Slavia Praha 0-0 Hradec Králové – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson rates Slavia Praha at 59% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Slavia Praha vs Hradec Králové encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Fixture Analysis
It is a Czech Liga clash, Regular Season - 11 as Slavia Praha welcome Hradec Králové to Sinobo Stadium. Kick-off is set for Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:00 UTC.
Recent Form
Across all Czech Liga games this season, Slavia Praha have gone 8W 2D 0L from 10 outings — a 2.60 PPG return. Last five: W W W W W. They are averaging 2.60 goals per game — a high-scoring output that makes them a genuine attacking threat in any fixture. Defensively, conceding just 0.60 per game is an exceptional defensive record — one of the tightest in the division. 5 clean sheets from 10 games (50%) is a standout defensive return — they are keeping their net clean in more than half their matches. This season is still relatively young for Slavia Praha, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Slavia Praha's form when playing at home: 8W 2D 0L across 10 games at Sinobo Stadium this term (2.60 PPG). They are averaging 2.80 goals per home game — a prolific scoring rate in front of their own fans. Both teams have scored in 70% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture.
Hradec Králové — All Games: 4W 2D 4L from 10 Czech Liga fixtures this season — 1.40 PPG. Last five: W D W L L. Their scoring rate of 1.00 per game is modest, conceding 1.30 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. This season is still relatively young for Hradec Králové, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Hradec Králové's form when playing away from home: 4W 2D 4L across 10 road games this term (1.40 PPG). Away from home they average 1.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game.
Slavia Praha carry the stronger recent momentum — 1.20 PPG ahead of their opponents on 2.60 vs 1.40. The form data is a point in their favour, and where the price allows, it is the cleaner directional bet.
H2H Record
The H2H landscape is flat: 9 previous encounters have yielded 3 wins for Slavia Praha, 3 for Hradec Králové and 3 draws. A neutral reading in isolation.
The 9 previous meetings have averaged 2.7 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 17 May 2026, ended 1–3 with Hradec Králové winning.
The head-to-head offers no strong directional steer in either the result or goals markets. Form, the predictive model and current market pricing should carry more weight than the historical record for this fixture.
Trading Patterns
Slavia Praha in-play and half-time data (44 games, 21 at home): they score before half-time in 71% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 67% of the time; they lead at the break 50% of the time; BTTS occurs in 52% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 76% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 39%; they keep a clean sheet 43% of the time.
Hradec Králové in-play and half-time data (44 games, 21 at away): they score before half-time in 67% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 67% of the time; BTTS occurs in 52% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 43% of games (away games).
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Slavia Praha 57% versus Hradec Králové 50%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Slavia Praha 61% | Hradec Králové 48%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Slavia Praha 1.90 xG and Hradec Králové 0.93 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Slavia Praha attack 1.460 / defence 0.905 | Hradec Králové attack 0.836 / defence 0.951. League average goals — home 1.370 / away 1.235. Slavia Praha carry an above-average attack strength of 1.460 — their λ of 1.90 reflects genuine attacking quality above the league norm. Data: 40 Slavia Praha games / 40 Hradec Králové games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Slavia Praha 59% | Draw 23% | Hradec Králové 17%. Fair-value odds: Slavia Praha 1.69 | Draw 4.35 | Hradec Králové 5.88. The model has a clear lean to Slavia Praha (59%) — a 42pp gap over the next-most-likely outcome reflects a meaningful statistical advantage.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 54% | BTTS probability 52% | Total xG 2.84. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 54%/46% — the total xG of 2.84 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 52% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Our Verdict
Poisson rates Slavia Praha as the most likely outcome at 59% — clear model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw No Bet is worth pricing alongside the outright: 23% draw probability makes the stalemate a live outcome even at this conviction level.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.84 combined xG gives a 54% probability to Over 2.5 — reasonable, supported by form averaging 2.9 goals per game.
