Grasshoppers 1-1 Yverdon Sport – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model rates Grasshoppers at 38% — neither recent form nor the head-to-head data gives a clear steer either way as Grasshoppers face Yverdon Sport.
✍️ Match Preview
Pre-Match Analysis
Grasshoppers and Yverdon Sport meet at Stadion Letzigrund in Super League (matchday 17). This fixture gets under way on Saturday 7 December 2024 at 17:00 UK time.
Form
Grasshoppers (all games): 1W 4D 5L across their last 10 — 0.70 PPG. Last five: D L L D D. They are averaging 0.80 goals per game and conceding 1.50 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings (10%). Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets.
In front of their own supporters, Grasshoppers have posted 1W 5D 4L from their last 10 home games — 0.80 PPG. At home they are averaging 1.20 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 80% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture.
Yverdon Sport have collected 1.10 PPG across their last 10 games: 3W 2D 5L. Last five: L L L D L. Their scoring rate of 0.90 per game is modest, conceding 1.60 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings (30%).
Yverdon Sport's away record over their last 10 away games: 1W 4D 5L (0.70 PPG). Away from home they average 0.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game.
Both sides are running at similar form levels — 0.70 PPG for Grasshoppers against 1.10 for Yverdon Sport. There is no clear form edge to exploit here; other signals need to take the lead.
H2H Analysis
The head-to-head record is closely matched — across the 5 H2H matches in our data, the wins are level at 2 apiece, with 1 draw. Neither side has a commanding advantage.
These two sides have produced goals at a healthy rate, averaging 3.0 per game across the 5 H2H matches we hold. That scoring profile supports the Over 2.5 angle. The most recent of those, on 31 Aug 2024, ended Grasshoppers 1–2 Yverdon Sport — a Yverdon Sport win.
With the win record balanced, the strongest H2H signal is in the goals market — at 3.0 goals per game, Over 2.5 is the cleaner angle from the head-to-head data.
Trading Data
Grasshoppers goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (last 54 games, 27 of them at home): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 74% of their matches in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 87% of the time; of the 13 games they led at half-time, they failed to win 46%; BTTS occurs in 63% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 48% of games (home games); they fail to score in 39% of games.
Yverdon Sport goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (last 54 games, 27 of them away): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 78% of their matches in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 67% of the time; BTTS occurs in 59% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 48% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 37%; they fail to score in 33% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Grasshoppers 52% versus Yverdon Sport 57%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Grasshoppers 44% | Yverdon Sport 59%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Grasshoppers 1.28 xG and Yverdon Sport 1.19 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Grasshoppers attack 0.845 / defence 1.155 | Yverdon Sport attack 0.853 / defence 0.966. League average goals — home 1.569 / away 1.207. Data: built from Grasshoppers's last 49 games and Yverdon Sport's last 49.
Result probabilities: Grasshoppers 38% | Draw 29% | Yverdon Sport 34%. Fair-value odds: Grasshoppers 2.64 | Draw 3.50 | Yverdon Sport 2.98. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome reaches 45%. The draw at 29% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 45% | BTTS Yes probability 51% | Total xG 2.47. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 55% — total xG of 2.47 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS Yes at 51% is only a slight lean — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Picks & Verdict
On the Poisson output, Grasshoppers are the pick at 38% — marginal model lean. Draw probability of 29% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Grasshoppers if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 34% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.47 combined xG gives a 55% probability to Under 2.5 — low conviction — though the H2H data averaging 3.0 goals per game across 5 H2H matches points the other way.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is Yes at 51%. Form rates corroborate — both teams scored in: Grasshoppers 80% (last 10 home games) | Yverdon Sport 40% (last 10 away games).
🔮 Your Prediction
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Grasshoppers vs Yverdon Sport | Competition: Super League, matchday 17 | Venue: Stadion Letzigrund • Kick-off: Saturday 7 December 2024 at 17:00 UK time • Data inputs: head-to-head data, recent form (overall and home/away), the Poisson prediction model and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Grasshoppers 38% | Draw 29% | Yverdon Sport 34% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 45% (Under 55%) | BTTS Yes 51% (No 49%) | xG Grasshoppers 1.28 / Yverdon Sport 1.19 • Poisson strength factors: Grasshoppers attack 0.845 / def 1.155 | Yverdon Sport attack 0.853 / def 0.966 | league avg home 1.569 / away 1.207 • Poisson stance: Grasshoppers (38%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.28
Grasshoppers xG
Expected Goals
1.19
Yverdon Sport xG
51%
BTTS
71%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
24%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Grasshoppers vs Yverdon Sport FAQs
What time does Grasshoppers vs Yverdon Sport kick off?
