Kolos Kovalivka vs Kudrivka – Pre-Match Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model projects a closely fought contest — draw probability sits at 37% as Kolos Kovalivka take on Kudrivka.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis
Kudrivka make the trip to Kolos Stadium to face Kolos Kovalivka in Premier League, Regular Season - 22. The match kicks off on Saturday 10 April 2027 at 15:00 UTC.
Form & Momentum
Kolos Kovalivka have collected 1.10 PPG across 10 Premier League outings this season: 3W 2D 5L. Last five: L D D L W. They are averaging 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.40 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Kolos Kovalivka have played only a handful of Premier League games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
In front of their own supporters this season, Kolos Kovalivka have posted 3W 4D 3L at Kolos Stadium — 1.30 PPG. At home they are averaging 0.50 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 6 clean sheets from 10 home games (60%) — they are an exceptionally hard side to score against at Kolos Stadium. At home, both teams have scored in only 10% of games — reinforcing BTTS No as the home-venue-backed angle.
Kudrivka (all games): 2W 4D 4L across 10 Premier League outings this term — 1.00 points per game. Last five: D D L L L. Their scoring rate of 1.30 per game is modest, conceding 1.70 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 4 clean sheets in 10 outings (40%) underlines their defensive solidity. Kudrivka have played only a handful of Premier League games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
When travelling in Premier League this season, Kudrivka have posted 1W 4D 5L from 10 away outings — 0.70 PPG. Away from home they average 0.90 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game.
A near-identical PPG reading — 1.10 for Kolos Kovalivka, 1.00 for Kudrivka — means the form record is uninstructive on result selection. The goals and market sections will carry greater evidential weight.
Head-to-Head
Across 3 previous meetings, Kolos Kovalivka are the stronger side on paper — 3 victories to 0, with 0 draws in between.
These two sides have produced goals at a consistent rate historically, averaging 3.3 per game across 3 meetings. That scoring profile provides genuine support for the Over 2.5 angle. The most recent clash, on 20 Sep 2026, ended 3–2 with Kolos Kovalivka winning.
From a betting standpoint, the H2H backs both Kolos Kovalivka and goals. The home side's 3 wins from 3 meetings, combined with an average of 3.3 goals per game, gives the home win and Over 2.5 combination a historically grounded case.
Trading Data
Kolos Kovalivka goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (36 games, 17 at home): they score before half-time in 53% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 71% of the time; BTTS occurs in 29% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 12% of games (home games); they fail to score in 36% of games.
Kudrivka goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (36 games, 17 at away): they score before half-time in 71% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 56% of the time; BTTS occurs in 47% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 35% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 36%; they fail to score in 36% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Kolos Kovalivka 39% versus Kudrivka 56%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Kolos Kovalivka 31% | Kudrivka 50%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Kolos Kovalivka 1.07 xG and Kudrivka 0.91 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Kolos Kovalivka attack 0.685 / defence 0.963 | Kudrivka attack 0.905 / defence 1.281. League average goals — home 1.225 / away 1.042. Kolos Kovalivka's attack strength of 0.685 is below the league average — the 1.07 xG projection reflects a team that scores at a discount to the division norm. Kudrivka bring a strong defensive rating of 1.281 — this is suppressing Kolos Kovalivka's projected output below what their attack strength alone would suggest. Data: 36 Kolos Kovalivka games / 36 Kudrivka games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Kolos Kovalivka 36% | Draw 37% | Kudrivka 27%. Fair-value odds: Kolos Kovalivka 2.78 | Draw 2.70 | Kudrivka 3.70. The draw (37%) is the Poisson-preferred outcome — neither side is more likely to win than to draw, making draw-inclusive markets the most model-aligned approach.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 32% | BTTS probability 42% | Total xG 1.98. Under 2.5 is the strongly backed market at 68% probability — total xG of 1.98 sits well below the 2.5 threshold. The model is projecting a tight, low-scoring match based on both sides' defensive quality. BTTS probability of 42% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Verdict
The Poisson model's preferred outcome is the draw at 37% — neither side is more likely to win than to draw. Draw-inclusive markets are the most model-aligned approach. Home win at 36% and away win at 27% are close enough that backing either outright carries significant draw exposure.
