Eintracht Braunschweig 2-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson rates Fortuna Düsseldorf at 47% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Eintracht Braunschweig vs Fortuna Düsseldorf encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Pre-Match Analysis
Eintracht Braunschweig and Fortuna Düsseldorf meet at Eintracht-Stadion in 2. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 5. This fixture gets under way on Saturday 20 August 2022 at 19:30 UTC.
Current Form
Eintracht Braunschweig's overall 2. Bundesliga record this term: 0W 0D 4L from 4 games (0.00 PPG). Last five: L L L L. They are averaging 0.00 goals per game and conceding 2.25 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. However, 2.25 goals conceded per game is a concern — opposing attacks have exploited them regularly. Eintracht Braunschweig have played only a handful of 2. Bundesliga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
Fortuna Düsseldorf (all games): 5W 3D 2L across 10 2. Bundesliga outings this term — 1.80 points per game. Last five: L W W L D. They are scoring at 1.60 per game and conceding 1.10. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. Fortuna Düsseldorf have played only a handful of 2. Bundesliga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
When travelling in 2. Bundesliga this season, Fortuna Düsseldorf have posted 2W 4D 4L from 10 away outings — 1.00 PPG. Away from home they average 0.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. Their away PPG of 1.00 is notably below their overall 1.80 — form away from home has been a clear weakness this season.
Fortuna Düsseldorf arrive in superior form — a 1.80 PPG advantage (1.80 vs 0.00) that offsets much of the home-ground benefit. The away side are the form pick, with draw protection the sensible way to manage the home-field uncertainty.
Trading & In-Play
Eintracht Braunschweig — key trading statistics (4 games): they score before half-time in 50% of fixtures; BTTS occurs in 0% of their matches; Over 2.5 goals lands in 50% of games; they fail to score in 100% of games.
Fortuna Düsseldorf — key trading statistics (4 games): they score before half-time in 75% of fixtures; they lead at the break 50% of the time; when trailing at the break they recover to draw or win in 25% of cases; BTTS occurs in 75% of their matches; Over 2.5 goals lands in 75% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Eintracht Braunschweig 0% versus Fortuna Düsseldorf 75%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Eintracht Braunschweig 50% | Fortuna Düsseldorf 75%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Eintracht Braunschweig 0.82 xG and Fortuna Düsseldorf 1.28 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.614 / defence 1.105 | Fortuna Düsseldorf attack 0.818 / defence 0.896. League average goals — home 1.490 / away 1.411. Eintracht Braunschweig's attack strength of 0.614 is below the league average — the 0.82 xG projection reflects a team that scores at a discount to the division norm. Data: 4 Eintracht Braunschweig games / 38 Fortuna Düsseldorf games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Eintracht Braunschweig 24% | Draw 29% | Fortuna Düsseldorf 47%. Fair-value odds: Eintracht Braunschweig 4.17 | Draw 3.45 | Fortuna Düsseldorf 2.13. Fortuna Düsseldorf hold a narrow Poisson edge at 47% — the draw (29%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 35% | BTTS probability 40% | Total xG 2.10. Under 2.5 is the strongly backed market at 65% probability — total xG of 2.10 sits well below the 2.5 threshold. The model is projecting a tight, low-scoring match based on both sides' defensive quality. BTTS probability of 40% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is Fortuna Düsseldorf at 47% — moderate model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw probability of 29% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Fortuna Düsseldorf if the outright odds are short.
Poisson projects 2.10 total expected goals, pointing to Under 2.5 at 35% probability — reasonable conviction, supported by form averaging 2.1 goals per game.
On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 40% on No. Form rates corroborate: Eintracht Braunschweig 0% | Fortuna Düsseldorf 40% BTTS from recent games.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Eintracht Braunschweig vs Fortuna Düsseldorf | Competition: 2. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 5 | Venue: Eintracht-Stadion • Kick-off: Saturday 20 Aug 2022, 19:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Eintracht Braunschweig 24% | Draw 29% | Fortuna Düsseldorf 47% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 35% | BTTS 40% | xG Eintracht Braunschweig 0.82 / Fortuna Düsseldorf 1.28 • Poisson strength factors: Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.614 / def 1.105 | Fortuna Düsseldorf attack 0.818 / def 0.896 | league avg home 1.490 / away 1.411 • Poisson stance: Fortuna Düsseldorf (47%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
0.82
Eintracht Braunschweig xG
Expected Goals
1.28
Fortuna Düsseldorf xG
40%
BTTS
62%
Over 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
16%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Eintracht Braunschweig vs Fortuna Düsseldorf kick off?
