SC Paderborn 07 0-0 Eintracht Braunschweig – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates SC Paderborn 07 at 72% — recent form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Braunschweig encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Match Analysis
SC Paderborn 07 host Eintracht Braunschweig at Home Deluxe Arena in 2. Bundesliga (matchday 11). Kick-off is Sunday 3 November 2024 at 12:30 UK time.
Form Guide
SC Paderborn 07 — last 10 games: 5W 4D 1L, averaging 1.90 points per game. Last five: W D W L W. Offensively they are averaging 1.80 goals per game, with 1.30 conceded. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings (20%). Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets.
In front of their own supporters, SC Paderborn 07 have posted 5W 3D 2L from their last 10 home games — 1.80 PPG. At home they are averaging 1.60 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 4 home clean sheets from their last 10 home games (40%) — a solid defensive base on their own ground. BTTS has landed in 60% of their home matches — a rate that supports the Yes angle in this fixture.
Looking at their last 10 matches, Eintracht Braunschweig stand at 2W 2D 6L — 0.80 PPG. Last five: W L W L D. Their scoring rate of 1.10 per game is modest, conceding 2.30 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. Conceding 2.30 per game is a high rate — their defence has been exposed regularly. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings (20%). Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market.
On the road, Eintracht Braunschweig have gone 2W 2D 6L in their last 10 away fixtures (0.80 PPG). Away from home they average 1.20 goals scored and 2.80 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context.
SC Paderborn 07 carry the stronger recent momentum — 1.10 PPG ahead of their opponents on 1.90 vs 0.80. The form data is a point in their favour, and where the price allows, it is the cleaner directional bet.
The BTTS market is worth targeting here. Both teams have scored in 60% of SC Paderborn 07's games and 60% of Eintracht Braunschweig's (from SC Paderborn 07's last 10 home games and Eintracht Braunschweig's last 10 away games) — both sides above the 60% threshold gives BTTS Yes firm statistical grounding.
Head to Head
There is little to separate the sides in our head-to-head data. From 4 H2H matches, SC Paderborn 07 have won 2, Eintracht Braunschweig 1, with 1 draw — a balanced record that offers no clear steer on its own.
Goals have been a feature of this fixture — the 4 H2H matches in our data averaged 3.2 per game, which gives Over 2.5 a solid head-to-head foundation. The most recent of those, on 15 Mar 2024, ended SC Paderborn 07 1–2 Eintracht Braunschweig — a Eintracht Braunschweig win.
With the win record balanced, the strongest H2H signal is in the goals market — at 3.2 goals per game, Over 2.5 is the cleaner angle from the head-to-head data.
In-Play Profile
SC Paderborn 07 in-play tendencies (last 44 games, 21 of them at home): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 67% of their matches in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 75% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 67% of those occasions; of the 12 games they trailed at half-time, they recovered to draw or win 33%; BTTS occurs in 62% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 67% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 36%.
Eintracht Braunschweig in-play tendencies (last 44 games, 21 of them away): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 86% of their matches in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 86% of the time; of the 12 games they led at half-time, they failed to win 33%; BTTS occurs in 48% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 67% of games (away games); they fail to score in 34% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — SC Paderborn 07 70% versus Eintracht Braunschweig 48%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (SC Paderborn 07 75% | Eintracht Braunschweig 54%). Note also that Eintracht Braunschweig surrender HT leads in 33% of cases while SC Paderborn 07 recover from half-time deficits to draw or win 33% of the time — a dynamic that could influence in-play positioning.
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects SC Paderborn 07 2.45 xG and Eintracht Braunschweig 0.87 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: SC Paderborn 07 attack 1.001 / defence 0.758 | Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.738 / defence 1.512. League average goals — home 1.620 / away 1.562. Eintracht Braunschweig's defence rating of 1.512 (above 1 = concedes more than average) is pushing SC Paderborn 07's projected output up. Eintracht Braunschweig's attack rating of 0.738 is below the league average, which holds their xG down at 0.87. SC Paderborn 07 have a tight defence (rating 0.758), which is pulling Eintracht Braunschweig's projected output down. Data: built from SC Paderborn 07's last 44 games and Eintracht Braunschweig's last 44.
Result probabilities: SC Paderborn 07 72% | Draw 17% | Eintracht Braunschweig 11%. Fair-value odds: SC Paderborn 07 1.39 | Draw 5.80 | Eintracht Braunschweig 9.04. The model has a clear lean to SC Paderborn 07 (72%) — a 55pp gap over the next-most-likely outcome reflects a meaningful statistical advantage.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 65% | BTTS Yes probability 54% | Total xG 3.33. Over 2.5 is the model's clear signal at 65% — a total xG of 3.33 means the expected score alone exceeds the 2.5 threshold, making the Over not just likely but structurally supported by both sides' attack/defence profiles. BTTS Yes at 54% is only a slight lean — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Summary & Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is SC Paderborn 07 at 72% — clear model lean. Recent form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support.
