Hatta SC vs Al-Wasl FC – Pre-Match Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson rates Al-Wasl FC at 70% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Hatta SC vs Al-Wasl FC encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A Pro League encounter, Regular Season - 17 sees Al-Wasl FC travel to Sheikh Hamdan Bin Rashid Al Maktoum Stadium to take on Hatta SC. The game is scheduled for Friday 19 February 2027, 17:30 UTC.
Form Analysis
Looking at all fixtures this season, Hatta SC stand at 1W 0D 6L from 7 Pro League matches — 0.43 PPG. Last five: L W L L L. They are averaging 0.86 goals per game and conceding 2.14 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. However, 2.14 goals conceded per game is a concern — opposing attacks have exploited them regularly. 1 clean sheet from 7 outings provides some defensive foundation. Hatta SC have played only a handful of Pro League games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
Hatta SC at Sheikh Hamdan Bin Rashid Al Maktoum Stadium this season: 0W 0D 4L from 4 home games — 0.00 PPG on home soil. At home they are averaging 0.50 goals scored and 2.25 conceded per game.
Across all Pro League games this season, Al-Wasl FC have recorded 8W 1D 1L from 10 outings — 2.50 PPG. Last five: W L W D W. Their attacking form is sharp — 2.80 goals per game is a high-output rate that commands respect in the goals markets. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. Al-Wasl FC have played only a handful of Pro League games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
On the road, Al-Wasl FC have gone 5W 2D 3L from 10 away fixtures this term (1.70 PPG). Away from home they average 1.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context. Their away PPG of 1.70 is notably below their overall 2.50 — form away from home has been a clear weakness this season.
Form points away from home here. Al-Wasl FC's 2.50 PPG return is 2.07 points per game ahead of Hatta SC's 0.43 — the visitors are the form-based selection, and Double Chance is an alternative worth pricing if the outright looks tight.
H2H Record
The H2H landscape is flat: 2 previous encounters have yielded 0 wins for Hatta SC, 2 for Al-Wasl FC and 0 draws. A neutral reading in isolation.
The 2 previous encounters between these sides have been high-scoring affairs — 4.0 goals per contest on average. Historical precedent backs the Over 2.5 goals market. The most recent clash, on 15 Apr 2024, ended 0–3 with Al-Wasl FC winning.
With the win record balanced, the strongest H2H-derived signal is in the goals market. At 4.0 goals per game historically, Over 2.5 is the cleaner angle to extract from the head-to-head data.
In-Play Data
Hatta SC trading profile (7 games, 3 at home): they score before half-time in 86% of fixtures; BTTS occurs in 43% of their matches; Over 2.5 goals lands in 57% of games; they fail to score in 43% of games.
Al-Wasl FC trading profile (7 games, 3 at away): they score before half-time in 86% of fixtures; BTTS occurs in 57% of their matches; Over 2.5 goals lands in 71% of games; Over 3.5 in 43%.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Hatta SC 43% versus Al-Wasl FC 57%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Hatta SC 57% | Al-Wasl FC 71%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Hatta SC 0.83 xG and Al-Wasl FC 2.26 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Hatta SC attack 0.640 / defence 1.279 | Al-Wasl FC attack 1.131 / defence 0.815. League average goals — home 1.596 / away 1.561. Hatta SC's attack strength of 0.640 is below the league average — the 0.83 xG projection reflects a team that scores at a discount to the division norm. Data: 7 Hatta SC games / 32 Al-Wasl FC games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Hatta SC 12% | Draw 18% | Al-Wasl FC 70%. Fair-value odds: Hatta SC 8.33 | Draw 5.56 | Al-Wasl FC 1.43. The model has a clear lean to Al-Wasl FC (70%) — a 58pp gap over the next-most-likely outcome reflects a meaningful statistical advantage.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 60% | BTTS probability 51% | Total xG 3.09. Over 2.5 holds a meaningful probability edge at 60% — the 3.09 total xG provides moderate support, though the model is not projecting a high-scoring game. BTTS probability of 51% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Analysis Verdict
On the Poisson output, Al-Wasl FC are the pick at 70% — clear model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw No Bet is worth pricing alongside the outright: 18% draw probability makes the stalemate a live outcome even at this conviction level.
