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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Fri 7 Feb 2025

17:00

Venue

Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Samsunspor Win

61%

Samsunspor

1.64

21%

Draw

4.72

18%

Hatayspor

5.56

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.3%

Draw

2 – 0

7.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.31

Samsunspor xG

Total xG

3.52

1.22

Hatayspor xG

61%
21%
18%
SamsunsporDrawHatayspor

1.64

61%

Home win

4.72

21%

Draw

5.56

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

47%

Over 3.5

2.13

53%

Under 3.5

1.89

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.56

36%

BTTS No

2.80

Clean Sheet

30%

Samsunspor

3.37

10%

Hatayspor

10.02

Win to Nil

18%

Samsunspor

5.54

2%

Hatayspor

55.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.0 3.6 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
1 6.8 8.3 5.0 2.0 0.6 0.2
2 7.9 9.6 5.8 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 6.0 7.3 4.5 1.8 0.5 0.1
4 3.5 4.2 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 1.6 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.305
λ Away (xG) 1.215
Total xG 3.520
League avg home goals 1.712
League avg away goals 1.261
Samsunspor attack strength 1.092
Samsunspor defence strength 0.914
Hatayspor attack strength 1.054
Hatayspor defence strength 1.233
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59