1. FC Kaiserslautern 3-2 Eintracht Braunschweig – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates 1. FC Kaiserslautern at 67%, yet other data sources diverge — this 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Eintracht Braunschweig fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A 2. Bundesliga encounter, Regular Season - 13 sees Eintracht Braunschweig travel to Fritz-Walter-Stadion to take on 1. FC Kaiserslautern. The game is scheduled for Sunday 24 November 2024, 12:30 UTC.
Recent Form
Across all 2. Bundesliga games this season, 1. FC Kaiserslautern have gone 3W 4D 3L from 10 outings — a 1.30 PPG return. Last five: L W W D D. Offensively they are averaging 1.60 goals per game, with 1.50 conceded. 4 clean sheets in 10 games (40%) reflects a solid defensive base. This season is still relatively young for 1. FC Kaiserslautern, so this record blends games from this season and last.
1. FC Kaiserslautern's form when playing at home: 4W 4D 2L across 10 games at Fritz-Walter-Stadion this term (1.60 PPG). They are averaging 2.60 goals per home game — a prolific scoring rate in front of their own fans. Both teams have scored in 80% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture.
Eintracht Braunschweig — All Games: 3W 3D 4L from 10 2. Bundesliga fixtures this season — 1.20 PPG. Last five: W L D D W. Their scoring rate of 1.20 per game is modest, conceding 1.60 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. This season is still relatively young for Eintracht Braunschweig, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Eintracht Braunschweig's away record: 1W 3D 6L from 10 road trips in 2. Bundesliga this season (0.60 PPG). Away from home they average 1.00 goals scored and 2.70 conceded per game. Their away PPG of 0.60 is notably below their overall 1.20 — form away from home has been a clear weakness this season.
The form figures are too closely matched to derive a directional pick: 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1.30 PPG, Eintracht Braunschweig 1.20 PPG. Look to other data sets to build the analysis.
H2H Record
There is little to separate the sides historically. From 4 previous meetings, 1. FC Kaiserslautern have won 1, Eintracht Braunschweig 2, with 1 draws — a balanced ledger that offers no obvious directional steer on its own.
The 4 previous meetings have averaged 2.8 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 19 May 2024, ended 5–0 with 1. FC Kaiserslautern winning.
The head-to-head offers no strong directional steer in either the result or goals markets. Form, the predictive model and current market pricing should carry more weight than the historical record for this fixture.
Trading Patterns
1. FC Kaiserslautern in-play and half-time data (46 games, 22 at home): they score before half-time in 86% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 80% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 60% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 77% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 91% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 48%.
Eintracht Braunschweig in-play and half-time data (46 games, 22 at away): they score before half-time in 82% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 75% of the time; BTTS occurs in 46% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 64% of games (away games); they fail to score in 35% of games.
From a combined perspective, both sides have high BTTS rates — 1. FC Kaiserslautern 74% and Eintracht Braunschweig 48% — which reinforces the BTTS Yes angle from in-play data. Over 2.5 goals is well-supported by both sides' in-play profiles (1. FC Kaiserslautern 78% | Eintracht Braunschweig 54%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects 1. FC Kaiserslautern 2.55 xG and Eintracht Braunschweig 1.12 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: 1. FC Kaiserslautern attack 1.281 / defence 1.055 | Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.711 / defence 1.299. League average goals — home 1.532 / away 1.494. 1. FC Kaiserslautern carry an above-average attack strength of 1.281 — their λ of 2.55 reflects genuine attacking quality above the league norm. Eintracht Braunschweig bring a strong defensive rating of 1.299 — this is suppressing 1. FC Kaiserslautern's projected output below what their attack strength alone would suggest. Data: 46 1. FC Kaiserslautern games / 46 Eintracht Braunschweig games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: 1. FC Kaiserslautern 67% | Draw 19% | Eintracht Braunschweig 14%. Fair-value odds: 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1.49 | Draw 5.26 | Eintracht Braunschweig 7.14. The model has a clear lean to 1. FC Kaiserslautern (67%) — a 53pp gap over the next-most-likely outcome reflects a meaningful statistical advantage.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 71% | BTTS probability 63% | Total xG 3.67. Over 2.5 is the model's clear signal at 71% — a total xG of 3.67 means the expected score alone exceeds the 2.5 threshold, making the Over not just likely but structurally supported by both sides' attack/defence profiles. BTTS Yes at 63% reflects that both xG figures (2.55 / 1.12) are above the threshold where scoring blanks become the primary outcome — both sides are projected to find the net.
Our Verdict
Poisson rates 1. FC Kaiserslautern as the most likely outcome at 67% — clear model lean. Draw No Bet is worth pricing alongside the outright: 19% draw probability makes the stalemate a live outcome even at this conviction level.
