WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna – Pre-Match Analysis
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Poisson model favours Rapid Vienna (41%) — form and H2H data both point in the same direction as WSG Wattens face Rapid Vienna.
✍️ Match Preview
Match Analysis
WSG Wattens host Rapid Vienna at Tivoli Stadion Tirol in Bundesliga, Regular Season - 19. Kick-off is scheduled for Saturday 6 February 2027 at 16:00 UTC.
Form Guide
WSG Wattens — All Games: 2W 3D 5L from 10 Bundesliga outings this season, averaging 0.90 points per game. Last five: L W W D L. They are averaging 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.90 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. WSG Wattens have played only a handful of Bundesliga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
At home at Tivoli Stadion Tirol, WSG Wattens have gone 3W 5D 2L this season (10 games, 1.40 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 70% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture.
Looking at all fixtures this season, Rapid Vienna stand at 7W 0D 3L from 10 Bundesliga matches — 2.10 PPG. Last five: W W L W W. Their attacking form is sharp — 2.50 goals per game is a high-output rate that commands respect in the goals markets. 5 clean sheets from 10 games (50%) is an exceptional defensive record — they are keeping clean sheets more often than not. Rapid Vienna have played only a handful of Bundesliga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
Rapid Vienna away from home this season: 3W 3D 4L from 10 away games — 1.20 PPG on the road. Away from home they average 1.30 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 70% of their away matches — a high BTTS rate on the road that directly informs this fixture. Their away PPG of 1.20 is notably below their overall 2.10 — form away from home has been a clear weakness this season.
Despite the home advantage, the form figures favour Rapid Vienna — 1.20 PPG ahead of the hosts (2.10 vs 0.90). That gap is large enough to take seriously. Draw No Bet on the visitors neutralises home-ground risk while maintaining the form-backed selection.
Both teams score in over 70% of each side's relevant games (using home/away splits). At that combined rate, BTTS Yes is as well-evidenced as it gets — the data strongly backs two-way scoring.
H2H Record
Rapid Vienna have tended to come out on top in this fixture, winning 7 of the last 10 encounters against WSG Wattens's 0 victories.
The 10 previous meetings have averaged 2.6 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 18 Sep 2026, ended 0–3 with Rapid Vienna winning.
It is worth noting that Rapid Vienna have a superior record in this fixture despite their visitor status — 7 wins from 10 meetings. Home advantage alone is not a sufficient reason to dismiss that track record.
In-Play Data
WSG Wattens trading profile (39 games, 19 at home): they score before half-time in 90% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 57% of the time; BTTS occurs in 68% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 53% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 38%.
Rapid Vienna trading profile (39 games, 19 at away): they score before half-time in 79% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 88% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 50% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 63% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 47% of games (away games).
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — WSG Wattens 56% versus Rapid Vienna 51%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (WSG Wattens 54% | Rapid Vienna 49%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects WSG Wattens 1.60 xG and Rapid Vienna 1.77 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: WSG Wattens attack 0.903 / defence 1.197 | Rapid Vienna attack 1.234 / defence 1.061. League average goals — home 1.667 / away 1.199. Rapid Vienna have an above-average attack strength of 1.234 — the away xG of 1.77 is driven by genuine attacking quality on the road. Data: 29 WSG Wattens games / 29 Rapid Vienna games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: WSG Wattens 33% | Draw 26% | Rapid Vienna 41%. Fair-value odds: WSG Wattens 3.03 | Draw 3.85 | Rapid Vienna 2.44. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 26% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 65% | BTTS probability 68% | Total xG 3.37. Over 2.5 is the model's clear signal at 65% — a total xG of 3.37 means the expected score alone exceeds the 2.5 threshold, making the Over not just likely but structurally supported by both sides' attack/defence profiles. BTTS Yes at 68% reflects that both xG figures (1.60 / 1.77) are above the threshold where scoring blanks become the primary outcome — both sides are projected to find the net.
Analysis Verdict
On the Poisson output, Rapid Vienna are the pick at 41% — marginal model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 26% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Rapid Vienna offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 33% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
Poisson projects 3.37 total expected goals, pointing to Over 2.5 at 65% probability — reasonable conviction, supported by form averaging 3.0 goals per game.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is Yes at 68%. Form rates corroborate: WSG Wattens 70% | Rapid Vienna 70% BTTS from recent games.
The outsider holds a 33% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna | Competition: Bundesliga, Regular Season - 19 | Venue: Tivoli Stadion Tirol • Kick-off: Saturday 6 Feb 2027, 16:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: WSG Wattens 33% | Draw 26% | Rapid Vienna 41% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 65% | BTTS 68% | xG WSG Wattens 1.60 / Rapid Vienna 1.77 • Poisson strength factors: WSG Wattens attack 0.903 / def 1.197 | Rapid Vienna attack 1.234 / def 1.061 | league avg home 1.667 / away 1.199 • Poisson stance: Rapid Vienna (41%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.60
WSG Wattens xG
Expected Goals
1.77
Rapid Vienna xG
68%
BTTS
87%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
43%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna kick off?
WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna is scheduled to kick off at 16:00 on Saturday 6 February 2027 at Tivoli Stadion Tirol.
Where is WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna being played?
The match is being played at Tivoli Stadion Tirol.
What competition is WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna part of?
WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna is a Regular Season - 19 fixture in the Bundesliga (Austria).
Who is favourite to win WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna?
Our statistical model gives WSG Wattens a 33% chance of winning, Rapid Vienna a 41% chance, and a 26% chance of a draw — making Rapid Vienna the favourite.
Will both teams score in WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna?
Our model estimates a 68% probability that both WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna will score (BTTS).
Will WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 65%.
What is the head-to-head record between WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna?
Record (10 meetings): WSG Wattens 0W | Draws 3 | Rapid Vienna 7W.
What form are WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna in?
WSG Wattens (all comps): 2W-3D-5L in 10 | 0.90 PPG | GF 1.00 / GA 1.90 | L5 L-W-W-D-L. Rapid Vienna (all comps): 7W-0D-3L in 10 | 2.10 PPG | GF 2.50 / GA 1.10 | L5 W-W-L-W-W.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
Working from WSG Wattens's attack rating (0.90) and Rapid Vienna's defence rating (1.06), the model arrives at 1.60 expected goals for the home side. The same calculation in reverse, Rapid Vienna's attack versus WSG Wattens's defence, projects 1.77 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 29/29 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 11.0%. Close behind: 1-2 (8.6%), 2-1 (7.8%). Together the top three scorelines make up 27% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Rapid Vienna Win
33%
3.00
26%
3.83
41%
2.46
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
9.7%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
8.6%
Away win
2 – 1
7.8%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.60
WSG Wattens xG
Total xG
3.37
1.77
Rapid Vienna xG
3.00
33%
Home win
3.83
26%
Draw
2.46
41%
Away win
Goals Markets
85%
Over 1.5
1.18
15%
Under 1.5
6.67
65%
Over 2.5
1.54
35%
Under 2.5
2.86
43%
Over 3.5
2.33
57%
Under 3.5
1.75
25%
Over 4.5
4.00
75%
Under 4.5
1.33
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
68%
BTTS Yes
1.47
32%
BTTS No
3.12
Clean Sheet
17%
5.88
20%
4.94
Win to Nil
6%
17.65
8%
12.16
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.4 | 6.1 | 5.4 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| 1 | 5.5 | 9.7 | 8.6 | 5.1 | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| 2 | 4.4 | 7.8 | 6.9 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 3 | 2.3 | 4.1 | 3.7 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 11.0%.
How many goals are WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna expected to score?
The model projects 1.60 expected goals for WSG Wattens and 1.77 for Rapid Vienna, a combined total of 3.37.
How confident is the prediction model for WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 41%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
Across their last 39 outings, WSG Wattens have picked up 1.23 PPG on a 12W 12D 15L record — L-W-W-D-L across the most recent five. It's still early in the season for WSG Wattens, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Rapid Vienna's form line: 17W 8D 14L from 39 games, 1.51 PPG, last five W-W-L-W-W. It's still early in the season for Rapid Vienna, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Form-wise this is close to level: WSG Wattens on 1.23 PPG, Rapid Vienna on 1.51. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Venue Form
On home soil, WSG Wattens have posted 1.47 PPG from 19 outings (7W 7D 5L).
On the road, Rapid Vienna have gone 6W 6D 7L from 19 away games — 1.26 PPG when travelling.
Goals in Recent Form
WSG Wattens are averaging 1.26 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game recently; Rapid Vienna are on 1.49 scored and 1.26 conceded.
Last 39 Results — Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
WSG Wattens
Early Season
Rapid Vienna
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna in coming into this match?
WSG Wattens have gone 12W 12D 15L in their last 39 games (1.23 PPG), while Rapid Vienna have gone 17W 8D 14L in their last 39 (1.51 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — WSG Wattens at home or Rapid Vienna away?
WSG Wattens's home record (1.47 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — WSG Wattens at home: 1.47 PPG; Rapid Vienna away: 1.26 PPG.
Have WSG Wattens or Rapid Vienna been keeping clean sheets recently?
WSG Wattens have kept a clean sheet in 23% of their recent games, Rapid Vienna in 31%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
10 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to May 2022. Every recorded meeting has come in Bundesliga. The two were last together as recently as 18 September 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Streaks & Records
The biggest gap between the sides came on 1 Oct 2022, when Rapid Vienna won 0-5 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
WSG Wattens's record when hosting Rapid Vienna specifically: 0W 2D 2L from 4 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
0
WSG Wattens
3
Draws
7
Rapid Vienna
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna?
From 10 meetings on record, WSG Wattens have won 0, Rapid Vienna have won 7, and 3 have been drawn.
When did WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna last play each other?
They last met on 18 September 2026, when Rapid Vienna 3-0 WSG Wattens.
Who has won more matches between WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna?
Rapid Vienna have the better head-to-head record, with 7 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
WSG Wattens are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 90% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 26% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 21% of those situations.
Rapid Vienna are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 79% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 32% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 16% of those situations.
Full-Time Trends
Both teams scoring has been the norm for this pairing lately — WSG Wattens at 68%, Rapid Vienna at 63%. That combined rate makes BTTS Yes a well-supported trading angle.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 53% (WSG Wattens) and 47% (Rapid Vienna).
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = WSG Wattens home games / Rapid Vienna away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when WSG Wattens play Rapid Vienna?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 68% of WSG Wattens's games and 63% of Rapid Vienna's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 53% of WSG Wattens's recent games and 47% of Rapid Vienna's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna tend to score early?
WSG Wattens have had a goal before half-time in 90% of their recent matches, Rapid Vienna in 79% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
The match report will be available once the game has finished.