SCR Altach 0-0 WSG Wattens – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model rates SCR Altach at 46%, yet other data sources diverge — this SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Pre-Match Analysis
SCR Altach and WSG Wattens meet at CASHPOINT Arena in Bundesliga, Relegation Round - 3. This fixture gets under way on Friday 5 April 2024 at 18:30 UTC.
Form & Momentum
SCR Altach have collected 0.80 PPG across 10 Bundesliga outings this season: 1W 5D 4L. Last five: L D D D D. They are averaging 0.80 goals per game and conceding 0.90 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. This season is still relatively young for SCR Altach, so this record blends games from this season and last.
At home at CASHPOINT Arena, SCR Altach have gone 2W 4D 4L this season (10 games, 1.00 PPG). At home they are averaging 0.90 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game.
WSG Wattens (all games): 3W 1D 6L across 10 Bundesliga outings this term — 1.00 points per game. Last five: L W L D W. Their scoring rate of 0.80 per game is modest, conceding 1.60 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. This season is still relatively young for WSG Wattens, so this record blends games from this season and last.
When travelling in Bundesliga this season, WSG Wattens have posted 3W 1D 6L from 10 away outings — 1.00 PPG. Away from home they average 0.90 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game.
Neither side holds a meaningful form edge. The 0.80 vs 1.00 PPG split is negligible — model and market signals should carry more analytical weight for this one.
Trading Data
SCR Altach goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (56 games, 28 at home): they score before half-time in 64% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 65% of the time; BTTS occurs in 50% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 36% of games (home games); they fail to score in 41% of games.
WSG Wattens goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (56 games, 28 at away): they score before half-time in 75% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 79% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 64% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 54% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 57% of games (away games); they fail to score in 39% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — SCR Altach 48% versus WSG Wattens 55%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (SCR Altach 45% | WSG Wattens 52%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects SCR Altach 1.31 xG and WSG Wattens 0.86 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: SCR Altach attack 0.792 / defence 0.986 | WSG Wattens attack 0.857 / defence 1.240. League average goals — home 1.339 / away 1.013. SCR Altach's attack strength of 0.792 is below the league average — the 1.31 xG projection reflects a team that scores at a discount to the division norm. WSG Wattens bring a strong defensive rating of 1.240 — this is suppressing SCR Altach's projected output below what their attack strength alone would suggest. Data: 44 SCR Altach games / 44 WSG Wattens games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: SCR Altach 46% | Draw 31% | WSG Wattens 23%. Fair-value odds: SCR Altach 2.17 | Draw 3.23 | WSG Wattens 4.35. SCR Altach hold a narrow Poisson edge at 46% — the draw (31%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 37% | BTTS probability 43% | Total xG 2.17. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 63% — total xG of 2.17 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 43% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is SCR Altach at 46% — moderate model lean. Draw probability of 31% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on SCR Altach if the outright odds are short.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.17 combined xG gives a 37% probability to Under 2.5 — Poisson-only — limited corroboration.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is No at 43%. Form rates are neutral: SCR Altach 50% | WSG Wattens 50%.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens | Competition: Bundesliga, Relegation Round - 3 | Venue: CASHPOINT Arena • Kick-off: Friday 5 Apr 2024, 18:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: SCR Altach 46% | Draw 31% | WSG Wattens 23% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 37% | BTTS 43% | xG SCR Altach 1.31 / WSG Wattens 0.86 • Poisson strength factors: SCR Altach attack 0.792 / def 0.986 | WSG Wattens attack 0.857 / def 1.240 | league avg home 1.339 / away 1.013 • Poisson stance: SCR Altach (46%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.31
SCR Altach xG
Expected Goals
0.86
WSG Wattens xG
43%
BTTS
65%
Over 1.5
37%
Over 2.5
18%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens kick off?
SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens kicked off at 18:30 on Friday 5 April 2024 at CASHPOINT Arena.
What was the final score in SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens?
SCR Altach 0 - 0 WSG Wattens.
Where is SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens being played?
The match is being played at CASHPOINT Arena.
What competition is SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens part of?
SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens is a Relegation Round - 3 fixture in the Bundesliga (Austria).
Who is favourite to win SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens?
Our statistical model gives SCR Altach a 46% chance of winning, WSG Wattens a 23% chance, and a 31% chance of a draw — making SCR Altach the favourite.
Will both teams score in SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens?
Our model estimates a 43% probability that both SCR Altach and WSG Wattens will score (BTTS).
Will SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 37%.
What is the head-to-head record between SCR Altach and WSG Wattens?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are SCR Altach and WSG Wattens in?
SCR Altach (all comps): 1W-5D-4L in 10 | 0.80 PPG | GF 0.80 / GA 0.90 | L5 L-D-D-D-D. WSG Wattens (all comps): 3W-1D-6L in 10 | 1.00 PPG | GF 0.80 / GA 1.60 | L5 L-W-L-D-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Where the Numbers Come From
SCR Altach's attacking strength (0.79x league average) is weighed against WSG Wattens's defensive record (1.24x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.31. Flip it around — WSG Wattens's attack (0.86x) against SCR Altach's defence (0.99x) — and the away total comes out at 0.86.