Poisson projects 1.98 total expected goals, pointing to Under 2.5 at 32% probability — marginal — conflicting signals conviction, supported by form averaging 1.8 goals per game — though H2H averaging only 3.3 goals per meeting points in the other direction.
On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 42% on No. Form rates corroborate: Kolos Kovalivka 10% | Kudrivka 50% BTTS from recent games.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Kolos Kovalivka vs Kudrivka | Competition: Premier League, Regular Season - 22 | Venue: Kolos Stadium • Kick-off: Saturday 10 Apr 2027, 15:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Kolos Kovalivka 36% | Draw 37% | Kudrivka 27% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 32% | BTTS 42% | xG Kolos Kovalivka 1.07 / Kudrivka 0.91 • Poisson strength factors: Kolos Kovalivka attack 0.685 / def 0.963 | Kudrivka attack 0.905 / def 1.281 | league avg home 1.225 / away 1.042 • Poisson stance: Draw (37%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.07
Kolos Kovalivka xG
Expected Goals
0.91
Kudrivka xG
42%
BTTS
62%
Over 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
14%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Kolos Kovalivka vs Kudrivka kick off?
Kolos Kovalivka vs Kudrivka is scheduled to kick off at 15:00 on Saturday 10 April 2027 at Kolos Stadium.
Where is Kolos Kovalivka vs Kudrivka being played?
The match is being played at Kolos Stadium.
What competition is Kolos Kovalivka vs Kudrivka part of?
Kolos Kovalivka vs Kudrivka is a Regular Season - 22 fixture in the Premier League (Ukraine).
Who is favourite to win Kolos Kovalivka vs Kudrivka?
Our statistical model gives Kolos Kovalivka a 36% chance of winning, Kudrivka a 27% chance, and a 37% chance of a draw, making this a very evenly-matched fixture.
Will both teams score in Kolos Kovalivka vs Kudrivka?
Our model estimates a 42% probability that both Kolos Kovalivka and Kudrivka will score (BTTS).
Will Kolos Kovalivka vs Kudrivka have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 32%.
What is the head-to-head record between Kolos Kovalivka and Kudrivka?
Record (3 meetings): Kolos Kovalivka 3W | Draws 0 | Kudrivka 0W.
What form are Kolos Kovalivka and Kudrivka in?
Kolos Kovalivka (all comps): 3W-2D-5L in 10 | 1.10 PPG | GF 0.90 / GA 1.40 | L5 L-D-D-L-W. Kudrivka (all comps): 2W-4D-4L in 10 | 1.00 PPG | GF 1.30 / GA 1.70 | L5 D-D-L-L-L.
🧮 Model Insight
Where the Numbers Come From
Working from Kolos Kovalivka's attack rating (0.69) and Kudrivka's defence rating (1.28), the model arrives at 1.07 expected goals for the home side. Flip it around — Kudrivka's attack (0.91x) against Kolos Kovalivka's defence (0.96x) — and the away total comes out at 0.91.
These ratings are built from 36/36 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 0-0 emerges as the single most likely result, at 15.5%. Close behind: 1-1 (15.2%), 1-0 (13.1%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 44% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Draw
36%
2.79
37%
2.69
27%
3.70
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
14.8%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
13.8%
Draw
1 – 1
13.4%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.07
Kolos Kovalivka xG
Total xG
1.98
0.91
Kudrivka xG
2.79
36%
Home win
2.69
37%
Draw
3.70
27%
Away win
Goals Markets
59%
Over 1.5
1.69
41%
Under 1.5
2.44
32%
Over 2.5
3.12
68%
Under 2.5
1.47
14%
Over 3.5
7.14
86%
Under 3.5
1.16
5%
Over 4.5
20.00
95%
Under 4.5
1.05
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
42%
BTTS Yes
2.35
58%
BTTS No
1.74
Clean Sheet
40%
2.48
34%
2.93
Win to Nil
14%
6.93
9%
10.84
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.8 | 12.5 | 5.7 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 14.8 | 13.4 | 6.1 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.0 | 7.2 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Kolos Kovalivka vs Kudrivka?
