Al Khaleej Saihat 0-0 Al-Adalah – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model rates Al-Adalah at 39% — neither recent form nor the head-to-head data gives a clear steer either way as Al Khaleej Saihat face Al-Adalah.
✍️ Match Preview
Pre-Match Analysis
Al Khaleej Saihat and Al-Adalah meet at Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium in Pro League (matchday 3). This fixture gets under way on Thursday 8 September 2022 at 17:30 UK time.
Form
Al Khaleej Saihat (all games): 0W 0D 2L across their last 2 — 0.00 PPG. Last five: L L. They are averaging 0.50 goals per game and conceding 2.00 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. However, 2.00 goals conceded per game is a concern — opposing attacks have exploited them regularly.
Al-Adalah have collected 0.00 PPG across their last 2 games: 0W 0D 2L. Last five: L L. Their scoring rate of 0.00 per game is modest, conceding 2.00 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. Conceding 2.00 per game is a high rate — their defence has been exposed regularly.
Both sides are running at similar form levels — 0.00 PPG for Al Khaleej Saihat against 0.00 for Al-Adalah. There is no clear form edge to exploit here; other signals need to take the lead.
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Al Khaleej Saihat 0.89 xG and Al-Adalah 1.05 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Al Khaleej Saihat attack 0.760 / defence 1.195 | Al-Adalah attack 0.711 / defence 1.094. League average goals — home 1.066 / away 1.233. Al Khaleej Saihat's attack rating of 0.760 is below the league average, which holds their xG down at 0.89. Al-Adalah's attack rating of 0.711 is below the league average, which holds their xG down at 1.05. Data: built from Al Khaleej Saihat's last 2 games and Al-Adalah's last 2. Some of those games are older results, so treat these probabilities as directional rather than precise.
Result probabilities: Al Khaleej Saihat 30% | Draw 31% | Al-Adalah 39%. Fair-value odds: Al Khaleej Saihat 3.33 | Draw 3.19 | Al-Adalah 2.59. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome reaches 45%. The draw at 31% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 31% | BTTS Yes probability 38% | Total xG 1.93. Under 2.5 is the strongly backed market at 69% probability — total xG of 1.93 sits well below the 2.5 threshold. The model is projecting a tight, low-scoring match. BTTS No at 62% is only a slight lean — the model gives both sides a fair chance of scoring, so No isn't a clear standalone call.
Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is Al-Adalah at 39% — marginal model lean. Draw probability of 31% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Al-Adalah if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 30% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
Poisson projects 1.93 total expected goals, pointing to Under 2.5 at 69% probability — a Poisson-only call with no corroboration from form or H2H.
The Poisson model's sample (Al Khaleej Saihat 2 games, Al-Adalah 2) includes some older results, so its projections carry extra uncertainty — weight recent form and the odds accordingly.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Adalah | Competition: Pro League, matchday 3 | Venue: Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium • Kick-off: Thursday 8 September 2022 at 17:30 UK time • Data inputs: head-to-head data, recent form (overall and home/away), the Poisson prediction model and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Al Khaleej Saihat 30% | Draw 31% | Al-Adalah 39% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 31% (Under 69%) | BTTS Yes 38% (No 62%) | xG Al Khaleej Saihat 0.89 / Al-Adalah 1.05 • Poisson strength factors: Al Khaleej Saihat attack 0.760 / def 1.195 | Al-Adalah attack 0.711 / def 1.094 | league avg home 1.066 / away 1.233 • Poisson stance: Al-Adalah (39%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
0.89
Al Khaleej Saihat xG
Expected Goals
1.05
Al-Adalah xG
38%
BTTS
58%
Over 1.5
31%
Over 2.5
13%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Adalah FAQs
What time does Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Adalah kick off?
Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Adalah kicked off at 17:30 UK time on Thursday 8 September 2022 at Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium.
What was the final score in Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Adalah?
Al Khaleej Saihat 0 - 0 Al-Adalah.
Where is Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Adalah being played?
The match is being played at Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium.
What competition is Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Adalah part of?
Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Adalah is a Pro League fixture (matchday 3) (Saudi-Arabia).
Who is favourite to win Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Adalah?
Our statistical model gives Al Khaleej Saihat a 30% chance of winning, Al-Adalah a 39% chance, and a 31% chance of a draw — making Al-Adalah the favourite.
Will both teams score in Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Adalah?
Our model estimates a 38% probability that both Al Khaleej Saihat and Al-Adalah will score, so it leans towards BTTS No (62%).
Will Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Adalah have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 31%, so it leans towards under 2.5 goals (69%).
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
Al Khaleej Saihat's attacking strength (0.76x league average) is weighed against Al-Adalah's defensive record (1.09x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 0.89. Flip it around — Al-Adalah's attack (0.71x) against Al Khaleej Saihat's defence (1.20x) — and the away total comes out at 1.05.
