Ruh Lviv 0-0 Oleksandria – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model rates Oleksandria at 36%, yet other data sources diverge — this Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Fixture Analysis
It is a Premier League clash, Regular Season - 13 as Ruh Lviv welcome Oleksandria to Arena L'viv. Kick-off is set for Sunday 31 October 2021 at 15:00 UTC.
Recent Form
Across all Premier League games this season, Ruh Lviv have gone 3W 3D 4L from 10 outings — a 1.20 PPG return. Last five: D L L W D. They are averaging 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.20 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. This season is still relatively young for Ruh Lviv, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Ruh Lviv at Arena L'viv this season: 2W 2D 1L from 5 home games — 1.60 PPG on home soil. At home they are averaging 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their home matches — a rate that supports the Yes angle in this fixture.
Oleksandria — All Games: 4W 4D 2L from 10 Premier League fixtures this season — 1.60 PPG. Last five: L W D L D. Their scoring rate of 1.10 per game is modest, conceding 0.90 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. This season is still relatively young for Oleksandria, so this record blends games from this season and last.
On the road, Oleksandria have gone 3W 4D 2L from 9 away fixtures this term (1.44 PPG). Away from home they average 0.89 goals scored and 0.78 conceded per game.
There is minimal separation in the form figures — Ruh Lviv at 1.20 PPG versus Oleksandria's 1.60. The form guide is not providing a strong directional steer; the model and market data will carry more weight in the final assessment.
In-Play Data
Ruh Lviv trading profile (11 games, 5 at home): they score before half-time in 80% of fixtures in home games; BTTS occurs in 60% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 40% of games (home games); they fail to score in 36% of games.
Oleksandria trading profile (11 games, 5 at away): they score before half-time in 20% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 83% of the time; BTTS occurs in 40% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 20% of games (away games).
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Ruh Lviv 46% versus Oleksandria 54%; no strong lean in either direction. Under 2.5 goals has backing from the in-play data — both teams register low Over 2.5 rates (Ruh Lviv 27% | Oleksandria 36%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Ruh Lviv 0.91 xG and Oleksandria 1.01 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Ruh Lviv attack 0.918 / defence 1.173 | Oleksandria attack 0.757 / defence 0.928. League average goals — home 1.068 / away 1.144. Data: 11 Ruh Lviv games / 12 Oleksandria games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Ruh Lviv 31% | Draw 33% | Oleksandria 36%. Fair-value odds: Ruh Lviv 3.23 | Draw 3.03 | Oleksandria 2.78. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 33% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 30% | BTTS probability 39% | Total xG 1.92. Under 2.5 is the strongly backed market at 70% probability — total xG of 1.92 sits well below the 2.5 threshold. The model is projecting a tight, low-scoring match based on both sides' defensive quality. BTTS probability of 39% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Our Verdict
Poisson rates Oleksandria as the most likely outcome at 36% — marginal model lean. With a 33% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Oleksandria offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 31% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
The Poisson model projects 1.92 xG in total — Under 2.5 at 30% — reasonable confidence, supported by form averaging 2.0 goals per game.
On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 39% on No. Form rates are neutral: Ruh Lviv 60% | Oleksandria 44%.
The outsider holds a 31% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
🔮 Your Prediction
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria | Competition: Premier League, Regular Season - 13 | Venue: Arena L'viv • Kick-off: Sunday 31 Oct 2021, 15:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Ruh Lviv 31% | Draw 33% | Oleksandria 36% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 30% | BTTS 39% | xG Ruh Lviv 0.91 / Oleksandria 1.01 • Poisson strength factors: Ruh Lviv attack 0.918 / def 1.173 | Oleksandria attack 0.757 / def 0.928 | league avg home 1.068 / away 1.144 • Poisson stance: Oleksandria (36%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
0.91
Ruh Lviv xG
Expected Goals
1.01
Oleksandria xG
39%
BTTS
58%
Over 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
13%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria kick off?
Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria kicked off at 15:00 on Sunday 31 October 2021 at Arena L'viv.
What was the final score in Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria?
Ruh Lviv 0 - 0 Oleksandria.
Where is Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria being played?
The match is being played at Arena L'viv.
What competition is Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria part of?
Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria is a Regular Season - 13 fixture in the Premier League (Ukraine).
Who is favourite to win Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria?
Our statistical model gives Ruh Lviv a 31% chance of winning, Oleksandria a 36% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw — making Oleksandria the favourite.
Will both teams score in Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria?
Our model estimates a 39% probability that both Ruh Lviv and Oleksandria will score (BTTS).
Will Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 30%.
What is the head-to-head record between Ruh Lviv and Oleksandria?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Ruh Lviv and Oleksandria in?
