WSG Wattens 0-0 Rapid Vienna – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model projects a closely fought contest — draw probability sits at 35% as WSG Wattens take on Rapid Vienna.
✍️ Match Preview
Match Analysis
WSG Wattens host Rapid Vienna at Tivoli Stadion Tirol in Bundesliga, Regular Season - 14. Kick-off is scheduled for Saturday 23 November 2024 at 16:00 UTC.
Form Guide
WSG Wattens — All Games: 2W 2D 6L from 10 Bundesliga outings this season, averaging 0.80 points per game. Last five: D L L W L. They are averaging 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.50 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. This season is still relatively young for WSG Wattens, so this record blends games from this season and last.
At home at Tivoli Stadion Tirol, WSG Wattens have gone 3W 4D 3L this season (10 games, 1.30 PPG). At home they are averaging 0.60 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 5 clean sheets from 10 home games (50%) — they are an exceptionally hard side to score against at Tivoli Stadion Tirol. At home, both teams have scored in only 30% of games — reinforcing BTTS No as the home-venue-backed angle. Their home PPG of 1.30 is noticeably stronger than their overall 0.80 — WSG Wattens are significantly better at Tivoli Stadion Tirol than their overall form suggests.
Looking at all fixtures this season, Rapid Vienna stand at 5W 4D 1L from 10 Bundesliga matches — 1.90 PPG. Last five: W W D D W. Their scoring rate of 1.40 per game is modest, conceding 1.10 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. This season is still relatively young for Rapid Vienna, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Rapid Vienna away from home this season: 2W 5D 3L from 10 away games — 1.10 PPG on the road. Away from home they average 0.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. Their away PPG of 1.10 is notably below their overall 1.90 — form away from home has been a clear weakness this season.
Despite the home advantage, the form figures favour Rapid Vienna — 1.10 PPG ahead of the hosts (1.90 vs 0.80). That gap is large enough to take seriously. Draw No Bet on the visitors neutralises home-ground risk while maintaining the form-backed selection.
H2H Record
Rapid Vienna have tended to come out on top in this fixture, winning 5 of the last 6 encounters against WSG Wattens's 0 victories.
The 6 previous meetings have averaged 2.7 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 18 Aug 2024, ended 0–2 with Rapid Vienna winning.
It is worth noting that Rapid Vienna have a superior record in this fixture despite their visitor status — 5 wins from 6 meetings. Home advantage alone is not a sufficient reason to dismiss that track record.
In-Play Data
WSG Wattens trading profile (45 games, 22 at home): they score before half-time in 64% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 73% of the time; BTTS occurs in 46% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 32% of games (home games); they fail to score in 47% of games.
Rapid Vienna trading profile (45 games, 22 at away): they score before half-time in 64% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 85% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 54% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 41% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 27% of games (away games).
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — WSG Wattens 47% versus Rapid Vienna 47%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (WSG Wattens 47% | Rapid Vienna 36%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects WSG Wattens 0.84 xG and Rapid Vienna 0.86 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: WSG Wattens attack 0.672 / defence 0.886 | Rapid Vienna attack 0.883 / defence 0.831. League average goals — home 1.507 / away 1.098. WSG Wattens's attack strength of 0.672 is below the league average — the 0.84 xG projection reflects a team that scores at a discount to the division norm. Data: 35 WSG Wattens games / 35 Rapid Vienna games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: WSG Wattens 32% | Draw 35% | Rapid Vienna 33%. Fair-value odds: WSG Wattens 3.12 | Draw 2.86 | Rapid Vienna 3.03. The draw (35%) is the Poisson-preferred outcome — neither side is more likely to win than to draw, making draw-inclusive markets the most model-aligned approach.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 24% | BTTS probability 34% | Total xG 1.70. Under 2.5 is the strongly backed market at 76% probability — total xG of 1.70 sits well below the 2.5 threshold. The model is projecting a tight, low-scoring match based on both sides' defensive quality. BTTS No has firm model support at 66% — WSG Wattens's lower xG of 0.84 creates a meaningful probability of a scoring blank, which suppresses the BTTS Yes probability to 34%.
