Ruh Lviv 0-2 Dynamo Kyiv – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Dynamo Kyiv at 37% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Ruh Lviv vs Dynamo Kyiv encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Full Analysis
Arena L'viv plays host to Ruh Lviv versus Dynamo Kyiv in Premier League, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off: Saturday 25 September 2021 at 17:30 UTC.
Form & Momentum
Ruh Lviv have collected 1.00 PPG across 8 Premier League outings this season: 2W 2D 4L. Last five: D L W D L. They are averaging 0.75 goals per game and conceding 1.25 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 1 clean sheet from 8 outings provides some defensive foundation. This season is still relatively young for Ruh Lviv, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Ruh Lviv's home record at Arena L'viv: 2W 1D 0L from 3 Premier League appearances (2.33 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.33 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 67% of their home matches — a rate that supports the Yes angle in this fixture. Their home PPG of 2.33 is noticeably stronger than their overall 1.00 — Ruh Lviv are significantly better at Arena L'viv than their overall form suggests.
Dynamo Kyiv (all games): 7W 1D 0L across 8 Premier League outings this term — 2.75 points per game. Last five: D W W W W. Their attacking form is sharp — 2.88 goals per game is a high-output rate that commands respect in the goals markets. Defensively, 0.25 goals conceded per game is elite-level — a side this difficult to score against is a real threat to Over 2.5 and BTTS Yes. 6 clean sheets from 8 games (75%) is an exceptional defensive record — they are keeping clean sheets more often than not. Both teams have scored in only 25% of their fixtures — a very low rate that strongly backs BTTS No. This season is still relatively young for Dynamo Kyiv, so this record blends games from this season and last.
On the road, Dynamo Kyiv have gone 2W 1D 0L from 3 away fixtures this term (2.33 PPG). Away from home they average 1.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 67% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context.
The travelling side arrive in better shape. Dynamo Kyiv are 1.75 PPG clear of Ruh Lviv in recent Premier League fixtures (2.75 vs 1.00). Backing the visitors outright or on Draw No Bet are both valid approaches where the price allows.
In terms of goals, both squads have been finding the net consistently (using home/away splits) — Ruh Lviv have seen both teams score in 67% of their games, Dynamo Kyiv in 67%. That combined rate is a strong statistical case for BTTS Yes as a standalone play.
Trading
Ruh Lviv half-time and goal-timing data (8 games, 3 at home): they score before half-time in 75% of fixtures; when winning at HT they fail to see it out 25% of the time; BTTS occurs in 50% of their matches; Over 2.5 goals lands in 25% of games; they fail to score in 38% of games.
Dynamo Kyiv half-time and goal-timing data (8 games, 3 at away): they score before half-time in 62% of fixtures; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 100% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 67% of those occasions; they lead at the break 62% of the time; BTTS occurs in 25% of their matches; Over 2.5 goals lands in 50% of games; Over 3.5 in 38%; they keep a clean sheet 75% of the time.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Ruh Lviv 50% versus Dynamo Kyiv 25%; no strong lean in either direction. Under 2.5 goals has backing from the in-play data — both teams register low Over 2.5 rates (Ruh Lviv 25% | Dynamo Kyiv 50%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Ruh Lviv 0.97 xG and Dynamo Kyiv 1.07 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Ruh Lviv attack 0.894 / defence 0.958 | Dynamo Kyiv attack 0.970 / defence 0.973. League average goals — home 1.113 / away 1.152. Data: 8 Ruh Lviv games / 8 Dynamo Kyiv games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Ruh Lviv 32% | Draw 30% | Dynamo Kyiv 37%. Fair-value odds: Ruh Lviv 3.12 | Draw 3.33 | Dynamo Kyiv 2.70. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 30% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 33% | BTTS probability 41% | Total xG 2.04. Under 2.5 is the strongly backed market at 67% probability — total xG of 2.04 sits well below the 2.5 threshold. The model is projecting a tight, low-scoring match based on both sides' defensive quality. BTTS probability of 41% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Picks & Verdict
Both sides post BTTS form rates above 65% but Poisson BTTS probability is only 41% — the model sees a defensive matchup that form results do not yet show.
On the Poisson output, Dynamo Kyiv are the pick at 37% — marginal model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw probability of 30% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Dynamo Kyiv if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 32% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
Poisson projects 2.04 total expected goals, pointing to Under 2.5 at 33% probability — reasonable conviction, supported by form averaging 2.2 goals per game.
On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 41% on No. This conflicts with form data: Ruh Lviv 67% | Dynamo Kyiv 67% from recent games — a notable divergence.
