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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Galatasaray run riot with a 0-3 hammering of Rizespor.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Galatasaray beat Rizespor 0-3 at Çaykur Didi Stadyumu, Regular Season - 21, in the Süper Lig. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Rizespor 1.02 xG and Galatasaray 1.74 xG, a combined 2.75. The scoreboard read 0-3 for 3 actual goals. Rizespor fell 1.0 short of their projected output. Galatasaray outscored their 1.74 projection by 1.3. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Rizespor attack 0.97 / defence 1.02 against Galatasaray attack 1.31 / defence 0.81, drawn from 56/56 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Rizespor 19% | Draw 30% | Galatasaray 51%, with Galatasaray to win its most likely call at 51%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 52%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 79% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 56% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 61% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Rizespor 55%, Galatasaray 66%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 58%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Rizespor's trading profile (56 games, 27 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 59% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 29% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Galatasaray's trading profile (56 games, 27 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 57% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 41% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

On form, Galatasaray arrived the stronger side — 2.57 PPG against 1.23. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Rizespor (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.56 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 3 against a 1.41 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights