Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sun 6 Sep 2026

17:00

Venue

Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Kocaelispor Win

41%

Kocaelispor

2.42

31%

Draw

3.25

28%

Samsunspor

3.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

0 – 1

8.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

Kocaelispor xG

Total xG

2.53

1.12

Samsunspor xG

41%
31%
28%
KocaelisporDrawSamsunspor

2.42

41%

Home win

3.25

31%

Draw

3.58

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

32%

Kocaelispor

3.08

24%

Samsunspor

4.08

Win to Nil

13%

Kocaelispor

7.45

7%

Samsunspor

14.62

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 8.9 5.0 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 11.2 12.6 7.1 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 7.9 8.9 5.0 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 3.7 4.2 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 1.3 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.407
λ Away (xG) 1.124
Total xG 2.531
League avg home goals 1.592
League avg away goals 1.143
Kocaelispor attack strength 0.812
Kocaelispor defence strength 0.933
Samsunspor attack strength 1.054
Samsunspor defence strength 1.089
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34