FC Zurich 1-0 Grasshoppers – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates FC Zurich at 44% — neither recent form nor the head-to-head data gives a clear steer either way as FC Zurich face Grasshoppers.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis
Grasshoppers make the trip to Stadion Letzigrund to face FC Zurich in Super League (matchday 23). The match kicks off on Saturday 10 February 2024 at 17:00 UK time.
Form
FC Zurich (all games): 2W 3D 5L across their last 10 — 0.90 PPG. Last five: L D L D L. They are averaging 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.40 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings (20%).
In front of their own supporters, FC Zurich have posted 4W 5D 1L from their last 10 home games — 1.70 PPG. At home they are averaging 1.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 70% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture. Their home PPG of 1.70 is noticeably stronger than their overall 0.90 — FC Zurich are significantly better at home than their overall form suggests.
Grasshoppers's record over their last 10 games: 4W 2D 4L (1.40 PPG). Last five: D L W D L. Their scoring rate of 1.40 per game is modest, conceding 1.00 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings (30%). Both teams have scored in just 30% of their games, reflecting a regular tendency to keep or record clean sheets.
When travelling, Grasshoppers have posted 2W 1D 7L from their last 10 away outings — 0.70 PPG. Away from home they average 0.80 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their away PPG of 0.70 is notably below their overall 1.40 — form away from home has been a clear weakness recently.
Both sides are running at similar form levels — 0.90 PPG for FC Zurich against 1.40 for Grasshoppers. There is no clear form edge to exploit here; other signals need to take the lead.
Trading & In-Play
FC Zurich — key trading statistics (last 58 games, 29 of them at home): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 62% of their matches in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 63% of the time; of the 15 games they led at half-time, they failed to win 33%; BTTS occurs in 66% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 52% of games (home games).
Grasshoppers — key trading statistics (last 58 games, 29 of them away): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 76% of their matches in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 92% of the time; of the 16 games they led at half-time, they failed to win 38%; of the 17 games they trailed at half-time, they recovered to draw or win 29%; BTTS occurs in 69% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 55% of games (away games).
From a combined perspective, both sides have high BTTS rates — FC Zurich 55% and Grasshoppers 71% — which reinforces the BTTS Yes angle from in-play data. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (FC Zurich 52% | Grasshoppers 62%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects FC Zurich 1.21 xG and Grasshoppers 0.86 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: FC Zurich attack 0.937 / defence 0.949 | Grasshoppers attack 0.710 / defence 0.858. League average goals — home 1.508 / away 1.282. Grasshoppers's attack rating of 0.710 is below the league average, which holds their xG down at 0.86. Data: built from FC Zurich's last 58 games and Grasshoppers's last 58.
Result probabilities: FC Zurich 44% | Draw 30% | Grasshoppers 26%. Fair-value odds: FC Zurich 2.27 | Draw 3.39 | Grasshoppers 3.80. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome reaches 45%. The draw at 30% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 34% | BTTS Yes probability 41% | Total xG 2.08. Under 2.5 is the strongly backed market at 66% probability — total xG of 2.08 sits well below the 2.5 threshold. The model is projecting a tight, low-scoring match. BTTS No at 59% is only a slight lean — the model gives both sides a fair chance of scoring, so No isn't a clear standalone call.
Final Verdict
Poisson rates FC Zurich as the most likely outcome at 44% — marginal model lean. Draw probability of 30% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on FC Zurich if the outright odds are short.
The Poisson model projects 2.08 xG in total — Under 2.5 at 66% — a Poisson-only call with no corroboration from form or H2H.
Poisson assigns a 59% probability to BTTS No based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates are neutral — both teams scored in: FC Zurich 70% (last 10 home games) | Grasshoppers 40% (last 10 away games).
