Seongnam FC 0-0 FC Seoul – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates FC Seoul at 49%, yet other data sources diverge — this Seongnam FC vs FC Seoul fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Fixture Analysis
It is a K League 1 clash, Regular Season - 3 as Seongnam FC welcome FC Seoul to Tancheon Sports Complex. Kick-off is set for Tuesday 1 March 2022 at 07:30 UTC.
Form Guide
Seongnam FC — All Games: 5W 1D 4L from 10 K League 1 outings this season, averaging 1.60 points per game. Last five: W D L W L. They are averaging 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.20 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 4 clean sheets in 10 games (40%) reflects a solid defensive base.
Seongnam FC at Tancheon Sports Complex this season: 5W 4D 1L from 10 home games — 1.90 PPG on home soil. At home they are averaging 1.00 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 6 clean sheets from 10 home games (60%) — they are an exceptionally hard side to score against at Tancheon Sports Complex.
Across all K League 1 games this season, FC Seoul have recorded 6W 3D 1L from 10 outings — 2.10 PPG. Last five: L W W D W. They are scoring at 1.80 per game and conceding 0.90. 4 clean sheets in 10 outings (40%) underlines their defensive solidity.
FC Seoul away from home this season: 5W 2D 3L from 10 away games — 1.70 PPG on the road. Away from home they average 1.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context.
Despite the home advantage, the form figures favour FC Seoul — 0.50 PPG ahead of the hosts (2.10 vs 1.60). That gap is large enough to take seriously. Draw No Bet on the visitors neutralises home-ground risk while maintaining the form-backed selection.
H2H Record
There is little to separate the sides historically. From 4 previous meetings, Seongnam FC have won 1, FC Seoul 1, with 2 draws — a balanced ledger that offers no obvious directional steer on its own.
The 4 previous meetings have averaged 2.5 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 7 Nov 2021, ended 0–3 with FC Seoul winning.
The head-to-head offers no strong directional steer in either the result or goals markets. Form, the predictive model and current market pricing should carry more weight than the historical record for this fixture.
Trading Patterns
Seongnam FC in-play and half-time data (38 games, 19 at home): they score before half-time in 58% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 60% of the time; BTTS occurs in 42% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 32% of games (home games); they fail to score in 37% of games.
FC Seoul in-play and half-time data (38 games, 19 at away): they score before half-time in 47% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 71% of the time; BTTS occurs in 58% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 37% of games (away games); they fail to score in 34% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Seongnam FC 45% versus FC Seoul 50%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Seongnam FC 42% | FC Seoul 45%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Seongnam FC 0.81 xG and FC Seoul 1.34 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Seongnam FC attack 0.889 / defence 1.072 | FC Seoul attack 1.177 / defence 0.894. League average goals — home 1.023 / away 1.065. Data: 35 Seongnam FC games / 35 FC Seoul games used (Blended). A blend of current and prior-season data is applied to stabilise estimates early in the campaign.
Result probabilities: Seongnam FC 23% | Draw 28% | FC Seoul 49%. Fair-value odds: Seongnam FC 4.35 | Draw 3.57 | FC Seoul 2.04. FC Seoul hold a narrow Poisson edge at 49% — the draw (28%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 37% | BTTS probability 41% | Total xG 2.16. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 63% — total xG of 2.16 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 41% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Summary & Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is FC Seoul at 49% — moderate model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 28% draw probability, Draw No Bet on FC Seoul offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
The Poisson model projects 2.16 xG in total — Under 2.5 at 37% — Poisson-only — limited corroboration confidence.
On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 41% on No. Form rates are neutral: Seongnam FC 40% | FC Seoul 60%.
