🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

📰

Stalemate at Konyaspor's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

The points were shared at Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium, Regular Season - 21, as Konyaspor and Göztepe drew 0-0 in the Süper Lig. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Konyaspor 0.94 xG and Göztepe 1.29 xG, a combined 2.23. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Konyaspor fell 0.9 short of their projected output. Göztepe landed 1.3 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Konyaspor attack 0.89 / defence 1.05 against Göztepe attack 0.95 / defence 0.81, drawn from 56/56 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Konyaspor 23% | Draw 36% | Göztepe 41%, with Göztepe to win its most likely call at 41%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 36%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 39%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 69% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 48% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 49% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Konyaspor 52%, Göztepe 46%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 61%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Konyaspor's trading profile (56 games, 28 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 66% of their matches — today it did not.

Göztepe's trading profile (56 games, 28 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 55% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 34% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

On form, Göztepe arrived the stronger side — 1.59 PPG against 1.16. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Konyaspor (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.36 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.18 average — tighter than their form line. Göztepe (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.29 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.46 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (miss). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights