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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

17:00

Venue

Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Samsunspor Win

32%

Kocaelispor

3.16

25%

Draw

3.96

43%

Samsunspor

2.32

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.5%

Away win

1 – 2

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

Kocaelispor xG

Total xG

2.76

1.51

Samsunspor xG

32%
25%
43%
KocaelisporDrawSamsunspor

3.16

32%

Home win

3.96

25%

Draw

2.32

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.80

44%

BTTS No

2.26

Clean Sheet

22%

Kocaelispor

4.51

29%

Samsunspor

3.51

Win to Nil

7%

Kocaelispor

14.27

12%

Samsunspor

8.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 9.5 7.2 3.6 1.4 0.4
1 7.9 11.9 9.0 4.5 1.7 0.5
2 5.0 7.5 5.6 2.8 1.1 0.3
3 2.1 3.1 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.255
λ Away (xG) 1.507
Total xG 2.762
League avg home goals 1.542
League avg away goals 1.363
Kocaelispor attack strength 0.861
Kocaelispor defence strength 1.150
Samsunspor attack strength 0.961
Samsunspor defence strength 0.945
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 1 / 37