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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 9 May 2026

18:00

Venue

Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Kocaelispor Win

46%

Kocaelispor

2.17

37%

Draw

2.69

17%

Fatih Karagümrük

5.97

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

18.2%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.7%

Draw

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.24

Kocaelispor xG

Total xG

1.92

0.68

Fatih Karagümrük xG

46%
37%
17%
KocaelisporDrawFatih Karagümrük

2.17

46%

Home win

2.69

37%

Draw

5.97

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

57%

Over 1.5

1.75

43%

Under 1.5

2.33

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.58

61%

BTTS No

1.63

Clean Sheet

51%

Kocaelispor

1.97

29%

Fatih Karagümrük

3.45

Win to Nil

23%

Kocaelispor

4.29

5%

Fatih Karagümrük

20.61

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.7 10.0 3.4 0.8 0.1
1 18.2 12.4 4.2 1.0 0.2
2 11.3 7.7 2.6 0.6 0.1
3 4.7 3.2 1.1 0.2
4 1.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.239
λ Away (xG) 0.680
Total xG 1.919
League avg home goals 1.466
League avg away goals 1.110
Kocaelispor attack strength 0.707
Kocaelispor defence strength 0.923
Fatih Karagümrük attack strength 0.664
Fatih Karagümrük defence strength 1.195
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 32 / 32