Khon Kaen United 0-0 Port FC – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model rates Port FC at 52%, yet other data sources diverge — this Khon Kaen United vs Port FC fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Fixture Analysis
It is a Thai League 1 clash, Regular Season - 17 as Khon Kaen United welcome Port FC to Khon Kaen Stadium. Kick-off is set for Saturday 15 January 2022 at 12:00 UTC.
Form Guide
Khon Kaen United — All Games: 5W 1D 4L from 10 Thai League 1 outings this season, averaging 1.60 points per game. Last five: W L L W W. They are averaging 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.20 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 4 clean sheets in 10 games (40%) reflects a solid defensive base. Both teams have scored in just 30% of their matches, indicating a tendency toward clean sheets or low-scoring outcomes. This season is still relatively young for Khon Kaen United, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Khon Kaen United at Khon Kaen Stadium this season: 3W 2D 3L from 8 home games — 1.38 PPG on home soil. At home they are averaging 0.75 goals scored and 1.62 conceded per game.
Looking at all fixtures this season, Port FC stand at 5W 2D 3L from 10 Thai League 1 matches — 1.70 PPG. Last five: W W W W D. Their scoring rate of 1.40 per game is modest, conceding 1.00 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 5 clean sheets from 10 games (50%) is an exceptional defensive record — they are keeping clean sheets more often than not. This season is still relatively young for Port FC, so this record blends games from this season and last.
When travelling in Thai League 1 this season, Port FC have posted 3W 2D 2L from 7 away outings — 1.57 PPG. Away from home they average 1.71 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. 3 clean sheets from 7 away games (43%) shows they are capable of shutting up shop on the road. BTTS has landed in 57% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context.
The form comparison is too close to call — 1.60 PPG (Khon Kaen United) versus 1.70 (Port FC). When the figures are this level, no pick can be reliably derived from recent results alone.
H2H
The H2H landscape is flat: 1 previous encounters have yielded 0 wins for Khon Kaen United, 1 for Port FC and 0 draws. A neutral reading in isolation.
The 1 previous meetings have averaged 2.0 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 18 Sep 2021, ended 0–2 with Port FC winning.
The head-to-head offers no strong directional steer in either the result or goals markets. Form, the predictive model and current market pricing should carry more weight than the historical record for this fixture.
In-Play Data
Khon Kaen United trading profile (16 games, 7 at home): they score before half-time in 71% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 100% of the time; BTTS occurs in 43% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 29% of games (home games); they fail to score in 38% of games.
Port FC trading profile (16 games, 7 at away): they score before half-time in 86% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 100% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 75% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 57% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 57% of games (away games); they keep a clean sheet 50% of the time.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Khon Kaen United 38% versus Port FC 44%; no strong lean in either direction. Under 2.5 goals has backing from the in-play data — both teams register low Over 2.5 rates (Khon Kaen United 38% | Port FC 38%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Khon Kaen United 0.86 xG and Port FC 1.50 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Khon Kaen United attack 0.745 / defence 1.271 | Port FC attack 1.064 / defence 1.124. League average goals — home 1.032 / away 1.107. Khon Kaen United's attack strength of 0.745 is below the league average — the 0.86 xG projection reflects a team that scores at a discount to the division norm. Data: 16 Khon Kaen United games / 16 Port FC games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Khon Kaen United 22% | Draw 26% | Port FC 52%. Fair-value odds: Khon Kaen United 4.55 | Draw 3.85 | Port FC 1.92. Port FC hold a narrow Poisson edge at 52% — the draw (26%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 42% | BTTS probability 45% | Total xG 2.36. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 58% — total xG of 2.36 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 45% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Our Verdict
Poisson rates Port FC as the most likely outcome at 52% — moderate model lean. With a 26% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Port FC offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
Poisson projects 2.36 total expected goals, pointing to Under 2.5 at 42% probability — Poisson-only — limited corroboration conviction.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is No at 45%. Form rates are neutral: Khon Kaen United 38% | Port FC 57%.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Khon Kaen United vs Port FC | Competition: Thai League 1, Regular Season - 17 | Venue: Khon Kaen Stadium • Kick-off: Saturday 15 Jan 2022, 12:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Khon Kaen United 22% | Draw 26% | Port FC 52% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 42% | BTTS 45% | xG Khon Kaen United 0.86 / Port FC 1.50 • Poisson strength factors: Khon Kaen United attack 0.745 / def 1.271 | Port FC attack 1.064 / def 1.124 | league avg home 1.032 / away 1.107 • Poisson stance: Port FC (52%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
0.86
Khon Kaen United xG
Expected Goals
1.50
Port FC xG
45%
BTTS
68%
Over 1.5
42%
Over 2.5
21%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Khon Kaen United vs Port FC kick off?
