Eintracht Braunschweig 0-0 FC Schalke 04 – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates FC Schalke 04 at 46% — neither recent form nor the head-to-head data gives a clear steer either way as Eintracht Braunschweig face FC Schalke 04.
✍️ Match Preview
Pre-Match Analysis
Eintracht Braunschweig and FC Schalke 04 meet at Eintracht-Stadion in 2. Bundesliga (matchday 18). This fixture gets under way on Saturday 18 January 2025 at 12:00 UK time.
Form
Eintracht Braunschweig (all games): 2W 3D 5L across their last 10 — 0.90 PPG. Last five: L D L L L. They are averaging 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.70 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings (30%).
Eintracht Braunschweig at home: 4W 2D 4L from their last 10 home games — 1.40 PPG on home soil. At home they are averaging 1.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 4 home clean sheets from their last 10 home games (40%) — a solid defensive base on their own ground.
FC Schalke 04 have collected 1.30 PPG across their last 10 games: 3W 4D 3L. Last five: D L W D W. They are scoring at 1.80 per game and conceding 1.60. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings (20%). Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market.
FC Schalke 04's form when playing away from home: 3W 3D 4L across their last 10 road games (1.20 PPG). Away from home they average 1.50 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context.
Both sides are running at similar form levels — 0.90 PPG for Eintracht Braunschweig against 1.30 for FC Schalke 04. There is no clear form edge to exploit here; other signals need to take the lead.
H2H Analysis
The head-to-head record is closely matched — across the 3 H2H matches in our data, FC Schalke 04 edge it 2 wins to 1, with 0 draws. Neither side has a commanding advantage. With only 3 H2H matches to go on, treat this as a light input.
The 3 H2H matches in our data averaged 2.7 goals per game — a neutral rate that gives no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent of those, on 3 Aug 2024, ended Eintracht Braunschweig 1–5 FC Schalke 04 — a FC Schalke 04 win.
The head-to-head data offers no strong steer in either the result or goals markets. Form, the model and current market pricing should carry more weight for this fixture.
Trading
Eintracht Braunschweig half-time and goal-timing data (last 51 games, 25 of them at home): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 76% of their matches in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 73% of the time; of the 13 games they led at half-time, they failed to win 31%; BTTS occurs in 44% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 44% of games (home games); they fail to score in 39% of games.
FC Schalke 04 half-time and goal-timing data (last 51 games, 25 of them away): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 76% of their matches in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 82% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 54% of those occasions; of the 18 games they led at half-time, they failed to win 39%; BTTS occurs in 60% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 60% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 45%.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Eintracht Braunschweig 45% versus FC Schalke 04 61%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Eintracht Braunschweig 55% | FC Schalke 04 63%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Eintracht Braunschweig 1.21 xG and FC Schalke 04 1.66 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.835 / defence 0.932 | FC Schalke 04 attack 1.188 / defence 0.975. League average goals — home 1.488 / away 1.502. Data: built from Eintracht Braunschweig's last 51 games and FC Schalke 04's last 51.
Result probabilities: Eintracht Braunschweig 26% | Draw 28% | FC Schalke 04 46%. Fair-value odds: Eintracht Braunschweig 3.85 | Draw 3.58 | FC Schalke 04 2.17. FC Schalke 04 hold a narrow Poisson edge at 46% — the draw (28%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 55% | BTTS Yes probability 59% | Total xG 2.88. Over 2.5 holds a meaningful probability edge at 55% — the 2.88 total xG provides moderate support, though the model is not projecting a high-scoring game. BTTS Yes at 59% is only a slight lean — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is FC Schalke 04 at 46% — moderate model lean. Draw probability of 28% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on FC Schalke 04 if the outright odds are short.
Poisson projects 2.88 total expected goals, pointing to Over 2.5 at 55% probability — reasonable conviction, supported by recent form (Eintracht Braunschweig's last 10 home games and FC Schalke 04's last 10 away games) averaging 2.8 goals per game.
On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 59% on Yes. Form rates are neutral — both teams scored in: Eintracht Braunschweig 40% (last 10 home games) | FC Schalke 04 60% (last 10 away games).
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Eintracht Braunschweig vs FC Schalke 04 | Competition: 2. Bundesliga, matchday 18 | Venue: Eintracht-Stadion • Kick-off: Saturday 18 January 2025 at 12:00 UK time • Data inputs: head-to-head data, recent form (overall and home/away), the Poisson prediction model and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Eintracht Braunschweig 26% | Draw 28% | FC Schalke 04 46% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 55% (Under 45%) | BTTS Yes 59% (No 41%) | xG Eintracht Braunschweig 1.21 / FC Schalke 04 1.66 • Poisson strength factors: Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.835 / def 0.932 | FC Schalke 04 attack 1.188 / def 0.975 | league avg home 1.488 / away 1.502 • Poisson stance: FC Schalke 04 (46%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.21
Eintracht Braunschweig xG
Expected Goals
1.66
FC Schalke 04 xG
59%
BTTS
80%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
32%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Eintracht Braunschweig vs FC Schalke 04 FAQs
What time does Eintracht Braunschweig vs FC Schalke 04 kick off?
