IF Brommapojkarna 0-1 Halmstad – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson rates IF Brommapojkarna at 51% — the H2H record provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this IF Brommapojkarna vs Halmstad encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A Allsvenskan encounter, Regular Season - 8 sees Halmstad travel to Grimsta IP to take on IF Brommapojkarna. The game is scheduled for Saturday 10 May 2025, 14:00 UTC.
Form Analysis
Looking at all fixtures this season, IF Brommapojkarna stand at 2W 3D 5L from 10 Allsvenskan matches — 0.90 PPG. Last five: W D L L L. They are averaging 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.50 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets.
At home at Grimsta IP, IF Brommapojkarna have gone 3W 3D 4L this season (10 games, 1.20 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their home matches — a rate that supports the Yes angle in this fixture.
Across all Allsvenskan games this season, Halmstad have recorded 3W 3D 4L from 10 outings — 1.20 PPG. Last five: L W W W L. Their scoring rate of 1.00 per game is modest, conceding 1.40 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation.
Halmstad's away record: 1W 1D 8L from 10 road trips in Allsvenskan this season (0.40 PPG). Away from home they average 0.70 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context. Their away PPG of 0.40 is notably below their overall 1.20 — form away from home has been a clear weakness this season.
The form comparison is too close to call — 0.90 PPG (IF Brommapojkarna) versus 1.20 (Halmstad). When the figures are this level, no pick can be reliably derived from recent results alone.
The BTTS market is worth targeting here. IF Brommapojkarna register both teams scoring in 60% of relevant matches, Halmstad in 60% (using home/away splits) — both sides above the 60% threshold gives BTTS Yes firm statistical grounding.
H2H Record
The fixture history tells a clear story: IF Brommapojkarna have dominated this rivalry, winning 5 of 6 past contests while Halmstad have managed just 1 wins.
The 6 previous encounters between these sides have been high-scoring affairs — 3.0 goals per contest on average. Historical precedent backs the Over 2.5 goals market. The most recent clash, on 3 Aug 2024, ended 4–1 with IF Brommapojkarna winning.
From a betting standpoint, the H2H backs both IF Brommapojkarna and goals. The home side's 5 wins from 6 meetings, combined with an average of 3.0 goals per game, gives the home win and Over 2.5 combination a historically grounded case.
In-Play Profile
IF Brommapojkarna in-play tendencies (60 games, 30 at home): they score before half-time in 67% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 80% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 53% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 57% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 63% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 35%.
Halmstad in-play tendencies (60 games, 30 at away): they score before half-time in 67% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 67% of the time; BTTS occurs in 57% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 57% of games (away games); they fail to score in 37% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — IF Brommapojkarna 60% versus Halmstad 45%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (IF Brommapojkarna 63% | Halmstad 50%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects IF Brommapojkarna 1.59 xG and Halmstad 0.99 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: IF Brommapojkarna attack 1.000 / defence 1.152 | Halmstad attack 0.679 / defence 1.139. League average goals — home 1.398 / away 1.269. Data: 36 IF Brommapojkarna games / 37 Halmstad games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: IF Brommapojkarna 51% | Draw 26% | Halmstad 23%. Fair-value odds: IF Brommapojkarna 1.96 | Draw 3.85 | Halmstad 4.35. IF Brommapojkarna hold a narrow Poisson edge at 51% — the draw (26%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 48% | BTTS probability 50% | Total xG 2.59. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 48%/52% — the total xG of 2.59 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 50% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Summary & Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is IF Brommapojkarna at 51% — moderate model lean. With a 26% draw probability, Draw No Bet on IF Brommapojkarna offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
Poisson projects 2.59 total expected goals, pointing to Under 2.5 at 48% probability — Poisson-only — limited corroboration conviction — though form averaging only 3.1 goals per game and H2H averaging only 3.0 goals per meeting point in the other direction.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is Yes at 50%. Form rates corroborate: IF Brommapojkarna 60% | Halmstad 60% BTTS from recent games.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: IF Brommapojkarna vs Halmstad | Competition: Allsvenskan, Regular Season - 8 | Venue: Grimsta IP • Kick-off: Saturday 10 May 2025, 14:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: IF Brommapojkarna 51% | Draw 26% | Halmstad 23% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 48% | BTTS 50% | xG IF Brommapojkarna 1.59 / Halmstad 0.99 • Poisson strength factors: IF Brommapojkarna attack 1.000 / def 1.152 | Halmstad attack 0.679 / def 1.139 | league avg home 1.398 / away 1.269 • Poisson stance: IF Brommapojkarna (51%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.59
IF Brommapojkarna xG
Expected Goals
0.99
Halmstad xG
50%
BTTS
73%
Over 1.5
48%
Over 2.5
26%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does IF Brommapojkarna vs Halmstad kick off?