The outsider holds a 32% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Ruh Lviv vs Dynamo Kyiv | Competition: Premier League, Regular Season - 9 | Venue: Arena L'viv • Kick-off: Saturday 25 Sep 2021, 17:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Ruh Lviv 32% | Draw 30% | Dynamo Kyiv 37% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 33% | BTTS 41% | xG Ruh Lviv 0.97 / Dynamo Kyiv 1.07 • Poisson strength factors: Ruh Lviv attack 0.894 / def 0.958 | Dynamo Kyiv attack 0.970 / def 0.973 | league avg home 1.113 / away 1.152 • Poisson stance: Dynamo Kyiv (37%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
0.97
Ruh Lviv xG
Expected Goals
1.07
Dynamo Kyiv xG
41%
BTTS
60%
Over 1.5
33%
Over 2.5
15%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Ruh Lviv vs Dynamo Kyiv kick off?
Ruh Lviv vs Dynamo Kyiv kicked off at 17:30 on Saturday 25 September 2021 at Arena L'viv.
What was the final score in Ruh Lviv vs Dynamo Kyiv?
Ruh Lviv 0 - 2 Dynamo Kyiv.
Where is Ruh Lviv vs Dynamo Kyiv being played?
The match is being played at Arena L'viv.
What competition is Ruh Lviv vs Dynamo Kyiv part of?
Ruh Lviv vs Dynamo Kyiv is a Regular Season - 9 fixture in the Premier League (Ukraine).
Who is favourite to win Ruh Lviv vs Dynamo Kyiv?
Our statistical model gives Ruh Lviv a 32% chance of winning, Dynamo Kyiv a 37% chance, and a 30% chance of a draw — making Dynamo Kyiv the favourite.
Will both teams score in Ruh Lviv vs Dynamo Kyiv?
Our model estimates a 41% probability that both Ruh Lviv and Dynamo Kyiv will score (BTTS).
Will Ruh Lviv vs Dynamo Kyiv have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 33%.
What is the head-to-head record between Ruh Lviv and Dynamo Kyiv?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Ruh Lviv and Dynamo Kyiv in?
Ruh Lviv (all comps): 2W-2D-4L in 8 | 1.00 PPG | GF 0.75 / GA 1.25 | L5 D-L-W-D-L. Dynamo Kyiv (all comps): 7W-1D-0L in 8 | 2.75 PPG | GF 2.88 / GA 0.25 | L5 D-W-W-W-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Where the Numbers Come From
Ruh Lviv's attacking strength (0.89x league average) is weighed against Dynamo Kyiv's defensive record (0.97x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 0.97. Flip it around — Dynamo Kyiv's attack (0.97x) against Ruh Lviv's defence (0.96x) — and the away total comes out at 1.07.
These ratings are built from 8/8 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 15.2%. Close behind: 0-0 (14.8%), 0-1 (12.2%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 42% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Dynamo Kyiv Win
32%
3.11
30%
3.29
37%
2.67
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
13.9%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
13.5%
Draw
0 – 0
13.0%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.97
Ruh Lviv xG
Total xG
2.04
1.07
Dynamo Kyiv xG
3.11
32%
Home win
3.29
30%
Draw
2.67
37%
Away win
Goals Markets
60%
Over 1.5
1.67
40%
Under 1.5
2.50
33%
Over 2.5
3.03
67%
Under 2.5
1.49
15%
Over 3.5
6.67
85%
Under 3.5
1.18
6%
Over 4.5
16.67
94%
Under 4.5
1.06
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
41%
BTTS Yes
2.45
59%
BTTS No
1.69
Clean Sheet
34%
2.92
38%
2.63
Win to Nil
11%
9.07
14%
7.03
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.0 | 13.9 | 7.5 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 12.6 | 13.5 | 7.2 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 6.1 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Ruh Lviv vs Dynamo Kyiv?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 15.2%.
How many goals are Ruh Lviv and Dynamo Kyiv expected to score?
The model projects 0.97 expected goals for Ruh Lviv and 1.07 for Dynamo Kyiv, a combined total of 2.04.
How confident is the prediction model for Ruh Lviv vs Dynamo Kyiv?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 37%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Recent Form Overview
Ruh Lviv come into this having played 8 games, going 2W 2D 4L for 1.00 points per game. Their last five reads D-L-W-D-L. The sample for Ruh Lviv is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
On the other side, Dynamo Kyiv sit at 2.75 PPG from 8 outings (7W 1D 0L), a run that reads D-W-W-W-W across their last five. The sample for Dynamo Kyiv is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Dynamo Kyiv carry the stronger recent form of the two, 1.75 PPG clear of Ruh Lviv — worth weighing alongside whatever the head-to-head and market data say.
How They Fare by Venue
Ruh Lviv's home form reads 2W 1D 0L across 3 games on their own ground, a 2.33 PPG return. That's noticeably better than their 1.00 PPG overall — Ruh Lviv are a different proposition at home than their general record suggests.