Eintracht Braunschweig vs Fortuna Düsseldorf kicked off at 19:30 on Saturday 20 August 2022 at Eintracht-Stadion.
What was the final score in Eintracht Braunschweig vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Eintracht Braunschweig 2 - 2 Fortuna Düsseldorf.
Where is Eintracht Braunschweig vs Fortuna Düsseldorf being played?
The match is being played at Eintracht-Stadion.
What competition is Eintracht Braunschweig vs Fortuna Düsseldorf part of?
Eintracht Braunschweig vs Fortuna Düsseldorf is a Regular Season - 5 fixture in the 2. Bundesliga (Germany).
Who is favourite to win Eintracht Braunschweig vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Our statistical model gives Eintracht Braunschweig a 24% chance of winning, Fortuna Düsseldorf a 47% chance, and a 29% chance of a draw — making Fortuna Düsseldorf the favourite.
Will both teams score in Eintracht Braunschweig vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Our model estimates a 40% probability that both Eintracht Braunschweig and Fortuna Düsseldorf will score (BTTS).
Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs Fortuna Düsseldorf have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 35%.
What is the head-to-head record between Eintracht Braunschweig and Fortuna Düsseldorf?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Eintracht Braunschweig and Fortuna Düsseldorf in?
Eintracht Braunschweig (all comps): 0W-0D-4L in 4 | 0.00 PPG | GF 0.00 / GA 2.25 | L5 L-L-L-L. Fortuna Düsseldorf (all comps): 5W-3D-2L in 10 | 1.80 PPG | GF 1.60 / GA 1.10 | L5 L-W-W-L-D.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
The model rates Eintracht Braunschweig's attack at 0.61x the league average against Fortuna Düsseldorf's defence at 0.90x — combine the two and it projects 0.82 expected goals for the hosts. Flip it around — Fortuna Düsseldorf's attack (0.82x) against Eintracht Braunschweig's defence (1.10x) — and the away total comes out at 1.28.
These ratings are built from 4/38 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 14.5% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 0-1 (14.0%), 0-0 (14.0%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 43% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Fortuna Düsseldorf Win
24%
4.18
29%
3.46
47%
2.12
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
15.7%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.9%
Draw
0 – 0
12.3%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.82
Eintracht Braunschweig xG
Total xG
2.10
1.28
Fortuna Düsseldorf xG
4.18
24%
Home win
3.46
29%
Draw
2.12
47%
Away win
Goals Markets
62%
Over 1.5
1.61
38%
Under 1.5
2.63
35%
Over 2.5
2.86
65%
Under 2.5
1.54
16%
Over 3.5
6.25
84%
Under 3.5
1.19
6%
Over 4.5
16.67
94%
Under 4.5
1.06
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
40%
BTTS Yes
2.48
60%
BTTS No
1.68
Clean Sheet
28%
3.58
44%
2.27
Win to Nil
7%
14.98
21%
4.82
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.3 | 15.7 | 10.0 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 10.1 | 12.9 | 8.2 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 4.1 | 5.3 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Eintracht Braunschweig vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.5%.
How many goals are Eintracht Braunschweig and Fortuna Düsseldorf expected to score?
The model projects 0.82 expected goals for Eintracht Braunschweig and 1.28 for Fortuna Düsseldorf, a combined total of 2.10.
How confident is the prediction model for Eintracht Braunschweig vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 47%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
Eintracht Braunschweig's recent record stands at 0W 0D 4L from 4 games, a 0.00 PPG return, with L-L-L-L in the last five. It's still early in the season for Eintracht Braunschweig, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Fortuna Düsseldorf, meanwhile, have gone 2W 1D 1L across 4 games — 1.75 PPG, with W-W-L-D in their last five. It's still early in the season for Fortuna Düsseldorf, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
The points-per-game comparison favours Fortuna Düsseldorf by 1.75 — a real, if not enormous, edge over Eintracht Braunschweig heading into this one.
