Ruh Lviv 0-0 Veres Rivne – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model rates Veres Rivne at 41%, yet in-form Ruh Lviv provide a compelling counter-argument — this Ruh Lviv vs Veres Rivne fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A Premier League encounter, Regular Season - 20 sees Veres Rivne travel to Arena L'viv to take on Ruh Lviv. The game is scheduled for Saturday 8 April 2023, 13:00 UTC.
Recent Form
Across all Premier League games this season, Ruh Lviv have gone 2W 4D 4L from 10 outings — a 1.00 PPG return. Last five: D W L L L. They are averaging 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.50 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. This season is still relatively young for Ruh Lviv, so this record blends games from this season and last.
In front of their own supporters this season, Ruh Lviv have posted 2W 4D 4L at Arena L'viv — 1.00 PPG. At home they are averaging 1.20 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 70% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture.
Looking at all fixtures this season, Veres Rivne stand at 1W 1D 8L from 10 Premier League matches — 0.40 PPG. Last five: L L D L L. Their scoring rate of 1.00 per game is modest, conceding 1.80 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. This season is still relatively young for Veres Rivne, so this record blends games from this season and last.
When travelling in Premier League this season, Veres Rivne have posted 5W 1D 4L from 10 away outings — 1.60 PPG. Away from home they average 1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. Their away PPG of 1.60 exceeds their overall 0.40 — they actually perform better on the road than their aggregate form implies.
Ruh Lviv carry the stronger recent momentum — 0.60 PPG ahead of their opponents on 1.00 vs 0.40. The form data is a point in their favour, and where the price allows, it is the cleaner directional bet.
Head to Head
The rivalry is an even one: 1 wins apiece for Ruh Lviv, 0 for Veres Rivne and 2 shared spoils from 3 past contests. Neither side holds a meaningful historical edge.
Goals have been a feature of this fixture. The last 3 meetings have averaged 3.0 per game — a rate that gives the Over 2.5 market a solid historical foundation. The most recent clash, on 30 Sep 2022, ended 2–2 with a draw.
With the win record balanced, the strongest H2H-derived signal is in the goals market. At 3.0 goals per game historically, Over 2.5 is the cleaner angle to extract from the head-to-head data.
In-Play Profile
Ruh Lviv in-play tendencies (35 games, 17 at home): they score before half-time in 65% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 80% of the time; BTTS occurs in 59% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 41% of games (home games); they fail to score in 37% of games.
Veres Rivne in-play tendencies (35 games, 17 at away): they score before half-time in 71% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 85% of the time; BTTS occurs in 35% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 41% of games (away games); they fail to score in 37% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Ruh Lviv 51% versus Veres Rivne 40%; no strong lean in either direction. Under 2.5 goals has backing from the in-play data — both teams register low Over 2.5 rates (Ruh Lviv 40% | Veres Rivne 40%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Ruh Lviv 1.18 xG and Veres Rivne 1.36 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Ruh Lviv attack 0.982 / defence 1.044 | Veres Rivne attack 1.011 / defence 1.046. League average goals — home 1.150 / away 1.285. Data: 35 Ruh Lviv games / 37 Veres Rivne games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Ruh Lviv 32% | Draw 27% | Veres Rivne 41%. Fair-value odds: Ruh Lviv 3.12 | Draw 3.70 | Veres Rivne 2.44. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 27% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 47% | BTTS probability 51% | Total xG 2.54. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 47%/53% — the total xG of 2.54 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 51% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Our Verdict
Poisson rates Veres Rivne as the most likely outcome at 41% — marginal model lean. Note a divergence: in-form Ruh Lviv (1.00 PPG) cuts against the Poisson lean — consider the strength-adjusted model over surface-level form results. With a 27% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Veres Rivne offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 32% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.54 combined xG gives a 47% probability to Under 2.5 — Poisson-only — limited corroboration — though H2H averaging only 3.0 goals per meeting points in the other direction.
Poisson assigns a 51% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate: Ruh Lviv 70% | Veres Rivne 50% BTTS from recent games.