Khon Kaen United vs Port FC kicked off at 12:00 on Saturday 15 January 2022 at Khon Kaen Stadium.
What was the final score in Khon Kaen United vs Port FC?
Khon Kaen United 0 - 0 Port FC.
Where is Khon Kaen United vs Port FC being played?
The match is being played at Khon Kaen Stadium.
What competition is Khon Kaen United vs Port FC part of?
Khon Kaen United vs Port FC is a Regular Season - 17 fixture in the Thai League 1 (Thailand).
Who is favourite to win Khon Kaen United vs Port FC?
Our statistical model gives Khon Kaen United a 22% chance of winning, Port FC a 52% chance, and a 26% chance of a draw — making Port FC the favourite.
Will both teams score in Khon Kaen United vs Port FC?
Our model estimates a 45% probability that both Khon Kaen United and Port FC will score (BTTS).
Will Khon Kaen United vs Port FC have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 42%.
What is the head-to-head record between Khon Kaen United and Port FC?
Record (1 meetings): Khon Kaen United 0W | Draws 0 | Port FC 1W.
What form are Khon Kaen United and Port FC in?
Khon Kaen United (all comps): 5W-1D-4L in 10 | 1.60 PPG | GF 1.10 / GA 1.20 | L5 W-L-L-W-W. Port FC (all comps): 5W-2D-3L in 10 | 1.70 PPG | GF 1.40 / GA 1.00 | L5 W-W-W-W-D.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
Khon Kaen United's attacking strength (0.74x league average) is weighed against Port FC's defensive record (1.12x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 0.86. The same calculation in reverse, Port FC's attack versus Khon Kaen United's defence, projects 1.50 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 16/16 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 13.8%. Close behind: 0-1 (12.5%), 0-0 (11.0%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 37% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Port FC Win
22%
4.61
26%
3.82
52%
1.92
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
14.1%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.2%
Draw
0 – 2
10.6%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.86
Khon Kaen United xG
Total xG
2.36
1.50
Port FC xG
4.61
22%
Home win
3.82
26%
Draw
1.92
52%
Away win
Goals Markets
68%
Over 1.5
1.47
32%
Under 1.5
3.12
42%
Over 2.5
2.38
58%
Under 2.5
1.72
21%
Over 3.5
4.76
79%
Under 3.5
1.27
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
45%
BTTS Yes
2.23
55%
BTTS No
1.81
Clean Sheet
22%
4.47
42%
2.37
Win to Nil
5%
20.58
22%
4.55
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.4 | 14.1 | 10.6 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 | 8.1 | 12.2 | 9.1 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 3.5 | 5.3 | 3.9 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | – | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Khon Kaen United vs Port FC?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.8%.
How many goals are Khon Kaen United and Port FC expected to score?
The model projects 0.86 expected goals for Khon Kaen United and 1.50 for Port FC, a combined total of 2.36.