Away from home, Dynamo Kyiv have taken 2.33 points per game from 3 outings (2W 1D 0L). That's a step down from their 2.75 PPG overall record — away form has been the weaker part of Dynamo Kyiv's season.
Attack vs Defence
Ruh Lviv are averaging 0.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game recently; Dynamo Kyiv are on 2.88 scored and 0.25 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Dynamo Kyiv in 25%.
Defensively: Dynamo Kyiv in 75% — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 8 Results — Premier League
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Ruh Lviv
Blended
Dynamo Kyiv
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Ruh Lviv and Dynamo Kyiv in coming into this match?
Ruh Lviv have gone 2W 2D 4L in their last 8 games (1.00 PPG), while Dynamo Kyiv have gone 7W 1D 0L in their last 8 (2.75 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Ruh Lviv at home or Dynamo Kyiv away?
Ruh Lviv's home record (2.33 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Ruh Lviv at home: 2.33 PPG; Dynamo Kyiv away: 2.33 PPG.
Have Ruh Lviv or Dynamo Kyiv been keeping clean sheets recently?
Ruh Lviv have kept a clean sheet in 12% of their recent games, Dynamo Kyiv in 75%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
The Rivalry So Far
These sides have met 9 times that we have on record, stretching back to September 2021 — a rivalry that has played out across roughly 4 years. Every recorded meeting has come in Premier League. They last met on 20 February 2026, roughly 5 months ago.
Notable Numbers
Dynamo Kyiv go into this on the back of 3 straight wins in the series — the current momentum sits squarely with them.
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: Dynamo Kyiv won 1-5 on 8 Aug 2025, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Ruh Lviv have gone 0W 1D 4L from 5 meetings on their own ground against Dynamo Kyiv — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 9 Meetings
0
Ruh Lviv
2
Draws
7
Dynamo Kyiv
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Ruh Lviv and Dynamo Kyiv?
From 9 meetings on record, Ruh Lviv have won 0, Dynamo Kyiv have won 7, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Ruh Lviv and Dynamo Kyiv last play each other?
They last met on 20 February 2026, when Dynamo Kyiv 1-0 Ruh Lviv.
Who has won more matches between Ruh Lviv and Dynamo Kyiv?
Dynamo Kyiv have the better head-to-head record, with 7 wins from 9 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Early Goal Trends
Ruh Lviv are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 67% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 67% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 33% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one.
Dynamo Kyiv see a goal before the break in 33% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 33% of the time.
Full-Time Markets
BTTS has landed consistently for both sides recently — 67% for Ruh Lviv, 67% for Dynamo Kyiv — a strong two-way scoring signal.
Low-scoring games have been more typical here — Over 2.5 sits at just 33% for Ruh Lviv and 33% for Dynamo Kyiv.
On the defensive side: Ruh Lviv keep a clean sheet in 33% of their matches; Dynamo Kyiv in 33%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Ruh Lviv home games / Dynamo Kyiv away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Ruh Lviv play Dynamo Kyiv?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 67% of Ruh Lviv's games and 67% of Dynamo Kyiv's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Ruh Lviv vs Dynamo Kyiv usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 33% of Ruh Lviv's recent games and 33% of Dynamo Kyiv's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Ruh Lviv and Dynamo Kyiv tend to score early?
Ruh Lviv have had a goal before half-time in 67% of their recent matches, Dynamo Kyiv in 33% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Dynamo Kyiv cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Ruh Lviv.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Dynamo Kyiv beat Ruh Lviv 0-2 at Arena L'viv, Regular Season - 9, in the Premier League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Ruh Lviv 0.97 xG and Dynamo Kyiv 1.07 xG, a combined 2.04. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Ruh Lviv fell 1.0 short of their projected output. Dynamo Kyiv outscored their 1.07 projection by 0.9. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Ruh Lviv attack 0.89 / defence 0.96 against Dynamo Kyiv attack 0.97 / defence 0.97, drawn from 8/8 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Ruh Lviv 32% | Draw 30% | Dynamo Kyiv 37%, with Dynamo Kyiv to win its most likely call at 37%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 33%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 60% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 41% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 38% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Ruh Lviv 25%, Dynamo Kyiv 50%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 38%, which matched the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Ruh Lviv's trading profile (8 games, 3 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 50% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 38% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Dynamo Kyiv's trading profile (8 games, 3 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 25% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 75% of the time, and duly kept one.
Form vs Result
On form, Dynamo Kyiv arrived the stronger side — 2.75 PPG against 1.00. Form held, and they took the win. Ruh Lviv (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.33 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 2 against a 0.67 concession average — a leakier day than usual.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). A strong night for the model: the result sat comfortably inside what the pre-match data projected.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.