Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Wed 17 Sep 2025

18:00

Venue

Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Samsunspor Win

38%

Samsunspor

2.65

27%

Draw

3.73

35%

Kasımpaşa

2.82

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.0%

Home win

0 – 1

8.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

Samsunspor xG

Total xG

2.74

1.34

Kasımpaşa xG

38%
27%
35%
SamsunsporDrawKasımpaşa

2.65

38%

Home win

3.73

27%

Draw

2.82

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.28

Clean Sheet

26%

Samsunspor

3.84

25%

Kasımpaşa

4.03

Win to Nil

10%

Samsunspor

10.18

9%

Kasımpaşa

11.35

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 8.7 5.9 2.6 0.9 0.2
1 9.0 12.1 8.2 3.7 1.2 0.3
2 6.3 8.4 5.7 2.5 0.9 0.2
3 2.9 3.9 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.0 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.393
λ Away (xG) 1.345
Total xG 2.738
League avg home goals 1.312
League avg away goals 1.239
Samsunspor attack strength 1.067
Samsunspor defence strength 1.095
Kasımpaşa attack strength 0.991
Kasımpaşa defence strength 0.995
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40