IF Brommapojkarna vs Halmstad kicked off at 14:00 on Saturday 10 May 2025 at Grimsta IP.
What was the final score in IF Brommapojkarna vs Halmstad?
IF Brommapojkarna 0 - 1 Halmstad.
Where is IF Brommapojkarna vs Halmstad being played?
The match is being played at Grimsta IP.
What competition is IF Brommapojkarna vs Halmstad part of?
IF Brommapojkarna vs Halmstad is a Regular Season - 8 fixture in the Allsvenskan (Sweden).
Who is favourite to win IF Brommapojkarna vs Halmstad?
Our statistical model gives IF Brommapojkarna a 51% chance of winning, Halmstad a 23% chance, and a 26% chance of a draw — making IF Brommapojkarna the favourite.
Will both teams score in IF Brommapojkarna vs Halmstad?
Our model estimates a 50% probability that both IF Brommapojkarna and Halmstad will score (BTTS).
Will IF Brommapojkarna vs Halmstad have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 48%.
What is the head-to-head record between IF Brommapojkarna and Halmstad?
Record (6 meetings): IF Brommapojkarna 5W | Draws 0 | Halmstad 1W.
What form are IF Brommapojkarna and Halmstad in?
IF Brommapojkarna (all comps): 2W-3D-5L in 10 | 0.90 PPG | GF 1.30 / GA 1.50 | L5 W-D-L-L-L. Halmstad (all comps): 3W-3D-4L in 10 | 1.20 PPG | GF 1.00 / GA 1.40 | L5 L-W-W-W-L.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
Working from IF Brommapojkarna's attack rating (1.00) and Halmstad's defence rating (1.14), the model arrives at 1.59 expected goals for the home side. The same calculation in reverse, Halmstad's attack versus IF Brommapojkarna's defence, projects 0.99 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 36/37 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 13.5%. Close behind: 1-0 (10.5%), 2-0 (9.6%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 33% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
IF Brommapojkarna Win
51%
1.96
26%
3.92
23%
4.29
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
12.0%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
11.9%
Draw
2 – 0
9.6%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.59
IF Brommapojkarna xG
Total xG
2.59
0.99
Halmstad xG
1.96
51%
Home win
3.92
26%
Draw
4.29
23%
Away win
Goals Markets
73%
Over 1.5
1.37
27%
Under 1.5
3.70
48%
Over 2.5
2.08
52%
Under 2.5
1.92
26%
Over 3.5
3.85
74%
Under 3.5
1.35
12%
Over 4.5
8.33
88%
Under 4.5
1.14
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
50%
BTTS Yes
1.98
50%
BTTS No
2.02
Clean Sheet
37%
2.70
20%
4.92
Win to Nil
19%
5.27
5%
21.11
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 12.0 | 11.9 | 5.9 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.6 | 9.5 | 4.7 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.1 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for IF Brommapojkarna vs Halmstad?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.5%.
How many goals are IF Brommapojkarna and Halmstad expected to score?
The model projects 1.59 expected goals for IF Brommapojkarna and 0.99 for Halmstad, a combined total of 2.59.
How confident is the prediction model for IF Brommapojkarna vs Halmstad?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 51%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
Across their last 60 outings, IF Brommapojkarna have picked up 1.18 PPG on a 19W 14D 27L record — W-D-L-L-L across the most recent five.
Halmstad's form line: 19W 12D 29L from 60 games, 1.15 PPG, last five L-W-W-W-L.