Analysis Verdict
The Poisson model's preferred outcome is the draw at 35% — neither side is more likely to win than to draw. Draw-inclusive markets are the most model-aligned approach. Home win at 32% and away win at 33% are close enough that backing either outright carries significant draw exposure.
Poisson projects 1.70 total expected goals, pointing to Under 2.5 at 24% probability — reasonable conviction, supported by form averaging 1.6 goals per game.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is No at 34%. Form rates corroborate: WSG Wattens 30% | Rapid Vienna 50% BTTS from recent games.
The outsider holds a 32% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
🔮 Your Prediction
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna | Competition: Bundesliga, Regular Season - 14 | Venue: Tivoli Stadion Tirol • Kick-off: Saturday 23 Nov 2024, 16:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: WSG Wattens 32% | Draw 35% | Rapid Vienna 33% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 24% | BTTS 34% | xG WSG Wattens 0.84 / Rapid Vienna 0.86 • Poisson strength factors: WSG Wattens attack 0.672 / def 0.886 | Rapid Vienna attack 0.883 / def 0.831 | league avg home 1.507 / away 1.098 • Poisson stance: Draw (35%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
0.84
WSG Wattens xG
Expected Goals
0.86
Rapid Vienna xG
34%
BTTS
51%
Over 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
9%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna kick off?
WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna kicked off at 16:00 on Saturday 23 November 2024 at Tivoli Stadion Tirol.
What was the final score in WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna?
WSG Wattens 0 - 0 Rapid Vienna.
Where is WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna being played?
The match is being played at Tivoli Stadion Tirol.
What competition is WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna part of?
WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna is a Regular Season - 14 fixture in the Bundesliga (Austria).
Who is favourite to win WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna?
Our statistical model gives WSG Wattens a 32% chance of winning, Rapid Vienna a 33% chance, and a 35% chance of a draw, making this a very evenly-matched fixture.
Will both teams score in WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna?
Our model estimates a 34% probability that both WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna will score (BTTS).
Will WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 24%.
What is the head-to-head record between WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna?
Record (6 meetings): WSG Wattens 0W | Draws 1 | Rapid Vienna 5W.
What form are WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna in?
WSG Wattens (all comps): 2W-2D-6L in 10 | 0.80 PPG | GF 0.90 / GA 1.50 | L5 D-L-L-W-L. Rapid Vienna (all comps): 5W-4D-1L in 10 | 1.90 PPG | GF 1.40 / GA 1.10 | L5 W-W-D-D-W.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
Working from WSG Wattens's attack rating (0.67) and Rapid Vienna's defence rating (0.83), the model arrives at 0.84 expected goals for the home side. The same calculation in reverse, Rapid Vienna's attack versus WSG Wattens's defence, projects 0.86 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 35/35 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 0-0 emerges as the single most likely result, at 19.9%. Close behind: 1-1 (14.9%), 0-1 (13.9%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 49% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Draw
32%
3.14
35%
2.82
33%
3.06
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 0
18.2%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
15.7%
Away win
1 – 0
15.4%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.84
WSG Wattens xG
Total xG
1.70
0.86
Rapid Vienna xG
3.14
32%
Home win
2.82
35%
Draw
3.06
33%
Away win
Goals Markets
51%
Over 1.5
1.96
49%
Under 1.5
2.04
24%
Over 2.5
4.17
76%
Under 2.5
1.32
9%
Over 3.5
11.11
91%
Under 3.5
1.10
3%
Over 4.5
33.33
97%
Under 4.5
1.03
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
34%
BTTS Yes
2.98
66%
BTTS No
1.51
Clean Sheet
42%
2.36
43%
2.32
Win to Nil
13%
7.42
14%
7.10
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 18.2 | 15.7 | 6.7 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 15.4 | 13.2 | 5.7 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 6.5 | 5.6 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna?
Our Poisson model rates 0-0 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 19.9%.
How many goals are WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna expected to score?
The model projects 0.84 expected goals for WSG Wattens and 0.86 for Rapid Vienna, a combined total of 1.70.