Ruh Lviv (all comps): 3W-3D-4L in 10 | 1.20 PPG | GF 0.90 / GA 1.20 | L5 D-L-L-W-D. Oleksandria (all comps): 4W-4D-2L in 10 | 1.60 PPG | GF 1.10 / GA 0.90 | L5 L-W-D-L-D.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
The model rates Ruh Lviv's attack at 0.92x the league average against Oleksandria's defence at 0.93x — combine the two and it projects 0.91 expected goals for the hosts. The same calculation in reverse, Oleksandria's attack versus Ruh Lviv's defence, projects 1.01 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 11/12 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 0-0 carries the highest individual probability at 16.3% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 1-1 (15.2%), 0-1 (13.1%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 45% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Oleksandria Win
31%
3.26
33%
3.03
36%
2.76
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
14.8%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 0
14.6%
Draw
1 – 1
13.5%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.91
Ruh Lviv xG
Total xG
1.92
1.01
Oleksandria xG
3.26
31%
Home win
3.03
33%
Draw
2.76
36%
Away win
Goals Markets
57%
Over 1.5
1.75
43%
Under 1.5
2.33
30%
Over 2.5
3.33
70%
Under 2.5
1.43
13%
Over 3.5
7.69
87%
Under 3.5
1.15
5%
Over 4.5
20.00
95%
Under 4.5
1.05
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
39%
BTTS Yes
2.57
61%
BTTS No
1.64
Clean Sheet
36%
2.76
40%
2.48
Win to Nil
11%
8.98
15%
6.85
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.6 | 14.8 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 13.3 | 13.5 | 6.8 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 6.0 | 6.1 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria?
Our Poisson model rates 0-0 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 16.3%.
How many goals are Ruh Lviv and Oleksandria expected to score?
The model projects 0.91 expected goals for Ruh Lviv and 1.01 for Oleksandria, a combined total of 1.92.
How confident is the prediction model for Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 36%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
Across their last 11 outings, Ruh Lviv have picked up 1.09 PPG on a 3W 3D 5L record — D-L-L-W-D across the most recent five. The sample for Ruh Lviv is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Oleksandria's form line: 4W 4D 3L from 11 games, 1.45 PPG, last five L-W-D-L-D. The sample for Oleksandria is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Form-wise this is close to level: Ruh Lviv on 1.09 PPG, Oleksandria on 1.45. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Venue Form
On home soil, Ruh Lviv have posted 1.60 PPG from 5 outings (2W 2D 1L). That's noticeably better than their 1.09 PPG overall — Ruh Lviv are a different proposition at home than their general record suggests.
On the road, Oleksandria have gone 1W 3D 1L from 5 away games — 1.20 PPG when travelling.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Ruh Lviv come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Goals in Recent Form
Ruh Lviv are averaging 0.91 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game recently; Oleksandria are on 1.00 scored and 0.91 conceded.
Last 11 Results — Premier League
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Ruh Lviv
Blended
Oleksandria
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Ruh Lviv and Oleksandria in coming into this match?
Ruh Lviv have gone 3W 3D 5L in their last 11 games (1.09 PPG), while Oleksandria have gone 4W 4D 3L in their last 11 (1.45 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Ruh Lviv at home or Oleksandria away?
Ruh Lviv's home record (1.60 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Ruh Lviv at home: 1.60 PPG; Oleksandria away: 1.20 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
9 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to October 2021. Every recorded meeting has come in Premier League. The two were last together as recently as 17 May 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Streaks & Records
Ruh Lviv's record when hosting Oleksandria specifically: 0W 4D 1L from 5 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 9 Meetings
1
Ruh Lviv
7
Draws
1
Oleksandria
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Ruh Lviv and Oleksandria?
From 9 meetings on record, Ruh Lviv have won 1, Oleksandria have won 1, and 7 have been drawn.
When did Ruh Lviv and Oleksandria last play each other?
They last met on 17 May 2026, when Ruh Lviv 1-3 Oleksandria.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
Ruh Lviv are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 80% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 40% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 20% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 20% of those situations.
Oleksandria tend to start slowly — only 20% of their games have a goal by half-time.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Ruh Lviv 60%, Oleksandria 40% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Low-scoring games have been more typical here — Over 2.5 sits at just 40% for Ruh Lviv and 20% for Oleksandria.
On the defensive side: Oleksandria in 40%; Oleksandria in 40%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Ruh Lviv home games / Oleksandria away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Ruh Lviv play Oleksandria?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 60% of Ruh Lviv's recent matches and 40% of Oleksandria's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 40% of Ruh Lviv's recent games and 20% of Oleksandria's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Ruh Lviv and Oleksandria tend to score early?
Ruh Lviv have had a goal before half-time in 80% of their recent matches, Oleksandria in 20% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Ruh Lviv's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Ruh Lviv and Oleksandria finished level at 0-0 at Arena L'viv, Regular Season - 13, in the Premier League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Ruh Lviv 0.91 xG and Oleksandria 1.01 xG, a combined 1.92. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Ruh Lviv fell 0.9 short of their projected output. Oleksandria landed 1.0 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Ruh Lviv attack 0.92 / defence 1.17 against Oleksandria attack 0.76 / defence 0.93, drawn from 11/12 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Ruh Lviv 31% | Draw 33% | Oleksandria 36%, with Oleksandria to win its most likely call at 36%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 33%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 30%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 58% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 39% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 32% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Ruh Lviv 27%, Oleksandria 36%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 50%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Ruh Lviv's trading profile (11 games, 5 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 46% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 36% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Oleksandria's trading profile (11 games, 5 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 27% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Ruh Lviv 1.09 PPG, Oleksandria 1.45 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Ruh Lviv (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.20 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.20 average — tighter than their form line. Oleksandria (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.80 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 0.80 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.