Scoring & Defensive Trends
Eintracht Braunschweig are averaging 0.00 goals scored and 2.25 conceded per game recently; Fortuna Düsseldorf are on 1.50 scored and 1.25 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Eintracht Braunschweig have seen both teams score in 0% of their recent games; Fortuna Düsseldorf in 75%.
Last 4 Results — 2. Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Eintracht Braunschweig
Early Season
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Eintracht Braunschweig and Fortuna Düsseldorf in coming into this match?
Eintracht Braunschweig have gone 0W 0D 4L in their last 4 games (0.00 PPG), while Fortuna Düsseldorf have gone 2W 1D 1L in their last 4 (1.75 PPG).
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
On record, these two have faced off 8 times since August 2022 — enough meetings to establish some real patterns. Every recorded meeting has come in 2. Bundesliga. They last met on 14 March 2026, roughly 5 months ago.
Records & Recent Trends
Eintracht Braunschweig have won the last 2 meetings between these two, a run that gives them the psychological edge coming in.
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: Fortuna Düsseldorf won 5-0 on 8 Dec 2024, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Eintracht Braunschweig have gone 1W 2D 1L from 4 meetings on their own ground against Fortuna Düsseldorf — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 8 Meetings
2
Eintracht Braunschweig
2
Draws
4
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Eintracht Braunschweig and Fortuna Düsseldorf?
From 8 meetings on record, Eintracht Braunschweig have won 2, Fortuna Düsseldorf have won 4, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Eintracht Braunschweig and Fortuna Düsseldorf last play each other?
They last met on 14 March 2026, when Eintracht Braunschweig 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf.
Who has won more matches between Eintracht Braunschweig and Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Fortuna Düsseldorf have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from 8 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
Eintracht Braunschweig see a goal before the break in 50% of their matches.
Fortuna Düsseldorf are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 75% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 50% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 25% of those situations.
Goals & Clean Sheets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Eintracht Braunschweig 0%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 75% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 50% for Eintracht Braunschweig and 75% for Fortuna Düsseldorf. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 0% and 25% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: Eintracht Braunschweig have failed to score in 100% of games.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Eintracht Braunschweig home games / Fortuna Düsseldorf away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Eintracht Braunschweig play Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 0% of Eintracht Braunschweig's recent matches and 75% of Fortuna Düsseldorf's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Eintracht Braunschweig vs Fortuna Düsseldorf usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 50% of Eintracht Braunschweig's matches and 75% of Fortuna Düsseldorf's.
Do Eintracht Braunschweig and Fortuna Düsseldorf tend to score early?
Eintracht Braunschweig have had a goal before half-time in 50% of their recent matches, Fortuna Düsseldorf in 75% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Eintracht Braunschweig and Fortuna Düsseldorf share the spoils in a 2-2 draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Eintracht-Stadion, Regular Season - 5, as Eintracht Braunschweig and Fortuna Düsseldorf drew 2-2 in the 2. Bundesliga. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Eintracht Braunschweig 0.82 xG and Fortuna Düsseldorf 1.28 xG, a combined 2.10. The scoreboard read 2-2 for 4 actual goals. Eintracht Braunschweig beat their projection by 1.2 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.61 / defence 1.10 against Fortuna Düsseldorf attack 0.82 / defence 0.90, drawn from 4/38 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Eintracht Braunschweig 24% | Draw 29% | Fortuna Düsseldorf 47%, with Fortuna Düsseldorf to win its most likely call at 47%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 29%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 35%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 62% and landed. Over 3.5 was 16% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 40% and the match saw both sides score — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 62% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Eintracht Braunschweig 50%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 75%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 38%, which did not match the both-scored outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Eintracht Braunschweig's trading profile (4 games) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 0% of their matches — today it did.
Fortuna Düsseldorf's trading profile (4 games) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 75% of their matches — today it did.
Form vs Result
On form, Fortuna Düsseldorf arrived the stronger side — 1.75 PPG against 0.00. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Eintracht Braunschweig scored 2 against a 0.00 average — above their attacking norm.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.