Poisson projects 3.67 total expected goals, pointing to Over 2.5 at 71% probability — strong conviction, supported by form averaging 4.0 goals per game and H2H averaging 2.8 goals per meeting.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is Yes at 63%. Form rates corroborate: 1. FC Kaiserslautern 80% | Eintracht Braunschweig 50% BTTS from recent games.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Eintracht Braunschweig | Competition: 2. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 13 | Venue: Fritz-Walter-Stadion • Kick-off: Sunday 24 Nov 2024, 12:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: 1. FC Kaiserslautern 67% | Draw 19% | Eintracht Braunschweig 14% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 71% | BTTS 63% | xG 1. FC Kaiserslautern 2.55 / Eintracht Braunschweig 1.12 • Poisson strength factors: 1. FC Kaiserslautern attack 1.281 / def 1.055 | Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.711 / def 1.299 | league avg home 1.532 / away 1.494 • Poisson stance: 1. FC Kaiserslautern (67%) — strong lean
🎲 Betting Market Intelligence
• Odds data is not currently available for this fixture
🧮 Prediction Model
2.55
1. FC Kaiserslautern xG
Expected Goals
1.12
Eintracht Braunschweig xG
63%
BTTS
89%
Over 1.5
71%
Over 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Eintracht Braunschweig kick off?
1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Eintracht Braunschweig kicked off at 12:30 on Sunday 24 November 2024 at Fritz-Walter-Stadion.
What was the final score in 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Eintracht Braunschweig?
1. FC Kaiserslautern 3 - 2 Eintracht Braunschweig.
Where is 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Eintracht Braunschweig being played?
The match is being played at Fritz-Walter-Stadion.
What competition is 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Eintracht Braunschweig part of?
1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Eintracht Braunschweig is a Regular Season - 13 fixture in the 2. Bundesliga (Germany).
Who is favourite to win 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Eintracht Braunschweig?
Our statistical model gives 1. FC Kaiserslautern a 67% chance of winning, Eintracht Braunschweig a 14% chance, and a 19% chance of a draw — making 1. FC Kaiserslautern the favourite.
Will both teams score in 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Eintracht Braunschweig?
Our model estimates a 63% probability that both 1. FC Kaiserslautern and Eintracht Braunschweig will score (BTTS).
Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Eintracht Braunschweig have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 71%.
What is the head-to-head record between 1. FC Kaiserslautern and Eintracht Braunschweig?
Record (4 meetings): 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1W | Draws 1 | Eintracht Braunschweig 2W.
What form are 1. FC Kaiserslautern and Eintracht Braunschweig in?
1. FC Kaiserslautern (all comps): 3W-4D-3L in 10 | 1.30 PPG | GF 1.60 / GA 1.50 | L5 L-W-W-D-D. Eintracht Braunschweig (all comps): 3W-3D-4L in 10 | 1.20 PPG | GF 1.20 / GA 1.60 | L5 W-L-D-D-W.
What do the betting odds say about 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Eintracht Braunschweig?
Odds data is not currently available for this fixture.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
The model rates 1. FC Kaiserslautern's attack at 1.28x the league average against Eintracht Braunschweig's defence at 1.30x — combine the two and it projects 2.55 expected goals for the hosts. The same calculation in reverse, Eintracht Braunschweig's attack versus 1. FC Kaiserslautern's defence, projects 1.12 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 46/46 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 2-1 carries the highest individual probability at 9.3% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 2-0 (8.3%), 1-1 (8.2%). Together the top three scorelines make up 26% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
1. FC Kaiserslautern Win
67%
1.49
19%
5.27
14%
7.27
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
9.3%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
8.3%
Home win
3 – 1
7.9%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.55
1. FC Kaiserslautern xG
Total xG
3.67
1.12
Eintracht Braunschweig xG
1.49
67%
Home win
5.27
19%
Draw
7.27
14%
Away win
Goals Markets
88%
Over 1.5
1.14
12%
Under 1.5
8.33
71%
Over 2.5
1.41
29%
Under 2.5
3.45
50%
Over 3.5
2.00
50%
Under 3.5
2.00
31%
Over 4.5
3.23
69%
Under 4.5
1.45
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
63%
BTTS Yes
1.58
37%
BTTS No
2.71
Clean Sheet
33%
3.07
8%
12.79
Win to Nil
22%
4.56
1%
92.98
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 6.5 | 7.3 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.3 | 9.3 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 7.0 | 7.9 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 4.5 | 5.0 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Eintracht Braunschweig?
Our Poisson model rates 2-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 9.3%.
How many goals are 1. FC Kaiserslautern and Eintracht Braunschweig expected to score?
The model projects 2.55 expected goals for 1. FC Kaiserslautern and 1.12 for Eintracht Braunschweig, a combined total of 3.67.
How confident is the prediction model for 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Eintracht Braunschweig?
Reasonably confident — the model's leading outcome is rated at 67%, a clear lean rather than a toss-up.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
1. FC Kaiserslautern's recent record stands at 15W 11D 20L from 46 games, a 1.22 PPG return, with L-W-W-D-D in the last five. The sample for 1. FC Kaiserslautern is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Eintracht Braunschweig, meanwhile, have gone 14W 8D 24L across 46 games — 1.09 PPG, with W-L-D-D-W in their last five. The sample for Eintracht Braunschweig is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Form-wise this is close to level: 1. FC Kaiserslautern on 1.22 PPG, Eintracht Braunschweig on 1.09. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Venue Form
At home specifically, 1. FC Kaiserslautern have managed 9W 5D 8L from 22 games — 1.45 PPG in front of their own supporters.