Grasshoppers vs Yverdon Sport kicked off at 17:00 UK time on Saturday 7 December 2024 at Stadion Letzigrund.
What was the final score in Grasshoppers vs Yverdon Sport?
Grasshoppers 1 - 1 Yverdon Sport.
Where is Grasshoppers vs Yverdon Sport being played?
The match is being played at Stadion Letzigrund.
What competition is Grasshoppers vs Yverdon Sport part of?
Grasshoppers vs Yverdon Sport is a Super League fixture (matchday 17) (Switzerland).
Who is favourite to win Grasshoppers vs Yverdon Sport?
Our statistical model gives Grasshoppers a 38% chance of winning, Yverdon Sport a 34% chance, and a 29% chance of a draw — making Grasshoppers the favourite.
Will both teams score in Grasshoppers vs Yverdon Sport?
Our model estimates a 51% probability that both Grasshoppers and Yverdon Sport will score, so it leans towards BTTS Yes.
Will Grasshoppers vs Yverdon Sport have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 45%, so it leans towards under 2.5 goals (55%).
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
Grasshoppers's attacking strength (0.84x league average) is weighed against Yverdon Sport's defensive record (0.97x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.28. Flip it around — Yverdon Sport's attack (0.85x) against Grasshoppers's defence (1.16x) — and the away total comes out at 1.19.
These ratings are built from Grasshoppers's last 49 games and Yverdon Sport's last 49 — a full enough recent sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 14.6%. Close behind: 0-0 (10.1%), 1-0 (9.2%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 34% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Grasshoppers Win
38%
2.64
29%
3.50
34%
2.98
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.9%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
10.8%
Home win
0 – 1
10.1%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.28
Grasshoppers xG
Total xG
2.47
1.19
Yverdon Sport xG
2.64
38%
Home win
3.50
29%
Draw
2.98
34%
Away win
Goals Markets
71%
Over 1.5
1.41
29%
Under 1.5
3.45
45%
Over 2.5
2.22
55%
Under 2.5
1.82
24%
Over 3.5
4.17
76%
Under 3.5
1.32
10%
Over 4.5
10.00
90%
Under 4.5
1.11
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
51%
BTTS Yes
1.96
49%
BTTS No
2.04
Clean Sheet
30%
3.28
28%
3.60
Win to Nil
12%
8.67
9%
10.73
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.5 | 10.1 | 6.0 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 10.8 | 12.9 | 7.7 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 6.9 | 8.2 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Grasshoppers vs Yverdon Sport Prediction FAQs
What is the most likely scoreline for Grasshoppers vs Yverdon Sport?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.6%.
How many goals are Grasshoppers and Yverdon Sport expected to score?
The model projects 1.28 expected goals for Grasshoppers and 1.19 for Yverdon Sport, a combined total of 2.47.
How confident is the prediction model for Grasshoppers vs Yverdon Sport?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 38%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
Grasshoppers's recent record stands at 13W 13D 28L from 54 games, a 0.96 PPG return, with D-L-L-D-D in the last five.
Yverdon Sport, meanwhile, have gone 17W 12D 25L across 54 games — 1.17 PPG, with L-L-L-D-L in their last five.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 0.96 PPG for Grasshoppers against 1.17 for Yverdon Sport. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
Home & Away Splits
At home specifically, Grasshoppers have managed 9W 8D 10L from their last 27 home games — 1.30 PPG in front of their own supporters.
Yverdon Sport's away record stands at 2W 7D 18L across their last 27 away games, a 0.48 PPG haul. That's a step down from their 1.17 PPG overall record — away form has been the weaker part of Yverdon Sport's recent record.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Grasshoppers come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Scoring & Defensive Trends
Grasshoppers are averaging 1.06 goals scored and 1.35 conceded per game recently; Yverdon Sport are on 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded.
