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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 29 Mar 2025

13:00

Venue

Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Samsunspor Win

55%

Samsunspor

1.82

20%

Draw

4.96

25%

Kasımpaşa

4.04

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

7.5%

Draw

3 – 1

6.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.33

Samsunspor xG

Total xG

3.87

1.54

Kasımpaşa xG

55%
20%
25%
SamsunsporDrawKasımpaşa

1.82

55%

Home win

4.96

20%

Draw

4.04

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

90%

Over 1.5

1.11

10%

Under 1.5

10.00

74%

Over 2.5

1.35

26%

Under 2.5

3.85

54%

Over 3.5

1.85

46%

Under 3.5

2.17

35%

Over 4.5

2.86

65%

Under 4.5

1.54

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

71%

BTTS Yes

1.40

29%

BTTS No

3.47

Clean Sheet

21%

Samsunspor

4.67

10%

Kasımpaşa

10.29

Win to Nil

12%

Samsunspor

8.48

2%

Kasımpaşa

41.55

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.1 3.2 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.2
1 4.9 7.5 5.8 3.0 1.1 0.4
2 5.7 8.7 6.7 3.4 1.3 0.4
3 4.4 6.8 5.2 2.7 1.0 0.3
4 2.6 3.9 3.0 1.6 0.6 0.2
5 1.2 1.8 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.331
λ Away (xG) 1.541
Total xG 3.872
League avg home goals 1.671
League avg away goals 1.195
Samsunspor attack strength 1.116
Samsunspor defence strength 1.075
Kasımpaşa attack strength 1.199
Kasımpaşa defence strength 1.250
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65