Eintracht Braunschweig vs FC Schalke 04 kicked off at 12:00 UK time on Saturday 18 January 2025 at Eintracht-Stadion.
What was the final score in Eintracht Braunschweig vs FC Schalke 04?
Eintracht Braunschweig 0 - 0 FC Schalke 04.
Where is Eintracht Braunschweig vs FC Schalke 04 being played?
The match is being played at Eintracht-Stadion.
What competition is Eintracht Braunschweig vs FC Schalke 04 part of?
Eintracht Braunschweig vs FC Schalke 04 is a 2. Bundesliga fixture (matchday 18) (Germany).
Who is favourite to win Eintracht Braunschweig vs FC Schalke 04?
Our statistical model gives Eintracht Braunschweig a 26% chance of winning, FC Schalke 04 a 46% chance, and a 28% chance of a draw — making FC Schalke 04 the favourite.
Will both teams score in Eintracht Braunschweig vs FC Schalke 04?
Our model estimates a 59% probability that both Eintracht Braunschweig and FC Schalke 04 will score, so it leans towards BTTS Yes.
Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs FC Schalke 04 have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 55%, so it leans towards over 2.5 goals.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
Eintracht Braunschweig's attacking strength (0.83x league average) is weighed against FC Schalke 04's defensive record (0.97x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.21. Flip it around — FC Schalke 04's attack (1.19x) against Eintracht Braunschweig's defence (0.93x) — and the away total comes out at 1.66.
These ratings are built from Eintracht Braunschweig's last 51 games and FC Schalke 04's last 51 — a full enough recent sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 12.8%. Close behind: 1-2 (9.5%), 0-1 (7.9%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 30% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
FC Schalke 04 Win
26%
3.85
28%
3.58
46%
2.17
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.4%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
9.5%
Away win
0 – 1
9.4%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.21
Eintracht Braunschweig xG
Total xG
2.88
1.66
FC Schalke 04 xG
3.85
26%
Home win
3.58
28%
Draw
2.17
46%
Away win
Goals Markets
78%
Over 1.5
1.28
22%
Under 1.5
4.55
55%
Over 2.5
1.82
45%
Under 2.5
2.22
32%
Over 3.5
3.12
68%
Under 3.5
1.47
16%
Over 4.5
6.25
84%
Under 4.5
1.19
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
59%
BTTS Yes
1.70
41%
BTTS No
2.43
Clean Sheet
19%
5.28
30%
3.36
Win to Nil
5%
20.34
14%
7.28
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.6 | 9.4 | 7.8 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 | 6.8 | 11.4 | 9.5 | 5.2 | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| 2 | 4.1 | 6.9 | 5.7 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Eintracht Braunschweig vs FC Schalke 04 Prediction FAQs
What is the most likely scoreline for Eintracht Braunschweig vs FC Schalke 04?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 12.8%.
How many goals are Eintracht Braunschweig and FC Schalke 04 expected to score?
The model projects 1.21 expected goals for Eintracht Braunschweig and 1.66 for FC Schalke 04, a combined total of 2.88.
How confident is the prediction model for Eintracht Braunschweig vs FC Schalke 04?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 46%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
Eintracht Braunschweig's recent record stands at 14W 9D 28L from 51 games, a 1.00 PPG return, with L-D-L-L-L in the last five.
FC Schalke 04, meanwhile, have gone 17W 12D 22L across 51 games — 1.24 PPG, with D-L-W-D-W in their last five.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 1.00 PPG for Eintracht Braunschweig against 1.24 for FC Schalke 04. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
Home & Away Splits
At home specifically, Eintracht Braunschweig have managed 10W 6D 9L from their last 25 home games — 1.44 PPG in front of their own supporters. That's noticeably better than their 1.00 PPG overall — Eintracht Braunschweig are a different proposition at home than their general record suggests.
FC Schalke 04's away record stands at 6W 6D 13L across their last 25 away games, a 0.96 PPG haul.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Eintracht Braunschweig come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Scoring & Defensive Trends
Eintracht Braunschweig are averaging 1.04 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game recently; FC Schalke 04 are on 1.67 scored and 1.82 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: FC Schalke 04 in 61%.