Last 54 Results
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Grasshoppers
Blended
Yverdon Sport
Blended
Grasshoppers (Home) vs Yverdon Sport (Away)
Home games only for the home side · Away games only for the away side
Grasshoppers
Blended
Yverdon Sport
Blended
❓ Grasshoppers vs Yverdon Sport Form FAQs
What form are Grasshoppers and Yverdon Sport in coming into this match?
Grasshoppers have gone 13W 13D 28L in their last 54 games (0.96 PPG), while Yverdon Sport have gone 17W 12D 25L in their last 54 (1.17 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Grasshoppers at home or Yverdon Sport away?
Grasshoppers's home record (1.30 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Grasshoppers at home: 1.30 PPG; Yverdon Sport away: 0.48 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
We have 8 H2H matches between these sides on record, dating back to October 2023 — enough to show some patterns. All of them came in Super League. The most recent in our data was on 14 May 2025, some 1 year back — so squads and form on both sides may look very different now.
Records & Recent Trends
Grasshoppers have won each of the latest 2 H2H matches we hold, a run that gives them the edge coming in.
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: Grasshoppers won Grasshoppers 5-0 Yverdon Sport on 14 May 2025, the biggest margin in the H2H matches we hold.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Grasshoppers have gone 2W 2D 0L from the 4 H2H matches in our data played on their own ground against Yverdon Sport — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 8 Meetings
4
Grasshoppers
2
Draws
2
Yverdon Sport
Recent Meetings
❓ Grasshoppers vs Yverdon Sport H2H FAQs
What is the head-to-head record between Grasshoppers and Yverdon Sport?
Across the 8 head-to-head matches in our data, Grasshoppers have won 4, Yverdon Sport have won 2, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Grasshoppers and Yverdon Sport last play each other?
The most recent meeting in our data was on 14 May 2025: Grasshoppers 5-0 Yverdon Sport.
Who has won more matches between Grasshoppers and Yverdon Sport?
Grasshoppers have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from the 8 head-to-head matches in our data.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
Grasshoppers are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 74% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 30% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 38% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 36% of those situations.
Yverdon Sport are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 78% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 12% of those situations.
Goals & Clean Sheets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Grasshoppers 63%, Yverdon Sport 59% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 48% (Grasshoppers) and 48% (Yverdon Sport).
On the defensive side: Grasshoppers have failed to score in 30% of games; Yverdon Sport in 41%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Grasshoppers home games / Yverdon Sport away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Grasshoppers vs Yverdon Sport Trading FAQs
Do both teams usually score in Grasshoppers and Yverdon Sport matches?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 63% of Grasshoppers's games and 59% of Yverdon Sport's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Are Grasshoppers and Yverdon Sport matches usually high-scoring?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 48% of Grasshoppers's recent games and 48% of Yverdon Sport's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Grasshoppers and Yverdon Sport matches tend to have early goals?
There has been at least one first-half goal in 74% of Grasshoppers's recent matches and 78% of Yverdon Sport's — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Grasshoppers and Yverdon Sport share the spoils in a 1-1 draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Grasshoppers and Yverdon Sport finished level at 1-1 at Stadion Letzigrund, Regular Season - 17, in the Super League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Grasshoppers 1.28 xG and Yverdon Sport 1.19 xG, a combined 2.47. The scoreboard read 1-1 for 2 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Grasshoppers attack 0.84 / defence 1.16 against Yverdon Sport attack 0.85 / defence 0.97, drawn from 49/49 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Grasshoppers 38% | Draw 29% | Yverdon Sport 34%, with Grasshoppers to win its most likely call at 38%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 29%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 45%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 71% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 51% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 52% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Grasshoppers 44%, Yverdon Sport 59%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 55%, which matched the both-scored outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Grasshoppers's trading profile (54 games, 27 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 52% of their matches — today it did.
Yverdon Sport's trading profile (54 games, 27 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 57% of their matches — today it did.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Grasshoppers 0.96 PPG, Yverdon Sport 1.17 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Yverdon Sport (home/away splits) conceded 1 against a 2.11 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.