On the goals line, Poisson's 3.09 combined xG gives a 60% probability to Over 2.5 — reasonable, supported by form averaging 2.9 goals per game.
Poisson assigns a 51% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate: Hatta SC 50% | Al-Wasl FC 60% BTTS from recent games.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Hatta SC vs Al-Wasl FC | Competition: Pro League, Regular Season - 17 | Venue: Sheikh Hamdan Bin Rashid Al Maktoum Stadium • Kick-off: Friday 19 Feb 2027, 17:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Hatta SC 12% | Draw 18% | Al-Wasl FC 70% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 60% | BTTS 51% | xG Hatta SC 0.83 / Al-Wasl FC 2.26 • Poisson strength factors: Hatta SC attack 0.640 / def 1.279 | Al-Wasl FC attack 1.131 / def 0.815 | league avg home 1.596 / away 1.561 • Poisson stance: Al-Wasl FC (70%) — strong lean
🧮 Prediction Model
0.83
Hatta SC xG
Expected Goals
2.26
Al-Wasl FC xG
51%
BTTS
81%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
37%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Hatta SC vs Al-Wasl FC kick off?
Hatta SC vs Al-Wasl FC is scheduled to kick off at 17:30 on Friday 19 February 2027 at Sheikh Hamdan Bin Rashid Al Maktoum Stadium.
Where is Hatta SC vs Al-Wasl FC being played?
The match is being played at Sheikh Hamdan Bin Rashid Al Maktoum Stadium.
What competition is Hatta SC vs Al-Wasl FC part of?
Hatta SC vs Al-Wasl FC is a Regular Season - 17 fixture in the Pro League (United-Arab-Emirates).
Who is favourite to win Hatta SC vs Al-Wasl FC?
Our statistical model gives Hatta SC a 12% chance of winning, Al-Wasl FC a 70% chance, and a 18% chance of a draw — making Al-Wasl FC the favourite.
Will both teams score in Hatta SC vs Al-Wasl FC?
Our model estimates a 51% probability that both Hatta SC and Al-Wasl FC will score (BTTS).
Will Hatta SC vs Al-Wasl FC have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 60%.
What is the head-to-head record between Hatta SC and Al-Wasl FC?
Record (2 meetings): Hatta SC 0W | Draws 0 | Al-Wasl FC 2W.
What form are Hatta SC and Al-Wasl FC in?
Hatta SC (all comps): 1W-0D-6L in 7 | 0.43 PPG | GF 0.86 / GA 2.14 | L5 L-W-L-L-L. Al-Wasl FC (all comps): 8W-1D-1L in 10 | 2.50 PPG | GF 2.80 / GA 1.20 | L5 W-L-W-D-W.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
Hatta SC's attacking strength (0.64x league average) is weighed against Al-Wasl FC's defensive record (0.81x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 0.83. The same calculation in reverse, Al-Wasl FC's attack versus Hatta SC's defence, projects 2.26 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 7/32 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 0-2, at 11.6%. Close behind: 1-1 (9.7%), 1-2 (9.7%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 31% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Al-Wasl FC Win
12%
8.12
18%
5.54
70%
1.44
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 2
11.6%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 1
10.3%
Away win
1 – 2
9.7%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.83
Hatta SC xG
Total xG
3.09
2.26
Al-Wasl FC xG
8.12
12%
Home win
5.54
18%
Draw
1.44
70%
Away win
Goals Markets
81%
Over 1.5
1.23
19%
Under 1.5
5.26
60%
Over 2.5
1.67
40%
Under 2.5
2.50
37%
Over 3.5
2.70
63%
Under 3.5
1.59
20%
Over 4.5
5.00
80%
Under 4.5
1.25
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
51%
BTTS Yes
1.98
49%
BTTS No
2.02
Clean Sheet
10%
9.56
44%
2.30
Win to Nil
1%
77.63
30%
3.30
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.6 | 10.3 | 11.6 | 8.7 | 4.9 | 2.2 |
| 1 | 3.8 | 8.5 | 9.7 | 7.3 | 4.1 | 1.9 |
| 2 | 1.6 | 3.6 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| 3 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Hatta SC vs Al-Wasl FC?