These ratings are built from 44/44 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 14.5%. Close behind: 1-0 (13.3%), 0-0 (13.1%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 41% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
SCR Altach Win
46%
2.18
31%
3.22
23%
4.35
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
15.0%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.8%
Draw
0 – 0
11.4%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.31
SCR Altach xG
Total xG
2.17
0.86
WSG Wattens xG
2.18
46%
Home win
3.22
31%
Draw
4.35
23%
Away win
Goals Markets
64%
Over 1.5
1.56
36%
Under 1.5
2.78
37%
Over 2.5
2.70
63%
Under 2.5
1.59
17%
Over 3.5
5.88
83%
Under 3.5
1.20
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
43%
BTTS Yes
2.30
57%
BTTS No
1.77
Clean Sheet
42%
2.36
27%
3.72
Win to Nil
20%
5.13
6%
16.17
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.4 | 9.8 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 | – |
| 1 | 15.0 | 12.8 | 5.5 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.8 | 8.4 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 4.3 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.5%.
How many goals are SCR Altach and WSG Wattens expected to score?
The model projects 1.31 expected goals for SCR Altach and 0.86 for WSG Wattens, a combined total of 2.17.
How confident is the prediction model for SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 46%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Recent Form Overview
SCR Altach's recent record stands at 10W 19D 27L from 56 games, a 0.88 PPG return, with L-D-D-D-D in the last five. The sample for SCR Altach is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
WSG Wattens, meanwhile, have gone 15W 11D 30L across 56 games — 1.00 PPG, with L-W-L-D-W in their last five. The sample for WSG Wattens is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 0.88 PPG for SCR Altach against 1.00 for WSG Wattens. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
How They Fare by Venue
At home specifically, SCR Altach have managed 6W 9D 13L from 28 games — 0.96 PPG in front of their own supporters.
WSG Wattens's away record stands at 9W 3D 16L across 28 trips, a 1.07 PPG haul.
Attack vs Defence
SCR Altach are averaging 0.84 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game recently; WSG Wattens are on 1.20 scored and 1.73 conceded.
Last 56 Results — Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
SCR Altach
Blended
WSG Wattens
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are SCR Altach and WSG Wattens in coming into this match?
SCR Altach have gone 10W 19D 27L in their last 56 games (0.88 PPG), while WSG Wattens have gone 15W 11D 30L in their last 56 (1.00 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — SCR Altach at home or WSG Wattens away?
WSG Wattens's away record (1.07 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — SCR Altach at home: 0.96 PPG; WSG Wattens away: 1.07 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
The Rivalry So Far
These sides have met 10 times that we have on record, stretching back to May 2024 — a rivalry that has played out across roughly 2 years. Every recorded meeting has come in Bundesliga. The two were last together as recently as 7 August 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Notable Numbers
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: SCR Altach won 3-0 on 26 Apr 2025, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, SCR Altach have gone 2W 2D 1L from 5 meetings on their own ground against WSG Wattens — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 10 Meetings
4
SCR Altach
3
Draws
3
WSG Wattens
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between SCR Altach and WSG Wattens?
From 10 meetings on record, SCR Altach have won 4, WSG Wattens have won 3, and 3 have been drawn.
When did SCR Altach and WSG Wattens last play each other?
They last met on 7 August 2026, when SCR Altach 3-1 WSG Wattens.
Who has won more matches between SCR Altach and WSG Wattens?
SCR Altach have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Early Goal Trends
SCR Altach are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 64% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 11% of those situations.
WSG Wattens are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 75% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 25% of the time.
Full-Time Markets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — SCR Altach 50%, WSG Wattens 54% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 36% (SCR Altach) and 57% (WSG Wattens).
On the defensive side: SCR Altach have failed to score in 36% of games; WSG Wattens in 46%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = SCR Altach home games / WSG Wattens away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when SCR Altach play WSG Wattens?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 50% of SCR Altach's recent matches and 54% of WSG Wattens's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 36% of SCR Altach's recent games and 57% of WSG Wattens's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do SCR Altach and WSG Wattens tend to score early?
SCR Altach have had a goal before half-time in 64% of their recent matches, WSG Wattens in 75% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at SCR Altach's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at CASHPOINT Arena, Relegation Round - 3, as SCR Altach and WSG Wattens drew 0-0 in the Bundesliga. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting SCR Altach 1.31 xG and WSG Wattens 0.86 xG, a combined 2.17. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. SCR Altach fell 1.3 short of their projected output. WSG Wattens landed 0.9 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of SCR Altach attack 0.79 / defence 0.99 against WSG Wattens attack 0.86 / defence 1.24, drawn from 44/44 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it SCR Altach 46% | Draw 31% | WSG Wattens 23%, with SCR Altach to win its most likely call at 46%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 31%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 37%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 65% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 43% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 48% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (SCR Altach 45%, WSG Wattens 52%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 52%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
SCR Altach's trading profile (56 games, 28 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 48% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 41% of games, a blank that repeated today.
WSG Wattens's trading profile (56 games, 28 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 55% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 39% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — SCR Altach 0.88 PPG, WSG Wattens 1.00 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. SCR Altach (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.89 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.25 average — tighter than their form line. WSG Wattens (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.18 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.71 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.