Seongnam FC 0-0 Jeonbuk Motors – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates Jeonbuk Motors at 51%, yet other data sources diverge — this Seongnam FC vs Jeonbuk Motors fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A K League 1 encounter, Regular Season - 26 sees Jeonbuk Motors travel to Tancheon Sports Complex to take on Seongnam FC. The game is scheduled for Saturday 21 August 2021, 11:00 UTC.
Form Analysis
Looking at all fixtures this season, Seongnam FC stand at 2W 3D 5L from 10 K League 1 matches — 0.90 PPG. Last five: D L W W L. They are averaging 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.70 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. This season is still relatively young for Seongnam FC, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Seongnam FC's form when playing at home: 4W 0D 6L across 10 games at Tancheon Sports Complex this term (1.20 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.10 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game.
Jeonbuk Motors — All Games: 4W 2D 4L from 10 K League 1 fixtures this season — 1.40 PPG. Last five: W L W W W. They are scoring at 1.80 per game and conceding 1.50. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. This season is still relatively young for Jeonbuk Motors, so this record blends games from this season and last.
On the road, Jeonbuk Motors have gone 4W 4D 2L from 10 away fixtures this term (1.60 PPG). Away from home they average 1.60 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context.
The form comparison is too close to call — 0.90 PPG (Seongnam FC) versus 1.40 (Jeonbuk Motors). When the figures are this level, no pick can be reliably derived from recent results alone.
H2H
The rivalry is an even one: 0 wins apiece for Seongnam FC, 2 for Jeonbuk Motors and 0 shared spoils from 2 past contests. Neither side holds a meaningful historical edge.
Goals have been a feature of this fixture. The last 2 meetings have averaged 3.5 per game — a rate that gives the Over 2.5 market a solid historical foundation. The most recent clash, on 6 Jun 2021, ended 1–5 with Jeonbuk Motors winning.
With the win record balanced, the strongest H2H-derived signal is in the goals market. At 3.5 goals per game historically, Over 2.5 is the cleaner angle to extract from the head-to-head data.
In-Play Profile
Seongnam FC in-play tendencies (22 games, 10 at home): they score before half-time in 60% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 67% of the time; BTTS occurs in 50% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 50% of games (home games); they fail to score in 41% of games.
Jeonbuk Motors in-play tendencies (22 games, 10 at away): they score before half-time in 50% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 90% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 60% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 60% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 30% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 36%.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Seongnam FC 46% versus Jeonbuk Motors 64%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Seongnam FC 46% | Jeonbuk Motors 50%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Seongnam FC 0.90 xG and Jeonbuk Motors 1.49 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Seongnam FC attack 0.883 / defence 1.337 | Jeonbuk Motors attack 0.945 / defence 1.043. League average goals — home 0.974 / away 1.179. Data: 23 Seongnam FC games / 22 Jeonbuk Motors games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Seongnam FC 23% | Draw 26% | Jeonbuk Motors 51%. Fair-value odds: Seongnam FC 4.35 | Draw 3.85 | Jeonbuk Motors 1.96. Jeonbuk Motors hold a narrow Poisson edge at 51% — the draw (26%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 43% | BTTS probability 46% | Total xG 2.39. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 57% — total xG of 2.39 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 46% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Analysis Verdict
On the Poisson output, Jeonbuk Motors are the pick at 51% — moderate model lean. With a 26% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Jeonbuk Motors offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.39 combined xG gives a 43% probability to Under 2.5 — Poisson-only — limited corroboration.
Poisson assigns a 46% probability to BTTS No based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates are neutral: Seongnam FC 50% | Jeonbuk Motors 60%.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Seongnam FC vs Jeonbuk Motors | Competition: K League 1, Regular Season - 26 | Venue: Tancheon Sports Complex • Kick-off: Saturday 21 Aug 2021, 11:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Seongnam FC 23% | Draw 26% | Jeonbuk Motors 51% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 43% | BTTS 46% | xG Seongnam FC 0.90 / Jeonbuk Motors 1.49 • Poisson strength factors: Seongnam FC attack 0.883 / def 1.337 | Jeonbuk Motors attack 0.945 / def 1.043 | league avg home 0.974 / away 1.179 • Poisson stance: Jeonbuk Motors (51%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
0.90
Seongnam FC xG
Expected Goals
1.49
Jeonbuk Motors xG
46%
BTTS
69%
Over 1.5
43%
Over 2.5
22%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Seongnam FC vs Jeonbuk Motors kick off?