Eintracht Braunschweig's away record stands at 4W 3D 15L across 22 trips, a 0.68 PPG haul. That's a step down from their 1.09 PPG overall record — away form has been the weaker part of Eintracht Braunschweig's season.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, 1. FC Kaiserslautern come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Goals in Recent Form
1. FC Kaiserslautern are averaging 1.72 goals scored and 1.78 conceded per game recently; Eintracht Braunschweig are on 1.11 scored and 1.67 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: 1. FC Kaiserslautern have seen both teams score in 74% of their recent games.
Last 46 Results — 2. Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Blended
Eintracht Braunschweig
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are 1. FC Kaiserslautern and Eintracht Braunschweig in coming into this match?
1. FC Kaiserslautern have gone 15W 11D 20L in their last 46 games (1.22 PPG), while Eintracht Braunschweig have gone 14W 8D 24L in their last 46 (1.09 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — 1. FC Kaiserslautern at home or Eintracht Braunschweig away?
1. FC Kaiserslautern's home record (1.45 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — 1. FC Kaiserslautern at home: 1.45 PPG; Eintracht Braunschweig away: 0.68 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
8 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to October 2022. Every recorded meeting has come in 2. Bundesliga. They last met on 24 April 2026, roughly 3 months ago.
Streaks & Records
Eintracht Braunschweig have won the last 3 meetings between these two, a run that gives them the psychological edge coming in.
The biggest gap between the sides came on 19 May 2024, when 1. FC Kaiserslautern won 5-0 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
1. FC Kaiserslautern's record when hosting Eintracht Braunschweig specifically: 2W 1D 1L from 4 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 8 Meetings
2
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1
Draws
5
Eintracht Braunschweig
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between 1. FC Kaiserslautern and Eintracht Braunschweig?
From 8 meetings on record, 1. FC Kaiserslautern have won 2, Eintracht Braunschweig have won 5, and 1 have been drawn.
When did 1. FC Kaiserslautern and Eintracht Braunschweig last play each other?
They last met on 24 April 2026, when 1. FC Kaiserslautern 0-2 Eintracht Braunschweig.
Who has won more matches between 1. FC Kaiserslautern and Eintracht Braunschweig?
Eintracht Braunschweig have the better head-to-head record, with 5 wins from 8 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
1. FC Kaiserslautern are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 86% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 64% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 32% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one.
Eintracht Braunschweig are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 82% of their matches.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — 1. FC Kaiserslautern 77%, Eintracht Braunschweig 46% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 91% for 1. FC Kaiserslautern and 64% for Eintracht Braunschweig. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 68% and 32% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: Eintracht Braunschweig in 50%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = 1. FC Kaiserslautern home games / Eintracht Braunschweig away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when 1. FC Kaiserslautern play Eintracht Braunschweig?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 77% of 1. FC Kaiserslautern's games and 46% of Eintracht Braunschweig's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Eintracht Braunschweig usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 91% of 1. FC Kaiserslautern's matches and 64% of Eintracht Braunschweig's.
Do 1. FC Kaiserslautern and Eintracht Braunschweig tend to score early?
1. FC Kaiserslautern have had a goal before half-time in 86% of their recent matches, Eintracht Braunschweig in 82% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Prediction vindicated as 1. FC Kaiserslautern edge out Eintracht Braunschweig 3-2.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
1. FC Kaiserslautern beat Eintracht Braunschweig 3-2 at Fritz-Walter-Stadion, Regular Season - 13, in the 2. Bundesliga. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting 1. FC Kaiserslautern 2.55 xG and Eintracht Braunschweig 1.12 xG, a combined 3.67. The scoreboard read 3-2 for 5 actual goals. Eintracht Braunschweig outscored their 1.12 projection by 0.9. Those figures were built on strength ratings of 1. FC Kaiserslautern attack 1.28 / defence 1.05 against Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.71 / defence 1.30, drawn from 46/46 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it 1. FC Kaiserslautern 67% | Draw 19% | Eintracht Braunschweig 14%, with 1. FC Kaiserslautern to win its most likely call at 67%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 71%. The game delivered 5, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 89% and landed. Over 3.5 was 50% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 63% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 66% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (1. FC Kaiserslautern 78%, Eintracht Braunschweig 54%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 61%, which matched the both-scored outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
1. FC Kaiserslautern's trading profile (46 games, 22 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 74% of their matches — today it did.
Eintracht Braunschweig's trading profile (46 games, 22 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 48% of their matches — today it did.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1.22 PPG, Eintracht Braunschweig 1.09 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the 1. FC Kaiserslautern win broke the near-deadlock. 1. FC Kaiserslautern (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 2.18 average — above their attacking norm. Eintracht Braunschweig (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 0.86 average — above their attacking norm and shipped 3 against a 2.14 concession average — a leakier day than usual.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.