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: FC Zurich vs Grasshoppers | Competition: Super League, matchday 23 | Venue: Stadion Letzigrund • Kick-off: Saturday 10 February 2024 at 17:00 UK time • Data inputs: head-to-head data, recent form (overall and home/away), the Poisson prediction model and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: FC Zurich 44% | Draw 30% | Grasshoppers 26% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 34% (Under 66%) | BTTS Yes 41% (No 59%) | xG FC Zurich 1.21 / Grasshoppers 0.86 • Poisson strength factors: FC Zurich attack 0.937 / def 0.949 | Grasshoppers attack 0.710 / def 0.858 | league avg home 1.508 / away 1.282 • Poisson stance: FC Zurich (44%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.21
FC Zurich xG
Expected Goals
0.86
Grasshoppers xG
41%
BTTS
61%
Over 1.5
34%
Over 2.5
16%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ FC Zurich vs Grasshoppers FAQs
What time does FC Zurich vs Grasshoppers kick off?
FC Zurich vs Grasshoppers kicked off at 17:00 UK time on Saturday 10 February 2024 at Stadion Letzigrund.
What was the final score in FC Zurich vs Grasshoppers?
FC Zurich 1 - 0 Grasshoppers.
Where is FC Zurich vs Grasshoppers being played?
The match is being played at Stadion Letzigrund.
What competition is FC Zurich vs Grasshoppers part of?
FC Zurich vs Grasshoppers is a Super League fixture (matchday 23) (Switzerland).
Who is favourite to win FC Zurich vs Grasshoppers?
Our statistical model gives FC Zurich a 44% chance of winning, Grasshoppers a 26% chance, and a 30% chance of a draw — making FC Zurich the favourite.
Will both teams score in FC Zurich vs Grasshoppers?
Our model estimates a 41% probability that both FC Zurich and Grasshoppers will score, so it leans towards BTTS No (59%).
Will FC Zurich vs Grasshoppers have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 34%, so it leans towards under 2.5 goals (66%).
🧮 Model Insight
Where the Numbers Come From
The model rates FC Zurich's attack at 0.94x the league average against Grasshoppers's defence at 0.86x — combine the two and it projects 1.21 expected goals for the hosts. Flip it around — Grasshoppers's attack (0.71x) against FC Zurich's defence (0.95x) — and the away total comes out at 0.86.
These ratings are built from FC Zurich's last 58 games and Grasshoppers's last 58 — a full enough recent sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 14.8% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 0-0 (14.3%), 1-0 (13.5%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 43% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
FC Zurich Win
44%
2.27
30%
3.39
26%
3.80
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
15.2%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
13.1%
Draw
0 – 0
12.5%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.21
FC Zurich xG
Total xG
2.08
0.86
Grasshoppers xG
2.27
44%
Home win
3.39
30%
Draw
3.80
26%
Away win
Goals Markets
61%
Over 1.5
1.64
39%
Under 1.5
2.56
34%
Over 2.5
2.94
66%
Under 2.5
1.52
16%
Over 3.5
6.25
84%
Under 3.5
1.19
6%
Over 4.5
16.67
94%
Under 4.5
1.06
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
41%
BTTS Yes
2.46
59%
BTTS No
1.69
Clean Sheet
42%
2.37
30%
3.36
Win to Nil
19%
5.37
8%
12.77
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.5 | 10.8 | 4.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 15.2 | 13.1 | 5.7 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.2 | 8.0 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 3.7 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ FC Zurich vs Grasshoppers Prediction FAQs
What is the most likely scoreline for FC Zurich vs Grasshoppers?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.8%.
How many goals are FC Zurich and Grasshoppers expected to score?
The model projects 1.21 expected goals for FC Zurich and 0.86 for Grasshoppers, a combined total of 2.08.
How confident is the prediction model for FC Zurich vs Grasshoppers?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 44%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Recent Form Overview
Across their last 58 outings, FC Zurich have picked up 1.33 PPG on a 18W 23D 17L record — L-D-L-D-L across the most recent five.
Grasshoppers's form line: 19W 12D 27L from 58 games, 1.19 PPG, last five D-L-W-D-L.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 1.33 PPG for FC Zurich against 1.19 for Grasshoppers. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
How They Fare by Venue
On home soil, FC Zurich have posted 1.48 PPG from their last 29 home games (10W 13D 6L).
On the road, Grasshoppers have gone 5W 7D 17L from their last 29 away games — 0.76 PPG when travelling. That's a step down from their 1.19 PPG overall record — away form has been the weaker part of Grasshoppers's recent record.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, FC Zurich come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Attack vs Defence
FC Zurich are averaging 1.29 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game recently; Grasshoppers are on 1.47 scored and 1.60 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Grasshoppers in 71%.
