Jeonbuk Motors 2-1 FC Anyang – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson rates Jeonbuk Motors at 61% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Full Analysis
Jeonju World Cup Stadium plays host to Jeonbuk Motors versus FC Anyang in K League 1, Regular Season - 25. Kick-off: Friday 8 August 2025 at 11:30 UTC.
Form
Jeonbuk Motors (all games): 8W 2D 0L across 10 K League 1 fixtures this term — 2.60 PPG. Last five: D W W W W. They are averaging 2.30 goals per game — a high-scoring output that makes them a genuine attacking threat in any fixture. Defensively, conceding just 0.80 per game is an exceptional defensive record — one of the tightest in the division. 4 clean sheets in 10 games (40%) reflects a solid defensive base. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. This season is still relatively young for Jeonbuk Motors, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Jeonbuk Motors's form when playing at home: 5W 4D 1L across 10 games at Jeonju World Cup Stadium this term (1.90 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 70% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture. Somewhat surprisingly, their home PPG of 1.90 lags behind their overall 2.60 — the home advantage has not translated into superior results at Jeonju World Cup Stadium this season.
FC Anyang have collected 1.00 PPG across 10 K League 1 outings this season: 3W 1D 6L. Last five: L L L W L. Their scoring rate of 1.20 per game is modest, conceding 1.40 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. This season is still relatively young for FC Anyang, so this record blends games from this season and last.
FC Anyang's form when playing away from home: 3W 0D 7L across 10 road games this term (0.90 PPG). Away from home they average 1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context.
The form ledger tips toward Jeonbuk Motors. A 1.60 PPG lead over FC Anyang (2.60 vs 1.00) is a consistent enough margin to carry weight. If the win odds appear compressed, Draw No Bet offers draw insurance at a lower cost than a full switch to Double Chance.
In terms of goals, both squads have been finding the net consistently (using home/away splits) — Jeonbuk Motors have seen both teams score in 70% of their games, FC Anyang in 60%. That combined rate is a strong statistical case for BTTS Yes as a standalone play.
H2H Analysis
The head-to-head record is closely matched — Jeonbuk Motors lead 2W to 0W over the last 2 encounters, with 0 draws, though neither side has established a commanding advantage.
Scoring has been limited when these teams have met. The 2 previous contests averaged 1.5 goals, making the Under 2.5 the historically backed angle in the goals market. The most recent clash, on 17 May 2025, ended 2–0 with Jeonbuk Motors winning.
With a balanced win record and just 1.5 goals per game historically, the H2H points toward a tight, low-scoring contest. Under 2.5 goals has the strongest statistical grounding from the fixture history regardless of which side wins.
Trading
Jeonbuk Motors half-time and goal-timing data (24 games, 12 at home): they score before half-time in 83% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 86% of the time; BTTS occurs in 75% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 50% of games (home games).
FC Anyang half-time and goal-timing data (24 games, 12 at away): they score before half-time in 67% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 100% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 56% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 58% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 58% of games (away games).
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Jeonbuk Motors 54% versus FC Anyang 58%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Jeonbuk Motors 50% | FC Anyang 54%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Jeonbuk Motors 1.88 xG and FC Anyang 0.89 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Jeonbuk Motors attack 1.249 / defence 0.877 | FC Anyang attack 0.782 / defence 1.143. League average goals — home 1.318 / away 1.294. Data: 57 Jeonbuk Motors games / 24 FC Anyang games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Jeonbuk Motors 61% | Draw 22% | FC Anyang 17%. Fair-value odds: Jeonbuk Motors 1.64 | Draw 4.55 | FC Anyang 5.88. The model has a clear lean to Jeonbuk Motors (61%) — a 44pp gap over the next-most-likely outcome reflects a meaningful statistical advantage.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 52% | BTTS probability 50% | Total xG 2.77. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 52%/48% — the total xG of 2.77 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 50% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Final Verdict
Poisson rates Jeonbuk Motors as the most likely outcome at 61% — clear model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw No Bet is worth pricing alongside the outright: 22% draw probability makes the stalemate a live outcome even at this conviction level.
The Poisson model projects 2.77 xG in total — Over 2.5 at 52% — Poisson-only — limited corroboration confidence.
