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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 17 Jan 2027

18:00

Venue

Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Kocaelispor Win

44%

Kocaelispor

2.26

30%

Draw

3.32

26%

Kasımpaşa

3.90

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.49

Kocaelispor xG

Total xG

2.58

1.09

Kasımpaşa xG

44%
30%
26%
KocaelisporDrawKasımpaşa

2.26

44%

Home win

3.32

30%

Draw

3.90

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.87

47%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

34%

Kocaelispor

2.97

23%

Kasımpaşa

4.42

Win to Nil

15%

Kocaelispor

6.71

6%

Kasımpaşa

17.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 8.3 4.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 11.3 12.3 6.7 2.4 0.7 0.1
2 8.4 9.2 5.0 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 4.2 4.5 2.5 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 1.6 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.487
λ Away (xG) 1.088
Total xG 2.575
League avg home goals 1.592
League avg away goals 1.143
Kocaelispor attack strength 0.814
Kocaelispor defence strength 0.934
Kasımpaşa attack strength 1.019
Kasımpaşa defence strength 1.147
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34