Last 58 Results
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
FC Zurich
Blended
Grasshoppers
Blended
FC Zurich (Home) vs Grasshoppers (Away)
Home games only for the home side · Away games only for the away side
FC Zurich
Blended
Grasshoppers
Blended
❓ FC Zurich vs Grasshoppers Form FAQs
What form are FC Zurich and Grasshoppers in coming into this match?
FC Zurich have gone 18W 23D 17L in their last 58 games (1.33 PPG), while Grasshoppers have gone 19W 12D 27L in their last 58 (1.19 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — FC Zurich at home or Grasshoppers away?
FC Zurich's home record (1.48 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — FC Zurich at home: 1.48 PPG; Grasshoppers away: 0.76 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
The Rivalry So Far
Our data holds 10 H2H matches between FC Zurich and Grasshoppers, the earliest from February 2024. All of them came in Super League. The most recent was as recently as 5 September 2026, so it is a fresh reference point.
Notable Numbers
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: FC Zurich won FC Zurich 3-0 Grasshoppers on 10 May 2025, the biggest margin in the H2H matches we hold.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, FC Zurich have gone 4W 1D 0L from the 5 H2H matches in our data played on their own ground against Grasshoppers — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 10 Meetings
7
FC Zurich
2
Draws
1
Grasshoppers
Recent Meetings
❓ FC Zurich vs Grasshoppers H2H FAQs
What is the head-to-head record between FC Zurich and Grasshoppers?
Across the 10 head-to-head matches in our data, FC Zurich have won 7, Grasshoppers have won 1, and 2 have been drawn.
When did FC Zurich and Grasshoppers last play each other?
The most recent meeting in our data was on 5 September 2026: Grasshoppers 2-2 FC Zurich.
Who has won more matches between FC Zurich and Grasshoppers?
FC Zurich have the better head-to-head record, with 7 wins from the 10 head-to-head matches in our data.
📈 Trading Insight
Early Goal Trends
FC Zurich are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 62% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 40% of those situations.
Grasshoppers are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 76% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 30% of those situations.
Full-Time Markets
BTTS has landed consistently for both sides recently — 66% for FC Zurich, 69% for Grasshoppers — a strong two-way scoring signal.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 52% (FC Zurich) and 55% (Grasshoppers).
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = FC Zurich home games / Grasshoppers away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ FC Zurich vs Grasshoppers Trading FAQs
Do both teams usually score in FC Zurich and Grasshoppers matches?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 66% of FC Zurich's games and 69% of Grasshoppers's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Are FC Zurich and Grasshoppers matches usually high-scoring?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 52% of FC Zurich's recent games and 55% of Grasshoppers's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do FC Zurich and Grasshoppers matches tend to have early goals?
There has been at least one first-half goal in 62% of FC Zurich's recent matches and 76% of Grasshoppers's — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Prediction vindicated as FC Zurich edge out Grasshoppers 1-0.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
FC Zurich beat Grasshoppers 1-0 at Stadion Letzigrund, Regular Season - 23, in the Super League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting FC Zurich 1.21 xG and Grasshoppers 0.86 xG, a combined 2.08. The scoreboard read 1-0 for 1 actual goal. Grasshoppers landed 0.9 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of FC Zurich attack 0.94 / defence 0.95 against Grasshoppers attack 0.71 / defence 0.86, drawn from 58/58 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it FC Zurich 44% | Draw 30% | Grasshoppers 26%, with FC Zurich to win its most likely call at 44%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 34%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 61% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 41% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 57% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (FC Zurich 52%, Grasshoppers 62%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 63%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
FC Zurich's trading profile (58 games, 29 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 55% of their matches — today it did not.
Grasshoppers's trading profile (58 games, 29 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 71% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — FC Zurich 1.33 PPG, Grasshoppers 1.19 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the FC Zurich win broke the near-deadlock. FC Zurich (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.28 average — tighter than their form line. Grasshoppers (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.03 scoring average — below par going forward.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.