Poisson assigns a 50% probability to BTTS No based on the attack/defence strength model. This conflicts with form data: Jeonbuk Motors 70% | FC Anyang 60% from recent games — a notable divergence.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang | Competition: K League 1, Regular Season - 25 | Venue: Jeonju World Cup Stadium • Kick-off: Friday 8 Aug 2025, 11:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Jeonbuk Motors 61% | Draw 22% | FC Anyang 17% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 52% | BTTS 50% | xG Jeonbuk Motors 1.88 / FC Anyang 0.89 • Poisson strength factors: Jeonbuk Motors attack 1.249 / def 0.877 | FC Anyang attack 0.782 / def 1.143 | league avg home 1.318 / away 1.294 • Poisson stance: Jeonbuk Motors (61%) — strong lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.88
Jeonbuk Motors xG
Expected Goals
0.89
FC Anyang xG
50%
BTTS
76%
Over 1.5
52%
Over 2.5
30%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang kick off?
Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang kicked off at 11:30 on Friday 8 August 2025 at Jeonju World Cup Stadium.
What was the final score in Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang?
Jeonbuk Motors 2 - 1 FC Anyang.
Where is Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang being played?
The match is being played at Jeonju World Cup Stadium.
What competition is Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang part of?
Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang is a Regular Season - 25 fixture in the K League 1 (South-Korea).
Who is favourite to win Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang?
Our statistical model gives Jeonbuk Motors a 61% chance of winning, FC Anyang a 17% chance, and a 22% chance of a draw — making Jeonbuk Motors the favourite.
Will both teams score in Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang?
Our model estimates a 50% probability that both Jeonbuk Motors and FC Anyang will score (BTTS).
Will Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 52%.
What is the head-to-head record between Jeonbuk Motors and FC Anyang?
Record (2 meetings): Jeonbuk Motors 2W | Draws 0 | FC Anyang 0W.
What form are Jeonbuk Motors and FC Anyang in?
Jeonbuk Motors (all comps): 8W-2D-0L in 10 | 2.60 PPG | GF 2.30 / GA 0.80 | L5 D-W-W-W-W. FC Anyang (all comps): 3W-1D-6L in 10 | 1.00 PPG | GF 1.20 / GA 1.40 | L5 L-L-L-W-L.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
Working from Jeonbuk Motors's attack rating (1.25) and FC Anyang's defence rating (1.14), the model arrives at 1.88 expected goals for the home side. Flip it around — FC Anyang's attack (0.78x) against Jeonbuk Motors's defence (0.88x) — and the away total comes out at 0.89.
These ratings are built from 57/24 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 11.8%. Close behind: 2-0 (11.1%), 1-0 (10.4%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 33% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Jeonbuk Motors Win
61%
1.65
22%
4.50
17%
5.84
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
11.8%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
11.1%
Home win
1 – 1
10.5%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.88
Jeonbuk Motors xG
Total xG
2.77
0.89
FC Anyang xG
1.65
61%
Home win
4.50
22%
Draw
5.84
17%
Away win
Goals Markets
76%
Over 1.5
1.32
24%
Under 1.5
4.17
52%
Over 2.5
1.92
48%
Under 2.5
2.08
30%
Over 3.5
3.33
70%
Under 3.5
1.43
15%
Over 4.5
6.67
85%
Under 4.5
1.18
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
50%
BTTS Yes
2.00
50%
BTTS No
2.00
Clean Sheet
41%
2.43
15%
6.57
Win to Nil
25%
4.01
3%
38.33
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.3 | 5.6 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 11.8 | 10.5 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 11.1 | 9.9 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 7.0 | 6.2 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 11.8%.
How many goals are Jeonbuk Motors and FC Anyang expected to score?
The model projects 1.88 expected goals for Jeonbuk Motors and 0.89 for FC Anyang, a combined total of 2.77.
How confident is the prediction model for Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang?
Reasonably confident — the model's leading outcome is rated at 61%, a clear lean rather than a toss-up.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
Across their last 24 outings, Jeonbuk Motors have picked up 2.25 PPG on a 16W 6D 2L record — D-W-W-W-W across the most recent five. The sample for Jeonbuk Motors is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
FC Anyang's form line: 8W 3D 13L from 24 games, 1.12 PPG, last five L-L-L-W-L. The sample for FC Anyang is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Put side by side, Jeonbuk Motors are the form team by 1.13 points per game — a gap wide enough to matter, though form alone rarely tells the whole story against FC Anyang.