Our Poisson model rates 0-0 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 15.5%.
How many goals are Kolos Kovalivka and Kudrivka expected to score?
The model projects 1.07 expected goals for Kolos Kovalivka and 0.91 for Kudrivka, a combined total of 1.98.
How confident is the prediction model for Kolos Kovalivka vs Kudrivka?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 37%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Recent Form Overview
Kolos Kovalivka come into this having played 36 games, going 14W 12D 10L for 1.50 points per game. Their last five reads L-D-D-L-W. It's still early in the season for Kolos Kovalivka, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
On the other side, Kudrivka sit at 0.89 PPG from 36 outings (7W 11D 18L), a run that reads D-D-L-L-L across their last five. It's still early in the season for Kudrivka, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Kolos Kovalivka carry the stronger recent form of the two, 0.61 PPG clear of Kudrivka — worth weighing alongside whatever the head-to-head and market data say.
How They Fare by Venue
Kolos Kovalivka's home form reads 6W 7D 4L across 17 games on their own ground, a 1.47 PPG return.
Away from home, Kudrivka have taken 0.47 points per game from 17 outings (1W 5D 11L). That's a step down from their 0.89 PPG overall record — away form has been the weaker part of Kudrivka's season.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Kolos Kovalivka come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Attack vs Defence
Kolos Kovalivka are averaging 1.00 goals scored and 0.97 conceded per game recently; Kudrivka are on 1.06 scored and 1.64 conceded.
Defensively: Kolos Kovalivka have kept a clean sheet in 39% of their games — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 36 Results — Premier League
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Kolos Kovalivka
Early Season
Kudrivka
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Kolos Kovalivka and Kudrivka in coming into this match?
Kolos Kovalivka have gone 14W 12D 10L in their last 36 games (1.50 PPG), while Kudrivka have gone 7W 11D 18L in their last 36 (0.89 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Kolos Kovalivka at home or Kudrivka away?
Kolos Kovalivka's home record (1.47 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Kolos Kovalivka at home: 1.47 PPG; Kudrivka away: 0.47 PPG.
Have Kolos Kovalivka or Kudrivka been keeping clean sheets recently?
Kolos Kovalivka have kept a clean sheet in 39% of their recent games, Kudrivka in 19%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
The Rivalry So Far
These sides have met 3 times that we have on record, stretching back to November 2025 — a rivalry that has played out across roughly 1 year. Every recorded meeting has come in Premier League. The two were last together as recently as 20 September 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Notable Numbers
There's a clear current trend here: Kolos Kovalivka have taken the last 3 head-to-head results.
Last 3 Meetings
3
Kolos Kovalivka
0
Draws
0
Kudrivka
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Kolos Kovalivka and Kudrivka?
From 3 meetings on record, Kolos Kovalivka have won 3, Kudrivka have won 0, and 0 have been drawn.
When did Kolos Kovalivka and Kudrivka last play each other?
They last met on 20 September 2026, when Kudrivka 2-3 Kolos Kovalivka.
Who has won more matches between Kolos Kovalivka and Kudrivka?
Kolos Kovalivka have the better head-to-head record, with 3 wins from 3 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Early Goal Trends
Kolos Kovalivka see a goal before the break in 53% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 29% of the time.
Kudrivka are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 71% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 18% of those situations.
Full-Time Markets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Kolos Kovalivka 29%, Kudrivka 47% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Low-scoring games have been more typical here — Over 2.5 sits at just 12% for Kolos Kovalivka and 35% for Kudrivka.
On the defensive side: Kolos Kovalivka keep a clean sheet in 47% of their matches; Kolos Kovalivka have failed to score in 47% of games; Kudrivka in 47%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Kolos Kovalivka home games / Kudrivka away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Kolos Kovalivka play Kudrivka?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 29% of Kolos Kovalivka's recent matches and 47% of Kudrivka's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Kolos Kovalivka vs Kudrivka usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 12% of Kolos Kovalivka's recent games and 35% of Kudrivka's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Kolos Kovalivka and Kudrivka tend to score early?
Kolos Kovalivka have had a goal before half-time in 53% of their recent matches, Kudrivka in 71% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
The match report will be available once the game has finished.