Seongnam FC vs Jeonbuk Motors kicked off at 11:00 on Saturday 21 August 2021 at Tancheon Sports Complex.
What was the final score in Seongnam FC vs Jeonbuk Motors?
Seongnam FC 0 - 0 Jeonbuk Motors.
Where is Seongnam FC vs Jeonbuk Motors being played?
The match is being played at Tancheon Sports Complex.
What competition is Seongnam FC vs Jeonbuk Motors part of?
Seongnam FC vs Jeonbuk Motors is a Regular Season - 26 fixture in the K League 1 (South-Korea).
Who is favourite to win Seongnam FC vs Jeonbuk Motors?
Our statistical model gives Seongnam FC a 23% chance of winning, Jeonbuk Motors a 51% chance, and a 26% chance of a draw — making Jeonbuk Motors the favourite.
Will both teams score in Seongnam FC vs Jeonbuk Motors?
Our model estimates a 46% probability that both Seongnam FC and Jeonbuk Motors will score (BTTS).
Will Seongnam FC vs Jeonbuk Motors have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 43%.
What is the head-to-head record between Seongnam FC and Jeonbuk Motors?
Record (2 meetings): Seongnam FC 0W | Draws 0 | Jeonbuk Motors 2W.
What form are Seongnam FC and Jeonbuk Motors in?
Seongnam FC (all comps): 2W-3D-5L in 10 | 0.90 PPG | GF 1.10 / GA 1.70 | L5 D-L-W-W-L. Jeonbuk Motors (all comps): 4W-2D-4L in 10 | 1.40 PPG | GF 1.80 / GA 1.50 | L5 W-L-W-W-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
Seongnam FC's attacking strength (0.88x league average) is weighed against Jeonbuk Motors's defensive record (1.04x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 0.90. The same calculation in reverse, Jeonbuk Motors's attack versus Seongnam FC's defence, projects 1.49 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 23/22 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 13.9%. Close behind: 0-1 (12.1%), 0-0 (10.8%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 37% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Jeonbuk Motors Win
23%
4.41
26%
3.81
51%
1.96
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
13.7%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.3%
Draw
0 – 2
10.2%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.90
Seongnam FC xG
Total xG
2.39
1.49
Jeonbuk Motors xG
4.41
23%
Home win
3.81
26%
Draw
1.96
51%
Away win
Goals Markets
69%
Over 1.5
1.45
31%
Under 1.5
3.23
43%
Over 2.5
2.33
57%
Under 2.5
1.75
22%
Over 3.5
4.55
78%
Under 3.5
1.28
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
46%
BTTS Yes
2.18
54%
BTTS No
1.85
Clean Sheet
23%
4.44
41%
2.45
Win to Nil
5%
19.56
21%
4.80
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.2 | 13.7 | 10.2 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| 1 | 8.2 | 12.3 | 9.2 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 3.7 | 5.5 | 4.1 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | – | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Seongnam FC vs Jeonbuk Motors?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.9%.
How many goals are Seongnam FC and Jeonbuk Motors expected to score?
The model projects 0.90 expected goals for Seongnam FC and 1.49 for Jeonbuk Motors, a combined total of 2.39.
How confident is the prediction model for Seongnam FC vs Jeonbuk Motors?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 51%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
Seongnam FC's recent record stands at 6W 6D 10L from 22 games, a 1.09 PPG return, with D-L-W-W-L in the last five. The sample for Seongnam FC is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Jeonbuk Motors, meanwhile, have gone 12W 6D 4L across 22 games — 1.91 PPG, with W-L-W-W-W in their last five. The sample for Jeonbuk Motors is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
The points-per-game comparison favours Jeonbuk Motors by 0.82 — a real, if not enormous, edge over Seongnam FC heading into this one.