Home & Away Splits
On home soil, Jeonbuk Motors have posted 1.92 PPG from 12 outings (6W 5D 1L).
On the road, FC Anyang have gone 4W 0D 8L from 12 away games — 1.00 PPG when travelling.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Jeonbuk Motors come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Scoring & Defensive Trends
Jeonbuk Motors are averaging 1.79 goals scored and 0.79 conceded per game recently; FC Anyang are on 1.21 scored and 1.33 conceded.
Defensively: Jeonbuk Motors have kept a clean sheet in 38% of their games — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 24 Results — K League 1
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Jeonbuk Motors
Blended
FC Anyang
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Jeonbuk Motors and FC Anyang in coming into this match?
Jeonbuk Motors have gone 16W 6D 2L in their last 24 games (2.25 PPG), while FC Anyang have gone 8W 3D 13L in their last 24 (1.12 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Jeonbuk Motors at home or FC Anyang away?
Jeonbuk Motors's home record (1.92 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Jeonbuk Motors at home: 1.92 PPG; FC Anyang away: 1.00 PPG.
Have Jeonbuk Motors or FC Anyang been keeping clean sheets recently?
Jeonbuk Motors have kept a clean sheet in 38% of their recent games, FC Anyang in 17%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
On record, these two have faced off 5 times since March 2025 — enough meetings to establish some real patterns. Every recorded meeting has come in K League 1. They last met on 10 May 2026, roughly 4 months ago.
Records & Recent Trends
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Jeonbuk Motors have gone 3W 0D 0L from 3 meetings on their own ground against FC Anyang — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 5 Meetings
4
Jeonbuk Motors
1
Draws
0
FC Anyang
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Jeonbuk Motors and FC Anyang?
From 5 meetings on record, Jeonbuk Motors have won 4, FC Anyang have won 0, and 1 have been drawn.
When did Jeonbuk Motors and FC Anyang last play each other?
They last met on 10 May 2026, when FC Anyang 1-1 Jeonbuk Motors.
Who has won more matches between Jeonbuk Motors and FC Anyang?
Jeonbuk Motors have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from 5 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
Jeonbuk Motors are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 83% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 33% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 17% of those situations.
FC Anyang are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 67% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 33% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 17% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one.
Goals & Clean Sheets
BTTS has landed consistently for both sides recently — 75% for Jeonbuk Motors, 58% for FC Anyang — a strong two-way scoring signal.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 50% (Jeonbuk Motors) and 58% (FC Anyang).
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Jeonbuk Motors home games / FC Anyang away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Jeonbuk Motors play FC Anyang?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 75% of Jeonbuk Motors's games and 58% of FC Anyang's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 50% of Jeonbuk Motors's recent games and 58% of FC Anyang's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Jeonbuk Motors and FC Anyang tend to score early?
Jeonbuk Motors have had a goal before half-time in 83% of their recent matches, FC Anyang in 67% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Prediction vindicated as Jeonbuk Motors edge out FC Anyang 2-1.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Jeonbuk Motors beat FC Anyang 2-1 at Jeonju World Cup Stadium, Regular Season - 25, in the K League 1. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Jeonbuk Motors 1.88 xG and FC Anyang 0.89 xG, a combined 2.77. The scoreboard read 2-1 for 3 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Jeonbuk Motors attack 1.25 / defence 0.88 against FC Anyang attack 0.78 / defence 1.14, drawn from 57/24 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Jeonbuk Motors 61% | Draw 22% | FC Anyang 17%, with Jeonbuk Motors to win its most likely call at 61%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 52%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 76% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 50% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 52% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Jeonbuk Motors 50%, FC Anyang 54%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 56%, which matched the both-scored outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Jeonbuk Motors's trading profile (24 games, 12 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 38% of the time, and conceded here.
FC Anyang's trading profile (24 games, 12 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did.
Form vs Result
On form, Jeonbuk Motors arrived the stronger side — 2.25 PPG against 1.12. That form edge translated into the three points.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.