Last 51 Results
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Eintracht Braunschweig
Blended
FC Schalke 04
Blended
Eintracht Braunschweig (Home) vs FC Schalke 04 (Away)
Home games only for the home side · Away games only for the away side
Eintracht Braunschweig
Blended
FC Schalke 04
Blended
❓ Eintracht Braunschweig vs FC Schalke 04 Form FAQs
What form are Eintracht Braunschweig and FC Schalke 04 in coming into this match?
Eintracht Braunschweig have gone 14W 9D 28L in their last 51 games (1.00 PPG), while FC Schalke 04 have gone 17W 12D 22L in their last 51 (1.24 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Eintracht Braunschweig at home or FC Schalke 04 away?
Eintracht Braunschweig's home record (1.44 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Eintracht Braunschweig at home: 1.44 PPG; FC Schalke 04 away: 0.96 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
We have 6 H2H matches between these sides on record, dating back to August 2023 — enough to show some patterns. All of them came in 2. Bundesliga. The most recent was on 17 May 2026, roughly 6 months ago.
Records & Recent Trends
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: FC Schalke 04 won FC Schalke 04 5-1 Eintracht Braunschweig on 3 Aug 2024, the biggest margin in the H2H matches we hold.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Eintracht Braunschweig have gone 2W 1D 0L from the 3 H2H matches in our data played on their own ground against FC Schalke 04 — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 6 Meetings
2
Eintracht Braunschweig
1
Draws
3
FC Schalke 04
Recent Meetings
❓ Eintracht Braunschweig vs FC Schalke 04 H2H FAQs
What is the head-to-head record between Eintracht Braunschweig and FC Schalke 04?
Across the 6 head-to-head matches in our data, Eintracht Braunschweig have won 2, FC Schalke 04 have won 3, and 1 has been drawn.
When did Eintracht Braunschweig and FC Schalke 04 last play each other?
The most recent meeting in our data was on 17 May 2026: FC Schalke 04 1-0 Eintracht Braunschweig.
Who has won more matches between Eintracht Braunschweig and FC Schalke 04?
FC Schalke 04 have the better head-to-head record, with 3 wins from the 6 head-to-head matches in our data.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
Eintracht Braunschweig are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 76% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 40% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 20% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 17% of those situations.
FC Schalke 04 are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 76% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 25% of those situations.
Goals & Clean Sheets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Eintracht Braunschweig 44%, FC Schalke 04 60% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 44% (Eintracht Braunschweig) and 60% (FC Schalke 04).
On the defensive side: Eintracht Braunschweig keep a clean sheet in 36% of their matches; Eintracht Braunschweig have failed to score in 28% of games; FC Schalke 04 in 32%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Eintracht Braunschweig home games / FC Schalke 04 away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Eintracht Braunschweig vs FC Schalke 04 Trading FAQs
Do both teams usually score in Eintracht Braunschweig and FC Schalke 04 matches?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 44% of Eintracht Braunschweig's recent matches and 60% of FC Schalke 04's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Are Eintracht Braunschweig and FC Schalke 04 matches usually high-scoring?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 44% of Eintracht Braunschweig's recent games and 60% of FC Schalke 04's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Eintracht Braunschweig and FC Schalke 04 matches tend to have early goals?
There has been at least one first-half goal in 76% of Eintracht Braunschweig's recent matches and 76% of FC Schalke 04's — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Eintracht Braunschweig's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Eintracht-Stadion, Regular Season - 18, as Eintracht Braunschweig and FC Schalke 04 drew 0-0 in the 2. Bundesliga. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Eintracht Braunschweig 1.21 xG and FC Schalke 04 1.66 xG, a combined 2.88. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Eintracht Braunschweig fell 1.2 short of their projected output. FC Schalke 04 landed 1.7 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.83 / defence 0.93 against FC Schalke 04 attack 1.19 / defence 0.97, drawn from 51/51 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Eintracht Braunschweig 26% | Draw 28% | FC Schalke 04 46%, with FC Schalke 04 to win its most likely call at 46%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 28%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 55%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 80% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 59% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 59% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Eintracht Braunschweig 55%, FC Schalke 04 63%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 53%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Eintracht Braunschweig's trading profile (51 games, 25 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 45% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 39% of games, a blank that repeated today.
FC Schalke 04's trading profile (51 games, 25 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 61% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Eintracht Braunschweig 1.00 PPG, FC Schalke 04 1.24 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Eintracht Braunschweig (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.24 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.24 average — tighter than their form line. FC Schalke 04 (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.36 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.92 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.
Related fixtures
More 2. Bundesliga fixtures — matchday 18
All 2. Bundesliga fixtures →
More German football predictions →