Home Ground vs the Road
At home specifically, Seongnam FC have managed 4W 0D 6L from 10 games — 1.20 PPG in front of their own supporters.
Jeonbuk Motors's away record stands at 4W 4D 2L across 10 trips, a 1.60 PPG haul.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Jeonbuk Motors come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
The Goals Picture
Seongnam FC are averaging 0.95 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game recently; Jeonbuk Motors are on 1.91 scored and 1.05 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Jeonbuk Motors in 64%.
Last 22 Results — K League 1
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Seongnam FC
Blended
Jeonbuk Motors
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Seongnam FC and Jeonbuk Motors in coming into this match?
Seongnam FC have gone 6W 6D 10L in their last 22 games (1.09 PPG), while Jeonbuk Motors have gone 12W 6D 4L in their last 22 (1.91 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Seongnam FC at home or Jeonbuk Motors away?
Jeonbuk Motors's away record (1.60 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Seongnam FC at home: 1.20 PPG; Jeonbuk Motors away: 1.60 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between Seongnam FC and Jeonbuk Motors runs to 6 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to April 2021. Every recorded meeting has come in K League 1. It has been a while since the last meeting — 14 September 2022, some 1 year back — so squads and form on both sides may look very different now.
Digging Into the Numbers
Jeonbuk Motors have won the last 3 meetings between these two, a run that gives them the psychological edge coming in.
The biggest gap between the sides came on 6 Jun 2021, when Jeonbuk Motors won 1-5 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
Seongnam FC's record when hosting Jeonbuk Motors specifically: 0W 1D 2L from 3 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 6 Meetings
0
Seongnam FC
1
Draws
5
Jeonbuk Motors
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Seongnam FC and Jeonbuk Motors?
From 6 meetings on record, Seongnam FC have won 0, Jeonbuk Motors have won 5, and 1 have been drawn.
When did Seongnam FC and Jeonbuk Motors last play each other?
They last met on 14 September 2022, when Jeonbuk Motors 1-0 Seongnam FC.
Who has won more matches between Seongnam FC and Jeonbuk Motors?
Jeonbuk Motors have the better head-to-head record, with 5 wins from 6 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
Seongnam FC are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 60% of their matches.
Jeonbuk Motors see a goal before the break in 50% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 30% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 20% of those situations.
The Numbers That Matter
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Seongnam FC 50%, Jeonbuk Motors 60% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 50% (Seongnam FC) and 30% (Jeonbuk Motors).
On the defensive side: Jeonbuk Motors in 30%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Seongnam FC home games / Jeonbuk Motors away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Seongnam FC play Jeonbuk Motors?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 50% of Seongnam FC's games and 60% of Jeonbuk Motors's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Seongnam FC vs Jeonbuk Motors usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 50% of Seongnam FC's recent games and 30% of Jeonbuk Motors's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Seongnam FC and Jeonbuk Motors tend to score early?
Seongnam FC have had a goal before half-time in 60% of their recent matches, Jeonbuk Motors in 50% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Seongnam FC's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Seongnam FC and Jeonbuk Motors finished level at 0-0 at Tancheon Sports Complex, Regular Season - 26, in the K League 1. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Seongnam FC 0.90 xG and Jeonbuk Motors 1.49 xG, a combined 2.39. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Seongnam FC fell 0.9 short of their projected output. Jeonbuk Motors landed 1.5 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Seongnam FC attack 0.88 / defence 1.34 against Jeonbuk Motors attack 0.94 / defence 1.04, drawn from 23/22 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Seongnam FC 23% | Draw 26% | Jeonbuk Motors 51%, with Jeonbuk Motors to win its most likely call at 51%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 26%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 43%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 69% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 46% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 48% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Seongnam FC 46%, Jeonbuk Motors 50%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 55%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Seongnam FC's trading profile (22 games, 10 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 46% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 41% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Jeonbuk Motors's trading profile (22 games, 10 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 64% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
On form, Jeonbuk Motors arrived the stronger side — 1.91 PPG against 1.09. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Seongnam FC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.10 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.60 average — tighter than their form line. Jeonbuk Motors (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.60 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 0.80 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (miss). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.