On the goals line, Poisson's 3.33 combined xG gives a 65% probability to Over 2.5 — strong conviction, supported by recent form (SC Paderborn 07's last 10 home games and Eintracht Braunschweig's last 10 away games) averaging 3.2 goals per game and the H2H data averaging 3.2 goals per game across 4 H2H matches.
Poisson assigns a 54% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate — both teams scored in: SC Paderborn 07 60% (last 10 home games) | Eintracht Braunschweig 60% (last 10 away games).
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Braunschweig | Competition: 2. Bundesliga, matchday 11 | Venue: Home Deluxe Arena • Kick-off: Sunday 3 November 2024 at 12:30 UK time • Data inputs: head-to-head data, recent form (overall and home/away), the Poisson prediction model and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: SC Paderborn 07 72% | Draw 17% | Eintracht Braunschweig 11% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 65% (Under 35%) | BTTS Yes 54% (No 46%) | xG SC Paderborn 07 2.45 / Eintracht Braunschweig 0.87 • Poisson strength factors: SC Paderborn 07 attack 1.001 / def 0.758 | Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.738 / def 1.512 | league avg home 1.620 / away 1.562 • Poisson stance: SC Paderborn 07 (72%) — strong lean
🧮 Prediction Model
2.45
SC Paderborn 07 xG
Expected Goals
0.87
Eintracht Braunschweig xG
54%
BTTS
85%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
43%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Braunschweig FAQs
What time does SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Braunschweig kick off?
SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Braunschweig kicked off at 12:30 UK time on Sunday 3 November 2024 at Home Deluxe Arena.
What was the final score in SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Braunschweig?
SC Paderborn 07 0 - 0 Eintracht Braunschweig.
Where is SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Braunschweig being played?
The match is being played at Home Deluxe Arena.
What competition is SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Braunschweig part of?
SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Braunschweig is a 2. Bundesliga fixture (matchday 11) (Germany).
Who is favourite to win SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Braunschweig?
Our statistical model gives SC Paderborn 07 a 72% chance of winning, Eintracht Braunschweig a 11% chance, and a 17% chance of a draw — making SC Paderborn 07 the favourite.
Will both teams score in SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Braunschweig?
Our model estimates a 54% probability that both SC Paderborn 07 and Eintracht Braunschweig will score, so it leans towards BTTS Yes.
Will SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Braunschweig have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 65%, so it leans towards over 2.5 goals.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
The model rates SC Paderborn 07's attack at 1.00x the league average against Eintracht Braunschweig's defence at 1.51x — combine the two and it projects 2.45 expected goals for the hosts. The same calculation in reverse, Eintracht Braunschweig's attack versus SC Paderborn 07's defence, projects 0.87 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from SC Paderborn 07's last 44 games and Eintracht Braunschweig's last 44 — a full enough recent sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 2-0 carries the highest individual probability at 10.8% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 2-1 (9.4%), 3-0 (8.8%). Together the top three scorelines make up 29% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
SC Paderborn 07 Win
72%
1.39
17%
5.80
11%
9.04
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
10.8%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 1
9.4%
Home win
1 – 0
8.8%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.45
SC Paderborn 07 xG
Total xG
3.33
0.87
Eintracht Braunschweig xG
1.39
72%
Home win
5.80
17%
Draw
9.04
11%
Away win
Goals Markets
84%
Over 1.5
1.19
16%
Under 1.5
6.25
65%
Over 2.5
1.54
35%
Under 2.5
2.86
43%
Over 3.5
2.33
57%
Under 3.5
1.75
24%
Over 4.5
4.17
76%
Under 4.5
1.32
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
54%
BTTS Yes
1.87
46%
BTTS No
2.15
Clean Sheet
42%
2.39
9%
11.61
Win to Nil
30%
3.34
1%
104.99
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.6 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 8.8 | 7.7 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 10.8 | 9.4 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 0.3 | – |
| 3 | 8.8 | 7.7 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 5.4 | 4.7 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Braunschweig Prediction FAQs
What is the most likely scoreline for SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Braunschweig?
Our Poisson model rates 2-0 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 10.8%.
How many goals are SC Paderborn 07 and Eintracht Braunschweig expected to score?
The model projects 2.45 expected goals for SC Paderborn 07 and 0.87 for Eintracht Braunschweig, a combined total of 3.33.
How confident is the prediction model for SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Braunschweig?
Reasonably confident — the model's leading outcome is rated at 72%, a clear lean rather than a toss-up.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
Across their last 44 outings, SC Paderborn 07 have picked up 1.61 PPG on a 20W 11D 13L record — W-D-W-L-W across the most recent five.
Eintracht Braunschweig's form line: 13W 7D 24L from 44 games, 1.05 PPG, last five W-L-W-L-D.
Put side by side, SC Paderborn 07 are the form team by 0.56 points per game — a gap wide enough to matter, though form alone rarely tells the whole story against Eintracht Braunschweig.