The outsider holds a 32% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
🔮 Your Prediction
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Ruh Lviv vs Veres Rivne | Competition: Premier League, Regular Season - 20 | Venue: Arena L'viv • Kick-off: Saturday 8 Apr 2023, 13:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Ruh Lviv 32% | Draw 27% | Veres Rivne 41% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 47% | BTTS 51% | xG Ruh Lviv 1.18 / Veres Rivne 1.36 • Poisson strength factors: Ruh Lviv attack 0.982 / def 1.044 | Veres Rivne attack 1.011 / def 1.046 | league avg home 1.150 / away 1.285 • Poisson stance: Veres Rivne (41%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.18
Ruh Lviv xG
Expected Goals
1.36
Veres Rivne xG
51%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
47%
Over 2.5
25%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Ruh Lviv vs Veres Rivne kick off?
Ruh Lviv vs Veres Rivne kicked off at 13:00 on Saturday 8 April 2023 at Arena L'viv.
What was the final score in Ruh Lviv vs Veres Rivne?
Ruh Lviv 0 - 0 Veres Rivne.
Where is Ruh Lviv vs Veres Rivne being played?
The match is being played at Arena L'viv.
What competition is Ruh Lviv vs Veres Rivne part of?
Ruh Lviv vs Veres Rivne is a Regular Season - 20 fixture in the Premier League (Ukraine).
Who is favourite to win Ruh Lviv vs Veres Rivne?
Our statistical model gives Ruh Lviv a 32% chance of winning, Veres Rivne a 41% chance, and a 27% chance of a draw — making Veres Rivne the favourite.
Will both teams score in Ruh Lviv vs Veres Rivne?
Our model estimates a 51% probability that both Ruh Lviv and Veres Rivne will score (BTTS).
Will Ruh Lviv vs Veres Rivne have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 47%.
What is the head-to-head record between Ruh Lviv and Veres Rivne?
Record (3 meetings): Ruh Lviv 1W | Draws 2 | Veres Rivne 0W.
What form are Ruh Lviv and Veres Rivne in?
Ruh Lviv (all comps): 2W-4D-4L in 10 | 1.00 PPG | GF 1.00 / GA 1.50 | L5 D-W-L-L-L. Veres Rivne (all comps): 1W-1D-8L in 10 | 0.40 PPG | GF 1.00 / GA 1.80 | L5 L-L-D-L-L.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
Working from Ruh Lviv's attack rating (0.98) and Veres Rivne's defence rating (1.05), the model arrives at 1.18 expected goals for the home side. The same calculation in reverse, Veres Rivne's attack versus Ruh Lviv's defence, projects 1.36 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 35/37 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 14.3%. Close behind: 0-0 (9.5%), 0-1 (9.1%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 33% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Veres Rivne Win
32%
3.08
27%
3.75
41%
2.45
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.7%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
10.7%
Away win
1 – 0
9.3%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.18
Ruh Lviv xG
Total xG
2.54
1.36
Veres Rivne xG
3.08
32%
Home win
3.75
27%
Draw
2.45
41%
Away win
Goals Markets
72%
Over 1.5
1.39
28%
Under 1.5
3.57
47%
Over 2.5
2.13
53%
Under 2.5
1.89
25%
Over 3.5
4.00
75%
Under 3.5
1.33
11%
Over 4.5
9.09
89%
Under 4.5
1.12
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
51%
BTTS Yes
1.94
49%
BTTS No
2.06
Clean Sheet
26%
3.89
31%
3.25
Win to Nil
8%
11.97
13%
7.96
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.9 | 10.7 | 7.3 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 9.3 | 12.7 | 8.6 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 5.5 | 7.5 | 5.1 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Ruh Lviv vs Veres Rivne?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.3%.
How many goals are Ruh Lviv and Veres Rivne expected to score?
The model projects 1.18 expected goals for Ruh Lviv and 1.36 for Veres Rivne, a combined total of 2.54.