How confident is the prediction model for Khon Kaen United vs Port FC?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 52%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
Khon Kaen United's recent record stands at 6W 2D 8L from 16 games, a 1.25 PPG return, with W-L-L-W-W in the last five. The sample for Khon Kaen United is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Port FC, meanwhile, have gone 8W 4D 4L across 16 games — 1.75 PPG, with W-W-W-W-D in their last five. The sample for Port FC is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
The points-per-game comparison favours Port FC by 0.50 — a real, if not enormous, edge over Khon Kaen United heading into this one.
Venue Form
At home specifically, Khon Kaen United have managed 3W 2D 2L from 7 games — 1.57 PPG in front of their own supporters.
Port FC's away record stands at 3W 2D 2L across 7 trips, a 1.57 PPG haul.
Goals in Recent Form
Khon Kaen United are averaging 0.94 goals scored and 1.69 conceded per game recently; Port FC are on 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded.
Defensively: Port FC in 50% — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 16 Results — Thai League 1
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Khon Kaen United
Blended
Port FC
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Khon Kaen United and Port FC in coming into this match?
Khon Kaen United have gone 6W 2D 8L in their last 16 games (1.25 PPG), while Port FC have gone 8W 4D 4L in their last 16 (1.75 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Khon Kaen United at home or Port FC away?
Khon Kaen United's home record (1.57 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Khon Kaen United at home: 1.57 PPG; Port FC away: 1.57 PPG.
Have Khon Kaen United or Port FC been keeping clean sheets recently?
Khon Kaen United have kept a clean sheet in 25% of their recent games, Port FC in 50%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
8 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to September 2021. Every recorded meeting has come in Thai League 1. It has been a while since the last meeting — 15 January 2025, some 3 years back — so squads and form on both sides may look very different now.
Streaks & Records
The biggest gap between the sides came on 30 Sep 2023, when Port FC won 6-1 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
Khon Kaen United's record when hosting Port FC specifically: 1W 2D 1L from 4 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 8 Meetings
2
Khon Kaen United
2
Draws
4
Port FC
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Khon Kaen United and Port FC?
From 8 meetings on record, Khon Kaen United have won 2, Port FC have won 4, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Khon Kaen United and Port FC last play each other?
They last met on 15 January 2025, when Port FC 1-2 Khon Kaen United.
Who has won more matches between Khon Kaen United and Port FC?
Port FC have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from 8 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
Khon Kaen United are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 71% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 43% of the time.
Port FC are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 86% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 29% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 14% of those situations.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Khon Kaen United 43%, Port FC 57% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 29% (Khon Kaen United) and 57% (Port FC).
On the defensive side: Port FC in 43%; Khon Kaen United have failed to score in 29% of games.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Khon Kaen United home games / Port FC away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Khon Kaen United play Port FC?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 43% of Khon Kaen United's recent matches and 57% of Port FC's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Khon Kaen United vs Port FC usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 29% of Khon Kaen United's recent games and 57% of Port FC's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Khon Kaen United and Port FC tend to score early?
Khon Kaen United have had a goal before half-time in 71% of their recent matches, Port FC in 86% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Khon Kaen United's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Khon Kaen United and Port FC finished level at 0-0 at Khon Kaen Stadium, Regular Season - 17, in the Thai League 1. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Khon Kaen United 0.86 xG and Port FC 1.50 xG, a combined 2.36. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Khon Kaen United fell 0.9 short of their projected output. Port FC landed 1.5 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Khon Kaen United attack 0.74 / defence 1.27 against Port FC attack 1.06 / defence 1.12, drawn from 16/16 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Khon Kaen United 22% | Draw 26% | Port FC 52%, with Port FC to win its most likely call at 52%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 26%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 42%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 68% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 45% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 38% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Khon Kaen United 38%, Port FC 38%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 41%, which matched the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Khon Kaen United's trading profile (16 games, 7 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 38% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 38% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Port FC's trading profile (16 games, 7 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 44% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 50% of the time, and duly kept one.
Form vs Result
On form, Port FC arrived the stronger side — 1.75 PPG against 1.25. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Khon Kaen United (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.86 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.57 average — tighter than their form line. Port FC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.71 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.14 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (miss). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.