Venue Form
On home soil, SC Paderborn 07 have posted 1.67 PPG from their last 21 home games (10W 5D 6L).
On the road, Eintracht Braunschweig have gone 4W 2D 15L from their last 21 away games — 0.67 PPG when travelling.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, SC Paderborn 07 come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Goals in Recent Form
SC Paderborn 07 are averaging 1.64 goals scored and 1.52 conceded per game recently; Eintracht Braunschweig are on 1.09 scored and 1.73 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: SC Paderborn 07 have seen both teams score in 70% of their recent games.
Last 44 Results
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
SC Paderborn 07
Blended
Eintracht Braunschweig
Blended
SC Paderborn 07 (Home) vs Eintracht Braunschweig (Away)
Home games only for the home side · Away games only for the away side
SC Paderborn 07
Blended
Eintracht Braunschweig
Blended
❓ SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Braunschweig Form FAQs
What form are SC Paderborn 07 and Eintracht Braunschweig in coming into this match?
SC Paderborn 07 have gone 20W 11D 13L in their last 44 games (1.61 PPG), while Eintracht Braunschweig have gone 13W 7D 24L in their last 44 (1.05 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — SC Paderborn 07 at home or Eintracht Braunschweig away?
SC Paderborn 07's home record (1.67 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — SC Paderborn 07 at home: 1.67 PPG; Eintracht Braunschweig away: 0.67 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
This section is based on the 8 H2H matches we hold for this pairing, spanning roughly 3 years from October 2022. All of them came in 2. Bundesliga. The most recent was on 7 March 2026, roughly 8 months ago.
Streaks & Records
The biggest gap in our H2H data came on 28 Apr 2023, when SC Paderborn 07 won SC Paderborn 07 5-1 Eintracht Braunschweig.
SC Paderborn 07's record when hosting Eintracht Braunschweig specifically: 1W 2D 1L from 4 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 8 Meetings
3
SC Paderborn 07
3
Draws
2
Eintracht Braunschweig
Recent Meetings
❓ SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Braunschweig H2H FAQs
What is the head-to-head record between SC Paderborn 07 and Eintracht Braunschweig?
Across the 8 head-to-head matches in our data, SC Paderborn 07 have won 3, Eintracht Braunschweig have won 2, and 3 have been drawn.
When did SC Paderborn 07 and Eintracht Braunschweig last play each other?
The most recent meeting in our data was on 7 March 2026: SC Paderborn 07 1-1 Eintracht Braunschweig.
Who has won more matches between SC Paderborn 07 and Eintracht Braunschweig?
SC Paderborn 07 have the better head-to-head record, with 3 wins from the 8 head-to-head matches in our data.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
SC Paderborn 07 are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 67% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 29% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 17% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 40% of those situations.
Eintracht Braunschweig are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 86% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 14% of those situations.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — SC Paderborn 07 62%, Eintracht Braunschweig 48% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 67% for SC Paderborn 07 and 67% for Eintracht Braunschweig. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 38% and 33% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: Eintracht Braunschweig in 48%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = SC Paderborn 07 home games / Eintracht Braunschweig away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Braunschweig Trading FAQs
Do both teams usually score in SC Paderborn 07 and Eintracht Braunschweig matches?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 62% of SC Paderborn 07's recent matches and 48% of Eintracht Braunschweig's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Are SC Paderborn 07 and Eintracht Braunschweig matches usually high-scoring?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 67% of SC Paderborn 07's matches and 67% of Eintracht Braunschweig's.
Do SC Paderborn 07 and Eintracht Braunschweig matches tend to have early goals?
There has been at least one first-half goal in 67% of SC Paderborn 07's recent matches and 86% of Eintracht Braunschweig's — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at SC Paderborn 07's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Home Deluxe Arena, Regular Season - 11, as SC Paderborn 07 and Eintracht Braunschweig drew 0-0 in the 2. Bundesliga. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting SC Paderborn 07 2.45 xG and Eintracht Braunschweig 0.87 xG, a combined 3.33. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. SC Paderborn 07 fell 2.5 short of their projected output. Eintracht Braunschweig landed 0.9 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of SC Paderborn 07 attack 1.00 / defence 0.76 against Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.74 / defence 1.51, drawn from 44/44 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it SC Paderborn 07 72% | Draw 17% | Eintracht Braunschweig 11%, with SC Paderborn 07 to win its most likely call at 72%. Instead the game produced a draw, an outcome the model had rated at just 17% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 65%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 85% and missed. Over 3.5 was 43% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 54% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 65% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (SC Paderborn 07 75%, Eintracht Braunschweig 54%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 59%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
SC Paderborn 07's trading profile (44 games, 21 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 70% of their matches — today it did not.
Eintracht Braunschweig's trading profile (44 games, 21 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 48% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 34% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
On form, SC Paderborn 07 arrived the stronger side — 1.61 PPG against 1.05. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. SC Paderborn 07 (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.62 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.29 average — tighter than their form line. Eintracht Braunschweig (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.90 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 2.24 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.
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