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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Fri 11 Apr 2025

18:00

Venue

Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Galatasaray Win

28%

Samsunspor

3.53

24%

Draw

4.24

48%

Galatasaray

2.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

0 – 1

7.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

Samsunspor xG

Total xG

3.25

1.86

Galatasaray xG

28%
24%
48%
SamsunsporDrawGalatasaray

3.53

28%

Home win

4.24

24%

Draw

2.08

48%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.56

36%

BTTS No

2.77

Clean Sheet

16%

Samsunspor

6.43

25%

Galatasaray

4.01

Win to Nil

4%

Samsunspor

22.71

12%

Galatasaray

8.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 7.2 6.7 4.2 1.9 0.7
1 5.4 10.0 9.3 5.8 2.7 1.0
2 3.7 7.0 6.5 4.0 1.9 0.7
3 1.7 3.2 3.0 1.9 0.9 0.3
4 0.6 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.390
λ Away (xG) 1.861
Total xG 3.251
League avg home goals 1.602
League avg away goals 1.196
Samsunspor attack strength 1.002
Samsunspor defence strength 1.104
Galatasaray attack strength 1.410
Galatasaray defence strength 0.866
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 66