The Poisson model is drawing on Blended data (35 games minimum) — early-season projections carry additional uncertainty. Weight the live form and odds signals accordingly.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Seongnam FC vs FC Seoul | Competition: K League 1, Regular Season - 3 | Venue: Tancheon Sports Complex • Kick-off: Tuesday 1 Mar 2022, 07:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Seongnam FC 23% | Draw 28% | FC Seoul 49% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 37% | BTTS 41% | xG Seongnam FC 0.81 / FC Seoul 1.34 • Poisson strength factors: Seongnam FC attack 0.889 / def 1.072 | FC Seoul attack 1.177 / def 0.894 | league avg home 1.023 / away 1.065 • Poisson stance: FC Seoul (49%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
0.81
Seongnam FC xG
Expected Goals
1.34
FC Seoul xG
41%
BTTS
63%
Over 1.5
37%
Over 2.5
17%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Seongnam FC vs FC Seoul kick off?
Seongnam FC vs FC Seoul kicked off at 07:30 on Tuesday 1 March 2022 at Tancheon Sports Complex.
What was the final score in Seongnam FC vs FC Seoul?
Seongnam FC 0 - 0 FC Seoul.
Where is Seongnam FC vs FC Seoul being played?
The match is being played at Tancheon Sports Complex.
What competition is Seongnam FC vs FC Seoul part of?
Seongnam FC vs FC Seoul is a Regular Season - 3 fixture in the K League 1 (South-Korea).
Who is favourite to win Seongnam FC vs FC Seoul?
Our statistical model gives Seongnam FC a 23% chance of winning, FC Seoul a 49% chance, and a 28% chance of a draw — making FC Seoul the favourite.
Will both teams score in Seongnam FC vs FC Seoul?
Our model estimates a 41% probability that both Seongnam FC and FC Seoul will score (BTTS).
Will Seongnam FC vs FC Seoul have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 37%.
What is the head-to-head record between Seongnam FC and FC Seoul?
Record (4 meetings): Seongnam FC 1W | Draws 2 | FC Seoul 1W.
What form are Seongnam FC and FC Seoul in?
Seongnam FC (all comps): 5W-1D-4L in 10 | 1.60 PPG | GF 1.10 / GA 1.20 | L5 W-D-L-W-L. FC Seoul (all comps): 6W-3D-1L in 10 | 2.10 PPG | GF 1.80 / GA 0.90 | L5 L-W-W-D-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
Working from Seongnam FC's attack rating (0.89) and FC Seoul's defence rating (0.89), the model arrives at 0.81 expected goals for the home side. The same calculation in reverse, FC Seoul's attack versus Seongnam FC's defence, projects 1.34 expected goals for the visitors.
The sample (35/35 games) mixes this season and last, since the current campaign is still relatively young.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 14.3%. Close behind: 0-1 (13.9%), 0-0 (13.2%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 41% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
FC Seoul Win
23%
4.42
28%
3.56
49%
2.03
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
15.6%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.6%
Draw
0 – 0
11.6%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.81
Seongnam FC xG
Total xG
2.16
1.34
FC Seoul xG
4.42
23%
Home win
3.56
28%
Draw
2.03
49%
Away win
Goals Markets
63%
Over 1.5
1.59
37%
Under 1.5
2.70
37%
Over 2.5
2.70
63%
Under 2.5
1.59
17%
Over 3.5
5.88
83%
Under 3.5
1.20
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
41%
BTTS Yes
2.43
59%
BTTS No
1.70
Clean Sheet
26%
3.83
44%
2.25
Win to Nil
6%
16.94
22%
4.57
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.6 | 15.6 | 10.5 | 4.7 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 9.4 | 12.6 | 8.5 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 3.8 | 5.1 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Seongnam FC vs FC Seoul?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.3%.
How many goals are Seongnam FC and FC Seoul expected to score?
The model projects 0.81 expected goals for Seongnam FC and 1.34 for FC Seoul, a combined total of 2.16.
How confident is the prediction model for Seongnam FC vs FC Seoul?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 49%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
Seongnam FC come into this having played 38 games, going 11W 11D 16L for 1.16 points per game. Their last five reads W-D-L-W-L.
On the other side, FC Seoul sit at 1.24 PPG from 38 outings (12W 11D 15L), a run that reads L-W-W-D-W across their last five.
Form-wise this is close to level: Seongnam FC on 1.16 PPG, FC Seoul on 1.24. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Home Ground vs the Road
Seongnam FC's home form reads 8W 5D 6L across 19 games on their own ground, a 1.53 PPG return.
Away from home, FC Seoul have taken 1.37 points per game from 19 outings (7W 5D 7L).
The Goals Picture
Seongnam FC are averaging 0.89 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game recently; FC Seoul are on 1.21 scored and 1.21 conceded.
Last 38 Results — K League 1
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Seongnam FC
Current Season
FC Seoul
Current Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Seongnam FC and FC Seoul in coming into this match?
Seongnam FC have gone 11W 11D 16L in their last 38 games (1.16 PPG), while FC Seoul have gone 12W 11D 15L in their last 38 (1.24 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Seongnam FC at home or FC Seoul away?
Seongnam FC's home record (1.53 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Seongnam FC at home: 1.53 PPG; FC Seoul away: 1.37 PPG.
Have Seongnam FC or FC Seoul been keeping clean sheets recently?
Seongnam FC have kept a clean sheet in 34% of their recent games, FC Seoul in 26%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between Seongnam FC and FC Seoul runs to 8 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to March 2021. Every recorded meeting has come in K League 1. It has been a while since the last meeting — 16 October 2022, some 1 year back — so squads and form on both sides may look very different now.
Digging Into the Numbers
The biggest gap between the sides came on 7 Nov 2021, when FC Seoul won 3-0 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
Seongnam FC's record when hosting FC Seoul specifically: 1W 2D 0L from 3 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 8 Meetings
3
Seongnam FC
3
Draws
2
FC Seoul
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Seongnam FC and FC Seoul?
From 8 meetings on record, Seongnam FC have won 3, FC Seoul have won 2, and 3 have been drawn.
When did Seongnam FC and FC Seoul last play each other?
They last met on 16 October 2022, when FC Seoul 0-1 Seongnam FC.
Who has won more matches between Seongnam FC and FC Seoul?
Seongnam FC have the better head-to-head record, with 3 wins from 8 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
Seongnam FC see a goal before the break in 58% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 32% of the time.
FC Seoul see a goal before the break in 47% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 10% of those situations.
The Numbers That Matter
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Seongnam FC 42%, FC Seoul 58% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Low-scoring games have been more typical here — Over 2.5 sits at just 32% for Seongnam FC and 37% for FC Seoul.
On the defensive side: Seongnam FC keep a clean sheet in 47% of their matches; Seongnam FC have failed to score in 26% of games; FC Seoul in 26%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Seongnam FC home games / FC Seoul away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Seongnam FC play FC Seoul?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 42% of Seongnam FC's recent matches and 58% of FC Seoul's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Seongnam FC vs FC Seoul usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 32% of Seongnam FC's recent games and 37% of FC Seoul's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Stalemate at Seongnam FC's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Tancheon Sports Complex, Regular Season - 3, as Seongnam FC and FC Seoul drew 0-0 in the K League 1. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Seongnam FC 0.81 xG and FC Seoul 1.34 xG, a combined 2.16. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Seongnam FC fell 0.8 short of their projected output. FC Seoul landed 1.3 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Seongnam FC attack 0.89 / defence 1.07 against FC Seoul attack 1.18 / defence 0.89, drawn from 35/35 games (Blended).
On the result, the model split it Seongnam FC 23% | Draw 28% | FC Seoul 49%, with FC Seoul to win its most likely call at 49%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 28%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 37%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 63% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 41% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 43% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Seongnam FC 42%, FC Seoul 45%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 47%, which matched the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Seongnam FC's trading profile (38 games, 19 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 45% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 34% of the time, and duly kept one; they fail to score in 37% of games, a blank that repeated today.
FC Seoul's trading profile (38 games, 19 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 50% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 34% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Seongnam FC 1.16 PPG, FC Seoul 1.24 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Seongnam FC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.00 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.00 average — tighter than their form line. FC Seoul (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.32 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.26 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.