Emirates Club 2-2 Sharjah FC – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson rates Sharjah FC at 47% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Emirates Club vs Sharjah FC encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Full Analysis
Emirates Club Stadium plays host to Emirates Club versus Sharjah FC in Pro League, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off: Friday 31 December 2021 at 13:00 UTC.
Current Form
Emirates Club's overall Pro League record this term: 0W 2D 8L from 10 games (0.20 PPG). Last five: L L L D L. They are averaging 0.90 goals per game and conceding 2.50 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. However, 2.50 goals conceded per game is a concern — opposing attacks have exploited them regularly. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. This season is still relatively young for Emirates Club, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Emirates Club's home record at Emirates Club Stadium: 0W 2D 3L from 5 Pro League appearances (0.40 PPG). At home they are averaging 0.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game.
Sharjah FC (all games): 5W 1D 4L across 10 Pro League outings this term — 1.60 points per game. Last five: L D L W W. They are scoring at 1.70 per game and conceding 1.70. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. This season is still relatively young for Sharjah FC, so this record blends games from this season and last.
On the road, Sharjah FC have gone 2W 1D 2L from 5 away fixtures this term (1.40 PPG). They are averaging 1.80 goals per away game — strong road scoring that makes them a threat even without home support. BTTS has landed in 60% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context.
Sharjah FC arrive in superior form — a 1.40 PPG advantage (1.60 vs 0.20) that offsets much of the home-ground benefit. The away side are the form pick, with draw protection the sensible way to manage the home-field uncertainty.
Trading
Emirates Club half-time and goal-timing data (11 games, 5 at home): they score before half-time in 25% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 100% of the time; BTTS occurs in 40% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 20% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 46%; they fail to score in 36% of games.
Sharjah FC half-time and goal-timing data (11 games, 5 at away): they score before half-time in 80% of fixtures in away games; they lead at the break 46% of the time; BTTS occurs in 60% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 60% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 36%.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Emirates Club 64% versus Sharjah FC 46%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Emirates Club 54% | Sharjah FC 73%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Emirates Club 1.05 xG and Sharjah FC 1.60 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Emirates Club attack 0.681 / defence 1.263 | Sharjah FC attack 1.042 / defence 1.197. League average goals — home 1.284 / away 1.212. Emirates Club's attack strength of 0.681 is below the league average — the 1.05 xG projection reflects a team that scores at a discount to the division norm. Data: 11 Emirates Club games / 11 Sharjah FC games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Emirates Club 22% | Draw 32% | Sharjah FC 47%. Fair-value odds: Emirates Club 4.55 | Draw 3.12 | Sharjah FC 2.13. Sharjah FC hold a narrow Poisson edge at 47% — the draw (32%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 49% | BTTS probability 55% | Total xG 2.64. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 49%/51% — the total xG of 2.64 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 55% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is Sharjah FC at 47% — moderate model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw probability of 32% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Sharjah FC if the outright odds are short.
Poisson projects 2.64 total expected goals, pointing to Under 2.5 at 49% probability — Poisson-only — limited corroboration conviction.
On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 55% on Yes. Form rates are neutral: Emirates Club 40% | Sharjah FC 60%.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Emirates Club vs Sharjah FC | Competition: Pro League, Regular Season - 12 | Venue: Emirates Club Stadium • Kick-off: Friday 31 Dec 2021, 13:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Emirates Club 22% | Draw 32% | Sharjah FC 47% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 49% | BTTS 55% | xG Emirates Club 1.05 / Sharjah FC 1.60 • Poisson strength factors: Emirates Club attack 0.681 / def 1.263 | Sharjah FC attack 1.042 / def 1.197 | league avg home 1.284 / away 1.212 • Poisson stance: Sharjah FC (47%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.05
Emirates Club xG
Expected Goals
1.60
Sharjah FC xG
55%
BTTS
77%
Over 1.5
49%
Over 2.5
27%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Emirates Club vs Sharjah FC kick off?
Emirates Club vs Sharjah FC kicked off at 13:00 on Friday 31 December 2021 at Emirates Club Stadium.
What was the final score in Emirates Club vs Sharjah FC?
Emirates Club 2 - 2 Sharjah FC.
Where is Emirates Club vs Sharjah FC being played?
The match is being played at Emirates Club Stadium.
What competition is Emirates Club vs Sharjah FC part of?
Emirates Club vs Sharjah FC is a Regular Season - 12 fixture in the Pro League (United-Arab-Emirates).
Who is favourite to win Emirates Club vs Sharjah FC?
Our statistical model gives Emirates Club a 22% chance of winning, Sharjah FC a 47% chance, and a 32% chance of a draw — making Sharjah FC the favourite.
Will both teams score in Emirates Club vs Sharjah FC?
Our model estimates a 55% probability that both Emirates Club and Sharjah FC will score (BTTS).
Will Emirates Club vs Sharjah FC have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 49%.
What is the head-to-head record between Emirates Club and Sharjah FC?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Emirates Club and Sharjah FC in?
Emirates Club (all comps): 0W-2D-8L in 10 | 0.20 PPG | GF 0.90 / GA 2.50 | L5 L-L-L-D-L. Sharjah FC (all comps): 5W-1D-4L in 10 | 1.60 PPG | GF 1.70 / GA 1.70 | L5 L-D-L-W-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
Working from Emirates Club's attack rating (0.68) and Sharjah FC's defence rating (1.20), the model arrives at 1.05 expected goals for the home side. Flip it around — Sharjah FC's attack (1.04x) against Emirates Club's defence (1.26x) — and the away total comes out at 1.60.