These ratings are built from Al Khaleej Saihat's last 2 games and Al-Adalah's last 2, a sample that still includes some older results.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 0-0, at 16.2%. Close behind: 1-1 (15.2%), 0-1 (13.4%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 45% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Al-Adalah Win
30%
3.33
31%
3.19
39%
2.59
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
15.2%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 0
14.5%
Draw
1 – 1
13.4%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.89
Al Khaleej Saihat xG
Total xG
1.93
1.05
Al-Adalah xG
3.33
30%
Home win
3.19
31%
Draw
2.59
39%
Away win
Goals Markets
58%
Over 1.5
1.72
42%
Under 1.5
2.38
31%
Over 2.5
3.23
69%
Under 2.5
1.45
13%
Over 3.5
7.69
87%
Under 3.5
1.15
5%
Over 4.5
20.00
95%
Under 4.5
1.05
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
38%
BTTS Yes
2.62
62%
BTTS No
1.62
Clean Sheet
35%
2.85
41%
2.43
Win to Nil
11%
9.47
16%
6.29
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.5 | 15.2 | 7.9 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 12.8 | 13.4 | 7.0 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 5.7 | 5.9 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Adalah Prediction FAQs
What is the most likely scoreline for Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Adalah?
Our Poisson model rates 0-0 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 16.2%.
How many goals are Al Khaleej Saihat and Al-Adalah expected to score?
The model projects 0.89 expected goals for Al Khaleej Saihat and 1.05 for Al-Adalah, a combined total of 1.93.
How confident is the prediction model for Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Adalah?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 39%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
Across their last 2 outings, Al Khaleej Saihat have picked up 0.00 PPG on a 0W 0D 2L record — L-L across the most recent five.
Al-Adalah's form line: 0W 0D 2L from 2 games, 0.00 PPG, last five L-L.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 0.00 PPG for Al Khaleej Saihat against 0.00 for Al-Adalah. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
Scoring & Defensive Trends
Al Khaleej Saihat are averaging 0.50 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game recently; Al-Adalah are on 0.00 scored and 2.00 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Al-Adalah in 0%.
Last 2 Results
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Al Khaleej Saihat
Early Season
Al-Adalah
Early Season
Al Khaleej Saihat (Home) vs Al-Adalah (Away)
Home games only for the home side · Away games only for the away side
Al Khaleej Saihat
Early Season
Al-Adalah
Early Season
❓ Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Adalah Form FAQs
What form are Al Khaleej Saihat and Al-Adalah in coming into this match?
Al Khaleej Saihat have gone 0W 0D 2L in their last 2 games (0.00 PPG), while Al-Adalah have gone 0W 0D 2L in their last 2 (0.00 PPG).
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
We have 2 H2H matches between these sides on record, dating back to September 2022 — a small sample, so read the trends with care. All of them came in Pro League. The most recent in our data was on 24 February 2023, some 3 years back — so squads and form on both sides may look very different now.
Last 2 Meetings
0
Al Khaleej Saihat
1
Draws
1
Al-Adalah
Recent Meetings
❓ Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Adalah H2H FAQs
What is the head-to-head record between Al Khaleej Saihat and Al-Adalah?
Across the 2 head-to-head matches in our data, Al Khaleej Saihat have won 0, Al-Adalah have won 1, and 1 has been drawn.
When did Al Khaleej Saihat and Al-Adalah last play each other?
The most recent meeting in our data was on 24 February 2023: Al-Adalah 2-0 Al Khaleej Saihat.
Who has won more matches between Al Khaleej Saihat and Al-Adalah?
Al-Adalah have the better head-to-head record, with 1 wins from the 2 head-to-head matches in our data.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Al Khaleej Saihat home games / Al-Adalah away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Adalah Trading FAQs
Do both teams usually score in Al Khaleej Saihat and Al-Adalah matches?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 50% of Al Khaleej Saihat's recent matches and 0% of Al-Adalah's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Are Al Khaleej Saihat and Al-Adalah matches usually high-scoring?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 50% of Al Khaleej Saihat's recent games and 50% of Al-Adalah's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Al Khaleej Saihat and Al-Adalah matches tend to have early goals?
There has been at least one first-half goal in 100% of Al Khaleej Saihat's recent matches and 100% of Al-Adalah's — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Al Khaleej Saihat's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Al Khaleej Saihat and Al-Adalah finished level at 0-0 at Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium, Regular Season - 3, in the Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Al Khaleej Saihat 0.89 xG and Al-Adalah 1.05 xG, a combined 1.93. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Al Khaleej Saihat fell 0.9 short of their projected output. Al-Adalah landed 1.0 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al Khaleej Saihat attack 0.76 / defence 1.20 against Al-Adalah attack 0.71 / defence 1.09, drawn from 2/2 games (Blended).
On the result, the model split it Al Khaleej Saihat 30% | Draw 31% | Al-Adalah 39%, with Al-Adalah to win its most likely call at 39%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 31%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 31%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 58% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 38% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 50% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al Khaleej Saihat 50%, Al-Adalah 50%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 25%, which matched the one-sided outcome.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Al Khaleej Saihat 0.00 PPG, Al-Adalah 0.00 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Al Khaleej Saihat conceded 0 against a 2.00 average — tighter than their form line. Al-Adalah conceded 0 against a 2.00 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.