Poisson assigns a 52% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate: Slavia Praha 70% | Hradec Králové 50% BTTS from recent games.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Slavia Praha vs Hradec Králové | Competition: Czech Liga, Regular Season - 11 | Venue: Sinobo Stadium • Kick-off: Saturday 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Slavia Praha 59% | Draw 23% | Hradec Králové 17% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 54% | BTTS 52% | xG Slavia Praha 1.90 / Hradec Králové 0.93 • Poisson strength factors: Slavia Praha attack 1.460 / def 0.905 | Hradec Králové attack 0.836 / def 0.951 | league avg home 1.370 / away 1.235 • Poisson stance: Slavia Praha (59%) — strong lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.90
Slavia Praha xG
Expected Goals
0.93
Hradec Králové xG
52%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
54%
Over 2.5
32%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Slavia Praha vs Hradec Králové kick off?
Slavia Praha vs Hradec Králové kicked off at 13:00 on Saturday 17 October 2026 at Sinobo Stadium.
What was the final score in Slavia Praha vs Hradec Králové?
Slavia Praha 0 - 0 Hradec Králové.
Where is Slavia Praha vs Hradec Králové being played?
The match is being played at Sinobo Stadium.
What competition is Slavia Praha vs Hradec Králové part of?
Slavia Praha vs Hradec Králové is a Regular Season - 11 fixture in the Czech Liga (Czech-Republic).
Who is favourite to win Slavia Praha vs Hradec Králové?
Our statistical model gives Slavia Praha a 59% chance of winning, Hradec Králové a 17% chance, and a 23% chance of a draw — making Slavia Praha the favourite.
Will both teams score in Slavia Praha vs Hradec Králové?
Our model estimates a 52% probability that both Slavia Praha and Hradec Králové will score (BTTS).
Will Slavia Praha vs Hradec Králové have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 54%.
What is the head-to-head record between Slavia Praha and Hradec Králové?
Record (9 meetings): Slavia Praha 3W | Draws 3 | Hradec Králové 3W.
What form are Slavia Praha and Hradec Králové in?
Slavia Praha (all comps): 8W-2D-0L in 10 | 2.60 PPG | GF 2.60 / GA 0.60 | L5 W-W-W-W-W. Hradec Králové (all comps): 4W-2D-4L in 10 | 1.40 PPG | GF 1.00 / GA 1.30 | L5 W-D-W-L-L.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
Working from Slavia Praha's attack rating (1.46) and Hradec Králové's defence rating (0.95), the model arrives at 1.90 expected goals for the home side. The same calculation in reverse, Hradec Králové's attack versus Slavia Praha's defence, projects 0.93 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 40/40 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 11.8%. Close behind: 2-0 (10.6%), 2-1 (9.9%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 32% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Slavia Praha Win
59%
1.68
23%
4.31
17%
5.76
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
11.2%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
10.6%
Home win
1 – 1
10.4%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.90
Slavia Praha xG
Total xG
2.84
0.93
Hradec Králové xG
1.68
59%
Home win
4.31
23%
Draw
5.76
17%
Away win
Goals Markets
78%
Over 1.5
1.28
22%
Under 1.5
4.55
54%
Over 2.5
1.85
46%
Under 2.5
2.17
32%
Over 3.5
3.12
68%
Under 3.5
1.47
16%
Over 4.5
6.25
84%
Under 4.5
1.19
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
52%
BTTS Yes
1.91
48%
BTTS No
2.10
Clean Sheet
39%
2.54
15%
6.71
Win to Nil
23%
4.28
3%
38.61
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.9 | 5.5 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 11.2 | 10.4 | 4.9 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.6 | 9.9 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.7 | 6.3 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Slavia Praha vs Hradec Králové?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 11.8%.
How many goals are Slavia Praha and Hradec Králové expected to score?
The model projects 1.90 expected goals for Slavia Praha and 0.93 for Hradec Králové, a combined total of 2.84.
How confident is the prediction model for Slavia Praha vs Hradec Králové?
