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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sun 30 Aug 2026

17:00

Venue

Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Samsunspor Win

40%

Samsunspor

2.51

28%

Draw

3.51

32%

Fenerbahçe

3.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

1 – 0

8.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.55

Samsunspor xG

Total xG

2.91

1.36

Fenerbahçe xG

40%
28%
32%
SamsunsporDrawFenerbahçe

2.51

40%

Home win

3.51

28%

Draw

3.17

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.65

39%

BTTS No

2.53

Clean Sheet

26%

Samsunspor

3.90

21%

Fenerbahçe

4.71

Win to Nil

10%

Samsunspor

9.78

7%

Fenerbahçe

14.90

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 7.4 5.0 2.3 0.8 0.2
1 8.4 11.5 7.8 3.5 1.2 0.3
2 6.5 8.9 6.1 2.7 0.9 0.3
3 3.4 4.6 3.1 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.3 1.8 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.549
λ Away (xG) 1.362
Total xG 2.911
League avg home goals 1.592
League avg away goals 1.143
Samsunspor attack strength 1.067
Samsunspor defence strength 0.945
Fenerbahçe attack strength 1.260
Fenerbahçe defence strength 0.912
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34