How confident is the prediction model for WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 35%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
Across their last 45 outings, WSG Wattens have picked up 0.84 PPG on a 10W 8D 27L record — D-L-L-W-L across the most recent five. The sample for WSG Wattens is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Rapid Vienna's form line: 18W 17D 10L from 45 games, 1.58 PPG, last five W-W-D-D-W. The sample for Rapid Vienna is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Put side by side, Rapid Vienna are the form team by 0.74 points per game — a gap wide enough to matter, though form alone rarely tells the whole story against WSG Wattens.
Venue Form
On home soil, WSG Wattens have posted 0.95 PPG from 22 outings (5W 6D 11L).
On the road, Rapid Vienna have gone 8W 9D 5L from 22 away games — 1.50 PPG when travelling.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Rapid Vienna come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Goals in Recent Form
WSG Wattens are averaging 0.89 goals scored and 1.62 conceded per game recently; Rapid Vienna are on 1.44 scored and 1.04 conceded.
Defensively: Rapid Vienna in 36% — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 45 Results — Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
WSG Wattens
Blended
Rapid Vienna
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna in coming into this match?
WSG Wattens have gone 10W 8D 27L in their last 45 games (0.84 PPG), while Rapid Vienna have gone 18W 17D 10L in their last 45 (1.58 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — WSG Wattens at home or Rapid Vienna away?
Rapid Vienna's away record (1.50 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — WSG Wattens at home: 0.95 PPG; Rapid Vienna away: 1.50 PPG.
Have WSG Wattens or Rapid Vienna been keeping clean sheets recently?
WSG Wattens have kept a clean sheet in 16% of their recent games, Rapid Vienna in 36%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
10 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to May 2022. Every recorded meeting has come in Bundesliga. The two were last together as recently as 18 September 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Streaks & Records
The biggest gap between the sides came on 1 Oct 2022, when Rapid Vienna won 0-5 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
WSG Wattens's record when hosting Rapid Vienna specifically: 0W 2D 2L from 4 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
0
WSG Wattens
3
Draws
7
Rapid Vienna
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna?
From 10 meetings on record, WSG Wattens have won 0, Rapid Vienna have won 7, and 3 have been drawn.
When did WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna last play each other?
They last met on 18 September 2026, when Rapid Vienna 3-0 WSG Wattens.
Who has won more matches between WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna?
Rapid Vienna have the better head-to-head record, with 7 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
WSG Wattens are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 64% of their matches.
Rapid Vienna are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 64% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 36% of the time.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — WSG Wattens 46%, Rapid Vienna 41% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Low-scoring games have been more typical here — Over 2.5 sits at just 32% for WSG Wattens and 27% for Rapid Vienna.
On the defensive side: Rapid Vienna in 36%; WSG Wattens have failed to score in 41% of games; Rapid Vienna in 27%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = WSG Wattens home games / Rapid Vienna away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when WSG Wattens play Rapid Vienna?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 46% of WSG Wattens's recent matches and 41% of Rapid Vienna's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 32% of WSG Wattens's recent games and 27% of Rapid Vienna's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna tend to score early?
WSG Wattens have had a goal before half-time in 64% of their recent matches, Rapid Vienna in 64% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at WSG Wattens's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Tivoli Stadion Tirol, Regular Season - 14, as WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna drew 0-0 in the Bundesliga. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting WSG Wattens 0.84 xG and Rapid Vienna 0.86 xG, a combined 1.70. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. WSG Wattens fell 0.8 short of their projected output. Rapid Vienna landed 0.9 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of WSG Wattens attack 0.67 / defence 0.89 against Rapid Vienna attack 0.88 / defence 0.83, drawn from 35/35 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it WSG Wattens 32% | Draw 35% | Rapid Vienna 33%, with the draw its most likely call at 35%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 24%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 51% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 34% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 41% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (WSG Wattens 47%, Rapid Vienna 36%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 47%, which matched the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
WSG Wattens's trading profile (45 games, 22 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 47% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 47% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Rapid Vienna's trading profile (45 games, 22 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 47% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 36% of the time, and duly kept one.
Form vs Result
On form, Rapid Vienna arrived the stronger side — 1.58 PPG against 0.84. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. WSG Wattens (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.91 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.32 average — tighter than their form line. Rapid Vienna (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.32 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 0.95 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (miss). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.