Our Poisson model rates 0-2 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 11.6%.
How many goals are Hatta SC and Al-Wasl FC expected to score?
The model projects 0.83 expected goals for Hatta SC and 2.26 for Al-Wasl FC, a combined total of 3.09.
How confident is the prediction model for Hatta SC vs Al-Wasl FC?
Reasonably confident — the model's leading outcome is rated at 70%, a clear lean rather than a toss-up.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
Across their last 7 outings, Hatta SC have picked up 0.43 PPG on a 1W 0D 6L record — L-W-L-L-L across the most recent five. It's still early in the season for Hatta SC, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Al-Wasl FC's form line: 5W 1D 1L from 7 games, 2.29 PPG, last five W-L-W-D-W. It's still early in the season for Al-Wasl FC, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Put side by side, Al-Wasl FC are the form team by 1.86 points per game — a gap wide enough to matter, though form alone rarely tells the whole story against Hatta SC.
Venue Form
On home soil, Hatta SC have posted 0.00 PPG from 3 outings (0W 0D 3L). That actually lags their 0.43 PPG overall record — home advantage hasn't been translating into results for them lately.
On the road, Al-Wasl FC have gone 2W 1D 0L from 3 away games — 2.33 PPG when travelling.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Al-Wasl FC come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Goals in Recent Form
Hatta SC are averaging 0.86 goals scored and 2.14 conceded per game recently; Al-Wasl FC are on 2.71 scored and 1.00 conceded.
Last 7 Results — Pro League
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Hatta SC
Early Season
Al-Wasl FC
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Hatta SC and Al-Wasl FC in coming into this match?
Hatta SC have gone 1W 0D 6L in their last 7 games (0.43 PPG), while Al-Wasl FC have gone 5W 1D 1L in their last 7 (2.29 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Hatta SC at home or Al-Wasl FC away?
Al-Wasl FC's away record (2.33 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Hatta SC at home: 0.00 PPG; Al-Wasl FC away: 2.33 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
2 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to October 2023. Every recorded meeting has come in Pro League. It has been a while since the last meeting — 15 April 2024, some 1 year back — so squads and form on both sides may look very different now.
Last 2 Meetings
0
Hatta SC
0
Draws
2
Al-Wasl FC
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Hatta SC and Al-Wasl FC?
From 2 meetings on record, Hatta SC have won 0, Al-Wasl FC have won 2, and 0 have been drawn.
When did Hatta SC and Al-Wasl FC last play each other?
They last met on 15 April 2024, when Al-Wasl FC 3-0 Hatta SC.
Who has won more matches between Hatta SC and Al-Wasl FC?
Al-Wasl FC have the better head-to-head record, with 2 wins from 2 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
Hatta SC are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 100% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 33% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 33% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one.
Al-Wasl FC are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 100% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 67% of the time.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Hatta SC 67%, Al-Wasl FC 33% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 100% for Hatta SC and 67% for Al-Wasl FC. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 0% and 33% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: Al-Wasl FC in 67%; Hatta SC have failed to score in 33% of games.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Hatta SC home games / Al-Wasl FC away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Hatta SC play Al-Wasl FC?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 67% of Hatta SC's recent matches and 33% of Al-Wasl FC's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Hatta SC vs Al-Wasl FC usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 100% of Hatta SC's matches and 67% of Al-Wasl FC's.
Do Hatta SC and Al-Wasl FC tend to score early?
Hatta SC have had a goal before half-time in 100% of their recent matches, Al-Wasl FC in 100% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
The match report will be available once the game has finished.