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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sun 7 Dec 2025

14:00

Venue

Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Kocaelispor Win

41%

Kocaelispor

2.46

36%

Draw

2.74

23%

Kasımpaşa

4.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

0 – 0

12.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.22

Kocaelispor xG

Total xG

2.09

0.87

Kasımpaşa xG

41%
36%
23%
KocaelisporDrawKasımpaşa

2.46

41%

Home win

2.74

36%

Draw

4.39

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.25

55%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

42%

Kocaelispor

2.39

30%

Kasımpaşa

3.39

Win to Nil

17%

Kocaelispor

5.86

7%

Kasımpaşa

14.86

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.4 10.8 4.7 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 15.1 13.1 5.7 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 9.2 8.0 3.5 1.0 0.2
3 3.7 3.3 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.220
λ Away (xG) 0.870
Total xG 2.090
League avg home goals 1.282
League avg away goals 1.330
Kocaelispor attack strength 0.846
Kocaelispor defence strength 0.686
Kasımpaşa attack strength 0.954
Kasımpaşa defence strength 1.125
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 14 / 50