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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 28 Feb 2027

18:00

Venue

Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Samsunspor Win

60%

Samsunspor

1.67

25%

Draw

4.02

15%

Erzurumspor FK

6.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

10.8%

Home win

1 – 1

10.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.95

Samsunspor xG

Total xG

2.87

0.92

Erzurumspor FK xG

60%
25%
15%
SamsunsporDrawErzurumspor FK

1.67

60%

Home win

4.02

25%

Draw

6.49

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.14

Clean Sheet

40%

Samsunspor

2.51

14%

Erzurumspor FK

7.04

Win to Nil

24%

Samsunspor

4.20

2%

Erzurumspor FK

45.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 5.2 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 11.1 10.2 4.7 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 10.8 9.9 4.6 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 7.0 6.4 3.0 0.9 0.2
4 3.4 3.1 1.4 0.4 0.1
5 1.3 1.2 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.951
λ Away (xG) 0.920
Total xG 2.871
League avg home goals 1.592
League avg away goals 1.143
Samsunspor attack strength 1.065
Samsunspor defence strength 0.946
Erzurumspor FK attack strength 0.850
Erzurumspor FK defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 0