Reasonably confident — the model's leading outcome is rated at 59%, a clear lean rather than a toss-up.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
Slavia Praha come into this having played 44 games, going 32W 10D 2L for 2.41 points per game. Their last five reads W-W-W-W-W. The sample for Slavia Praha is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
On the other side, Hradec Králové sit at 1.57 PPG from 44 outings (20W 9D 15L), a run that reads W-D-W-L-L across their last five. The sample for Hradec Králové is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Slavia Praha carry the stronger recent form of the two, 0.84 PPG clear of Hradec Králové — worth weighing alongside whatever the head-to-head and market data say.
Venue Form
Slavia Praha's home form reads 18W 3D 0L across 21 games on their own ground, a 2.71 PPG return.
Away from home, Hradec Králové have taken 1.19 points per game from 21 outings (7W 4D 10L).
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Slavia Praha come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Goals in Recent Form
Slavia Praha are averaging 2.27 goals scored and 0.77 conceded per game recently; Hradec Králové are on 1.32 scored and 1.18 conceded.
Defensively: Slavia Praha have kept a clean sheet in 43% of their games — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 44 Results — Czech Liga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Slavia Praha
Blended
Hradec Králové
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Slavia Praha and Hradec Králové in coming into this match?
Slavia Praha have gone 32W 10D 2L in their last 44 games (2.41 PPG), while Hradec Králové have gone 20W 9D 15L in their last 44 (1.57 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Slavia Praha at home or Hradec Králové away?
Slavia Praha's home record (2.71 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Slavia Praha at home: 2.71 PPG; Hradec Králové away: 1.19 PPG.
Have Slavia Praha or Hradec Králové been keeping clean sheets recently?
Slavia Praha have kept a clean sheet in 43% of their recent games, Hradec Králové in 32%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
10 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to July 2022. Every recorded meeting has come in Czech Liga. The two were last together as recently as 17 October 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Streaks & Records
Slavia Praha's record when hosting Hradec Králové specifically: 2W 3D 0L from 5 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
3
Slavia Praha
4
Draws
3
Hradec Králové
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Slavia Praha and Hradec Králové?
From 10 meetings on record, Slavia Praha have won 3, Hradec Králové have won 3, and 4 have been drawn.
When did Slavia Praha and Hradec Králové last play each other?
They last met on 17 October 2026, when Slavia Praha 0-0 Hradec Králové.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
Slavia Praha are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 71% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 43% of the time.
Hradec Králové are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 67% of their matches.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Slavia Praha 52%, Hradec Králové 52% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 76% (Slavia Praha) and 43% (Hradec Králové). Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 48% and 24% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: Slavia Praha keep a clean sheet in 48% of their matches; Hradec Králové in 33%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Slavia Praha home games / Hradec Králové away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Slavia Praha play Hradec Králové?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 52% of Slavia Praha's recent matches and 52% of Hradec Králové's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Slavia Praha vs Hradec Králové usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 76% of Slavia Praha's matches and 43% of Hradec Králové's.
Do Slavia Praha and Hradec Králové tend to score early?
Slavia Praha have had a goal before half-time in 71% of their recent matches, Hradec Králové in 67% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Slavia Praha's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Sinobo Stadium, Regular Season - 11, as Slavia Praha and Hradec Králové drew 0-0 in the Czech Liga. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Slavia Praha 1.90 xG and Hradec Králové 0.93 xG, a combined 2.84. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Slavia Praha fell 1.9 short of their projected output. Hradec Králové landed 0.9 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Slavia Praha attack 1.46 / defence 0.91 against Hradec Králové attack 0.84 / defence 0.95, drawn from 40/40 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Slavia Praha 59% | Draw 23% | Hradec Králové 17%, with Slavia Praha to win its most likely call at 59%. Instead the game produced a draw, an outcome the model had rated at just 23% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 54%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 78% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 52% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 55% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Slavia Praha 61%, Hradec Králové 48%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 53%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Slavia Praha's trading profile (44 games, 21 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 57% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 43% of the time, and duly kept one.
Hradec Králové's trading profile (44 games, 21 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 50% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 32% of the time, and duly kept one; they fail to score in 27% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
On form, Slavia Praha arrived the stronger side — 2.41 PPG against 1.57. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Slavia Praha (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 2.67 scoring average — below par going forward. Hradec Králové (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.14 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.43 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.