.00 PPG | GF 1.00 / GA 3.00 | L5 L. Hannover 96 (all comps): 4W-4D-2L in 10 | 1.60 PPG | GF 1.50 / GA 1.00 | L5 D-W-W-L-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
Working from Preußen Münster's attack rating (0.87) and Hannover 96's defence rating (0.91), the model arrives at 1.19 expected goals for the home side. The same calculation in reverse, Hannover 96's attack versus Preußen Münster's defence, projects 1.52 expected goals for the visitors.
The sample (1/35 games) mixes this season and last, since the current campaign is still relatively young.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 13.6%. Close behind: 1-2 (9.1%), 0-1 (8.5%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 31% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Hannover 96 Win
28%
3.57
29%
3.44
43%
2.33
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.0%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
10.1%
Away win
1 – 2
9.1%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.19
Preußen Münster xG
Total xG
2.71
1.52
Hannover 96 xG
3.57
28%
Home win
3.44
29%
Draw
2.33
43%
Away win
Goals Markets
75%
Over 1.5
1.33
25%
Under 1.5
4.00
51%
Over 2.5
1.96
49%
Under 2.5
2.04
29%
Over 3.5
3.45
71%
Under 3.5
1.41
14%
Over 4.5
7.14
86%
Under 4.5
1.16
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
56%
BTTS Yes
1.78
44%
BTTS No
2.29
Clean Sheet
22%
4.56
30%
3.30
Win to Nil
6%
16.27
13%
7.70
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.6 | 10.1 | 7.7 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 7.9 | 12.0 | 9.1 | 4.6 | 1.8 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 4.7 | 7.2 | 5.5 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Preußen Münster vs Hannover 96?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.6%.
How many goals are Preußen Münster and Hannover 96 expected to score?
The model projects 1.19 expected goals for Preußen Münster and 1.52 for Hannover 96, a combined total of 2.71.
How confident is the prediction model for Preußen Münster vs Hannover 96?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 43%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
Preußen Münster's recent record stands at 0W 0D 1L from 1 games, a 0.00 PPG return, with L in the last five. It's still early in the season for Preußen Münster, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Hannover 96, meanwhile, have gone 1W 0D 0L across 1 games — 3.00 PPG, with W in their last five. It's still early in the season for Hannover 96, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
The points-per-game comparison favours Hannover 96 by 3.00 — a real, if not enormous, edge over Preußen Münster heading into this one.
The Goals Picture
Preußen Münster are averaging 1.00 goals scored and 3.00 conceded per game recently; Hannover 96 are on 2.00 scored and 0.00 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Preußen Münster have seen both teams score in 100% of their recent games; Hannover 96 in 0%.
Defensively: Hannover 96 in 100% — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 1 Results — 2. Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Preußen Münster
Early Season
Hannover 96
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Preußen Münster and Hannover 96 in coming into this match?
Preußen Münster have gone 0W 0D 1L in their last 1 games (0.00 PPG), while Hannover 96 have gone 1W 0D 0L in their last 1 (3.00 PPG).
Have Preußen Münster or Hannover 96 been keeping clean sheets recently?
Preußen Münster have kept a clean sheet in 0% of their recent games, Hannover 96 in 100%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between Preußen Münster and Hannover 96 runs to 4 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to August 2024. Every recorded meeting has come in 2. Bundesliga. They last met on 3 May 2026, roughly 3 months ago.
Digging Into the Numbers
The last 4 meetings have all been drawn — an unusually settled recent run for this fixture.
Preußen Münster's record when hosting Hannover 96 specifically: 0W 2D 0L from 2 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 4 Meetings
0
Preußen Münster
4
Draws
0
Hannover 96
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Preußen Münster and Hannover 96?
From 4 meetings on record, Preußen Münster have won 0, Hannover 96 have won 0, and 4 have been drawn.
When did Preußen Münster and Hannover 96 last play each other?
They last met on 3 May 2026, when Hannover 96 3-3 Preußen Münster.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Preußen Münster home games / Hannover 96 away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Preußen Münster play Hannover 96?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 100% of Preußen Münster's recent matches and 0% of Hannover 96's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Preußen Münster vs Hannover 96 usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 100% of Preußen Münster's recent games and 0% of Hannover 96's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Preußen Münster and Hannover 96 tend to score early?
Preußen Münster have had a goal before half-time in 100% of their recent matches, Hannover 96 in 100% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Preußen Münster's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Preußen-Stadion, Regular Season - 2, as Preußen Münster and Hannover 96 drew 0-0 in the 2. Bundesliga. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Preußen Münster 1.19 xG and Hannover 96 1.52 xG, a combined 2.71. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Preußen Münster fell 1.2 short of their projected output. Hannover 96 landed 1.5 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Preußen Münster attack 0.87 / defence 1.15 against Hannover 96 attack 1.02 / defence 0.91, drawn from 1/35 games (Blended).
On the result, the model split it Preußen Münster 28% | Draw 29% | Hannover 96 43%, with Hannover 96 to win its most likely call at 43%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 29%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 51%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 77% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 56% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 50% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Preußen Münster 100%, Hannover 96 0%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 50%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Form vs Result
On form, Hannover 96 arrived the stronger side — 3.00 PPG against 0.00. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Preußen Münster managed 0 against a 1.00 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 3.00 average — tighter than their form line. Hannover 96 managed 0 against a 2.00 scoring average — below par going forward.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.