These ratings are built from 11/11 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 13.4%. Close behind: 0-1 (9.8%), 1-2 (9.5%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 33% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Sharjah FC Win
22%
4.63
32%
3.16
47%
2.14
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.9%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
11.3%
Away win
1 – 2
9.5%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.05
Emirates Club xG
Total xG
2.64
1.60
Sharjah FC xG
4.63
22%
Home win
3.16
32%
Draw
2.14
47%
Away win
Goals Markets
74%
Over 1.5
1.35
26%
Under 1.5
3.85
49%
Over 2.5
2.04
51%
Under 2.5
1.96
27%
Over 3.5
3.70
73%
Under 3.5
1.37
13%
Over 4.5
7.69
87%
Under 4.5
1.15
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
55%
BTTS Yes
1.82
45%
BTTS No
2.23
Clean Sheet
20%
4.93
35%
2.85
Win to Nil
4%
22.86
16%
6.10
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.1 | 11.3 | 9.1 | 4.8 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| 1 | 7.4 | 11.9 | 9.5 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| 2 | 3.9 | 6.2 | 5.0 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Emirates Club vs Sharjah FC?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.4%.
How many goals are Emirates Club and Sharjah FC expected to score?
The model projects 1.05 expected goals for Emirates Club and 1.60 for Sharjah FC, a combined total of 2.64.
How confident is the prediction model for Emirates Club vs Sharjah FC?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 47%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
Emirates Club's recent record stands at 0W 2D 9L from 11 games, a 0.18 PPG return, with L-L-L-D-L in the last five. The sample for Emirates Club is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Sharjah FC, meanwhile, have gone 6W 1D 4L across 11 games — 1.73 PPG, with L-D-L-W-W in their last five. The sample for Sharjah FC is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
The points-per-game comparison favours Sharjah FC by 1.55 — a real, if not enormous, edge over Emirates Club heading into this one.
Home & Away Splits
At home specifically, Emirates Club have managed 0W 2D 3L from 5 games — 0.40 PPG in front of their own supporters.
Sharjah FC's away record stands at 2W 1D 2L across 5 trips, a 1.40 PPG haul.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Sharjah FC come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Scoring & Defensive Trends
Emirates Club are averaging 0.82 goals scored and 2.36 conceded per game recently; Sharjah FC are on 1.64 scored and 1.55 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Emirates Club have seen both teams score in 64% of their recent games.
Last 11 Results — Pro League
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Emirates Club
Blended
Sharjah FC
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Emirates Club and Sharjah FC in coming into this match?
Emirates Club have gone 0W 2D 9L in their last 11 games (0.18 PPG), while Sharjah FC have gone 6W 1D 4L in their last 11 (1.73 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Emirates Club at home or Sharjah FC away?
Sharjah FC's away record (1.40 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Emirates Club at home: 0.40 PPG; Sharjah FC away: 1.40 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
On record, these two have faced off 4 times since December 2021 — enough meetings to establish some real patterns. Every recorded meeting has come in Pro League. It has been a while since the last meeting — 8 April 2024, some 2 years back — so squads and form on both sides may look very different now.
Records & Recent Trends
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Emirates Club have gone 0W 1D 1L from 2 meetings on their own ground against Sharjah FC — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 4 Meetings
0
Emirates Club
2
Draws
2
Sharjah FC
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Emirates Club and Sharjah FC?
From 4 meetings on record, Emirates Club have won 0, Sharjah FC have won 2, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Emirates Club and Sharjah FC last play each other?
They last met on 8 April 2024, when Sharjah FC 3-3 Emirates Club.
Who has won more matches between Emirates Club and Sharjah FC?
Sharjah FC have the better head-to-head record, with 2 wins from 4 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
Emirates Club tend to start slowly — only 25% of their games have a goal by half-time.
Sharjah FC are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 80% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 80% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 40% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one.
Goals & Clean Sheets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Emirates Club 40%, Sharjah FC 60% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 20% (Emirates Club) and 60% (Sharjah FC).
On the defensive side: Emirates Club have failed to score in 60% of games.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Emirates Club home games / Sharjah FC away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Emirates Club play Sharjah FC?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 40% of Emirates Club's recent matches and 60% of Sharjah FC's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Emirates Club vs Sharjah FC usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 20% of Emirates Club's recent games and 60% of Sharjah FC's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Emirates Club and Sharjah FC tend to score early?
Emirates Club have had a goal before half-time in 25% of their recent matches, Sharjah FC in 80% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Emirates Club and Sharjah FC share the spoils in a 2-2 draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Emirates Club Stadium, Regular Season - 12, as Emirates Club and Sharjah FC drew 2-2 in the Pro League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Emirates Club 1.05 xG and Sharjah FC 1.60 xG, a combined 2.64. The scoreboard read 2-2 for 4 actual goals. Emirates Club beat their projection by 1.0 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Emirates Club attack 0.68 / defence 1.26 against Sharjah FC attack 1.04 / defence 1.20, drawn from 11/11 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Emirates Club 22% | Draw 32% | Sharjah FC 47%, with Sharjah FC to win its most likely call at 47%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 32%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 49%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 77% and landed. Over 3.5 was 27% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 55% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 64% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Emirates Club 54%, Sharjah FC 73%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 55%, which matched the both-scored outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Emirates Club's trading profile (11 games, 5 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 64% of their matches — today it did.
Sharjah FC's trading profile (11 games, 5 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 46% of their matches — today it did.
Form vs Result
On form, Sharjah FC arrived the stronger side — 1.73 PPG against 0.18. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Emirates Club (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 0.40 average — above their attacking norm.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit), form (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.