Form-wise this is close to level: IF Brommapojkarna on 1.18 PPG, Halmstad on 1.15. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Venue Form
On home soil, IF Brommapojkarna have posted 1.17 PPG from 30 outings (9W 8D 13L).
On the road, Halmstad have gone 7W 5D 18L from 30 away games — 0.87 PPG when travelling.
Goals in Recent Form
IF Brommapojkarna are averaging 1.52 goals scored and 1.68 conceded per game recently; Halmstad are on 1.03 scored and 1.57 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: IF Brommapojkarna have seen both teams score in 60% of their recent games.
Last 60 Results — Allsvenskan
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
IF Brommapojkarna
Current Season
Halmstad
Current Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are IF Brommapojkarna and Halmstad in coming into this match?
IF Brommapojkarna have gone 19W 14D 27L in their last 60 games (1.18 PPG), while Halmstad have gone 19W 12D 29L in their last 60 (1.15 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — IF Brommapojkarna at home or Halmstad away?
IF Brommapojkarna's home record (1.17 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — IF Brommapojkarna at home: 1.17 PPG; Halmstad away: 0.87 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
9 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to May 2022. The pairing has crossed competitions too — Superettan, Allsvenskan all feature in the head-to-head log. They last met on 4 May 2026, roughly 4 months ago.
Streaks & Records
The biggest gap between the sides came on 3 Aug 2024, when IF Brommapojkarna won 4-1 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
IF Brommapojkarna's record when hosting Halmstad specifically: 3W 0D 1L from 4 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 9 Meetings
6
IF Brommapojkarna
1
Draws
2
Halmstad
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between IF Brommapojkarna and Halmstad?
From 9 meetings on record, IF Brommapojkarna have won 6, Halmstad have won 2, and 1 have been drawn.
When did IF Brommapojkarna and Halmstad last play each other?
They last met on 4 May 2026, when Halmstad 1-3 IF Brommapojkarna.
Who has won more matches between IF Brommapojkarna and Halmstad?
IF Brommapojkarna have the better head-to-head record, with 6 wins from 9 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
IF Brommapojkarna are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 67% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 27% of the time.
Halmstad are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 67% of their matches.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — IF Brommapojkarna 57%, Halmstad 57% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 63% for IF Brommapojkarna and 57% for Halmstad. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 30% and 40% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: IF Brommapojkarna have failed to score in 33% of games; Halmstad in 33%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = IF Brommapojkarna home games / Halmstad away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when IF Brommapojkarna play Halmstad?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 57% of IF Brommapojkarna's games and 57% of Halmstad's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is IF Brommapojkarna vs Halmstad usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 63% of IF Brommapojkarna's matches and 57% of Halmstad's.
Do IF Brommapojkarna and Halmstad tend to score early?
IF Brommapojkarna have had a goal before half-time in 67% of their recent matches, Halmstad in 67% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Shock result as Halmstad defy the odds to beat IF Brommapojkarna 0-1.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Halmstad beat IF Brommapojkarna 0-1 at Grimsta IP, Regular Season - 8, in the Allsvenskan. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting IF Brommapojkarna 1.59 xG and Halmstad 0.99 xG, a combined 2.59. The scoreboard read 0-1 for 1 actual goal. IF Brommapojkarna fell 1.6 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of IF Brommapojkarna attack 1.00 / defence 1.15 against Halmstad attack 0.68 / defence 1.14, drawn from 36/37 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it IF Brommapojkarna 51% | Draw 26% | Halmstad 23%, with IF Brommapojkarna to win its most likely call at 51%. Instead the game produced a Halmstad win, an outcome the model had rated at just 23% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 48%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 73% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 50% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 57% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (IF Brommapojkarna 63%, Halmstad 50%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 52%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
IF Brommapojkarna's trading profile (60 games, 30 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did not.
Halmstad's trading profile (60 games, 30 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 45% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — IF Brommapojkarna 1.18 PPG, Halmstad 1.15 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Halmstad win broke the near-deadlock. IF Brommapojkarna (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.23 scoring average — below par going forward. Halmstad (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 2.10 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.