Minai vs Ruh Lviv – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson rates Ruh Lviv at 37% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Minai vs Ruh Lviv encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Pre-Match Analysis
Minai and Ruh Lviv meet at Stadion NTK im. B. M. Bannikova in Premier League, Regular Season - 27. This fixture gets under way on Saturday 30 April 2022 at 15:00 UTC.
Form
Minai (all games): 0W 4D 6L across 10 Premier League fixtures this term — 0.40 PPG. Last five: D D L L L. They are averaging 0.60 goals per game and conceding 1.90 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. This season is still relatively young for Minai, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Minai at Stadion NTK im. B. M. Bannikova this season: 1W 5D 3L from 9 home games — 0.89 PPG on home soil. At home they are averaging 0.89 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 56% of their home matches — a rate that supports the Yes angle in this fixture.
Ruh Lviv have collected 1.00 PPG across 10 Premier League outings this season: 2W 4D 4L. Last five: L L W D D. Their scoring rate of 1.00 per game is modest, conceding 1.20 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 4 clean sheets in 10 outings (40%) underlines their defensive solidity. Both teams have scored in just 30% of their games, reflecting a regular tendency to keep or record clean sheets. This season is still relatively young for Ruh Lviv, so this record blends games from this season and last.
When travelling in Premier League this season, Ruh Lviv have posted 1W 2D 6L from 9 away outings — 0.56 PPG. Away from home they average 0.89 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game.
Ruh Lviv arrive in superior form — a 0.60 PPG advantage (1.00 vs 0.40) that offsets much of the home-ground benefit. The away side are the form pick, with draw protection the sensible way to manage the home-field uncertainty.
Head-to-Head
Form and model data should carry more weight here — the historical record is too balanced to provide a directional steer. From 1 meetings: Minai 0W, Ruh Lviv 0W, 1D.
Attacking output has been a hallmark of this fixture. At 4.0 goals per game across 1 meetings, the Over 2.5 has a statistically grounded case from the head-to-head record alone. The most recent clash, on 24 Oct 2021, ended 2–2 with a draw.
With the win record balanced, the strongest H2H-derived signal is in the goals market. At 4.0 goals per game historically, Over 2.5 is the cleaner angle to extract from the head-to-head data.
Trading
Minai half-time and goal-timing data (17 games, 8 at home): they score before half-time in 75% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 80% of the time; BTTS occurs in 62% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 38% of games (home games); they fail to score in 53% of games.
Ruh Lviv half-time and goal-timing data (17 games, 8 at away): they score before half-time in 62% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 67% of the time; BTTS occurs in 38% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 12% of games (away games); they fail to score in 41% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Minai 47% versus Ruh Lviv 41%; no strong lean in either direction. Under 2.5 goals has backing from the in-play data — both teams register low Over 2.5 rates (Minai 41% | Ruh Lviv 24%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Minai 1.16 xG and Ruh Lviv 1.19 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Minai attack 0.865 / defence 1.195 | Ruh Lviv attack 0.812 / defence 1.220. League average goals — home 1.102 / away 1.224. Ruh Lviv bring a strong defensive rating of 1.220 — this is suppressing Minai's projected output below what their attack strength alone would suggest. Data: 18 Minai games / 17 Ruh Lviv games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Minai 35% | Draw 28% | Ruh Lviv 37%. Fair-value odds: Minai 2.86 | Draw 3.57 | Ruh Lviv 2.70. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 28% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 42% | BTTS probability 48% | Total xG 2.35. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 58% — total xG of 2.35 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 48% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is Ruh Lviv at 37% — marginal model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw probability of 28% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Ruh Lviv if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 35% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
The Poisson model projects 2.35 xG in total — Under 2.5 at 42% — Poisson-only — limited corroboration confidence.
Poisson assigns a 48% probability to BTTS No based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates are neutral: Minai 56% | Ruh Lviv 44%.
The outsider holds a 35% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Minai vs Ruh Lviv | Competition: Premier League, Regular Season - 27 | Venue: Stadion NTK im. B. M. Bannikova • Kick-off: Saturday 30 Apr 2022, 15:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Minai 35% | Draw 28% | Ruh Lviv 37% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 42% | BTTS 48% | xG Minai 1.16 / Ruh Lviv 1.19 • Poisson strength factors: Minai attack 0.865 / def 1.195 | Ruh Lviv attack 0.812 / def 1.220 | league avg home 1.102 / away 1.224 • Poisson stance: Ruh Lviv (37%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.16
Minai xG
Expected Goals
1.19
Ruh Lviv xG
48%
BTTS
68%
Over 1.5
42%
Over 2.5
21%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Minai vs Ruh Lviv kick off?
Minai vs Ruh Lviv kicked off at 15:00 on Saturday 30 April 2022 at Stadion NTK im. B. M. Bannikova.
Where is Minai vs Ruh Lviv being played?
The match is being played at Stadion NTK im. B. M. Bannikova.
What competition is Minai vs Ruh Lviv part of?
Minai vs Ruh Lviv is a Regular Season - 27 fixture in the Premier League (Ukraine).
Who is favourite to win Minai vs Ruh Lviv?
Our statistical model gives Minai a 35% chance of winning, Ruh Lviv a 37% chance, and a 28% chance of a draw — making Ruh Lviv the favourite.
Will both teams score in Minai vs Ruh Lviv?
Our model estimates a 48% probability that both Minai and Ruh Lviv will score (BTTS).
Will Minai vs Ruh Lviv have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 42%.
What is the head-to-head record between Minai and Ruh Lviv?
Record (1 meetings): Minai 0W | Draws 1 | Ruh Lviv 0W.
What form are Minai and Ruh Lviv in?
Minai (all comps): 0W-4D-6L in 10 | 0.40 PPG | GF 0.60 / GA 1.90 | L5 D-D-L-L-L. Ruh Lviv (all comps): 2W-4D-4L in 10 | 1.00 PPG | GF 1.00 / GA 1.20 | L5 L-L-W-D-D.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
The model rates Minai's attack at 0.86x the league average against Ruh Lviv's defence at 1.22x — combine the two and it projects 1.16 expected goals for the hosts. Flip it around — Ruh Lviv's attack (0.81x) against Minai's defence (1.20x) — and the away total comes out at 1.19.
These ratings are built from 18/17 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 14.9% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 0-0 (11.2%), 0-1 (9.6%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 36% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Ruh Lviv Win
35%
2.83
28%
3.57
37%
2.73
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
13.2%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
11.3%
Away win
1 – 0
11.1%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.16
Minai xG
Total xG
2.35
1.19
Ruh Lviv xG
2.83
35%
Home win
3.57
28%
Draw
2.73
37%
Away win
Goals Markets
68%
Over 1.5
1.47
32%
Under 1.5
3.12
42%
Over 2.5
2.38
58%
Under 2.5
1.72
21%
Over 3.5
4.76
79%
Under 3.5
1.27
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
48%
BTTS Yes
2.09
52%
BTTS No
1.91
Clean Sheet
31%
3.28
31%
3.20
Win to Nil
11%
9.26
11%
8.74
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.5 | 11.3 | 6.7 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 11.1 | 13.2 | 7.8 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 6.4 | 7.7 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Minai vs Ruh Lviv?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.9%.
How many goals are Minai and Ruh Lviv expected to score?
The model projects 1.16 expected goals for Minai and 1.19 for Ruh Lviv, a combined total of 2.35.
How confident is the prediction model for Minai vs Ruh Lviv?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 37%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
Minai's recent record stands at 0W 7D 10L from 17 games, a 0.41 PPG return, with D-D-L-L-L in the last five. The sample for Minai is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Ruh Lviv, meanwhile, have gone 4W 6D 7L across 17 games — 1.06 PPG, with L-L-W-D-D in their last five. The sample for Ruh Lviv is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
The points-per-game comparison favours Ruh Lviv by 0.65 — a real, if not enormous, edge over Minai heading into this one.
Home & Away Splits
At home specifically, Minai have managed 0W 5D 3L from 8 games — 0.62 PPG in front of their own supporters.
Ruh Lviv's away record stands at 1W 2D 5L across 8 trips, a 0.62 PPG haul. That's a step down from their 1.06 PPG overall record — away form has been the weaker part of Ruh Lviv's season.
Scoring & Defensive Trends
Minai are averaging 0.65 goals scored and 1.76 conceded per game recently; Ruh Lviv are on 0.94 scored and 1.24 conceded.
Last 17 Results — Premier League
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Minai
Blended
Ruh Lviv
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Minai and Ruh Lviv in coming into this match?
Minai have gone 0W 7D 10L in their last 17 games (0.41 PPG), while Ruh Lviv have gone 4W 6D 7L in their last 17 (1.06 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Minai at home or Ruh Lviv away?
Minai's home record (0.62 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Minai at home: 0.62 PPG; Ruh Lviv away: 0.62 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
On record, these two have faced off 5 times since October 2021 — enough meetings to establish some real patterns. Every recorded meeting has come in Premier League. It has been a while since the last meeting — 22 April 2024, some 2 years back — so squads and form on both sides may look very different now.
Records & Recent Trends
The last 5 meetings have all been drawn — an unusually settled recent run for this fixture.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Minai have gone 0W 2D 0L from 2 meetings on their own ground against Ruh Lviv — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 5 Meetings
0
Minai
5
Draws
0
Ruh Lviv
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Minai and Ruh Lviv?
From 5 meetings on record, Minai have won 0, Ruh Lviv have won 0, and 5 have been drawn.
When did Minai and Ruh Lviv last play each other?
They last met on 22 April 2024, when Minai 1-1 Ruh Lviv.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
Minai are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 75% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 25% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 25% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 12% of those situations.
Ruh Lviv are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 62% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 25% of the time.
Goals & Clean Sheets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Minai 62%, Ruh Lviv 38% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Low-scoring games have been more typical here — Over 2.5 sits at just 38% for Minai and 12% for Ruh Lviv.
On the defensive side: Minai have failed to score in 38% of games; Ruh Lviv in 50%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Minai home games / Ruh Lviv away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Minai play Ruh Lviv?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 62% of Minai's recent matches and 38% of Ruh Lviv's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Minai vs Ruh Lviv usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 38% of Minai's recent games and 12% of Ruh Lviv's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Minai and Ruh Lviv tend to score early?
Minai have had a goal before half-time in 75% of their recent matches, Ruh Lviv in 62% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Minai's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Minai and Ruh Lviv finished level at 0-0 at Stadion NTK im. B. M. Bannikova, Regular Season - 27, in the Premier League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Minai 1.16 xG and Ruh Lviv 1.19 xG, a combined 2.35. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Minai fell 1.2 short of their projected output. Ruh Lviv landed 1.2 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Minai attack 0.86 / defence 1.20 against Ruh Lviv attack 0.81 / defence 1.22, drawn from 18/17 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Minai 35% | Draw 28% | Ruh Lviv 37%, with Ruh Lviv to win its most likely call at 37%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 28%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 42%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 68% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 48% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 32% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Minai 41%, Ruh Lviv 24%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 44%, which matched the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Minai's trading profile (17 games, 8 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 47% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 53% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Ruh Lviv's trading profile (17 games, 8 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 41% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 41% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
On form, Ruh Lviv arrived the stronger side — 1.06 PPG against 0.41. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Minai (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.88 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.50 average — tighter than their form line. Ruh Lviv (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.88 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.62 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (miss). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.