How confident is the prediction model for Ruh Lviv vs Veres Rivne?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 41%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
Across their last 35 outings, Ruh Lviv have picked up 1.00 PPG on a 8W 11D 16L record — D-W-L-L-L across the most recent five. The sample for Ruh Lviv is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Veres Rivne's form line: 11W 7D 17L from 35 games, 1.14 PPG, last five L-L-D-L-L. The sample for Veres Rivne is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Form-wise this is close to level: Ruh Lviv on 1.00 PPG, Veres Rivne on 1.14. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Home Ground vs the Road
On home soil, Ruh Lviv have posted 1.29 PPG from 17 outings (5W 7D 5L).
On the road, Veres Rivne have gone 7W 2D 8L from 17 away games — 1.35 PPG when travelling.
The Goals Picture
Ruh Lviv are averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game recently; Veres Rivne are on 1.03 scored and 1.26 conceded.
Last 35 Results — Premier League
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Ruh Lviv
Blended
Veres Rivne
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Ruh Lviv and Veres Rivne in coming into this match?
Ruh Lviv have gone 8W 11D 16L in their last 35 games (1.00 PPG), while Veres Rivne have gone 11W 7D 17L in their last 35 (1.14 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Ruh Lviv at home or Veres Rivne away?
Veres Rivne's away record (1.35 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Ruh Lviv at home: 1.29 PPG; Veres Rivne away: 1.35 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between Ruh Lviv and Veres Rivne runs to 10 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to August 2021. Every recorded meeting has come in Premier League. They last met on 9 May 2026, roughly 3 months ago.
Digging Into the Numbers
The biggest gap between the sides came on 22 Oct 2023, when Ruh Lviv won 2-5 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
Ruh Lviv's record when hosting Veres Rivne specifically: 3W 2D 0L from 5 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
4
Ruh Lviv
4
Draws
2
Veres Rivne
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Ruh Lviv and Veres Rivne?
From 10 meetings on record, Ruh Lviv have won 4, Veres Rivne have won 2, and 4 have been drawn.
When did Ruh Lviv and Veres Rivne last play each other?
They last met on 9 May 2026, when Ruh Lviv 0-0 Veres Rivne.
Who has won more matches between Ruh Lviv and Veres Rivne?
Ruh Lviv have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
Ruh Lviv are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 65% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 35% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 18% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 12% of those situations.
Veres Rivne are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 71% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 35% of the time.
The Numbers That Matter
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Ruh Lviv 59%, Veres Rivne 35% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 41% (Ruh Lviv) and 41% (Veres Rivne).
On the defensive side: Ruh Lviv have failed to score in 29% of games; Veres Rivne in 41%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Ruh Lviv home games / Veres Rivne away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Ruh Lviv play Veres Rivne?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 59% of Ruh Lviv's recent matches and 35% of Veres Rivne's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Ruh Lviv vs Veres Rivne usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 41% of Ruh Lviv's recent games and 41% of Veres Rivne's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Ruh Lviv and Veres Rivne tend to score early?
Ruh Lviv have had a goal before half-time in 65% of their recent matches, Veres Rivne in 71% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Ruh Lviv's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Ruh Lviv and Veres Rivne finished level at 0-0 at Arena L'viv, Regular Season - 20, in the Premier League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Ruh Lviv 1.18 xG and Veres Rivne 1.36 xG, a combined 2.54. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Ruh Lviv fell 1.2 short of their projected output. Veres Rivne landed 1.4 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Ruh Lviv attack 0.98 / defence 1.04 against Veres Rivne attack 1.01 / defence 1.05, drawn from 35/37 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Ruh Lviv 32% | Draw 27% | Veres Rivne 41%, with Veres Rivne to win its most likely call at 41%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 27%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 47%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 72% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 51% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 40% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Ruh Lviv 40%, Veres Rivne 40%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 46%, which matched the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Ruh Lviv's trading profile (35 games, 17 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 51% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 37% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Veres Rivne's trading profile (35 games, 17 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 40% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 37% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Ruh Lviv 1.00 PPG, Veres Rivne 1.14 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Ruh Lviv (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.18 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.12 average — tighter than their form line. Veres Rivne (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.18 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.24 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.